Jaguars @ Colts Picks & Props

The Indianapolis Colts may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more rushes) given that they be starting backup quarterback Philip Rivers.. The Colts are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.. The model projects the Colts to be the 8th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 60.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.3 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: most in the NFL.

The Indianapolis Colts may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more rushes) given that they be starting backup quarterback Philip Rivers.. The Colts are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.. The model projects the Colts to be the 8th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 60.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.3 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: most in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 59.7% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense this year: 5th-most in the league.. As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Indianapolis's group of LBs has been awful this year, profiling as the worst in the league.

The Indianapolis Colts may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more rushes) given that they be starting backup quarterback Philip Rivers.. The Colts are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.. The model projects the Colts to be the 8th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 60.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.3 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: most in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 59.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense this year: 5th-most in the league.. Brenton Strange has been a key part of his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 13.8% this year, which puts him in the 75th percentile among tight ends.. After accruing 23.0 air yards per game last season, Brenton Strange has produced significantly more this season, now averaging 41.0 per game.

Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 59.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense this year: 5th-most in the league.. Travis Etienne has been a big part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 12.5% this year, which puts him in the 86th percentile among running backs.. With a terrific ratio of 0.35 per game through the air (99th percentile), Travis Etienne rates among the leading receiving TD-scorers in football when it comes to RBs this year.

The Indianapolis Colts may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more rushes) given that they be starting backup quarterback Philip Rivers.. The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.. The model projects the Colts to be the 8th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.3 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: most in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 59.7% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense this year: 5th-most in the league.. Trevor Lawrence has been among the top touchdown passers in the league this year, averaging an exceptional 1.53 per game while checking in at the 84th percentile.. As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Indianapolis's group of LBs has been awful this year, profiling as the worst in the league.

The Indianapolis Colts may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more rushes) given that they be starting backup quarterback Philip Rivers.. The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.. The model projects the Colts to be the 7th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.3 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: most in the NFL.

The Indianapolis Colts may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more rushes) given that they be starting backup quarterback Philip Rivers.. The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.. The model projects the Colts to be the 8th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.3 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: most in the NFL.. Michael Pittman checks in as one of the top pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging an impressive 4.4 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 90th percentile.

Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 59.7% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense this year: 5th-most in the league.. Brenton Strange has gone out for fewer passes this season (74.6% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (45.2%).. With a stellar 3.1 adjusted receptions per game (82nd percentile) this year, Brenton Strange rates among the best pass-game TEs in football.

The Indianapolis Colts may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more rushes) given that they be starting backup quarterback Philip Rivers.. The Colts are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.. The model projects the Colts to be the 8th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 60.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.3 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: most in the NFL.. Jonathan Taylor's 2.4 adjusted catches per game this season conveys a substantial boost in his pass-catching talent over last season's 1.2 rate.

The Indianapolis Colts may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more rushes) given that they be starting backup quarterback Philip Rivers.. The Colts are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.. The model projects the Colts to be the 8th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 60.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.3 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: most in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 59.7% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense this year: 5th-most in the league.. In this week's game, Jakobi Meyers is anticipated by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 91st percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.2 targets.. As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Indianapolis's group of LBs has been awful this year, profiling as the worst in the league.

Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 59.7% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense this year: 5th-most in the league.. The model projects Travis Etienne to total 4.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs.. With an extraordinary 9.7% Target Rate (82nd percentile) this year, Travis Etienne stands as one of the pass-catching RBs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 5th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 50.7% red zone pass rate.. The 6th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Indianapolis Colts this year (only 54.8 per game on average).. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 8th-lowest clip in the NFL vs. the Jaguars defense this year (67.7% Adjusted Completion%).. The Jaguars linebackers grade out as the 4th-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 59.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense this year: 5th-most in the league.. Trevor Lawrence has been among the top touchdown passers in the league this year, averaging an exceptional 1.53 per game while checking in at the 84th percentile.. As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Indianapolis's group of LBs has been awful this year, profiling as the worst in the league.

