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MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 16, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

5.36 @ 5.31

NYM
NYM logo
NYM

Orioles vs Mets · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

5.36

+100

o9.0 -110

-1.5 +165

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

5.31

-108

u9.5 -120

+1.5 -177

Atlanta @ Chi. Cubs
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

3.78 @ 4.42

CHC
CHC logo
CHC

Braves vs Cubs · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

3.78

+140

o7.5 -103

+1.5 -160

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

4.42

-155

u7.5 -108

-1.5 +140

Top Projection Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+191)
o0.5+210
Boston @ Texas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.18 @ 4.00

TEX
TEX logo
TEX

Red Sox vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.18

-103

o7.5 -125

-1.5 +165

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.00

-105

u8.5 -130

+1.5 -180

Top Projection Jahmai Jones u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
u1.5-190
Kansas City @ Houston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

KC logo
KC
KC

4.35 @ 4.90

HOU
HOU logo
HOU

Royals vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

KC logo
KC
KC

4.35

+140

o8.5 -121

+1.5 -150

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.90

-162

u9.0 -115

-1.5 +135

Top Projection Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+180
San Diego @ Colorado
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SD logo
SD
SD

6.25 @ 5.42

COL
COL logo
COL

Padres vs Rockies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SD logo
SD
SD

6.25

-165

o10.0 -175

-1.5 -110

COL logo
COL
COL

5.42

+145

u11.0 -114

+1.5 -104

Seattle @ LA Angels
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.74 @ 4.25

LAA
LAA logo
LAA

Mariners vs Angels · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.74

-130

o7.0 -182

+1.5 -275

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

4.25

+116

u8.0 -110

-1.5 +210

Miami @ Arizona
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.85 @ 5.33

AZ
AZ logo
AZ

Marlins vs Diamondbacks · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.85

+120

o8.0 -175

+1.5 -175

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

5.33

-134

u9.0 -120

-1.5 +160

Top Projection Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5+205
Milwaukee @ Pittsburgh
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

5.44 @ 4.96

PIT
PIT logo
PIT

Brewers vs Pirates · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

5.44

--

--

--

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.96

--

--

--

LA Dodgers @ Cincinnati
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

6.58 @ 4.72

CIN
CIN logo
CIN

Dodgers vs Reds · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

6.58

--

--

--

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.72

--

--

--

Athletics @ Tampa Bay
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

3.76 @ 4.81

TB
TB logo
TB

Athletics vs Rays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

3.76

+235

o7.5 -114

+1.5 +100

TB logo
TB
TB

4.81

-270

u7.5 +102

-1.5 -114

San Diego @ Colorado
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SD logo
SD
SD

7.02 @ 5.46

COL
COL logo
COL

Padres vs Rockies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SD logo
SD
SD

7.02

-158

o10.5 -125

-1.5 -102

COL logo
COL
COL

5.46

+144

u11.5 -138

+1.5 -114

Kansas City @ Houston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

KC logo
KC
KC

4.75 @ 4.78

HOU
HOU logo
HOU

Royals vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

KC logo
KC
KC

4.75

--

--

--

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.78

--

--

--

Philadelphia @ NY Mets
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

4.99 @ 5.06

NYM
NYM logo
NYM

Phillies vs Mets · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

4.99

+121

o8.0 -115

+1.5 -170

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

5.06

-140

u8.5 -125

-1.5 +150

Detroit @ Chi. White Sox
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

DET logo
DET
DET

4.50 @ 4.50

CHW
CHW logo
CHW

Tigers vs White Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

4.50

+112

o8.5 -105

+1.5 -185

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.50

-126

u8.5 -110

-1.5 +165

Boston @ Texas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.22 @ 3.98

TEX
TEX logo
TEX

Red Sox vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.22

--

--

--

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

3.98

--

--

--

Minnesota @ LA Angels
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

3.99 @ 3.88

LAA
LAA logo
LAA

Twins vs Angels · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

3.99

--

--

--

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

3.88

--

--

--

Atlanta Braves image thumbnail ATL @ Chicago Cubs image thumbnail CHC Wed, Sep 16 • 7:40 PM ET
Walks Allowed
JR Ritchie logo JR Ritchie o2.5 Walks Allowed (+141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Colby Marchio logo
Colby Marchio
Contributor

JR Ritchie has struggled to find the zone lately, making his walks market worth targeting against the Cubs. The right-hander owns a 15.63% walk rate over his last five starts and a 14% mark on the season. That number jumps to 23.3% against the last 30 left-handed hitters he has faced, and Chicago is expected to roll out five lefties tonight. The Cubs also own baseball’s highest walk rate at home this season and have maintained an 11% walk rate over their last 12 games, third-best in baseball. Three walks is a lot, but at +141, this is a fun sweat.

Total Home Runs
Ian Happ logo Ian Happ o0.5 Total Home Runs (+650)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

With Braves starter JR Ritchie allowing a monster 47.2% hard-hit rate and .234 ISO to left-handed hitters across his eight starts, I’m eyeing Cubbies veteran Ian Happ to cash in on statistical correction. Happ has gone 18 games without a homer despite a respectable 33.3% squared-up contact rate and 41.9% hard-hit rate, so with a high-end .213 ISO against righties for the year, the matchup checks out.

 

View 16 Picks
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail BOS @ Texas Rangers image thumbnail TEX Wed, Sep 16 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jake Burger logo Jake Burger o0.5 Total Home Runs (+375)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Burger has hit 12 of his 26 homers against lefties with a monster .304 ISO, and Boston starter Jake Bennett has served up a healthy .222 ISO and 17.7% blast-contact rate to right-handed batters across his past 10 starts.

