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Best NFL Picks Today

Find the best NFL bets today - Oct. 13, 2026. Free expert and computer picks for every NFL game.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

21.69 @ 21.48

DEN
DEN logo
DEN

Seahawks vs Broncos · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

21.69

-1.5 -135

o40.5 -105

-148

DEN logo
DEN
DEN

21.48

+1.5 +110

u41.0 -110

+135

Houston @ Jacksonville
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

21.39 @ 24.22

JAC
JAC logo
JAC

Texans vs Jaguars · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

21.39

+3.0 -120

o42.5 -110

+125

JAC logo
JAC
JAC

24.22

-3.0 +100

u42.5 -102

-144

Top Projection Trevor Lawrence o12.5 Rushing Yards (-130)
o12.5-113
Tennessee @ Indianapolis
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TEN logo
TEN
TEN

16.71 @ 26.52

IND
IND logo
IND

Titans vs Colts · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

TEN logo
TEN
TEN

16.71

+7.5 -125

o43.5 -113

+275

IND logo
IND
IND

26.52

-7.5 +100

u44.5 -118

-325

Top Projection Daniel Jones o5.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
o5.5-115
Carolina @ Philadelphia
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CAR logo
CAR
CAR

20.82 @ 22.46

PHI
PHI logo
PHI

Panthers vs Eagles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

CAR logo
CAR
CAR

20.82

+1.5 -115

o41.0 -112

+102

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

22.46

-1.5 +100

u41.5 -110

-115

Top Projection Darren Waller o26.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
o26.5-115
Pittsburgh @ Tampa Bay
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

20.22 @ 18.49

TB
TB logo
TB

Steelers vs Buccaneers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

20.22

+0.0 -137

o40.0 -112

-130

TB logo
TB
TB

18.49

+0.0 +112

u40.5 -113

+122

Baltimore @ Cleveland
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

22.57 @ 18.52

CLE
CLE logo
CLE

Ravens vs Browns · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

22.57

-4.5 -108

o40.5 -122

-225

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

18.52

+0.0 +180

u41.5 -108

+210

Top Projection Derrick Henry o79.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
o79.5-115
New Orleans @ N.Y. Giants
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NO logo
NO
NO

21.09 @ 20.95

NYG
NYG logo
NYG

Saints vs Giants · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

NO logo
NO
NO

21.09

-1.5 +105

o45.0 -110

-112

NYG logo
NYG
NYG

20.95

+1.5 -120

u45.5 -110

+100

Top Projection Tyler Shough u239.5 Passing Yards (-115)
u239.5-115
Chicago @ Atlanta
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHI logo
CHI
CHI

23.81 @ 26.50

ATL
ATL logo
ATL

Bears vs Falcons · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

CHI logo
CHI
CHI

23.81

-3.0 -115

o49.0 -110

-168

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

26.50

+3.0 +100

u49.5 -105

+150

N.Y. Jets @ New England
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NYJ logo
NYJ
NYJ

16.96 @ 25.28

NE
NE logo
NE

Jets vs Patriots · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

NYJ logo
NYJ
NYJ

16.96

+7.5 -115

o43.5 -108

+300

NE logo
NE
NE

25.28

-7.5 +100

u43.5 -105

-340

Top Projection Drake Maye o16.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
o16.5-115
Arizona @ L.A. Rams
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ARI logo
ARI
ARI

18.47 @ 31.68

LA
LA logo
LA

Cardinals vs Rams · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

ARI logo
ARI
ARI

18.47

+13.5 -115

o52.0 -110

+640

LA logo
LA
LA

31.68

-13.5 -105

u52.5 -110

-752

L.A. Chargers @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAC logo
LAC
LAC

18.67 @ 24.62

KC
KC logo
KC

Chargers vs Chiefs · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

LAC logo
LAC
LAC

18.67

+8.5 -114

o41.5 -110

+380

KC logo
KC
KC

24.62

-8.5 -102

u42.5 -107

-441

Top Projection Patrick Mahomes o11.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
o11.5-115
Buffalo @ Las Vegas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BUF logo
BUF
BUF

