NCAA week 10

Quote Originally Posted by K1NG_BAMA:

Simply amazing the time and effort you put into this each week.. I can't tell you how much we all appreciate you.. 

Love the Arkansas pick and the NCst. I also love the under in Arky / Ole Miss game.. Should be good for a parlay if anyone is interested, cause if the plan works out for Arky and they cover, it's because they choked that clock like they did vs A&M.. Also, the numbers are kinda skewed between Ole Miss pass offense and Arky pass defense.. Ole miss had a terrible time running the ball this year, then they had a few good games when Tunsil came back, so they had been throwing the ball a lot more than normal. And Arky has a pretty dang good run defense, so teams were going to the air against them to move it, but their red zone defense is stout..! The thing I like about this game, is Freeze thinks he's found a run game and it's a safer way to win games than throw it 100 times, that's why their totals are in the 20's now.. And Arky will definitely keep it on the ground and P/A pass to move the chains.. Both teams have pretty dang good DL's and can force FGs in the red zone.. This points to a close, low scoring game... Arky + Under for me 

thanks a lot. appreciate it !  like your take on the under especially the ole miss trend of more running makes a lot of sense to do that - and keep that D fresh. GL this wk

THREAD SUMMARY

picks (should have a couple more)

NC St -2 (would play up to -3; half size at -3.5 or -4 max)

Arkansas +11 (would play down to 10)

ORDER of appearance for write-ups

NC State / BC (post 38)

Arkanasas / Ole Miss (post 55)

Tuesday - NIU / Toledo (post 65)

Wednesday - BG / Ohio (post 66)

Thursday - Buffalo / Kent (post 72) ; W Mich / Ball (post 88)

Thursday - Baylor / K St (post 92) ; App St / Ark St (post 98)

Thursday - Mizz / Miss St (post 99) / Fresno / Nevada (post 111)

Friday - UTEP/Rice (post 125) Temple/SMU (post 126)

Friday - BYU / SJ St (post 134)

Big 10 - Mich / Rutgers (post 159) Ohio St / Minn (post 160)

Request line - FIU / Charlotte (post 170)

Big 10 - Mich St / Neb (188) Wisc / Mary (193) Penn / NW (195)

Big 10 - Purdue / Illinois (197) Iowa / Indiana (199)

NEXT UP - SECand REQUEST LINE

THREAD SUMMARY

picks (should have a couple more)

NC St -2 (would play up to -3; half size at -3.5 or -4 max)

Arkansas +11 (would play down to 10)

ORDER of appearance for write-ups

NC State / BC (post 38)

Arkanasas / Ole Miss (post 55)

Tuesday - NIU / Toledo (post 65)

Wednesday - BG / Ohio (post 66)

Thursday - Buffalo / Kent (post 72) ; W Mich / Ball (post 88)

Thursday - Baylor / K St (post 92) ; App St / Ark St (post 98)

Thursday - Mizz / Miss St (post 99) / Fresno / Nevada (post 111)

Friday - UTEP/Rice (post 125) Temple/SMU (post 126)

Friday - BYU / SJ St (post 134)

Big 10 - Mich / Rutgers (post 159) Ohio St / Minn (post 160)

Request line - FIU / Charlotte (post 170)

Big 10 - Mich St / Neb (188) Wisc / Mary (193) Penn / NW (195)

Big 10 - Purdue / Illinois (197) Iowa / Indiana (199)

NEXT UP - SECand REQUEST LINE

MEGA-

I have been following you the past 3 weeks and really appreciate everything you do! I have followed many people over the years and no one does it better than you. I look forward to reading your write ups everyday. Thanks for all you do and keep up the great work!!!!!! BOL this week 

next play

Kentucky / Georgia under 58.5

Apparently we are gonna get sucked into this one - there was serious MOB STEAM on this bad boy cranking it up from the 55 area. We will bite.

Megalocks 428573489 star STAT of the WEEK - only $9000 to call our hotline and get a recorded message of the stat - or read it right here right now.....Georgia has gone 28 DRIVES without a TD. ..................Now we know they are playing Kentucky who's D is just awful but Georgia offense is a bit of a mess...QB situation ? Well it is listed as Bauta OR Lambert....Either way - they have not had much productivity in the passing game - and with Chubb out and Michel playing with a broken hand - and one WR that scares you.....Hard to see Georgia going berserk....Their run game should work very well and keep the clock running.......Kentucky plays just their 3rd road game and with Boom Williams out this week - that is their most explosive weapon - Towles only has 9 TD passes all year and we do not see them hitting for many big plays.......This total just seems a bit rich we thought it should be closer to 52-53....It is an early start and rain is forecasted at 90%....Neither team playing well - Georgia hasn't scored a TD since the Astros were in first place.....Biggest worry is if Kentucky just lays down and Ga gets 45+ that would be bad for the total. Kentucky just had a team meeting - hopefully that means they play D like their hair is on fire for at least a quarter or two.

GL mega

Florida 21 Vandy (37)

Megalocks line 23

Sagarin 25

Hard to support anything other than Florida in this one - Their D is playing great and they can either score points or set their offense up in great position....Given that Vandy has been so anemic on offense - ranked #97 and both QBs appear to need a lot more work - probably gonna be a long day for them.....The added bonus is Florida #2 in turnover margin and Vandy #122 you just know Gators are going to get some easy points (HOT TAKE) .....Harris has not thrown an INT yet....The saving grace for Vandy is that their D has been playing fantastic and their are not going to give up much if the offense can stay out of its own way.....Florida may struggle to get into the 20s.

The one thing Vandy fans can do is stick it to Georgia fans. "We have not scored a TD on 25 straight drives but YOU guys have not scored a TD on 28 straight. Ha ! Suck it !"

Summary. No lean. Think there may be too many free points to go under a low number like 27. -21 is tempting but Vandy D vey goooooooo.

mega

dodgy

madden  thanks !

Spartans ....Sudfeld can indeed MATRICULATE

ilose

swissbeats - Sagarin is a stats guy who does power ratings for a bunch of sports - you can access on usatoday website or just google him....Our philosophy is when someone does number crunching that you cannot match - just tail it,......We then compare to our own hand crafted numbers and the pointspread. GL

kvngr  GL this wk bud

MWill - Cincy game on request line - will get to it tomorrow am

falcs  thx a lot ! GL welcome to the forum

vorvan

cskeete - agree Sooners over looks pretty good..........Wreck Em

Eyez - Cincy game up tomorrow

dane - thx for the intel

SCC - I am not playing the Ark St game at all - that last game for App St kinda freaked me out - I think 10 is about the right number now....It is a good matchup for Ark St but boy their QB does not look the same as last yr and they are kinda one dimensional....you are getting compensated with 10 pts tho.....I just have no clue at this number either way - sorry man - best of luck

THANKS. much appreciated

Quote Originally Posted by tideman:

I've not participated in forum much this season, but always try to log in long enough to read what Mega has to say.... great work as always buddy...best of luck  

thanks man ! class act Tideman