Pittsburgh @ Arizona Picks & Props

PIT vs AZ Picks

MLB Picks
Spread
Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ -1.5 (-125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
JD Yonke image
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

Corbin Burnes has been on top of his game, allowing five combined earned runs across his last five starts (31 1/3 IP). Pittsburgh’s anemic offense ranks second-last in both wOBA (.289) and wRC+ (79) against right-handed pitching. Failing to score runs makes it hard to win baseball games, so, unsurprisingly, the Pirates have one lonely win in their last 12 road games. They’re just 6-20 away from PNC Park this season.

Total RBIs
Gabriel Moreno logo
Gabriel Moreno o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Gabriel Moreno's batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Extreme flyball batters like Gabriel Moreno usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Michael Burrows.
Total RBIs
Joey Bart logo
Joey Bart o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Joey Bart's BABIP ability is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Joey Bart is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Joey Bart's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 43.1% to 54%.
Total RBIs
Alexander Canario logo
Alexander Canario o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alexander Canario in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Alexander Canario is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Alexander Canario has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 27.18 ft/sec to 27.93 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).
Total RBIs
Andrew McCutchen logo
Andrew McCutchen o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.
Total RBIs
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as baseball's 7th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage over Corbin Burnes in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. logo
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Gabriel Moreno logo
Gabriel Moreno o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Gabriel Moreno's batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Extreme flyball batters like Gabriel Moreno usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Michael Burrows.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Bryan Reynolds logo
Bryan Reynolds o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryan Reynolds's BABIP ability is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Corbin Burnes in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as baseball's 7th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage over Corbin Burnes in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Joey Bart logo
Joey Bart o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+125)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Joey Bart's BABIP ability is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Joey Bart is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Joey Bart's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 43.1% to 54%.
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PIT vs AZ Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

80% picking Arizona

20%
80%

Total PicksPIT 183, AZ 745

Moneyline
PIT
AZ

PIT vs AZ Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

Corbin Carroll
C. Carroll
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Among all major league stadiums, Chase Field's CF fences are the 3rd-deepest. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 4th-best among all the teams in action today.

Corbin Carroll logo

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Among all major league stadiums, Chase Field's CF fences are the 3rd-deepest. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 4th-best among all the teams in action today.

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

Ketel Marte
K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will bat from his worse side (0) today against Michael Burrows Ketel Marte pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 3rd-deepest RF fences today. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 4th-best among all the teams in action today. Ketel Marte's average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 94-mph mark last season has fallen off to 91.4-mph. Ketel Marte's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 43.5% to 32.3%.

Ketel Marte logo

Ketel Marte

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will bat from his worse side (0) today against Michael Burrows Ketel Marte pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 3rd-deepest RF fences today. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 4th-best among all the teams in action today. Ketel Marte's average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 94-mph mark last season has fallen off to 91.4-mph. Ketel Marte's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 43.5% to 32.3%.

Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona

Gabriel Moreno
G. Moreno
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Gabriel Moreno's batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Extreme flyball batters like Gabriel Moreno usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Michael Burrows.

Gabriel Moreno logo

Gabriel Moreno

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Gabriel Moreno's batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Extreme flyball batters like Gabriel Moreno usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Michael Burrows.

Oneil Cruz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Oneil Cruz
O. Cruz
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.

Oneil Cruz logo

Oneil Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Bryan Reynolds
B. Reynolds
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Bryan Reynolds's BABIP ability is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.

Bryan Reynolds logo

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Bryan Reynolds's BABIP ability is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.

Joey Bart Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Joey Bart
J. Bart
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Joey Bart's BABIP ability is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Joey Bart is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.

Joey Bart logo

Joey Bart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Joey Bart's BABIP ability is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Joey Bart is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Isiah Kiner-Falefa
I. Kiner-Falefa
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Based on Statcast data, Isiah Kiner-Falefa grades out in the 82nd percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .277.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Based on Statcast data, Isiah Kiner-Falefa grades out in the 82nd percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .277.

Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Ke'Bryan Hayes
K. Hayes
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Ke'Bryan Hayes has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last season's 88.7-mph EV.

Ke'Bryan Hayes logo

Ke'Bryan Hayes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Ke'Bryan Hayes has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last season's 88.7-mph EV.

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Andrew McCutchen
A. McCutchen
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.

Andrew McCutchen logo

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
L. Gurriel Jr.
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. logo

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.

Spencer Horwitz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Spencer Horwitz
S. Horwitz
first base 1B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.

Spencer Horwitz logo

Spencer Horwitz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Tommy Pham
T. Pham
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Tommy Pham's true offensive talent to be a .304, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .072 difference between that mark and his actual .232 wOBA.

Tommy Pham logo

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Tommy Pham's true offensive talent to be a .304, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .072 difference between that mark and his actual .232 wOBA.

Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Adam Frazier
A. Frazier
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Adam Frazier will hold the platoon advantage against Corbin Burnes in today's game. Adam Frazier is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.

Adam Frazier logo

Adam Frazier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Adam Frazier will hold the platoon advantage against Corbin Burnes in today's game. Adam Frazier is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.

Alexander Canario Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Alexander Canario
A. Canario
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Alexander Canario is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Alexander Canario has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 27.18 ft/sec to 27.93 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Alexander Canario logo

Alexander Canario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Alexander Canario is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Alexander Canario has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 27.18 ft/sec to 27.93 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona

Geraldo Perdomo
G. Perdomo
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage today.

Geraldo Perdomo logo

Geraldo Perdomo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage today.

Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona

Alek Thomas
A. Thomas
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Michael Burrows throws from, Alek Thomas will have the upper hand today. Extreme groundball hitters like Alek Thomas generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Michael Burrows.

Alek Thomas logo

Alek Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Michael Burrows throws from, Alek Thomas will have the upper hand today. Extreme groundball hitters like Alek Thomas generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Michael Burrows.

Jordan Lawlar Total Hits Props • Arizona

Jordan Lawlar
J. Lawlar
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Lawlar in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jordan Lawlar will hold that advantage today.

Jordan Lawlar logo

Jordan Lawlar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Lawlar in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jordan Lawlar will hold that advantage today.

Eugenio Suarez Total Hits Props • Arizona

Eugenio Suarez
E. Suarez
third base 3B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.

Eugenio Suarez logo

Eugenio Suarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.

Pavin Smith Total Hits Props • Arizona

Pavin Smith
P. Smith
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Michael Burrows throws from, Pavin Smith will have an advantage in today's game.

Pavin Smith logo

Pavin Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Michael Burrows throws from, Pavin Smith will have an advantage in today's game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Pittsburgh Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 CJONES1068 4-5-1 +24865
2 ThorsHammer 5-5-0 +20390
3 halfricanknight 4-6-0 +18418
4 MLBFan8848 6-3-1 +18105
5 samua 6-3-1 +16845
6 chefsloan7 5-4-1 +16115
7 braustin1 5-5-0 +15215
8 IronCity1 5-4-1 +15140
9 jnc3lb 7-2-1 +13730
10 uradonkey 5-5-0 +13455
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Arizona Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 anya 7-3-0 +19170
2 PlusOdds 3-6-1 +17545
3 Bassboy7276 6-4-0 +15647
4 uncle_Pasha_DRW 4-5-1 +13772
5 vitom 6-3-1 +13655
6 mccabecj 4-6-0 +13555
7 timstutler25 4-6-0 +12860
8 drizrazz 5-3-2 +12715
9 hoody 8-2-0 +12370
10 Brayy_Wyatt 5-5-0 +12265
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