UFC 327 makes its way to Miami tonight, with Jiří Procházka and Carlos Ulberg taking center stage at Kaseya Center.
Our UFC betting team has broken down every main-card fight with expert UFC 327 predictions, picks, and top plays.
UFC 327 best bets
Jiří Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg
Rohit PonnaiyaBest bet: Prochazka by KO/TKO
+140 at BET99
If this fight goes the distance, it favors the more technical Carlos Ulberg. Jiří Prochazka needs to make this messy and end it inside the distance, and he has the tools and power to do just that.
Jiri is a finisher with 13 of his last 14 wins coming by knockout. If you're betting on Prochazka, it makes sense to back him to win by KO/TKO at a better price.
Read Rohit's full Jiří Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg predictions.
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Azamat Murzakanov vs. Paulo Costa
Rohit PonnaiyaBest bet: Murzakanov by KO/TKO
+180 at BET99
Costa's forward pressure makes him vulnerable against precise counter strikers like Murzakanov.
The Brazilian was starched by Israel Adesanya when he challenged for the belt in 2020. He hasn't been knocked out since, but Costa faced a slew of opponents who don't have much power in their hands.
He was able to withstand shots from guys at 185 pounds, but Costa won’t be smiling and sticking his tongue out when Murzakanov lands on him. The Russian is one of the hardest hitters at light heavyweight, and seven of his last eight wins have come by KO/TKO.
Read Rohit's full Azamat Murzakanov vs. Paulo Costa predictions.
Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit
Danny HowardBest bet: Blaydes to win by decision
+190 at BET99
As brash as Hokit is, Blaydes is far from faded to the point where he’ll lose to a fighter taking a massive step up in class.
Hokit packs power but remains largely untested in the UFC, going up against a fighter whose only losses have come against the elite.
Blaydes will fall back on his superior wrestling, and Hokit won’t be able to push him when his gas tank runs out. Blaydes by decision is my best bet.
Read Danny's full Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit predictions.
Dominick Reyes vs. Johnny Walker
Danny HowardBest bet: Over 1.5 rounds
+150 at BET99
When two fighters with notoriously poor chins face off, they often hesitate to force the action and may fight more conservatively until an opening presents itself.
Reyes and Walker might feel each other out, keeping this an outside battle long enough to reach the second round.
Read Danny's full Dominick Reyes vs. Johnny Walker predictions.
Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr
Chris FariaBest bet: Under 2.5 rounds
-115 at BET99
Both guys are “company men” and more than willing to give fans what they want — and that’s a finish.
Swanson will have the higher finish potential through the first two rounds when he’s fast and fresh, but I could also see Landwehr’s pace and volume wearing on Swanson as they get into deep waters.
Read Chris's full Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr predictions.
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Our best UFC 327 parlay
+361 parlay
Rohit PonnaiyaGastelum vs Luque Fight to go the Distance - Yes
Gamrot vs Ribovics Fight to go the Distance - Yes
Reyes vs Walker Fight to go the Distance - No
Prochazka vs Ulberg Fight to go the Distance - No
Gastelum vs Luque Fight to go the Distance - Yes (-110)
Kelvin Gastelum is known for his granite jaw, but he also isn't much of a finisher himself. Eight of his last 10 fights went the distance, and the only two that didn't were submission losses. Given that he's a -300 favorite against Vicente Luque, that's unlikely to happen here.
Luque is on the backend of his career and has been gun-shy since suffering a brain hemorrhage against Geoff Neal in 2022. Expect another tentative performance from him at UFC 327.
Gamrot vs Ribovics Fight to go the Distance - Yes (-210)
Esteban Ribovics is a high-volume striker but has a tough time knocking out quality opponents. Five of his six fights in the UFC have gone the distance, with a bout against glass cannon Terrence McKinney the only one to end by stoppage.
Ribovics is also tough as nails and won't get finished easily, especially against a fighter like Mateusz Gamrot who relies on wrestling and control.
Six of Gamrot's last eight fights have gone the distance. The only exceptions were an injury win against Rafael Fiziev and a loss to the best submission artist in UFC history, Charles Oliveira.
Reyes vs Walker Fight to go the Distance - No (-380)
Both of these light heavyweights are dangerous strikers with glass chins. Dominick Reyes' last seven fights have ended inside of two rounds. Meanwhile, 12 of Johnny Walker's previous 15 bouts ended before the third round.
Walker has been turned into a meme with how many times he's been slept like a cartoon character. That said, he's still capable of catching an opponent as he did in his last fight, and Reyes has been badly knocked out in his last four defeats.
Prochazka vs Ulberg Fight to go the Distance - No (-340)
Six of Carlos Ulberg's last eight fights ended by stoppage. He has had recent decisions against Jan Blachowicz and Volkan Oezdemir, but those guys are also counter-strikers, which led to highly technical fights.
The hyper-aggressive Jiri Prochazka is the complete opposite. He fights with relentless pressure from the opening bell and wants to go out on his shield. His last 16 fights (including all of his bouts in the promotion) have ended inside the distance.
He'll either take off Ulberg's head with a wild combo, or he'll be caught by a crisp counter himself.
Read a full analysis of Rohit's UFC 327 parlay picks.
