Chiefs @ Raiders Picks & Props

The Kansas City Chiefs may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup quarterback Chris Oladokun. At the present time, the 4th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the end zone (61.5% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down. The predictive model expects Travis Kelce to be a more important option in his offense's passing game near the goal line in this game (22.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (13.2% in games he has played). The Kansas City O-line profiles as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

The Kansas City Chiefs may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup quarterback Chris Oladokun. At the present time, the 4th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the end zone (61.5% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down. While Marquise Brown has garnered 11.5% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in Kansas City's offense near the goal line in this game at 18.2%. The Kansas City O-line profiles as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

The Raiders will be rolling out backup quarterback Kenny Pickett in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. The Raiders are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Raiders to pass on 59.9% of their downs: the 8th-greatest rate on the slate this week. The model projects the Raiders to be the 8th-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 59.6% red zone pass rate. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.