UFC 327 in Miami opens up its main card with a featherweight bout between a pair of veterans as 42-year-old Cub Swanson and 37-year-old Nate Landwehr go toe-to-toe.
Swanson (-120) barely holds the betting edge over Landwehr (-110) in the UFC odds, but “Killer” Cub will have the advantage in his retirement fight.
Keep reading for the full breakdown of my Swanson vs. Landwehr predictions and free betting picks for Saturday, April 11.
Swanson vs Landwehr fight prediction: Swanson moneyline (-120)
Cub Swanson is officially on his retirement tour, with the 42-year-old announcing that his UFC 327 bout against Nate Landwehr will be the last of his career.
Swanson will be the more polished, accurate striker with more experience against high-level competition, while Landwehr relies more on his toughness and cardio.
Although Landwehr can tilt the scales in his favor if he can turn this one into an all-out dogfight, Swanson has the experience to avoid that.
“Killer” Cub will have a significant striking advantage early on when fresh, and Landwehr is also extremely hittable.
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Swanson vs Landwehr best bet: Under 2.5 rounds (-115)
Both guys are “company men” and more than willing to give fans what they want — and that’s a finish.
Swanson will have the higher finish potential through the first two rounds when he’s fast and fresh, but I could also see Landwehr’s pace and volume wearing on Swanson as they get into deep waters.
COVERS INTEL: Landwehr’s last three fights ended by knockout (2 losses, 1 win), while five of Swanson’s last seven were finished via KO (3 wins, 2 losses).Cub Swanson vs Nate Landwehr odds
 |
||
|---|---|---|
| Method of Victory | Swanson | Landwehr |
| To win outright | -120 | -110 |
| To win by KO/TKO | +245 | +350 |
| To win by decision | +285 | +280 |
| To win by submission | +1900 | +850 |
| Total rounds | Over 2.5 -115 |
Under 2.5 -115 |
Odds as of 4-11.
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Cub Swanson vs Nate Landwehr tale of the tape
| Swanson | Landwehr | |
|---|---|---|
| 42 | Age | 37 |
| 5-foot-8 | Height | 5-foot-9 |
| Featherweight | Weight Class | Featherweight |
| 70 inches | Reach | 72 inches |
| 30-14 | Record | 18-7 |
| 14 | Wins by KO | 9 |
| 4 | Wins by submission | 2 |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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