What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 16, 2026.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.36 |
+100 |
o9.0 -110 |
-1.5 +165 |
|
|
5.31 |
-108 |
u9.5 -120 |
+1.5 -177 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.78 |
+140 |
o7.5 -103 |
+1.5 -160 |
|
|
4.42 |
-155 |
u7.5 -108 |
-1.5 +140 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.18 |
-103 |
o7.5 -125 |
-1.5 +165 |
|
|
4.00 |
-105 |
u8.5 -130 |
+1.5 -180 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.35 |
+140 |
o8.5 -121 |
+1.5 -150 |
|
|
4.90 |
-162 |
u9.0 -115 |
-1.5 +135 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
6.25 |
-165 |
o10.0 -175 |
-1.5 -110 |
|
|
5.42 |
+145 |
u11.0 -114 |
+1.5 -104 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.74 |
-130 |
o7.0 -182 |
+1.5 -275 |
|
|
4.25 |
+116 |
u8.0 -110 |
-1.5 +210 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.85 |
+120 |
o8.0 -175 |
+1.5 -175 |
|
|
5.33 |
-134 |
u9.0 -120 |
-1.5 +160 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.44 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.96 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
6.58 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.72 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.76 |
+235 |
o7.5 -114 |
+1.5 +100 |
|
|
4.81 |
-270 |
u7.5 +102 |
-1.5 -114 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
7.02 |
-158 |
o10.5 -125 |
-1.5 -102 |
|
|
5.46 |
+144 |
u11.5 -138 |
+1.5 -114 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.75 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.78 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.99 |
+121 |
o8.0 -115 |
+1.5 -170 |
|
|
5.06 |
-140 |
u8.5 -125 |
-1.5 +150 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.50 |
+112 |
o8.5 -105 |
+1.5 -185 |
|
|
4.50 |
-126 |
u8.5 -110 |
-1.5 +165 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.22 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.98 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.99 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.88 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
JR Ritchie has struggled to find the zone lately, making his walks market worth targeting against the Cubs. The right-hander owns a 15.63% walk rate over his last five starts and a 14% mark on the season. That number jumps to 23.3% against the last 30 left-handed hitters he has faced, and Chicago is expected to roll out five lefties tonight. The Cubs also own baseball’s highest walk rate at home this season and have maintained an 11% walk rate over their last 12 games, third-best in baseball. Three walks is a lot, but at +141, this is a fun sweat.
With Braves starter JR Ritchie allowing a monster 47.2% hard-hit rate and .234 ISO to left-handed hitters across his eight starts, I’m eyeing Cubbies veteran Ian Happ to cash in on statistical correction. Happ has gone 18 games without a homer despite a respectable 33.3% squared-up contact rate and 41.9% hard-hit rate, so with a high-end .213 ISO against righties for the year, the matchup checks out.
Burger has hit 12 of his 26 homers against lefties with a monster .304 ISO, and Boston starter Jake Bennett has served up a healthy .222 ISO and 17.7% blast-contact rate to right-handed batters across his past 10 starts.
This total is too low, and I’d recommend the Over 7.5 to 57%. Texas ranks fourth in wOBA against lefties for the season, the Rangers are seventh in overall wOBA, second in ISO and 12th in xwOBA over the past 30 days. Similarly, Boston ranks fifth in wOBA against lefties for the year, and both starters have been more serviceable than stellar down the stretch. Rangers lefty MacKenzie Gore sports a 4.61 ERA (4.12 xERA and 4.33 xFIP) across his past 11 starts, and Red Sox southpaw Jake Bennett checks in with a 4.55 ERA (4.00 xERA and 3.95 xFIP) through his past 10 outings.
I'm heading to Coors to take Fernando Tatis to go yard, and there is room here with a fair probability of 29.4%. The projections are a little low on him, as he's priced as the third-most probable Padre to go deep, but he has already gone deep in each game of this series and might have his best matchup today. Mason Adams is the biggest pitcher fade of the day. In the second half of the season, he has the 20th-worst barrel rate and fourth-worst HR/FB rate among all MLB starters. He's given up five dingers in 18 innings, with only 4+ of those innings coming at Coors, where he has allowed two homers. He's also a reverse-splits pitcher and gets hit harder by right-handed bats. Only Pete Crow-Armstrong has more homers than Tatis in the second half, and Tatis is slugging at a Top-10 rate since the break.
Mike Trout already has a homer to his name against Kirby, and with the righty's massive struggles this season, he's in a good spot to go yard one more time. Trout's having a strong September, as well, owning a .795 OPS this month. Expect the future Hall of Famer to sit on a mistake fastball from Kirby, a pitch he's hit 14 of his 21 homers against this season.
The Over is hitting at a 100% clip over Kirby's last five road starts, and it likely won't change today. The right-hander has given up 12 earned runs across his last three outings (17 2/3 innings pitched), and while I believe in Yusei Kikuchi, the Mariners will do just enough offensively to get us over the line. The Angels' lefty owns a 44.6% hard-hit rate - the highest of his career. Even the Mariners' lackluster offense should be able to get to him. Let's see some runs tonight.
Marlins righty Ryan Gusto has serious statistical correction ahead. His 3.86 ERA through his past nine starts is miles below his 5.25 xERA and 4.56 xFIP, and Arizona ranks sixth in squared-up contact rate against righties in the second half. Additionally, Diamondback righty Merrill Kelly has allowed the third-highest xwOBA in baseball, so Miami is also set to have success at the dish considering the Marlins rank seventh in wOBA and 12th in xwOBA in September.
Carroll has hit 15 of his 21 home runs against righties with a rock-solid .223 ISO, and this matchup checks out, too. Miami starter Ryan Gusto’s home runs per nine innings jumps from 0.59 at home to 1.67 on the road, and he’s also served up a massive 47.2% hard-hit rate and 37.6% squared-up contact rate to left-handed hitters across his 16 starts.
Sonny Gray has become somewhat of an ageless wonder for the Red Sox, and the veteran right-hander has limited Texas hitters to a lifetime .505 OPS. With Gray on the hill, Boston is playable to -135.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.