Davey Grant vs Elijah Smith Prediction, Picks & Odds: Nov. 7

Danny Howard - Contributor at Covers.com
Danny Howard • Betting Analyst 21+ years betting experience
Updated: Nov 6, 2026 , 11:40 AM ET • 4 min read

Grant strikes for points. Smith strikes for damage. That's going to be the difference.

Davey Grant vs. Elijah Smith UFC Fight Night
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Davey Grant vs. Elijah Smith UFC Fight Night

Davey Grant vs. Elijah Smith is an intriguing bantamweight crossroads fight on Saturday's UFC Fight Night card at Meta APEX in Las Vegas.

The 40-year-old Grant looks to turn back another rising prospect against Smith, whose explosive striking and developing grappling have made him a fighter to watch.

Check out the latest UFC odds and free betting picks for Saturday's bantamweight showdown.

Davey Grant vs Elijah Smith predictions for UFC Fight Night

Pick Kalshi
Probability
Who will win: Smith 74%

Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.

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Who will win Davey Grant vs Elijah Smith: Smith

Davey Grant vs Elijah Smith
Nov. 7 • UFC Fight Night
Moneyline
Smith (74%)
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Smith is my pick. Grant remains a tough, high-volume striker, but at 40, he's facing a younger, faster, and considerably more explosive opponent.

Smith also has the wrestling and submission skills to exploit Grant's defensive shortcomings on the ground. Grant has survived plenty of difficult fights, but I don't see him keeping Smith on the outside for three rounds.

I expect Smith to close the distance, land the more damaging shots, and eventually overwhelm the veteran.

Davey Grant vs Elijah Smith odds

Kalshi
Method of Victory Davey Grant Elijah Smith
To win outright 26% 74%

Odds as of 11-6.

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Davey Grant vs Elijah Smith tale of the tape

Davey Grant   Elijah Smith
40 Age 24
5-foot-8 Height 5-foot-9
Bantamweight Weight Class Bantamweight
69 inches Reach 71 inches
18-8 Record 10-1
4 Wins by KO 5
9 Wins by submission 2

Smith holds modest physical advantages, standing an inch taller with two inches of additional reach, but the 16-year age difference is considerably more significant.

Grant brings substantially more experience and nine career submission victories compared to Smith's two.

However, Smith is the younger, more explosive fighter and has demonstrated the ability to finish opponents with both his striking and grappling. His athletic advantages should make this a difficult matchup for the veteran.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Danny Howard - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

After a decade of covering all things boxing, from recapping the sport’s biggest fights to sharing behind-the-scenes details of the sweet science, Danny found himself immersed in sports betting, focusing on the sports he knows best. As a boxing and MMA contributor with seasoned experience from growing up around each sport, he can uncover the nuances and intangibles that can make the difference between victory and defeat.

Danny’s work has been mentioned on ESPN and USA Today, and he was a featured guest on The Esportz Network podcast, where he shared his combat sports insights. He is also a published author, with his novel And Stay Down! Boxing’s Worst Comebacks available on Amazon.

Danny is always on the lookout for the best odds and props when it comes to fight night, with Draft Kings and BetMGM being his go-to sites. Danny’s approach to finding value in the theater of the unexpected hinges on the fighters' recent form, especially when considering props.

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