Self calls timeout....lets see how fast they shoot these next two possessions....clearly you can see the size and athleticism of STJ and they are deadly outside shooters but will start going inside because I see some Kansas defenders getting dragged around with Pitino movement
I'm holding the line.....Pitino's rebounding crew is much much better and I have to laugh at announcers sayiing pre-game the better athletes are with Kansas 
STJ got no respect all season...I have them Top 10 when UCONN was shredding everyone early (except Michigan of course) and ESPN and other Vegas making sites kept STJ in the 15-25 rank range even after going on a win run many times
Well, Vegas made them faves to suck in the KANSAS bettors as we can see....but let's see what happens the rest of the way as Kansas and Self may work themselves into a tight ballgame and I definitely love Self as a coach and strategizer in game
St.Johnies and under parlay cash!!!
Play #12 - $25 TOE in the water play ....same set up as STJ game (rank group play that is 22 - 12 now for the TOP 20 team), but this time we go OVER
UCONN -4.5 1.9 x UCONN Over 136.5 = pays +261
-notice I am shrinking my bets from the first one at 2.5U? << when you hit one like that paying well, you do that because 3 or 4 way parlays are a real risk and going forward you look for spots in your next set of plays and shrink your bets
-Also, UCLA playing well but this is the 6th-8th best BIG10 team ...probably the 1/1A best Conferences going up against he 1/1A best team in the Big East
-UCONN plays tight but UCLA has upped their output and style from a defensive team under Cronin to a TOURNEY gaining screen to pass inside or hit the open player on the arc team ....and their totals are increasing
-you will have to play UCONN this way because they are a very smart positional team
I have one team score 70-73 pts and the other 65-68 pts ....so I think the OVER is likely to hit
Its just an action play ...enjoy 
Iowa taking advantage of Florida.... shoot, I missed this one ....think about it....Which team is the BIGGEST sized and skilled team in all of college??? They play in the BIG 10 and Nebraska is big and skilled too in order to compete with them...and Iowa
MICHIGAN!!
Florida is big and skilled but Iowa is used to to playing teams like this and holding down their offenses....then some hot shooting is pushing them over the top here
Oh...I am no big fish player JSN ...older guy who loves to bet 4 sports and horses and win some here and there.....enough to sustain me and make some profits most of the time hitting higher than 55% recovery rate and staying away when cold
Looks like I am trending OVER and cover in that UCONN GAME but lots of time left to lose ...
9 - 6 +$732 (in Round #1-2) < to start today
Sunday Parlays:
Play #8 Purdue ML 1.3 
x Iowa St ML 1.47 x Florida ML 1.16 > pays +122 x 1.5U < NOPE!!
Play #9 Purdue ML 1.3 x Iowas St ML 1.47 x Arizona ML 1.12 > pays +114 x 1.5U < returns $321
Play #10 - Iowa St -5 x 1.5U 
< returns $135 profit
Exotic play
TEASER 5 pt HALF U > Kentucky +10 with Kansas/STJ Under 150.5 with Tennesse +4 with Alabama +4 
-$50
In-game UNDER PLAY on Iowa St > UNDER 146.5 x 1U <<< returns +$90 profit
Play #12 - $25 TOE in the water play ....UCONN -4.5 1.9 x UCONN Over 136.5 = pays +261
-$25
11 - 8 +$928 (in Round #1-2) ....total profit includes exotic wins/losses incorporated into total ....Florida loss was a $300+ cash back opportunity but looking forward to next set of lines
Round #3
Play #1 > Houston -2.5 x 2.25 U
-Houston gets to sleep in their own bed all week while Illinois travels into enemy territory
- you can bet the locals will do everything in their power to disrupt the visitors if you know where they are staying haha
- I rate Houston 1-2 pts better on neutral court and now this game is in Houston which will be a big boost for the Cougars...I really like Sharp's big game mentality and ice in his veins approach to shooting from anywhere and the dual point guard setup is ideal
-BIG10 is dominating the sweet 16 but both DUKE and HOUSTON are strong representatives of their conferences, not to mention Iowa St
I think this line will settle around -3 to -3.5 so I want it early
Teasers: - 5pt - HALF U each unless stated otherwise
-teams have roughly 5 days to prep and get stronger and amped up but more lethal with shooting practice....know some players will really take advantage of the focus time to prep themselves and what they need to do
-last year saw ever Sweet 16 game go OVER 140 except one game.... 2 games went OVER 180 and 3 OVER 160....
KEY: Iowa +7.5 with Duke -2 with:
-Iowa /Nebraska will be a war and they know each other well ...should be close within 5 pts like most of their games
-I like this STJ team a lot but asking them to play a lightning fast guard set and small forward group of Duke and win will take some incredible shooting ....yes DUKE is playing 'off' but they know they have to bring their A-game to a team that has destroyed UCONN once and beat them twice ...STJ lost to Iowa St and Alabama in Non-Conf fairly easily ....Duke plays to their potential, it will be hard to lose by 1-2 pts so that is why I am buying the teaser because I think VEGAS has made a lot of mistakes with the TOTALS
1. Over IWST 133.5
2. Over Houston 134.5
3. Over Purdue 144
4. Over Iowa 128.5
5. Houston +2.5 x 1U play
Oh I just mean you usually do 1/2 unit, or 1 and 2 unit plays, I thought maybe the vernacular for a play just to have some action could be a 1/4ths unit play. Bad joke on my part. Also the one time I go against you I lose, I thought Alabama would go over like their last game, but alas. At least I had their team over as a W to break even. Thanks a lot for all of your hard work Thirst, I'm all over Houston, have a great night.
