well we didnt have to wait long for a 1st 5 to 5.5 opening spread game as philly opened as a 5.5 pt favorite, so i am taking washington here at +5.5 -115 i am not buying up to 6 at -125 going to take the 5.5 here usually i would and if i lose this by the half of point ill most likely always buy up ...lol this is not a double play as that only happens when the home team opens as a 5 or 5.5 home dog, again last year this hit at around 65% and they win outright at about 60% i have been sharing this system of mine for years on these type of sights , its not what the line opened at 3 weeks before the game but what it opened at the week before.....lines usually come out on sunday afternoons or evenings yes some games will have lines weeks ahead but those i do not use gl everyone
Washington +5.5
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
well we didnt have to wait long for a 1st 5 to 5.5 opening spread game as philly opened as a 5.5 pt favorite, so i am taking washington here at +5.5 -115 i am not buying up to 6 at -125 going to take the 5.5 here usually i would and if i lose this by the half of point ill most likely always buy up ...lol this is not a double play as that only happens when the home team opens as a 5 or 5.5 home dog, again last year this hit at around 65% and they win outright at about 60% i have been sharing this system of mine for years on these type of sights , its not what the line opened at 3 weeks before the game but what it opened at the week before.....lines usually come out on sunday afternoons or evenings yes some games will have lines weeks ahead but those i do not use gl everyone
Question. If cover 65 %. Win outright at 60%… why wouldn’t you take them moneyline… that 5%…payout has to be much better…. Drop 60% of wager on the line..40% on moneyline. ?
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@RUM151
Question. If cover 65 %. Win outright at 60%… why wouldn’t you take them moneyline… that 5%…payout has to be much better…. Drop 60% of wager on the line..40% on moneyline. ?
well sometimes we do but why not grab the points and maybe a smaller ml play im not telling people how to bet it just what its been doing, and what else is crazy even the ones that may not cover , were until real late hey been pushing this for years....this started back before the 2 pt conversion was brought into the NFL when opening lines of 5 or 5.5 were pretty rare yes thats how long, i started tracking it then....and always wondered why open the line at 5? or 5.5? when we all know how popular 4 and 6 are....i looked at it as they just didnt know where to set it, usually there are 15-20 a year .... i remembered last year there were 2 in december Atlanta opened at +5.5 at tampa on a thursday game Dec 11 and Atlanta won outright like 29-28 and like the same week chargers opened at +5 vs KC on sunday the 14th and won outright like 16-13 i looked back at my threads and people were asking me then too also if it opens at 5 or 5.5 if i think it might go up better to wait and get 6 or 6.5 if ya can, no matter how much it wins outright or covers you should always try and get the best line possible but that was a weekend where there were 2 of them and oddly both dogs won out right , and it goes by the spread the week before, because sometimes like now you will see early lines for games in week 2 or 3 or when ever i do not go by that anyway i explain this every year...lol for over 30 years now ...i hope it covers gl
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@Mskeets
well sometimes we do but why not grab the points and maybe a smaller ml play im not telling people how to bet it just what its been doing, and what else is crazy even the ones that may not cover , were until real late hey been pushing this for years....this started back before the 2 pt conversion was brought into the NFL when opening lines of 5 or 5.5 were pretty rare yes thats how long, i started tracking it then....and always wondered why open the line at 5? or 5.5? when we all know how popular 4 and 6 are....i looked at it as they just didnt know where to set it, usually there are 15-20 a year .... i remembered last year there were 2 in december Atlanta opened at +5.5 at tampa on a thursday game Dec 11 and Atlanta won outright like 29-28 and like the same week chargers opened at +5 vs KC on sunday the 14th and won outright like 16-13 i looked back at my threads and people were asking me then too also if it opens at 5 or 5.5 if i think it might go up better to wait and get 6 or 6.5 if ya can, no matter how much it wins outright or covers you should always try and get the best line possible but that was a weekend where there were 2 of them and oddly both dogs won out right , and it goes by the spread the week before, because sometimes like now you will see early lines for games in week 2 or 3 or when ever i do not go by that anyway i explain this every year...lol for over 30 years now ...i hope it covers gl
just seen last year on i think sept 28 and 29th jax was a 5 pt dog and beat san fran at san fran and the jets opened at 5.5 went down to 3.5 lost by 6 lol if ya got the 5.5 right away and bought to 6??? there were more but i am done looking them up..lol just usually is close
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just seen last year on i think sept 28 and 29th jax was a 5 pt dog and beat san fran at san fran and the jets opened at 5.5 went down to 3.5 lost by 6 lol if ya got the 5.5 right away and bought to 6??? there were more but i am done looking them up..lol just usually is close
Thank god. Glad there was no OT....LOL. ill take a win. Up 10-0. 3 to's and lose by 3. Kept thinking earlier they wouldn't get a 1st down and seattle would get an easy fg....once they got past mid field and 3 mins left wasn't worried except for ot....then hoped they would win ot turn it over....just no run back for td..lol. so it worked out.
