Browns @ Lions Picks & Props

The model projects the Lions to run the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.9 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The 5th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Lions since the start of last season (a staggering 59.3 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Amon-Ra St. Brown has accrued a staggering 69.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 80th percentile among wide receivers.. Amon-Ra St. Brown's 87.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this year indicates a material boost in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 83.6% figure.

The model projects the Lions to run the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.9 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The 5th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Lions since the start of last season (a staggering 59.3 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. While Jahmyr Gibbs has accounted for 71.4% of his offense's red zone rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a less important option in Detroit's run game near the goal line this week at 43.4%.. Jahmyr Gibbs's 95.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this season marks a noteable improvement in his receiving ability over last season's 82.3% rate.

The model projects the Lions to run the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The 5th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Lions since the start of last season (a staggering 59.3 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. The model projects Sam LaPorta to be a much bigger part of his team's passing attack near the goal line in this contest (19.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (14.3% in games he has played).. When it comes to air yards, Sam LaPorta ranks in the lofty 92nd percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, accumulating a colossal 39.0 per game.

At a -10-point disadvantage, the Browns are heavy underdogs this week, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their typical game plan.. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 67.2% of their downs: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. The most plays in football have been called by the Browns since the start of last season (a massive 62.2 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. Opposing QBs have averaged 34.5 pass attempts per game versus the Lions defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the league.

At a -10-point disadvantage, the Browns are heavy underdogs this week, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their typical game plan.. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 67.2% of their downs: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. The most plays in football have been called by the Browns since the start of last season (a massive 62.2 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. Opposing QBs have averaged 34.5 pass attempts per game versus the Lions defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the league.

The model projects the Lions to run the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The 5th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Lions since the start of last season (a staggering 59.3 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Jared Goff's throwing accuracy has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 72.0% to 80.6%.. With an impressive rate of 1.75 per game (92nd percentile), Jared Goff ranks among the best touchdown throwers in the NFL this year.

The model projects the Browns to run the 10th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. David Njoku's 33.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 48.6.. David Njoku's receiving performance has worsened this year, totaling a mere 3.0 adjusted catches vs 5.9 last year.. David Njoku's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 72.6% to 69.6%.. The Detroit Lions pass defense has conceded the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (69.3%) to TEs since the start of last season (69.3%).

The model projects the Lions to run the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.9 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The 5th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Lions since the start of last season (a staggering 59.3 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. The projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to notch 5.7 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 98th percentile among RBs.. Jahmyr Gibbs's 4.5 adjusted receptions per game this year indicates a meaningful boost in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 3.1 figure.

The model projects the Browns to run the 10th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. Jerry Jeudy has been a less important option in his offense's passing game this year (18.6% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (23.6%).. Jerry Jeudy's 2.5 adjusted receptions per game this season shows a meaningful reduction in his receiving prowess over last season's 5.3 mark.. Jerry Jeudy's 48.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this season signifies a noteable diminishment in his receiving prowess over last season's 63.9% figure.. The Detroit Lions pass defense has conceded the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (63.5%) versus wideouts since the start of last season (63.5%).

The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions offensive blueprint to tilt 1.1% more towards the ground game than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator John Morton now calling the plays.. This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Lions, who are a huge favorite by 10 points.. The projections expect the Detroit Lions as the 8th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Opposing teams have averaged 29.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: 2nd-fewest in football.. The Cleveland Browns pass defense has yielded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (68.1%) to tight ends since the start of last season (68.1%).

The model projects the Lions to run the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The 5th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Lions since the start of last season (a staggering 59.3 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. In this game, Amon-Ra St. Brown is forecasted by the projections to land in the 90th percentile among WRs with 8.5 targets.. Amon-Ra St. Brown has been a big part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 27.0% since the start of last season, which places him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

At a -10-point disadvantage, the Browns are heavy underdogs this week, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their typical game plan.. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 67.2% of their downs: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. The most plays in football have been called by the Browns since the start of last season (a massive 62.2 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. Opposing QBs have averaged 34.5 pass attempts per game versus the Lions defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the league.

The model projects the Browns to run the 10th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. Joe Flacco's 60.8% Adjusted Completion% this season marks an impressive regression in his passing accuracy over last season's 64.4% mark.. Joe Flacco has been among the weakest touchdown throwers in the NFL this year, averaging a terrible 0.50 per game while ranking in the 11th percentile.. Since the start of last season, the strong Lions defense has given up a meager 67.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 4th-smallest rate in the NFL.. The Lions defense has given up the 4th-fewest TDs through the air in football: 1.25 per game since the start of last season.

The model projects the Lions to run the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The 5th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Lions since the start of last season (a staggering 59.3 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Jared Goff's throwing accuracy has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 72.0% to 80.6%.. With an impressive rate of 1.75 per game (92nd percentile), Jared Goff ranks among the best touchdown throwers in the NFL this year.

