CD Newsletter Divisional Round

@undermysac

I found this on ESPN.  A prop bet possibility - 

Chiefs edge rusher George Karlaftis will record at least 1.5 sacks. Karlaftis, who had 8.0 sacks this season, will be up against rookie tackle Blake Fisher, who has a below-average pass block win rate (85.6%). And he'll be trying to chase down Stroud, who has a higher than average 8% sack rate.

@Biscuiteater1

 No.  I haven’t bet anything yet.  I’ll post it when I pull the trigger.  Under 6.5 punts in the Detroit game is a trend play I’m looking at too.

Everything about this game screams under. Thanks for that bit, another reason to hit the low

Cyrax  likes this one over....

Next weeks lines for possible matchups at Betonline:

Eagles @ Detroit -2.5 (51)

Rams @ Detriot +6 (52.5)

*say what, the Rams are getting 6 points at Philly, and would get 6 again if at Detroit?*

Commanders @ Eagles -6 (47.5)

*say what, Commanders and Rams both getting 6 if at Philly?*

Commanders @ Rams -3 (48.5)

Ravens -1 @ Chiefs (46.5)

*what is happening...Ravens -1 @ Billls and get same line @ KC?*

Bills @ Chiefs -1.5 (48.5)

Texans @ Ravens -9.5 (48.5)

*umm...Texans +9.5 at KC and Balty?*

Texans @ Bills -8 (46.5)

Are the books being lazy? Wtf, they're getting killed by the public all year and they continue to put out a hand full of garbage lines?

The Bills are +1.5(-135) for 2H at DK. ML is only -102.

You may be onto something here.

And let's say that the Ravens manage to be leading by 7 or more at halftime. The line above would be killer value, as the books would be forced to put up something like Bills -3 or more at halftime.

All theoretical stuff, but we see things here in the PB

Chiefs 1H -6 (-115)  $58/$50

@undermysac

 Phi-det is spot on. Should maybe be 3 flat

Lar-det -6 makes sense...rams a dome team and their DL good vs pocket QB (goff)...should probably be -7

Wsh-phi should be phi -3

Wsh-lar should be rams -1.5

Bal-KC should be kc -1 cause of home field

Buf-KC spot on

Hou-bal close enough to right

Hou-buf close enough to right

If Hou advanced they basically saying do they keep it a 1 possession final score 

Look ahead bets:

Ravens -1(-110) *1.00/.91

@ KC

Lions -6(-105) *1.00/.95

Vs the Rams

Lions -2.5(-115) *1.00/.87

Vs the Eagles

Poof goes the under on the opening kickoff and 15 yard penalty. Plus kc fumbles but recovers.

This KC team horse shoe up their ass is gigantic. 

Roughing the passer my ass

Like both lions bets barring injury

@dubz4dummyz

 Barring injuries on any look ahead bets. Risky. But can also get lucky and players from the other team could get hurt

The juice continues to go down on this, so I'll take it now:

Lions/Commanders 1H o27.5 (EV) $50/$50

My bet size has been reduced until I can bounce back after last week. I'll update my record later tonight when I'm at the comp.

Texans had their chances, but the Chiefs are on some voodoo shit + they blitzed the shit out of Strout.

Nice job Icon.

I cashed the under, was sweating the whole time.

LFG guys 

83-85-9 (+2.55) YTD

5-2 (+1.96) Playoffs 

Ravens 1H +.5(-120) *1.20/1.00

Ravens 1H ML(-102) *1.00/.98

Ravens 1H -.5(+110) *.50/.55

Houston@KC U42(-115) *1.00/.87

Rams +6(even) *.75

Jayden Daniels O60 rush(-105) *.75/.71

@undermysac

 I like that Daniels rushing prop.  

It's an over we both like. Let the magic happen. 

I'm trying not to be greedy, but added to this bet. It's now a full 1 unit play.

Lions/Commanders 1H o27.5 (EV) $100/$100

I think Dan Quinn will have his team prepared in the Battle of the Dans. They've got a veteran coaching staff over there, but I can't help but think the Lions cover this one.

The Texans are the first team in post season history to have out gained there opponent by 100+ yards with zero turnovers and lose. The prior 49 teams were 49-0.

The Chiefs magic continues...