New Mexico State Conference USA0-0

Florida State ACC0-0

7:00PM ET 7:00PM ET · Aug 29, 2026

New Mexico State vs Florida State Picks & Props

NMSU vs FSU Picks

NCAAF Picks

Total

u53.5 (-121)

Best Odds

u53.5 -110

Pick made: yesterday

u53.5 -115

u53.5 -110

u52.5 -108

u53.5 -113

u52.5 -110

u53.0 -110

u52.5 -102

u52.5 -105

u53.5 -115

Will New Mexico State score at all? They averaged 2.6 yards per rush and won't find room on the ground against a solid FSU run defense. Transfer QB Trey Hedden has more career turnover-worthy passes than big-time throws. The Seminoles likely score plenty, but I'm not sure they reach 50+ against a solid NMSU defense (40th in EPA per play) that held a high-powered Tennessee offense 53.3 total yards below their season-long average

Spread

FSU -30.5 (-116)

Best Odds

-31.5 -105

Pick made: yesterday

-30.5 -115

-31.5 -110

-30.5 -118

-30.5 -115

-30.5 -118

-31.5 -107

-30.5 -115

-31.5 -105

If Mike Norvell ever needed to win by margin, it's now. He'll rack up margin in a favorable matchup, just as he's done in the past: East Texas A&M (77-3) and Kent State (66-10) a year ago; Southern Mississippi (66-13) and North Alabama (58-13) in 2023; and Duquesne in 2022. He's got an improved roster to work with, and while it might not show over the course of a challenging schedule, it will in Week 0 against New Mexico State, which had one of the worst offenses in the country a year ago.

GAME & PLAYER PROPS	PROJECTIONS				ANALYSIS	BEST ODDS
SPREAD NMSU +31.5 spread 31.00 PROJECTION -0.5 DIFFERENCE 1.71% EV Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds +31.5 -110 +30.5 -105 +31.5 -110 +30.5 -102 +30.5 -105 +30.5 -105 +30.5 -106 +31.5 -115 +30.5 -105 +31.5 -115 NMSU +31.5 spread PROJECTION 31.00 PROJECTION -0.5 DIFFERENCE 1.71% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. +31.5 -110
TOTAL Under 53.5 Total 52.98 UNDER PROJECTION -0.5 DIFFERENCE 2.33% EV Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds u53.5 -110 u53.5 -115 u53.5 -110 u52.5 -108 u53.5 -113 u52.5 -110 u53.0 -110 u52.5 -102 u52.5 -105 u53.5 -115 Under 53.5 Total PROJECTION 52.98 UNDER PROJECTION -0.5 DIFFERENCE 2.33% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. u53.5 -110
MONEYLINE FSU -8000 moneyline FSU PROJECTION - DIFFERENCE 1.18% EV Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5 Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook Best Odds -7000 -10000 -7692 -8000 -10000 -7000 - -10000 -50000 -10000 FSU -8000 moneyline PROJECTION FSU PROJECTION - DIFFERENCE 1.18% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. -7000
RUSHING YARDS OK O. Kromah (RB) o73.5 Rushing Yards 76.31 OVER PROJECTION +2.8 DIFFERENCE -23.07% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o73.5 -115 - o73.5 -115 - - - - - - - OK O. Kromah (RB) o73.5 Rushing Yards PROJECTION 76.31 OVER PROJECTION +2.8 DIFFERENCE -23.07% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o73.5 -115

Rank	Leader	L10	Units
1	Hoosier	5-5-0	+5700
2	Jets73	6-4-0	+4800
3	Alexandr1966	7-3-0	+4750
4	pittsburghphil	6-4-0	+4700
5	ledbone	9-0-0	+4500
6	aront1	8-0-0	+4000
7	dwynf	8-2-0	+3850
8	Ollywood	6-4-0	+3700
9	JFT1010	6-4-0	+3700
10	Alfiekutya	6-4-0	+3650
All Aggies Money Leaders

Rank	Leader	L10	Units
1	picus57	10-0-0	+6300
2	Batch9	7-3-0	+5250
3	burley	7-3-0	+5250
4	Jets73	8-2-0	+4800
5	sportsking157	6-4-0	+4700
6	any007	9-1-0	+4700
7	CCKILLA	7-3-0	+4700
8	tadlodz	9-1-0	+4450
9	sherriffics	7-3-0	+4350
10	goobero	8-2-0	+4300
All Seminoles Money Leaders

New Mexico State vs Florida State Picks & Props

NMSU vs FSU Picks

NMSU vs FSU Consensus Picks

64% picking Florida State

66% picking New Mexico State vs Florida State to go Over

NMSU vs FSU Props

Recent Form Trends

ROI Trends

New Mexico State has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.80 Units / 32% ROI)

New Mexico State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)

New Mexico State have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)

New Mexico State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.65 Units / 24% ROI)

New Mexico State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.55 Units / 16% ROI)

New Mexico State have only covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 12 games (-7.04 Units / -52% ROI)

New Mexico State has only hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 9 games (-5.00 Units / -52% ROI)

New Mexico State has only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 1 of their last 10 games (-4.30 Units / -40% ROI)

New Mexico State has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 12 games (-3.05 Units / -22% ROI)

New Mexico State has only hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 9 games (-3.00 Units / -29% ROI)

Florida State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 66% ROI)

Florida State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.90 Units / 1% ROI)

Florida State has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 63% ROI)

Florida State has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)

Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 58% ROI)

Florida State have not covered the 1Q Spread in any of their last 9 games (-11.20 Units / -100% ROI)

Florida State has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 1 of their last 9 games (-8.30 Units / -79% ROI)

Florida State has only hit the Team Total Over in 1 of their last 8 games (-7.10 Units / -77% ROI)

Florida State has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 2 of their last 8 games (-5.00 Units / -53% ROI)

Florida State has only hit the Game Total Over in 2 of their last 8 games (-4.60 Units / -52% ROI)

NMSU vs FSU Top User Picks

New Mexico State Team Leaders

Florida State Team Leaders

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