Thanks
That 165 Total in Bama was fishy and I realize now...if I would have watched Bama without their arrested 3 pt shooter guard play..... I would have seen them not changing a thing and shooting even faster....I would have taken their side. I guess I could have watched them on Youtube but I don't need to play every game, that is when you become a degenerate and coinflipper for action
Last year Sweet 16 Results:
Thursday, March 27 (Sweet 16)
Friday, March 28 (Sweet 16)
I personally think if you are going to follow me on the HOUSTON play and bet big....1st bet of roughly half of what you want to commit should go on the MONEYLINE .....and THEN you take the number if you like it for 25% of your stack you want to commit. I see the ML is 1.66. I would also look at take some exotic bets to use with the rest of your bet allocation (20-25%) on winning margin 3-6 pts win for Houston probably at +500 roughly and Illinois to win by 1-2 pts at +1100 .....that gives you some nice extras to pad your stack
I am going to be playing the winning margin for sure that way but not the ML as I am picking them up already on a TEASER and can risk a little more due to my profit accumulation already
Michigan -10.5 ....I am seeing in Covers lines?? I don't see it yet in BET365
That is way too much....no Alabama will not be able to get off that many 3 pt shots vs this Michigan defense with who they use on the perimeter but that said, I think Michigan should have a field day vs a pretty soft defense when they face a strong offense
Maybe then, this number is about right? I can see a 92-77 type of score or 93-81 ...... I am pretty sure I won't be touching the total...its an in-game type of approach if you want to tackle that high number of 172.5
How is STL and Michigan only 161.5 and now its cranked up 11 more??? STL has a pace similar to Alabama so I am leaning UNDER here if the STL-Mich game only hit 167....remember, Alabama does show a 167 with Purdue, a 176 game with Illinois and a 171 game with Arizona ...so I can see why Vegas set it here !
My next game I focus on ..... Michigan St @ UCONN
I am very surprised the line is +2 for UCONN
-is it Hurley's resume?
-UCONN gasped to the finish of the season and was only meh during the Conference play
-Sparty was tight as a fiddle all the way after getting spanked by Wolverines at home ....and looked good in their last game vs them in Michigan
-BIG 10 is obviously a much much stronger conference but UCONN had a good non-Conference schedule and record.
***SPARTY is a more senior team and made the ELITE 8 last year and UCONN nowhere to be found****
I want this to go to +2.5 and I wil pounce, but just might take SPARTY ML because its the most logical.....this will be a tight game and I can see the TOTAL going over since there will be a high chance of OT in my opinion and both teams score in the high 60's or low 70's
Some moving totals....I took UNDER 167.5 and 168 for the Arizona/ARKY game ( Zona has a strong defense get to position quickly to prevent easy fast break pts) in parlays with a lot of different soccer combos such as Turkey and Turkey Over and Riestra UNDER 1.5 in Argentina soccer with ml plays in NCAAB
4 way parlays have been killer for me if I can find the right weekly combos and Riestra and Turkey are them
The other game I am intrigued to go under is Iowa Under 134.5 at one point and now 132.5
Riestra - San Lorenzo each have only had about 6-8 goals scored for/against in total after 11 games and here are the last 3 matchups between them.... UNDER 1.5 Goals is a nice gamble:
Head-to-head matches
Oct 31, 2025
LPF
San Lorenzo
Dep. Riestra
1
0
Apr 20, 2025
LPF
Dep. Riestra
San Lorenzo
0
0
May 12, 2024
LPF
Dep. Riestra
San Lorenzo
1
0
I will make a decision on how to play Sparty tomorrow....I am leaning to an in-game play on the total and ML before the game starts ...this line should spark a ton of betting as it features 2 of the 10 best 'royalty' NCAAB tourney teams in the last 20 yrs and so, public interest in betting will be large with it being a Friday night game!
I am making a move on the Houston - Illiinois TOTAL however.... OVER 140 x 1U
- do you realize that Illinois has a crazy record of going over 140 except for two games, against any team that is top 70?
-Houston is 10 - 4 Over 140 vs good offensive teams on the season and 4 - 1 on neutral court and realize this game is being played in their city but not on their home court I think....
-Illinois #5 FT shooting and Houston #25 so if game is within reach, foul shooting should push it over
-Illinois and Houston have had 4 OT games combined this season
Just had a real good argument with a friend via text....
He is taking Nebraska ML as his play of the day.
My response to him was, why take the team that only beat the 3rd or 4th best team in the SEC when you can take the ML team paying close to 2 to 1 who just upset a #1 seed and the #1 team in the SEC
i am doing some parlays right now...
GL
Excellent defensive scheming by Illini coach not letting Duran or Sharp get a shot off from the arc and they are forced to pass off while the other 3 Cougars are not hitting shots
I say they take it to the hoop a little more.....they should open up some spots out on the arc
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