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Player Team Brock Purdy 20+ rushing yards
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Best NFL Picks Today

Find the best NFL bets today - Oct. 19, 2026. Free expert and computer picks for every NFL game.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

21.86 @ 26.99

SF
SF logo
SF

Commanders vs 49ers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

21.86

+7.5 -110

o51.5 -109

+350

SF logo
SF
SF

26.99

-7.5 -105

u52.5 -115

-400

Washington Commanders image thumbnail WAS @ San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail SF Mon, Oct 19 • 8:15 PM ET
Rushing Yards
Brock Purdy logo Brock Purdy o19.5 Rushing Yards (-104)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Brock Purdy is 4-1 O/U on his rushing total this season and closed with a line of 25.5 yards last week. He's rushed for 29+ yards in all four Overs and projects for 29.4 yards on the ground Monday night, making 20+ yards at 44% the best +EV prop in this game. I'd buy it up to 54%. The Commanders are allowing 19.4 rushing yards per game to opposing QBs, the seventh-highest mark in the league. Jameis Winston (27 yards on a 2.5-yard total), Dak Prescott (26 yards on a 12.5-yard total), and Jalen Hurts (46 yards on a 30.5-yard total) all set season-high rushing marks against this defense, beating their closing rushing totals by an average of 17 yards. Purdy currently ranks sixth at his position in scramble yards and fifth in designed runs. 

Receiving Yards
Austin Ekeler logo Austin Ekeler o6.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 hours ago
Tom Oldfield logo
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst

The Commanders will be without Jacory Croskey-Merritt for this MNF showdown, and that should nudge Ekeler into a bigger role as the No.2 option alongside Rachaad White. Ekeler has hauled in a catch of 10+ yards in his last two games, and this prop is playable up to 55%.

View 21 Picks
Miami Dolphins image thumbnail MIA @ New York Jets image thumbnail NYJ Sun, Oct 25 • 1:00 PM ET
Total
Miami Dolphins image thumbnail New York Jets image thumbnail o38.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Jets come back to MetLife Stadium for an AFC East encounter with the Miami Dolphins. This will be just the third home game for Gang Green and the team could potentially have several starters back, including RB1 Breece Hall. Miami tightens some screws on offense coming off the bye week. New QB Malik Willis isn’t afraid to push the ball down field, sitting among the leaders in intended air yards. The Fins have run into some stiff competition, facing strong defenses in Minnesota, San Francisco, and Kansas City. As for their own defense, the Dolphins are dreadful, especially where it counts most. Miami has the second worst third down defense and ranked 29th in opponent success rate heading into their Week 6 bye.

View Pick
New York Giants image thumbnail NYG @ Houston Texans image thumbnail HOU Sun, Oct 25 • 1:00 PM ET
Spread
Houston Texans image thumbnail HOU -7.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Houston’s offense has looked strong since Week 1 and C.J. Stroud plays his best ball inside NRG Stadium. He and his suddenly stacked passing attack – now with 100% more Marvin Harrison Jr. – faces a struggling New York Giants defense. As for the G-Men’s offense, Jameis Winston/J.J. McCarthy were sacked five times in the loss to New Orleans. Neither QB makes great decisions under pressure, which is something they’ll feel a lot of in Houston. With DeMeco Ryans calling the shots for the stop unit again, the Texans are creating chaos. They have three takeaways in their two wins and this is perhaps the lowest level of QB competition this stellar secondary has played all season.

View Pick

For every matchup in an NFL season, our NFL computer produces selections for a variety of different betting angles. Our computer picks are based on a proprietary algorithm that values each team in the current week to produce moneyline, spread, and point total selections.

The table above, below the game picks, tracks our NFL computer's results over the last 100 games, outlining the record and profit for selections, based on $100 unit size. We track the profit based on both opening and closing lines for every matchup.

How to Use NFL Computer Picks

The easiest way to utilize our computer picks is to simply follow our selections for every matchup, what you'd call ailing the computer." But there are other ways to utilize our NFL computer picks, as well.

You can use our NFL computer as a jumping-off point to do more research into specific lines, cross-referencing with expert picks, which can be found above the selections for some matchups, recent NFL betting trends, and more.

As well, you can gauge the confidence of the matchup. The larger the projected score, the more confident the computer is in a specific pick.

Or, if you want to implement a system, betting only on underdogs, for example, you can look for matchups in which our computer likes the underdog to inform which picks you're going to hone in on for a given week.

We have these computer picks for every sport you're looking to wager on, as well:

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

Moneyline

NFL moneyline picks are the simplest way to get in on the NFL action. All you have to do is simply bet on which team you think will win the game.

For moneyline picks, the favorite is represented with a minus sign (-) in front of the odds, while the underdog has a plus (+). However, you don't get the same profit for picking an underdog compared to a favorite. If the favored team is -120, a $100 bet on them would pay out $80 in profit and $180 total, if they win the game. The underdog winning at +150 would pay out a $150 profit, $250 total.

We have a complete breakdown of how to read NFL moneyline odds for these NFL computer picks.

Spread

While moneyline picks are the simplest, picking NFL games against the spread is probably the most common wager for regular NFL bettors.

To bet an NFL spread, you wager on whether a team will win by a certain number of points or more or if they'll lose by fewer points than the spread. For example, if the spread is -6.5 for the New England Patriots, you would win the bet if they win the game by 7 points or more. Or if a team is +6.5, you're betting on if they'll win outright or lose by fewer than 6.5 points.

There is a correlation between moneyline odds and the spread, as books set these lines based on the same information.

You can read more about NFL spreads here.

Totals (Over/Under)

If you aren’t entirely sold on which NFL team will win or cover in an NFL game, you can still use our NFL computer picks to bet on the point total.

As opposed to taking a side, in total or Over/Under betting, you wager on whether both NFL teams will combine for a final score of more than (Over) or less than (Under) the total number of points set by oddsmakers.

The computer picks, and your handicapping of totals is more about how you think both teams will score points, not which team has the edge to win.

More NFL Picks & Betting Tools

Our NFL Computer Picks are a great way to place weekly football wagers, but you should also consider handicapping games yourself using some of our other tools. If you're looking to bet on long-term futures this football season, check out some of our other dedicated pages:

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NFL Free Picks FAQs

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