The Indianapolis Colts may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more rushes) given that they be starting backup quarterback Philip Rivers.. The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.. The model projects the Colts to be the 7th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.3 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: most in the NFL.

This week's line implies a running game script for the Jaguars, who are favored by 5.5 points.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Jaguars are projected by the model to call only 63.7 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-fewest among all teams this week.. Trevor Lawrence comes in as one of the least on-target passers in football this year with a 60.2% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 10th percentile.

The Indianapolis Colts may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more rushes) given that they be starting backup quarterback Philip Rivers.. The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.. The model projects the Colts to be the 7th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.3 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: most in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 59.7% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense this year: 5th-most in the league.

The Indianapolis Colts may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more rushes) given that they be starting backup quarterback Philip Rivers.. The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.. The model projects the Colts to be the 7th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.3 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: most in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 59.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense this year: 5th-most in the league.. With an outstanding rate of 211.0 adjusted passing yards per game (84th percentile), Trevor Lawrence stands as one of the best QBs in football this year.. This year, the shaky Indianapolis Colts defense has given up a massive 269.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing QBs: the most in the NFL.

This week's line implies a running game script for the Jaguars, who are favored by 5.5 points.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Jaguars are projected by the model to call only 63.7 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-fewest among all teams this week.. The Colts have intercepted 0.90 passes per game this year, grading out as the 7th-best defense in football by this standard.

The Indianapolis Colts may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more rushes) given that they be starting backup quarterback Philip Rivers.. The Colts are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.. The model projects the Colts to be the 8th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 60.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.3 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: most in the NFL.

The Indianapolis Colts may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more rushes) given that they be starting backup quarterback Philip Rivers.. The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.. The model projects the Colts to be the 7th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.3 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: most in the NFL.

The Indianapolis Colts may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more rushes) given that they be starting backup quarterback Philip Rivers.. The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.. The model projects the Colts to be the 8th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.3 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: most in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 59.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense this year: 5th-most in the league.. Brenton Strange has gone out for fewer passes this season (74.6% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (45.2%).. In this week's contest, Brenton Strange is predicted by the model to slot into the 86th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.8 targets.

The Indianapolis Colts may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more rushes) given that they be starting backup quarterback Philip Rivers.. The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.. The model projects the Colts to be the 7th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.3 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: most in the NFL.

The Indianapolis Colts may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more rushes) given that they be starting backup quarterback Philip Rivers.. The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.. The model projects the Colts to be the 7th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.3 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: most in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 59.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense this year: 5th-most in the league.. The model projects Travis Etienne to total 4.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs.. With an extraordinary 9.7% Target Rate (82nd percentile) this year, Travis Etienne stands as one of the pass-catching RBs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 59.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense this year: 5th-most in the league.. In this week's game, Jakobi Meyers is anticipated by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 90th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.1 targets.. This year, the feeble Colts defense has been torched for a whopping 177.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing WRs: the most in football.

The model projects Jonathan Taylor to accrue 21.4 rush attempts in this game, on balance, placing him in the 100th percentile among RBs.. Among all RBs, Jonathan Taylor ranks in the 100th percentile for carries this year, comprising 83.4% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.. With a remarkable total of 5.32 adjusted yards per carry (93rd percentile), Jonathan Taylor ranks among the top running backs in football this year.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to run on 40.7% of their plays: the 7th-lowest clip on the slate this week.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Jaguars are projected by the model to call only 63.7 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-fewest among all teams this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. This year, the poor Colts run defense has surrendered a massive 4.08 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's running game: the 28th-largest rate in football.

This week's line implies a running game script for the Jaguars, who are favored by 5.5 points.. After making up 10.3% of his offense's carries last season, Trevor Lawrence has played a bigger part in the ground game this season, currently taking on 16.7%.. Trevor Lawrence's 19.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season indicates a noteable improvement in his rushing proficiency over last season's 11.0 figure.. The Indianapolis defensive tackles rank as the 9th-worst unit in the league this year in regard to run defense.