Titans @ Texans Picks & Props

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Texans are expected by the projection model to run 65.4 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.. While C.J. Stroud has received 20.0% of his team's red zone run game usage in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much smaller part of Houston's rushing attack near the end zone in this week's contest at 12.6%.. The running TD column reads "0" on C.J. Stroud's stats page this year.. Since the start of last season, the shaky Tennessee Titans defense has yielded a massive 73.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 5th-biggest rate in the league.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Texans are expected by the projection model to run 65.4 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.. The Tennessee Titans defense has allowed the most receiving touchdowns in the NFL to running backs: 0.35 per game since the start of last season.

This week's line implies an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are huge -7-point underdogs.. The projections expect the Tennessee Titans as the 9th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 59.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have 129.2 plays on offense called: the 5th-most among all games this week.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.. The projections expect Chig Okonkwo to be a more important option in his team's passing game near the goal line in this week's game (14.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Texans are expected by the projection model to run 65.4 total plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.. Nico Collins has accumulated a monstrous 101.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 97th percentile among WRs.. Nico Collins's 67.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in the league: 94th percentile for wideouts.. Nico Collins grades out in the 93rd percentile among WRs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a remarkable 0.50 per game.

This week's line implies an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are huge -7-point underdogs.. The projections expect the Tennessee Titans as the 9th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 59.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have 129.2 plays on offense called: the 5th-most among all games this week.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.. While Calvin Ridley has received 10.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more integral piece of Tennessee's passing offense near the goal line in this week's contest at 18.7%.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Texans are expected by the projection model to run 65.4 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.. With an exceptional 10.5% Red Zone Target Rate (75th percentile) since the start of last season, Dalton Schultz stands as one of the TEs with the highest volume near the end zone in football.. When talking about air yards, Dalton Schultz ranks in the towering 92nd percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, accumulating a superb 39.0 per game.. Dalton Schultz's 34.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 84th percentile for tight ends.

This week's line implies an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are huge -7-point underdogs.. The projections expect the Tennessee Titans as the 9th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 59.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have 129.2 plays on offense called: the 5th-most among all games this week.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.. The model projects Tony Pollard to be a more important option in his team's passing offense near the end zone in this week's contest (7.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).

This week's line implies an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are huge -7-point underdogs.. The projections expect the Tennessee Titans as the 9th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 59.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have 129.2 plays on offense called: the 5th-most among all games this week.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.. The Texans defense has given up the 4th-most touchdowns through the air in the NFL: 1.70 per game since the start of last season.

The Titans offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.. Calvin Ridley's receiving performance has tailed off this year, accumulating a measly 1.9 adjusted catches compared to 3.7 last year.. Calvin Ridley's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 56.4% to 37.6%.. The Houston Texans pass defense has given up the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (58.8%) to WRs since the start of last season (58.8%).

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Texans are expected by the projection model to run 65.4 total plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.. Our trusted projections expect Nico Collins to accumulate 9.1 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. Nico Collins's 67.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in the league: 94th percentile for wideouts.. The Titans pass defense has given up the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (68.2%) vs. wideouts since the start of last season (68.2%).

This week's line implies an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are huge -7-point underdogs.. The projections expect the Tennessee Titans as the 9th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 59.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have 129.2 plays on offense called: the 5th-most among all games this week.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.. The model projects Chig Okonkwo to earn 6.0 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 90th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Texans are expected by the projection model to run 65.4 total plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.. With a high 77.3% Route Participation Rate (86th percentile) since the start of last season, Dalton Schultz ranks among the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the NFL.. In this week's game, Dalton Schultz is forecasted by the projections to find himself in the 80th percentile among TEs with 5.4 targets.. Dalton Schultz's 78.2% Adjusted Completion% this season signifies a material boost in his receiving skills over last season's 61.6% rate.

The Titans offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.. Tony Pollard's receiving talent has diminished this year, compiling a measly 0.7 adjusted receptions compared to 2.6 last year.. Tony Pollard's 58.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a substantial regression in his receiving prowess over last season's 74.3% mark.. The Houston Texans pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (78.5%) versus RBs since the start of last season (78.5%).

The Texans have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nick Caley, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 2.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).. This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Texans, who are heavily favored by 7 points.. The projections expect the Texans as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Tennessee Titans, totaling the fewest attempts in football (a mere 28.2 per game) since the start of last season.. C.J. Stroud has been one of the bottom touchdown throwers in football this year, averaging a paltry 0.50 per game while ranking in the 11th percentile.

This week's line implies an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are huge -7-point underdogs.. The projections expect the Tennessee Titans as the 9th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 59.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have 129.2 plays on offense called: the 5th-most among all games this week.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.. The Texans defense has given up the 4th-most touchdowns through the air in the NFL: 1.70 per game since the start of last season.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Texans are expected by the projection model to run 65.4 total plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.. Since the start of last season, the shaky Tennessee Titans defense has yielded a massive 73.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 5th-biggest rate in the league.

The Titans offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the lowest rate in football against the Texans defense since the start of last season (64.5% Adjusted Completion%).