Total
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail Texas Rangers image thumbnail o7.5 (-128)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

This total is too low, and I’d recommend the Over 7.5 to 57%. Texas ranks fourth in wOBA against lefties for the season, the Rangers are seventh in overall wOBA, second in ISO and 12th in xwOBA over the past 30 days. Similarly, Boston ranks fifth in wOBA against lefties for the year, and both starters have been more serviceable than stellar down the stretch. Rangers lefty MacKenzie Gore sports a 4.61 ERA (4.12 xERA and 4.33 xFIP) across his past 11 starts, and Red Sox southpaw Jake Bennett checks in with a 4.55 ERA (4.00 xERA and 3.95 xFIP) through his past 10 outings.

 

View 14 Picks
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail KC @ Houston Astros image thumbnail HOU Wed, Sep 16 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+163)
Projection 1.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Salvador Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Houston Astros.. Salvador Perez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.1-mph figure.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Salvador Perez's true offensive ability to be a .322, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .040 gap between that figure and his actual .282 wOBA.
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+118)
Projection 1.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in the league when estimating his batting average skill.. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Houston Astros.. Bobby Witt Jr. has hit one of the hardest balls in the majors over the past 14 days — 112.5-mph — which is a favorable indicator of recent form and raw power.. Bobby Witt Jr. has been unlucky this year, posting a .345 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .381 — a .036 difference.
View 10 Picks
San Diego Padres image thumbnail SD @ Colorado Rockies image thumbnail COL Wed, Sep 16 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+301)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

I'm heading to Coors to take Fernando Tatis to go yard, and there is room here with a fair probability of 29.4%. The projections are a little low on him, as he's priced as the third-most probable Padre to go deep, but he has already gone deep in each game of this series and might have his best matchup today. Mason Adams is the biggest pitcher fade of the day. In the second half of the season, he has the 20th-worst barrel rate and fourth-worst HR/FB rate among all MLB starters. He's given up five dingers in 18 innings, with only 4+ of those innings coming at Coors, where he has allowed two homers. He's also a reverse-splits pitcher and gets hit harder by right-handed bats. Only Pete Crow-Armstrong has more homers than Tatis in the second half, and Tatis is slugging at a Top-10 rate since the break.

Total Bases
Connor Norby logo
Connor Norby o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Connor Norby has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (65% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. Coors Field ranks as the #1 park in the game for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense.. Batting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Connor Norby will have the upper hand today.
View 11 Picks
Seattle Mariners image thumbnail SEA @ Los Angeles Angels image thumbnail LAA Wed, Sep 16 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Mike Trout logo Mike Trout o0.5 Total Home Runs (+381)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Dustin Saracini logo
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

Mike Trout already has a homer to his name against Kirby, and with the righty's massive struggles this season, he's in a good spot to go yard one more time. Trout's having a strong September, as well, owning a .795 OPS this month. Expect the future Hall of Famer to sit on a mistake fastball from Kirby, a pitch he's hit 14 of his 21 homers against this season.

Total
Seattle Mariners image thumbnail Los Angeles Angels image thumbnail o7.5 (-119)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Dustin Saracini logo
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

The Over is hitting at a 100% clip over Kirby's last five road starts, and it likely won't change today. The right-hander has given up 12 earned runs across his last three outings (17 2/3 innings pitched), and while I believe in Yusei Kikuchi, the Mariners will do just enough offensively to get us over the line. The Angels' lefty owns a 44.6% hard-hit rate - the highest of his career. Even the Mariners' lackluster offense should be able to get to him. Let's see some runs tonight.

View 15 Picks
Miami Marlins image thumbnail MIA @ Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail AZ Wed, Sep 16 • 9:40 PM ET
Total
Miami Marlins image thumbnail Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail o8.5 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Marlins righty Ryan Gusto has serious statistical correction ahead. His 3.86 ERA through his past nine starts is miles below his 5.25 xERA and 4.56 xFIP, and Arizona ranks sixth in squared-up contact rate against righties in the second half. Additionally, Diamondback righty Merrill Kelly has allowed the third-highest xwOBA in baseball, so Miami is also set to have success at the dish considering the Marlins rank seventh in wOBA and 12th in xwOBA in September.

Total Home Runs
Corbin Carroll logo Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total Home Runs (+457)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Carroll has hit 15 of his 21 home runs against righties with a rock-solid .223 ISO, and this matchup checks out, too. Miami starter Ryan Gusto’s home runs per nine innings jumps from 0.59 at home to 1.67 on the road, and he’s also served up a massive 47.2% hard-hit rate and 37.6% squared-up contact rate to left-handed hitters across his 16 starts.

View 13 Picks
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail BOS @ Texas Rangers image thumbnail TEX Thu, Sep 17 • 8:05 PM ET
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail BOS (-119)
Trevor Knapp logo
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

Sonny Gray has become somewhat of an ageless wonder for the Red Sox, and the veteran right-hander has limited Texas hitters to a lifetime .505 OPS. With Gray on the hill, Boston is playable to -135. 

View Pick
Tampa Bay Rays image thumbnail TB @ New York Yankees image thumbnail NYY Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Austin Wells logo
Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+305)
Projection 0.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yankee Stadium ranks as the #7 ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Austin Wells generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today.
Total RBIs
Cody Bellinger logo
Cody Bellinger o0.5 Total RBIs (+206)
Projection 0.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Yankee Stadium ranks as the #7 ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an edge in today's game.
View 7 Picks

What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.