NBA PLAYOFF TIME .................................................2024

Game 3 .....................

Celtics -8 over Cavs --- 1.1 units

get this now looks like line going up. Could of had -7 last night and -7.5 this morning. I see some -8 juiced and -8.5 out there.

OKC to win the series over Mavs +110 --- 1 unit to win 1.1 units

@theclaw

 You did great job yesterday BOL 

So far in Wolves/Nuggets game, Wolves have 3 players combined for 14 of 27 on 3's over 50%, not sustainable, of course they look very good when they shoot like this.

While Nuggets Joker and Murray combined to shoot 4 of 18,  when this reverses, things will take a much different look in this series.

I still look for Wolves to win the series, but I doubt a sweep is going to happen. Nuggets likely get 2 wins. I think Wolves 4-2.

OKC -3 (-112) over Mavs --- 1.12 units

game 3

@sportschat

Nuggets rolling 1st half

@theclaw

 Let’s Nuggets!!! 

@theclaw

 OKC +3 or Mavs -3? … thanks for the nice little run! You had OKC -3

@theclaw

 Okc +3? 

MY LINES .........................................game 3's

game 3's with series tied 1-1 we don't use my lines, instead we back the team to win we believe will win series

Celtcs-3.68 over Cavs

OKC -1.4 over Mavs

Celtics with all the common denominators of past champs VS a team without should win the series a high % of time. Generally these teams win by 8 pts or more, 8-12 being pretty common on the road game 3 with series tied 1-1. Although my line favors Cavs we back the Celtics today. Play is on Celtics.

OKC does not have the common denominators of past champs as they are weak in rebounding but what they do qualify in is shooting efficiency margin and they are one of the best in history. Teams like this fit a group unto themselves and the only teams that beat these teams are those with all the common denominators which is not Mavs. Mavs may be improved by not by enough to belong in the elite group.

I think Mavs are overrated and OKC should be a small favorite but because being young they are instead small dogs. I see OKC winning SU today. Play is on OKC.

PENDING PLAYS ...............................game 3

Celtics -8 over Cavs --- 1.1 units

OKC +3 (-1.12) over Mavs --- 1.12 units

OKC to win series over Mavs +110 --- 1 unit

2-0, won 1.72 units

playoffs --- 10-6-1, won 6.67 units

hey we are back on the winning side. Currently on a 9-0-1 run, won 13.32 units, including winning 3 straight dogs on the ML.

hopefully we at least go 1-1 with a good shot at 2-0.

Congratulations on a terrific postseason so far.

Good luck.

@theclaw

 Okc lost by 4?

Bummer, they were right there but fell short. They had that last possession with a good chance to cover but took a bad shot, didn't come close. I'll back them again.

thank you ....................

what do you have for us any Querys on these upcoming games ?

@theclaw

 Yup that was sucky man. Too close

1-1 , lost .12 units

Mavs played very well, can't feel to bad as so did OKC but they were just short at the end. We have some possible strong plays coming later in the series depending on how things go.

Celtics got it done but damn they let Cavs back in and they cut it under 10, that would of been brutal to not cover that game with Celtics clearly in control.

The game pretty much fell right near the common margin I pointed out in this spot of 8-12 PT margin. This is a good spot and the only time I would consider to play a margin of victory prop but you might have to make 2 plays to cover those margins then it becomes not good as you automatically lose 1 play. You can't win both but you can lose both, never make a play like this unless you are getting very large odds.. 

MY LINES ............................................

Pacers -3.27 over Knicks

Twolves -5.85 over Nuggets

Pacers off 2 ATS losses with Knicks off 2 ATS wins, favors the Pacers a small amount as does the fact that these 2 teams are pretty evenly matched according to my PR's  which means it should not be a short series, Pacers should get the SU win and when teams win in playoffs they tend to cover more then not.

But with my lines clearly on the Knicks I pass on this game.

Twolves off their very first SU loss and ATS loss in playoffs. My lines clearly on the Twolves but with Twolves finally off a regression loss these teams tend to lose a 2cd time either the next game after the 1st loss or 2 games later.

And with both teams having the common denominators of champions these series tend to go longer as these type teams are tough to knock out. 

I could see either team being the right play so I Pass. Again much like the Pacers game I see some bigger better spots coming down the road if things play out the right way to get them.

Let's be patient and wait for the better opportunities.

MY LINES ........................................ GAME 4

Celtics -3.68 over Cavs

OKC -1.4  over  Mavs

My line clearly on the Cavs and with Celtics off a regression fade 2 games ago these teams do fail to cover 2 of the next 3 games many times. Play is on the Cavs

If the Mavs are going to win the series, they need to hold home court tonight. That is the most common way road teams win the series. I think OKC wins the series so they need to win game 4. My line does favor OKC but we could make a case Mavs have improved and the line is pretty close to what it should be. Either way the Play is on OKC.

Cavs +9 over Celtics --- 1.1 units

OKC +1.5 over Mave --- 1.1 units