Lose a little on parlay because a player got hurt. Oh well. We won
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Thank god. Glad there was no OT....LOL. ill take a win. Up 10-0. 3 to's and lose by 3. Kept thinking earlier they wouldn't get a 1st down and seattle would get an easy fg....once they got past mid field and 3 mins left wasn't worried except for ot....then hoped they would win ot turn it over....just no run back for td..lol. so it worked out.
Lose a little on parlay because a player got hurt. Oh well. We won
also since i am liking purdy and his passing tonight you almost have to like McCaffery over 4.5 rec's it has been going up in juice now at -140 i thought parlaying over 21.5 comp's and over 4.5 rec's would be good too its at +135 right now just throwing it out there do the capping and see if ya like it
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also since i am liking purdy and his passing tonight you almost have to like McCaffery over 4.5 rec's it has been going up in juice now at -140 i thought parlaying over 21.5 comp's and over 4.5 rec's would be good too its at +135 right now just throwing it out there do the capping and see if ya like it
San Francisco looked good on that drive. Some good props tonight. I think Evans gets a td also. But man betting his over 3.5 rec's was the play unless he gets hurt....makes ya mad when u seen something that looked good....new team you knew they were going to give it to him.......Purdy over 21.5 completions??? He has like 7 already maybe more...that i did tout.
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San Francisco looked good on that drive. Some good props tonight. I think Evans gets a td also. But man betting his over 3.5 rec's was the play unless he gets hurt....makes ya mad when u seen something that looked good....new team you knew they were going to give it to him.......Purdy over 21.5 completions??? He has like 7 already maybe more...that i did tout.
Well sf won't throw anymore. Hope u bet them str up. Over 20.5 TT. over completions wins. Mccaffery had 4 rec @ half. 0 2nd. ..205 passing yds. But they are up so much no passing. It should have won. If rams were just close damnit. I swear. Throw a long td...lol
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Well sf won't throw anymore. Hope u bet them str up. Over 20.5 TT. over completions wins. Mccaffery had 4 rec @ half. 0 2nd. ..205 passing yds. But they are up so much no passing. It should have won. If rams were just close damnit. I swear. Throw a long td...lol
I forgot… you were gonna have a good week…. After last week…. Dang it … I will prob forget… that I forgot…. By tomorrow…. I’m gonna tail ya this week…. I think…… ha…. I played rams…. No specific reason…. Didn’t watch a play …but the stats at halftime spoke volumes …. After the game we find out McVay is going to do a better job next time…. And this am we find out Garrett had zero tackles… and claims to be injured….. ..it’s not easy being declared the champions… before the season…. Note to self…. Tail Rum this week…. Good start. Get em rum.
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I forgot… you were gonna have a good week…. After last week…. Dang it … I will prob forget… that I forgot…. By tomorrow…. I’m gonna tail ya this week…. I think…… ha…. I played rams…. No specific reason…. Didn’t watch a play …but the stats at halftime spoke volumes …. After the game we find out McVay is going to do a better job next time…. And this am we find out Garrett had zero tackles… and claims to be injured….. ..it’s not easy being declared the champions… before the season…. Note to self…. Tail Rum this week…. Good start. Get em rum.
always be careful tailing anyone.....all ill say is i had some good thoughts last night, got very lucky to cover Mccaffery over 4.5 but then you could also say that should have covered earlier with 4 at half.....over 21 completions was a good thought, he had 17 at half....team total was a good thought it hit early enough with no stress....the yardage maybe should have hit but they had their last 2 drives with almost all runs being up 20, he had 141 at half, and san fran + the points ...just happy to have won monday wed ad thursday in FB ....gl
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@Mskeets
always be careful tailing anyone.....all ill say is i had some good thoughts last night, got very lucky to cover Mccaffery over 4.5 but then you could also say that should have covered earlier with 4 at half.....over 21 completions was a good thought, he had 17 at half....team total was a good thought it hit early enough with no stress....the yardage maybe should have hit but they had their last 2 drives with almost all runs being up 20, he had 141 at half, and san fran + the points ...just happy to have won monday wed ad thursday in FB ....gl
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