29.52 @ 24.77

LV
LV logo
LV

Bills vs Raiders · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

BUF logo
BUF
BUF

29.52

-4.5 -115

o53.0 -109

-235

LV logo
LV
LV

24.77

+4.5 -105

u53.5 -110

+205

Dallas @ Green Bay
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

DAL logo
DAL
DAL

25.46 @ 27.93

GB
GB logo
GB

Cowboys vs Packers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

DAL logo
DAL
DAL

25.46

+1.5 -110

o52.5 -110

+105

GB logo
GB
GB

27.93

-1.5 +100

u53.5 -113

-110

Top Projection Dak Prescott o10.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
o10.5-115
Washington @ San Francisco
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

21.87 @ 27.34

SF
SF logo
SF

Commanders vs 49ers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

21.87

+8.0 -116

o50.0 -114

+350

SF logo
SF
SF

27.34

-8.0 -104

u50.5 +100

-400

Top Projection Brock Purdy o17.5 Rushing Yards (-116)
o16.5-114
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail SEA @ Denver Broncos image thumbnail DEN Thu, Oct 15 • 8:15 PM ET
Anytime Touchdown
Bo Nix logo Bo Nix Score a Touchdown (Yes: +456)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Joe Osborne logo
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst

There's one big knock on this Seahawks defense in 2026 – their red zone defense. Through five games, Seattle ranks a surprising 26th in opponent red zone touchdown conversion percentage. While this will make J.K. Dobbins a popular play this week, Nix offers a much better payout and his red zone workload hasn't been far off. with seven red zone rushing attempts on the season for Nix, that's only four behind Dobbins. 

Passing Yards
Bo Nix logo Bo Nix u202.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Joe Osborne logo
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst

Seattle hasn’t allowed a 200-yard passer through five games, holding Brock Purdy to a season-low 189 last week. The Seahawks lead the NFL in yards per pass attempt allowed and are tied for the fewest completions of 20-plus yards surrendered. Denver has produced just 11 pass plays of 20+ yards which is one of the lowest marks in the league. With big plays hard to come by, I doubt Bo Nix burns us through the air.

View 15 Picks
Houston Texans image thumbnail HOU @ Jacksonville Jaguars image thumbnail JAC Sun, Oct 18 • 9:30 AM ET
Total
Houston Texans image thumbnail Jacksonville Jaguars image thumbnail u43.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Texans and Jaguars rank ninth and third in defensive DVOA and fifth and seventh in defensive success rate. Houston is also travelling to London for its third road game in four weeks, and I’m expecting the offense to have trouble with the uptick in class after facing the Dallas Cowboys and Tennessee Titans the past two weeks. Similarly, Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence will have his hands full against a Houston pass rush with 10 sacks across their past three games.

Passing Yards
C.J. Stroud logo
C.J. Stroud u255.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 240.1 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Houston Texans O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.. With a feeble 60.8% Adjusted Completion% (20th percentile) this year, C.J. Stroud rates as one of the least on-target QBs in the NFL.. This year, the strong Jacksonville Jaguars defense has yielded a mere 67.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 5th-smallest rate in the league.. When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Jacksonville's LB corps has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the league.
View 11 Picks
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail TEN @ Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail IND Sun, Oct 18 • 1:00 PM ET
Rushing Yards
Daniel Jones logo
Daniel Jones o5.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 12.53 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
With a 7-point advantage, the Colts are overwhelmingly favored in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.. The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The Tennessee Titans linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst unit in football this year in regard to run defense.
View Pick
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail CAR @ Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail PHI Sun, Oct 18 • 1:00 PM ET
Total
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail o41.5 (-111)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Shawn Krest logo
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

The Panthers are fifth in offensive yards per play and sixth in passing EPA. the Eagles are 22nd in defensive EPA, so look for Carolina's explosive offense to roll. The Eagles could get back Saquon Barkely and DeVonta Smith, so expect the low totals cutoff to rise as the weak goes on. Get in early on the Over

Moneyline
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail CAR (-103)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Shawn Krest logo
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

I'll jump at the Panthers as a dog and keep them up to 53%. Philly has lost three straight and returns from a game in England, while the Panthers are coming off a bye week.

