5 - 2on Double Ups/Correlative Plays +4.5 U ... waited on that Hawaii play all day....was a coinflip on whether I was taking -7.5 or UNDER but as the day went on and further look, I decided 2U Under was best especially when the 149 number came up....it wasn't even close! Save a bleeding Saturday again. If I don't piss around with TEASERS, I make money today
-$125 (0-5 $25 plays /Key lost in second set of plays)
-$75 (back up plays to cover 1st set of Teasers)
-$60 (only 2 of 5 for 1st set of Teasers)
-$32 (only 2 of 5 Teasers - late plays)
Total = -$292 loss (3 way teasers are not easy)
Hunch players must find this hard unless they are lucky? Some guys are great at matchup analysis but because shooters 2nd best - 7th best on a team are so fickle at times, NCAAB is more or less a crapshoot or selecting the best situations or doing data analysis like I do...
I still want to nail a formula to get more ML upsets...once I figure it out beside the system I have, it will be very lucrative
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
1
Today:
5 - 2on Double Ups/Correlative Plays +4.5 U ... waited on that Hawaii play all day....was a coinflip on whether I was taking -7.5 or UNDER but as the day went on and further look, I decided 2U Under was best especially when the 149 number came up....it wasn't even close! Save a bleeding Saturday again. If I don't piss around with TEASERS, I make money today
-$125 (0-5 $25 plays /Key lost in second set of plays)
-$75 (back up plays to cover 1st set of Teasers)
-$60 (only 2 of 5 for 1st set of Teasers)
-$32 (only 2 of 5 Teasers - late plays)
Total = -$292 loss (3 way teasers are not easy)
Hunch players must find this hard unless they are lucky? Some guys are great at matchup analysis but because shooters 2nd best - 7th best on a team are so fickle at times, NCAAB is more or less a crapshoot or selecting the best situations or doing data analysis like I do...
I still want to nail a formula to get more ML upsets...once I figure it out beside the system I have, it will be very lucrative
Play #1 - decent correlation for rank groups /strong spread correlation
USC -3.5 x HALF U
-Mazara is hurt and won't play for USC but he only contributed 20 min and 7 pts in a win over Indiana's homecourt which is super impressive
-this team started the season hot...hit a meh period and the east coast trip is been very successful so far....3rd game win in a row likely and hopefully with a cover
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Sunday:
Play #1 - decent correlation for rank groups /strong spread correlation
USC -3.5 x HALF U
-Mazara is hurt and won't play for USC but he only contributed 20 min and 7 pts in a win over Indiana's homecourt which is super impressive
-this team started the season hot...hit a meh period and the east coast trip is been very successful so far....3rd game win in a row likely and hopefully with a cover
- I don't think WVU matches up well vs this hot shooting team inside and outside....yes WVU has a strong defense but look what happens when they step up and play a Top 10 team like Houston?
-Texas Tech can handle good defense teams ....look at their game vs Duke/Houston ...and punch back!
-The total is rising because WVU will have to score more > 65 or more to have a chance and I do not see limits on Texas Tech to get 68 - 70 or more
-its a tight line but Correlation on rank groups is pretty good and the spread results with this number for TOP 20 teams is strong and make no mistake about it, TTECH is under the gun for position of a 3 or 4 seed now and they have to take care of business
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Play #2 - Texas Tech -4 x HALF U
- I don't think WVU matches up well vs this hot shooting team inside and outside....yes WVU has a strong defense but look what happens when they step up and play a Top 10 team like Houston?
-Texas Tech can handle good defense teams ....look at their game vs Duke/Houston ...and punch back!
-The total is rising because WVU will have to score more > 65 or more to have a chance and I do not see limits on Texas Tech to get 68 - 70 or more
-its a tight line but Correlation on rank groups is pretty good and the spread results with this number for TOP 20 teams is strong and make no mistake about it, TTECH is under the gun for position of a 3 or 4 seed now and they have to take care of business
- Michigan will have to go inside to make outside effective as the Buckeyes are damn good defense on the perimeter....no chance Michigan scores over 85 in my opinion ...... look at how OSU plays the top teams and the type of game they like....inside outside game with utilization of clock but THEY CAN PLAY AN UPTEMPO GAME ....and they shouldn't knowing Michigan is deadly in transition and open outside shooting so I expect them to get back on defense and not all collapse to the bucket on offense
Predicted score > 82 - 74 Michigan ....but I can also see OSU losing big if they are not finishing around the bucket as Michigan is a big team with very active rebounders and hands in the lane
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Play #3 - Michigan - Ohio St UNDER 160.5 x 2U
- I am expecting a rockfight inside!
