North Carolina vs TCU Picks & Props
UNC vs TCU Picks
NCAAF Picks
Not only is this the first game of the season for two offenses with transfer QBs, but it's overseas in a game that could have tough field conditions due to rain in Ireland. On top of that, both defenses are ranked Top 40 by SP+ heading into the season and the last three games at Aviva Stadium all hit an exact game total of 45 points.
North Carolina was competitive at times last season because of its defense, but with coordinator Steve Belichick on medical leave and the Tar Heels ranked No. 102 in returning defensive production (42%), UNC is in a tough spot. TCU's additions of Jaden Craig at QB and Gordon Sammis at OC should make the Horned Frogs offense potent enough to win by 8+ in Ireland.
UNC vs TCU Consensus Picks
UNC vs TCU Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
SPREAD
TCU
-7.5 spread
-8.53
PROJECTION
-1.0
DIFFERENCE
4.42%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL
Under
47.5 Total
47.55 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-2.6%
EV
|
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MONEYLINE
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- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Under is 4-0 in Tar Heels last 4 games as a favorite.
Under is 5-0 in Tar Heels last 5 neutral site games.
Under is 6-1 in Tar Heels last 7 neutral site games as an underdog.
Over is 4-1 in Horned Frogs last 5 neutral site games as an underdog.
Over is 4-1 in Horned Frogs last 5 games on grass.
Tar Heels are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big 12.
Under is 9-3-1 in Horned Frogs last 13 neutral site games as a favorite.
Horned Frogs are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games on grass.
ROI Trends
UNC vs TCU Top User Picks
North Carolina Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rads5777 | 8-2-0 | +5850 |
| 2 | JLGiants38 | 8-2-0 | +5850 |
| 3 | chiefchief888 | 7-3-0 | +5800 |
| 4 | tapnitruc | 6-3-1 | +5300 |
| 5 | jessestars | 8-2-0 | +5250 |
| 6 | dissident | 8-2-0 | +5200 |
| 7 | Brayy_Wyatt | 7-3-0 | +4700 |
| 8 | fadennis6 | 7-3-0 | +4150 |
| 9 | Enelra18 | 5-4-1 | +4150 |
| 10 | TDBTX | 7-3-0 | +4150 |
| All Tar Heels Money Leaders | |||
TCU Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ciarajo | 7-3-0 | +7250 |
| 2 | jakringle | 5-5-0 | +4650 |
| 3 | nobrainer | 7-3-0 | +4250 |
| 4 | sprtnt1 | 8-2-0 | +4200 |
| 5 | djmdthedoc | 5-5-0 | +4150 |
| 6 | Ollywood | 6-4-0 | +4100 |
| 7 | Lemondropkid00 | 6-4-0 | +4100 |
| 8 | Chaparral | 10-0-0 | +3900 |
| 9 | VenezUtah | 8-2-0 | +3900 |
| 10 | midsro49 | 8-2-0 | +3800 |
| All Horned Frogs Money Leaders | |||