View 6 Picks
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail BAL @ Cleveland Browns image thumbnail CLE Sun, Oct 18 • 1:00 PM ET
Rushing Yards
Derrick Henry logo
Derrick Henry o79.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 94.27 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
With a 4.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual approach.. Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Baltimore Ravens to run on 52.2% of their plays: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. The model projects Derrick Henry to accrue 22.2 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile when it comes to running backs.. Among all RBs, Derrick Henry ranks in the 97th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 73.1% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.. Derrick Henry has run for many more adjusted yards per game (105.0) this season than he did last season (88.0).
View Pick
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail NO @ New York Giants image thumbnail NYG Sun, Oct 18 • 1:00 PM ET
Passing Yards
Tyler Shough logo
Tyler Shough u239.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 222.06 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The New York Giants safeties profile as the 7th-best collection of safeties in football this year in defending pass-catchers.
Receiving Yards
Chris Olave logo
Chris Olave u80.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 76.23 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The New York Giants safeties profile as the 7th-best collection of safeties in football this year in defending pass-catchers.
View 4 Picks
Chicago Bears image thumbnail CHI @ Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail ATL Sun, Oct 18 • 1:00 PM ET
Passing Yards
Michael Penix Jr. logo
Michael Penix Jr. o233.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 247.73 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
A passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The predictive model expects this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.7 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all pass attack statistics across the board.. Since the start of last season, the porous Bears defense has been torched for a massive 73.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 4th-biggest rate in the league.
Receiving Yards
Kyle Pitts Sr. logo
Kyle Pitts Sr. o27.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 39.07 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
A passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The predictive model expects this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.9 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. This week, Kyle Pitts is forecasted by the predictive model to position himself in the 77th percentile among tight ends with 3.8 targets.. The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all pass attack statistics across the board.
View 6 Picks
New York Jets image thumbnail NYJ @ New England Patriots image thumbnail NE Sun, Oct 18 • 1:00 PM ET
Rushing Yards
Drake Maye logo
Drake Maye o16.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 31.38 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Patriots being a giant 7-point favorite this week.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New England Patriots to run on 46.4% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
Passing Yards
Drake Maye logo
Drake Maye u236.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 225.68 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Patriots being a giant 7-point favorite this week.. The model projects the New England Patriots as the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 53.6% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are projected by the predictive model to call only 62.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.. Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 4th-fewest yards in football (just 199.0 adjusted yards per game) against the New York Jets defense this year.. This year, the formidable New York Jets defense has yielded the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing teams: a meager 6.9 yards.
View 3 Picks
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail LAC @ Kansas City Chiefs image thumbnail KC Sun, Oct 18 • 4:25 PM ET
Spread
Kansas City Chiefs image thumbnail KC -7.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Kansas City’s offense is rolling in Episode 2 of the Eric Bieniemy Experience, with the team rating in the Top 10 of all the sexy advanced metrics and placing fourth in points per play. The Chiefs face a Bolts team that can’t seem to string together two positive plays before either turning the ball over or getting flagged for a penalty. The Chargers have the ninth lowest success rate on third down and picked up just 14 first downs in a loss to Denver Sunday. This will be L.A.’s third road game in the past four weeks and a much-needed bye in Week 7 could serve as look-ahead bait for the Bolts.

Passing Yards
Patrick Mahomes logo
Patrick Mahomes u228.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 219.55 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
With a 8.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are a huge favorite in this week's game, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.. The model projects the Chiefs to be the 7th-most sluggish paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 28.76 seconds per play.. Opposing QBs have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.. When it comes to pocket protection (and the significance it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs ranks as the 10th-worst in football this year.. Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 5th-fewest yards in football (just 207.0 adjusted yards per game) vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year.
View 5 Picks
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail DAL @ Green Bay Packers image thumbnail GB Sun, Oct 18 • 8:20 PM ET
Total
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail Green Bay Packers image thumbnail o50.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Jordan Love has thrown for 300+ yards in three of five games so far and faces a dreadful Dallas Cowboys defense on Sunday Night Football. He's has enjoyed past meetings with the Cowboys, amassing 337 yards and three touchdowns last season and connecting for three TDs and 272 yards in Green Bay’s infamous ass-waxing of Dallas in the 2023 Wild Card Round. The Cowboys are off an embarrassing loss to Tampa Bay at home last Thursday. Three turnovers sucked all the juice out of a big night for QB Dak Prescott, who threw for 316 yards in Week 5. Dallas’ defense is getting blown away by explosive downfield plays, ranking dead last in EPA allowed per dropback and opponent success rate per pass. The Cowboys are also giving up the fifth most points per play.

