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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 11, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.17 |
+166 
|
o8.0 -115 
|
+1.5 -135 
|
|
5.04 |
-190 
|
u8.5 -120 
|
-1.5 +120
|
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 4-0-1 in Imanagas last 5 starts with 6 days of rest.
- Over is 6-0 in Imanagas last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+225
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.63 |
+160 
|
o8.0 -114
|
+1.5 -137 
|
|
4.68 |
-182
|
u8.5 -125 
|
-1.5 +122
|
Colorado
- Under is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 7-1 in Rockies last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 overall.
Detroit
- Under is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 vs. National League West.
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Valdezs last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Valdezs last 4 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
Colt Keith u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
u0.5+185
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.85 |
+132
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -160 
|
|
4.41 |
-143
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +143
|
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Kikuchis last 4 starts as an underdog.
Washington
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Nationals are 7-0 in Cavallis last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Nationals are 5-0 in Cavallis last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Nationals last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
o0.5+205
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.81 |
+118
|
o7.5 -130
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
4.74 |
-134
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +165
|
NY Mets
- Under is 5-0-2 in McLeans last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mets are 5-0 in McLeans last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 7-0-1 in Mets last 8 games following a win.
- Over is 5-0 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Bo Bichette o0.5 Total RBIs (+212)
o0.5+212
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.85 |
+108
|
o8.0 -112
|
+1.5 -195
|
|
4.66 |
-125
|
u8.5 -122
|
-1.5 +165
|
Baltimore
- Over is 7-0 in Bassitts last 7 starts as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-0 in Bassitts last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 on astroturf.
- Over is 8-0 in Bassitts last 8 road starts.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 8-1-1 in Blue Jays last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Jesus Sanchez o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
o0.5+280
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.30 |
+146
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -149
|
|
4.61 |
-167
|
u8.0 -120
|
-1.5 +130
|
Houston
- Under is 5-0-1 in Astros last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Astros last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a favorite.
Tampa Bay
- Over is 5-0 in Rays last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Rays last 7 vs. American League West.
Top Projection
Miguel Ullola o1.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+125)
o1.5+125
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.45 |
-209
|
o7.5 -110
|
-1.5 -115
|
|
3.27 |
+180
|
u7.5 -110
|
+1.5 +100
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
- Dodgers are 7-0 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 games following a win.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 road games.
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 home games.
- Under is 6-0 in Gustos last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
Top Projection
Otto Lopez o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
o0.5+300
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.31 |
+180
|
o8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -115
|
|
4.93 |
-195
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +112
|
Kansas City
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Lugos last 4 starts as a favorite.
Boston
- Red Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
- Red Sox are 7-0 in Grays last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games following a loss.
- Under is 7-1 in Grays last 8 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (+214)
o0.5+230
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.08 |
+160
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
4.90 |
-190
|
u7.5 -106
|
-1.5 +125
|
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
- Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Phillies last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Phillies are 10-1 in their last 11 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0-1 in Sales last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Sales last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Sales last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Sales last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Trea Turner o0.5 Total RBIs (+258)
o0.5+258
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.95 |
+160
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
4.52 |
-185
|
u8.5 -132
|
-1.5 +120
|
Cincinnati
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 7-1 in Reds last 8 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 road games.
- Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 games as a road underdog.
Milwaukee
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 8-1 in Harrisons last 9 home starts.
- Over is 5-1 in Harrisons last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Brewers are 8-2 in Harrisons last 10 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5+289
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.54 |
-120
|
o7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +145
|
|
4.12 |
+105
|
u7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -164
|
Cleveland
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Messicks last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Guardians are 7-1 in Messicks last 8 starts as an underdog.
Minnesota
- Twins are 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Twins are 4-0 in Bradleys last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+158)
o0.5+165
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.26 |
-110
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.70 |
-104
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +150
|
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 road games.
- White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
St. Louis
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Liberatores last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Liberatores last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Liberatores last 5 starts a home underdog.
Top Projection
Joshua Baez o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+219
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.98 |
+112
|
o8.5 -150
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.74 |
-130
|
u9.5 -135
|
-1.5 +168
|
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Rangers are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rangers last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Arizona
- Under is 6-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 on grass.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
o1.5+105
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.68 |
-165
|
o7.0 -500
|
-1.5 -105
|
|
5.09 |
+146
|
u10.5 -120
|
+1.5 -108
|
Seattle
- Over is 7-2-1 in Mariners last 10 overall.
- Over is 10-3-1 in Mariners last 14 vs. American League West.
- Over is 16-5-1 in Mariners last 22 on grass.
- Mariners are 0-7 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
Athletics
- Over is 6-0 in Springs' last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 6-0 in Springs' last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 5-0 in Springs' last 5 starts a home underdog.
- Over is 7-0 in Springs' last 7 home starts.
Top Projection
Taylor Ward o0.5 Total Home Runs (+750)
o0.5+750
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.91 |
-140
|
o7.5 -125
|
-1.5 +120
|
|
3.64 |
+125
|
u8.5 -132
|
+1.5 -135
|
San Diego
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 starts on grass.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
San Francisco
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
o0.5+169
PIT
@
CHC
Fri, Sep 11 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Bases
Bryan Reynolds o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Bryan Reynolds's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Over the past 7 days, Bryan Reynolds's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.1% up to 20%.. Bryan Reynolds has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 91-mph EV.
Total RBIs
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryan Reynolds's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Over the past 7 days, Bryan Reynolds's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.1% up to 20%.. Bryan Reynolds has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 91-mph EV.
COL
@
DET
Fri, Sep 11 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+137)
Projection 0.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Among all major league parks, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Mason Adams throws from, Riley Greene will have an edge in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Riley Greene will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as Major League Baseball's 12th-best home run batter.. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Hunter Goodman will hold the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez in today's game.