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Texans are expected by the projection model to run 65.4 total plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.

This week's line implies an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are huge -7-point underdogs.. The projections expect the Tennessee Titans as the 9th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 59.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have 129.3 plays on offense called: the 5th-most among all games this week.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Texans are expected by the projection model to run 65.4 total plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.. Since the start of last season, the shaky Tennessee Titans defense has yielded a massive 73.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 5th-biggest rate in the league.

This week's line implies an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are huge -7-point underdogs.. The projections expect the Tennessee Titans as the 9th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 59.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have 129.2 plays on offense called: the 5th-most among all games this week.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.. The Houston Texans safeties rank as the 6th-worst group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

This week's line implies an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are huge -7-point underdogs.. The projections expect the Tennessee Titans as the 9th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 59.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have 129.3 plays on offense called: the 5th-most among all games this week.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.. The Houston Texans safeties rank as the 6th-worst group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

The Texans have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nick Caley, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 2.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).. This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Texans, who are heavily favored by 7 points.. The projections expect the Texans as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Tennessee Titans, totaling the fewest attempts in football (a mere 28.2 per game) since the start of last season.. The Texans offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all air attack metrics across the board.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Texans are expected by the projection model to run 65.4 total plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Texans are expected by the projection model to run 65.4 total plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.. Our trusted projections expect Nico Collins to accumulate 9.1 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. Nico Collins has accumulated a monstrous 101.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 97th percentile among WRs.. Nico Collins's 67.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in the league: 94th percentile for wideouts.

This week's line implies an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are huge -7-point underdogs.. The projections expect the Tennessee Titans as the 9th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 59.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have 129.2 plays on offense called: the 5th-most among all games this week.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.. The model projects Chig Okonkwo to earn 6.0 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 90th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Texans are expected by the projection model to run 65.4 total plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.. With a high 77.3% Route Participation Rate (86th percentile) since the start of last season, Dalton Schultz ranks among the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the NFL.. In this week's game, Dalton Schultz is forecasted by the projections to find himself in the 80th percentile among TEs with 5.4 targets.. When talking about air yards, Dalton Schultz ranks in the towering 92nd percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, accumulating a superb 39.0 per game.

The Titans offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.. Tony Pollard has posted quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (10.0) this season than he did last season (15.0).. Tony Pollard's 58.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a substantial regression in his receiving prowess over last season's 74.3% mark.. With a bad 5.02 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (22nd percentile) since the start of last season, Tony Pollard stands as one of the leading RB receiving threats in the league in the open field.. The Houston Texans pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (78.5%) versus RBs since the start of last season (78.5%).

The Titans offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.. Calvin Ridley's 26.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year indicates a noteworthy decrease in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 57.0 rate.. Calvin Ridley's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 56.4% to 37.6%.. Calvin Ridley's receiving efficiency has tailed off this year, notching a mere 5.23 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.51 figure last year.. The Houston Texans pass defense has given up the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (58.8%) to WRs since the start of last season (58.8%).

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have 129.2 plays on offense called: the 5th-most among all games this week.. The Houston Texans linebackers project as the 8th-worst LB corps in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

The Texans have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nick Caley, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 2.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).. This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Texans, who are heavily favored by 7 points.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to run on 44.5% of their chances: the 10th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. C.J. Stroud's 20.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season represents a noteable improvement in his rushing ability over last season's 14.0 figure.. Opposing teams have run for the 4th-most adjusted yards in the league (140 per game) against the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season.

The Texans have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nick Caley, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 2.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).. This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Texans, who are heavily favored by 7 points.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to run on 44.5% of their chances: the 10th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. Nick Chubb's rushing efficiency has gotten better this year, notching 4.01 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a measly 3.21 rate last year.. Opposing teams have run for the 4th-most adjusted yards in the league (140 per game) against the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have 129.2 plays on offense called: the 5th-most among all games this week.. The Houston Texans linebackers project as the 8th-worst LB corps in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have 129.2 plays on offense called: the 5th-most among all games this week.. Our trusted projections expect Tony Pollard to accrue 18.6 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile among RBs.. After making up 64.6% of his offense's run game usage last season, Tony Pollard has played a bigger part in the ground game this season, currently accounting for 77.3%.. The Houston Texans linebackers project as the 8th-worst LB corps in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

The Texans have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nick Caley, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 2.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).. This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Texans, who are heavily favored by 7 points.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to run on 44.5% of their chances: the 9th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Texans are expected by the projection model to run 65.2 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.. In this game, Nick Chubb is forecasted by the predictive model to position himself in the 82nd percentile among running backs with 15.5 rush attempts.

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have 129.2 plays on offense called: the 5th-most among all games this week.. Our trusted projections expect Tony Pollard to accrue 18.6 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile among RBs.. After making up 64.6% of his offense's run game usage last season, Tony Pollard has played a bigger part in the ground game this season, currently accounting for 77.3%.. The Houston Texans linebackers project as the 8th-worst LB corps in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.