The model projects the Browns to run the 10th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. Joe Flacco's 60.8% Adjusted Completion% this season marks an impressive regression in his passing accuracy over last season's 64.4% mark.. Since the start of last season, the strong Lions defense has given up a meager 67.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 4th-smallest rate in the NFL.

The model projects the Lions to run the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.9 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The 5th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Lions since the start of last season (a staggering 59.3 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Jared Goff's throwing accuracy has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 72.0% to 80.6%.

At a -10-point disadvantage, the Browns are heavy underdogs this week, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their typical game plan.. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 67.2% of their downs: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. The most plays in football have been called by the Browns since the start of last season (a massive 62.2 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. Opposing QBs have averaged 34.5 pass attempts per game versus the Lions defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the league.

The model projects the Lions to run the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.9 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The 5th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Lions since the start of last season (a staggering 59.3 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The model projects the Lions to run the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.9 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The 5th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Lions since the start of last season (a staggering 59.3 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Jared Goff's throwing accuracy has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 72.0% to 80.6%.. With a remarkable 8.18 adjusted yards-per-target (84th percentile) this year, Jared Goff ranks among the most efficient QBs in the NFL.

At a -10-point disadvantage, the Browns are heavy underdogs this week, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their typical game plan.. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 67.2% of their downs: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. The most plays in football have been called by the Browns since the start of last season (a massive 62.2 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. Opposing QBs have averaged 34.5 pass attempts per game versus the Lions defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the league.

The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions offensive blueprint to tilt 1.1% more towards the ground game than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator John Morton now calling the plays.. This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Lions, who are a huge favorite by 10 points.. The projections expect the Detroit Lions as the 8th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Opposing teams have averaged 29.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: 2nd-fewest in football.. When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Cleveland's collection of safeties has been excellent since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

At a -10-point disadvantage, the Browns are heavy underdogs this week, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their typical game plan.. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 67.2% of their downs: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. The most plays in football have been called by the Browns since the start of last season (a massive 62.2 per game on average).. Opposing QBs have averaged 34.5 pass attempts per game versus the Lions defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the league.. In tallying a colossal 0.96 interceptions per game this year, Joe Flacco rates among the worst quarterbacks in football (22nd percentile).

The model projects the Lions to run the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.9 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The 5th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Lions since the start of last season (a staggering 59.3 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. In this game, Amon-Ra St. Brown is forecasted by the projections to land in the 90th percentile among WRs with 8.5 targets.. Amon-Ra St. Brown has been a big part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 27.0% since the start of last season, which places him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

The model projects the Lions to run the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.9 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The 5th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Lions since the start of last season (a staggering 59.3 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. With a sizeable 79.9% Route Participation Rate (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Sam LaPorta has been as one of the tight ends with the highest volume in the NFL.. This week, Sam LaPorta is projected by the projection model to land in the 86th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.6 targets.

The model projects the Lions to run the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.9 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The 5th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Lions since the start of last season (a staggering 59.3 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. The projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to notch 5.7 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 98th percentile among RBs.. Jahmyr Gibbs rates in the 96th percentile among RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) with an astounding 20.2 figure since the start of last season.

At a -10-point disadvantage, the Browns are heavy underdogs this week, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their typical game plan.. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 67.2% of their downs: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. The most plays in football have been called by the Browns since the start of last season (a massive 62.2 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. Opposing QBs have averaged 34.5 pass attempts per game versus the Lions defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the league.

At a -10-point disadvantage, the Browns are heavy underdogs this week, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their typical game plan.. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 67.2% of their downs: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. The most plays in football have been called by the Browns since the start of last season (a massive 62.2 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. Opposing QBs have averaged 34.5 pass attempts per game versus the Lions defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the league.

The model projects the Browns to run the 10th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. David Njoku's 33.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 48.6.. David Njoku has put up many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (27.0) this season than he did last season (48.0).. David Njoku's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 72.6% to 69.6%.. David Njoku's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season conveys a noteworthy drop-off in his effectiveness in the open field over last season's 3.9% rate.

The most plays in football have been called by the Browns since the start of last season (a massive 62.2 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Cleveland's DE corps has been outstanding since the start of last season, ranking as the best in the league.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. In this week's game, Jared Goff is anticipated by the projections to total the 3rd-fewest carries among all quarterbacks with 1.8. . Jared Goff is not much of a rusher and has accounted for a lowly 5.3% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 23rd percentile among QBs.. As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Cleveland's DE corps has been outstanding since the start of last season, ranking as the best in the league.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Jahmyr Gibbs's 50.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year indicates a significant decrease in his rushing ability over last year's 87.0 rate.. Jahmyr Gibbs's 4.6 adjusted yards per carry this year represents a substantial decrease in his running talent over last year's 5.9 rate.. As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Cleveland's DE corps has been outstanding since the start of last season, ranking as the best in the league.

The most plays in football have been called by the Browns since the start of last season (a massive 62.2 per game on average).