LAA
@
WAS
Fri, Sep 11 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Bases
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field fences among all major league parks.. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Los Angeles Angels.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and James Wood will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
MB
Moises Ballesteros u1.5 Total Bases (-225)
Projection 0.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
This year, Moises Ballesteros has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 33% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Moises Ballesteros today.. In the past two weeks, Moises Ballesteros's 3.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.2%.. This year, there has been a decline in Moises Ballesteros's speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 25.96 ft/sec last year to 25.13 ft/sec currently.
NYM
@
NYY
Fri, Sep 11 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Bo Bichette o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 5th-best hitter in the league when estimating his batting average talent.. Bo Bichette is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. In Major League Baseball, Yankee Stadium has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Bo Bichette will have an edge in today's game.. Bo Bichette has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total RBIs
Bo Bichette o0.5 Total RBIs (+219)
Projection 0.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 5th-best hitter in the league when estimating his batting average talent.. Bo Bichette is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. In Major League Baseball, Yankee Stadium has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Bo Bichette will have an edge in today's game.. Bo Bichette has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.
BAL
@
TOR
Fri, Sep 11 • 7:07 PM ET
Total Bases
Coby Mayo o1.5 Total Bases (+164)
Projection 1.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Coby Mayo ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Coby Mayo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (67% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 6th-best park in the game for right-handed home runs.. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors.. In the last 7 days, Coby Mayo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13% up to 18.2%.
Total Bases
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2.01
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 15th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors.. Pete Alonso has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 14% seasonal rate to 25% in the past 7 days.. Over the last week, Pete Alonso's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 98-mph over the course of the season to 102.4-mph of late.
HOU
@
TB
Fri, Sep 11 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.99
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. Yordan Alvarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Rasmussen in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the worst among all the teams playing today.. Over the last two weeks, Yordan Alvarez's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.2%.
Total Bases
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 16th-best batter in the majors.. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the 3rd-best park in the league for righty home runs.. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (39.4% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Extreme groundball batters like Junior Caminero tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Miguel Ullola.
LAD
@
MIA
Fri, Sep 11 • 7:10 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Ryan Gusto o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-110)
Projection 4.19
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. This contest is forecasted to have the 4th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Ryan Gusto will hold that advantage today.. It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Ryan Gusto has gone to his off-speed and breaking pitches 11.1% more often this year (59.4%) than he did last year (48.3%).. Ryan Gusto's 2404-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 79th percentile among all starting pitchers.
Total RBIs
Otto Lopez o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
Projection 0.39
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez as the 9th-best batter in the game when it comes to his batting average talent.. Otto Lopez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Otto Lopez will hold the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's game.. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of all the teams playing today.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today's game.
KC
@
BOS
Fri, Sep 11 • 7:10 PM ET
Spread
BOS -1.5 (+112)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Sonny Gray gives Boston a sizable starting-pitching advantage over Seth Lugo, whose 5.04 ERA makes him difficult to trust against this lineup at Fenway. Gray owns a 2.69 ERA with 17 wins, and Boston has the superior late-inning path. With the moneyline too expensive, I’ll lay the 1.5 runs instead.
Total Bases
Carter Jensen o1.5 Total Bases (+143)
Projection 1.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carter Jensen in the 88th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Carter Jensen is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. The 2nd-shallowest RF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Fenway Park.. Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Carter Jensen will have an advantage today.
PHI
@
ATL
Fri, Sep 11 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+112)
Projection 1.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 7th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 84°.
Total RBIs
Alec Bohm o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.47
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Alec Bohm's batting average skill is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Bohm is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 6th-best venue in the league for run-scoring.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 84°.
CIN
@
MIL
Fri, Sep 11 • 7:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+148)
Projection 1.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. In MLB, American Family Field has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Dustin May.
Total RBIs
Hector Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
Projection 0.45
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Hector Rodriguez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. American Family Field profiles as the #8 stadium in the majors for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 6th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in American Family Field.. In MLB, American Family Field has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Dustin May throws from, Hector Rodriguez will have an edge today.
CLE
@
MIN
Fri, Sep 11 • 8:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Kaelen Culpepper o0.5 Total RBIs (+289)
Projection 0.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kaelen Culpepper is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Batting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Kaelen Culpepper will have an edge today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Kaelen Culpepper will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Ryan Jeffers o1.5 Total Bases (+159)
Projection 1.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Ryan Jeffers will hold the platoon advantage against Parker Messick in today's matchup.. Ryan Jeffers will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
CHW
@
STL
Fri, Sep 11 • 8:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Miguel Vargas o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Miguel Vargas will have an advantage today.
Total Bases
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.85
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jordan Walker ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Jordan Walker will have the handedness advantage against Anthony Kay in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Kay has a large platoon split.
TEX
@
AZ
Fri, Sep 11 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.95
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 13th-best batter in the league.. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 3rd-best field in the league for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Corey Seager will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Corey Seager o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-150)
Projection 2.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 13th-best batter in the league.. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 3rd-best field in the league for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Corey Seager will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
SEA
@
ATH
Fri, Sep 11 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.94
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Taylor Ward ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The #2 ballpark in MLB for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 96°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.5-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.
Total Bases
Cal Raleigh o1.5 Total Bases (-108)
Projection 2.38
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as baseball's 4th-best home run hitter.. Cal Raleigh is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. The #2 ballpark in the league for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 96°.
SD
@
SF
Fri, Sep 11 • 10:15 PM ET
Total RBIs
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 18th-best hitter in MLB.. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. The shallowest RF fences in the league are found in Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.9-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Rafael Devers will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The shallowest RF fences in the league are found in Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.9-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Jackson Merrill will hold the platoon advantage over Anthony Molina in today's game.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