- Michigan will have to go inside to make outside effective as the Buckeyes are damn good defense on the perimeter....no chance Michigan scores over 85 in my opinion ...... look at how OSU plays the top teams and the type of game they like....inside outside game with utilization of clock but THEY CAN PLAY AN UPTEMPO GAME ....and they shouldn't knowing Michigan is deadly in transition and open outside shooting so I expect them to get back on defense and not all collapse to the bucket on offense
Predicted score > 82 - 74 Michigan ....but I can also see OSU losing big if they are not finishing around the bucket as Michigan is a big team with very active rebounders and hands in the lane
Baseball starting up soon.... Jays - Dodgers 2.0 this year again.... Jays might be BETTER this year.....pitching I think will be and watch out for Francis if he makes it as a 5th starter ......the whole team benefitted from Bassitt and Scherzer showing them the way to pitch as a starter and as an effective reliever (in Bassitts case in the post season) and this will have ripple effects throught the pitching staff....as well as compete desire
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Quote Originally Posted by Fuse:
GL this week
Thanks Fuse How ya doin?
Baseball starting up soon.... Jays - Dodgers 2.0 this year again.... Jays might be BETTER this year.....pitching I think will be and watch out for Francis if he makes it as a 5th starter ......the whole team benefitted from Bassitt and Scherzer showing them the way to pitch as a starter and as an effective reliever (in Bassitts case in the post season) and this will have ripple effects throught the pitching staff....as well as compete desire
Name me an AL team that can do what the Jays do with their lineup and more (forget about outslugging the Jays if you cannot play defense vs their incredible bat control and craftiness/clutchness)??? Jays are a year older into prime for many of them, picked up a player who will easily and most likely duplicate or improve on Bo Bichette in Okamoto which is saying something.... but its the improvements in the pitching that I look forward to
"Kazuma Okamoto is an elite, power-hitting infielder from the NPB (Nippon Professional Baseball) who signed with the Toronto Blue Jays in 2026. Renowned for consistent 30+ home run power (41 in 2023), he combines a high 90% in-zone contact rate with a low 11.3% strikeout rate. As a multiple-time All-Star, he is expected to provide substantial, reliable offense. "
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Jays - Mets or Jays - Dodgers World Series!
Name me an AL team that can do what the Jays do with their lineup and more (forget about outslugging the Jays if you cannot play defense vs their incredible bat control and craftiness/clutchness)??? Jays are a year older into prime for many of them, picked up a player who will easily and most likely duplicate or improve on Bo Bichette in Okamoto which is saying something.... but its the improvements in the pitching that I look forward to
"Kazuma Okamoto is an elite, power-hitting infielder from the NPB (Nippon Professional Baseball) who signed with the Toronto Blue Jays in 2026. Renowned for consistent 30+ home run power (41 in 2023), he combines a high 90% in-zone contact rate with a low 11.3% strikeout rate. As a multiple-time All-Star, he is expected to provide substantial, reliable offense. "
-Iowa's defense travels well and seeing their icon at centre court will remind them of the style of play they incorporate at home which is a hardnosed defense giving little in the middle and asking you to shoot your way to a win on their court.....NW is not the team to do this
-this play comes down to how many pts I think NW can score > I give them 65 TOPs...and more likely will score 55
-Iowa is comfortable winning at home scoring 65-74 pts ....max NW with max IOWA score still goes under
Michigan game is starting to go like the rock fight I expected.....hoping it continues because that is MY DAY ....lose and I lose on the day but hopefully IOWA can claw back some cash for me or elevate my earnings today
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Play #4 - Iowa UNDER 139.5 x 1U
-Iowa's defense travels well and seeing their icon at centre court will remind them of the style of play they incorporate at home which is a hardnosed defense giving little in the middle and asking you to shoot your way to a win on their court.....NW is not the team to do this
-this play comes down to how many pts I think NW can score > I give them 65 TOPs...and more likely will score 55
-Iowa is comfortable winning at home scoring 65-74 pts ....max NW with max IOWA score still goes under
Michigan game is starting to go like the rock fight I expected.....hoping it continues because that is MY DAY ....lose and I lose on the day but hopefully IOWA can claw back some cash for me or elevate my earnings today
Guaranteed a winning day....how good will be determined....it could pay for my exotic bets yesterday which put me behind....my sides and TOTALS were a winning day otherwise
Seattle wins the Super Bowl by 11 pts ......or 6 pts ....I see a score of 24 -13 OR 31 - 25 in a more open game
- just look at the teams that the PATRIOTS played all season...Steelers and Bills were their toughest competition and only 1 game each with them.....Seahawks every other week played a Top 10 team
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Sunday:
Play #1 - USC -3.5 x HALF U
Play #2 - Texas Tech -4 x HALF U
Play #3 - Michigan - Ohio St UNDER 160.5 x 2U
Play #4 - Iowa UNDER 139.5 x 1U TBD
Guaranteed a winning day....how good will be determined....it could pay for my exotic bets yesterday which put me behind....my sides and TOTALS were a winning day otherwise
Seattle wins the Super Bowl by 11 pts ......or 6 pts ....I see a score of 24 -13 OR 31 - 25 in a more open game
- just look at the teams that the PATRIOTS played all season...Steelers and Bills were their toughest competition and only 1 game each with them.....Seahawks every other week played a Top 10 team
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