Passing Completions
Dak Prescott logo
Dak Prescott o21.5 Passing Completions (-130)
Projection 24.66 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to be the 4th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The projections expect the Cowboys to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. In this game, Dak Prescott is predicted by the projection model to have the 3rd-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.6. . Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 7th-highest rate in football vs. the Packers defense this year (73.1% Adjusted Completion%).
View 10 Picks
Washington Commanders image thumbnail WAS @ San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail SF Mon, Oct 19 • 8:15 PM ET
Rushing Attempts
Jacory Croskey-Merritt logo
Jacory Croskey-Merritt u12.5 Rushing Attempts (-118)
Projection 10.75 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 36 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Commanders are a heavy 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. The leading projections forecast the Commanders to call the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, San Francisco's unit has been exceptional this year, ranking as the best in football.
Passing Yards
Jayden Daniels logo
Jayden Daniels o203.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 221.63 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 42 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Commanders are a heavy 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. The Commanders have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 60.6 plays per game.. The 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (37.4 per game) this year.
View 5 Picks

For every matchup in an NFL season, our NFL computer produces selections for a variety of different betting angles. Our computer picks are based on a proprietary algorithm that values each team in the current week to produce moneyline, spread, and point total selections.

The table above, below the game picks, tracks our NFL computer's results over the last 100 games, outlining the record and profit for selections, based on $100 unit size. We track the profit based on both opening and closing lines for every matchup.

How to Use NFL Computer Picks

The easiest way to utilize our computer picks is to simply follow our selections for every matchup, what you'd call ailing the computer." But there are other ways to utilize our NFL computer picks, as well.

You can use our NFL computer as a jumping-off point to do more research into specific lines, cross-referencing with expert picks, which can be found above the selections for some matchups, recent NFL betting trends, and more.

As well, you can gauge the confidence of the matchup. The larger the projected score, the more confident the computer is in a specific pick.

Or, if you want to implement a system, betting only on underdogs, for example, you can look for matchups in which our computer likes the underdog to inform which picks you're going to hone in on for a given week.

We have these computer picks for every sport you're looking to wager on, as well:

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

Moneyline

NFL moneyline picks are the simplest way to get in on the NFL action. All you have to do is simply bet on which team you think will win the game.

For moneyline picks, the favorite is represented with a minus sign (-) in front of the odds, while the underdog has a plus (+). However, you don't get the same profit for picking an underdog compared to a favorite. If the favored team is -120, a $100 bet on them would pay out $80 in profit and $180 total, if they win the game. The underdog winning at +150 would pay out a $150 profit, $250 total.

We have a complete breakdown of how to read NFL moneyline odds for these NFL computer picks.

Spread

While moneyline picks are the simplest, picking NFL games against the spread is probably the most common wager for regular NFL bettors.

To bet an NFL spread, you wager on whether a team will win by a certain number of points or more or if they'll lose by fewer points than the spread. For example, if the spread is -6.5 for the New England Patriots, you would win the bet if they win the game by 7 points or more. Or if a team is +6.5, you're betting on if they'll win outright or lose by fewer than 6.5 points.

There is a correlation between moneyline odds and the spread, as books set these lines based on the same information.

You can read more about NFL spreads here.

Totals (Over/Under)

If you aren’t entirely sold on which NFL team will win or cover in an NFL game, you can still use our NFL computer picks to bet on the point total.

As opposed to taking a side, in total or Over/Under betting, you wager on whether both NFL teams will combine for a final score of more than (Over) or less than (Under) the total number of points set by oddsmakers.

The computer picks, and your handicapping of totals is more about how you think both teams will score points, not which team has the edge to win.

More NFL Picks & Betting Tools

Our NFL Computer Picks are a great way to place weekly football wagers, but you should also consider handicapping games yourself using some of our other tools. If you're looking to bet on long-term futures this football season, check out some of our other dedicated pages:

Best Football Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on NFL picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. Our NFL betting sites guide offers secure banking, the best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service options for you.

NFL Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our NFL picks?

Covers NFL picks are released two to three days before each game on the NFL schedule.

What kinds of NFL picks do we make?

Covers provides free NFL picks covering many markets, including point spreads, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.