MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 21, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

4.36 @ 3.84

MIL
MIL logo
MIL

Braves vs Brewers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

4.36

+130

o6.0 -114

+1.5 -185

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

3.84

-140

u6.5 -115

-1.5 +175

St. Louis @ Philadelphia
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

STL logo
STL
STL

3.75 @ 5.38

PHI
PHI logo
PHI

Cardinals vs Phillies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

3.75

--

--

--

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.38

--

--

--

Toronto @ NY Yankees
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

3.57 @ 5.04

NYY
NYY logo
NYY

Blue Jays vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

3.57

+210

o7.5 -105

+1.5 -114

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

5.04

-220

u7.5 -105

-1.5 +105

Washington @ Miami
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.14 @ 4.42

MIA
MIA logo
MIA

Nationals vs Marlins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.14

+135

o8.0 -115

+1.5 -160

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.42

-140

u8.5 -115

-1.5 +155

San Francisco @ Boston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SF logo
SF
SF

4.27 @ 4.77

BOS
BOS logo
BOS

Giants vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SF logo
SF
SF

4.27

+162

o7.5 -115

+1.5 -135

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.77

-170

u8.0 -117

-1.5 +125

Tampa Bay @ Baltimore
Matchup Stats
NY Mets @ Chi. White Sox
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.36 @ 4.71

CHW
CHW logo
CHW

Mets vs White Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.36

+135

o7.5 -115

+1.5 -165

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.71

-140

u8.0 -105

-1.5 +155

Athletics @ Houston
Matchup Stats
Detroit @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

DET logo
DET
DET

4.49 @ 5.05

KC
KC logo
KC

Tigers vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

4.49

-115

o8.5 -103

-1.5 +145

KC logo
KC
KC

5.05

+106

u8.5 -104

+1.5 -155

LA Angels @ Texas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

3.90 @ 4.09

TEX
TEX logo
TEX

Angels vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

3.90

+130

o7.5 +102

+1.5 -175

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.09

-140

u7.5 -110

-1.5 +165

Cleveland @ Colorado
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

6.21 @ 5.22

COL
COL logo
COL

Guardians vs Rockies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

6.21

-150

o10.5 -120

-1.5 +100

COL logo
COL
COL

5.22

+143

u11.0 -115

+1.5 -110

Cincinnati @ Arizona
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.75 @ 4.70

AZ
AZ logo
AZ

Reds vs Diamondbacks · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.75

+135

o8.5 +100

+1.5 -155

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.70

-145

u8.5 -110

-1.5 +145

Minnesota @ San Diego
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.54 @ 4.43

SD
SD logo
SD

Twins vs Padres · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.54

--

--

--

SD logo
SD
SD

4.43

--

--

--

Pittsburgh @ LA Dodgers
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

3.56 @ 5.39

LAD
LAD logo
LAD

Pirates vs Dodgers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

3.56

+210

o8.0 -110

+1.5 -105

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

5.39

-219

u8.5 -120

-1.5 -105

Chi. Cubs @ Seattle
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

4.84 @ 4.55

SEA
SEA logo
SEA

Cubs vs Mariners · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

4.84

-105

o7.5 -120

+1.5 -220

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.55

-105

u8.0 -113

-1.5 +180

Toronto @ NY Yankees
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Blue Jays vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

--

--

--

--

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

--

--

--

--

Atlanta @ Milwaukee
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Braves vs Brewers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

--

--

--

--

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

--

--

--

--

Washington @ Miami
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Nationals vs Marlins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

--

--

--

--

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

--

--

--

--

St. Louis @ Philadelphia
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Cardinals vs Phillies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

--

--

--

--

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

--

--

--

--

LA Angels @ Texas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Angels vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

--

--

--

--

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

--

--

--

--

Tampa Bay @ Baltimore
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Rays vs Orioles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

--

--

--

--

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

--

--

--

--

NY Mets @ Chi. White Sox
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Mets vs White Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

--

--

--

--

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

--

--

--

--

Athletics @ Houston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Athletics vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

--

--

--

--

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

--

--

--

--

Pittsburgh @ LA Dodgers
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Pirates vs Dodgers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

--

--

--

--

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

--

--

--

--

Detroit @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Tigers vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

--

--

--

--

KC logo
KC
KC

--

--

--

--

Chi. Cubs @ Seattle
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Cubs vs Mariners · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

--

--

--

--

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

--

--

--

--

San Francisco @ Boston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Giants vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SF logo
SF
SF

--

--

--

--

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

--

--

--

--

Cincinnati @ Arizona
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Reds vs Diamondbacks · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

--

--

--

--

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

--

--

--

--

Cleveland @ Colorado
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Guardians vs Rockies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

--

--

--

--

COL logo
COL
COL

--

--

--

--

Minnesota @ San Diego
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Twins vs Padres · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

--

--

--

--

SD logo
SD
SD

--

--

--

--

Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Fri, Aug 21 • 4:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Ozzie Albies logo
Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
Projection 0.42
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Total RBIs
Gary Sanchez logo
Gary Sanchez o0.5 Total RBIs (+261)
Projection 0.44
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Gary Sanchez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Gary Sanchez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's game... and the cherry on top, Sale has a large platoon split.. Gary Sanchez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Gary Sanchez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Fri, Aug 21 • 7:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand today.. Extreme groundball hitters like Wilyer Abreu generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Webb.. The San Francisco Giants infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams in action today.
Total Bases
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage over Sonny Gray today.. Rafael Devers has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Fri, Aug 21 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Gunnar Henderson logo Gunnar Henderson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+405)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

Fifteen of the 20 homers Perlta has allowed have came against left-handed hitters across 83 innings, who have posted a .270/.332/.477 line, and he has surrendered a 19.2% pull-air rate. Gunnar Henderson is Baltimore's primary left-handed power bat, and Camden Yards is where Peralta's fastball problem gets punished, a that Gunnar has led the O's in hard-hit rate against. Play to +330.

Total
Tampa Bay Rays logo Baltimore Orioles logo o8.5 (-103)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

I don't see a huge edge here but make this playable to -110 with two suspect arms.

We've talked about Tampa Bay Rays arm Peralta already but it's worth mention another aspect: his fastball. The O's hit it at a Top 10 rate according to virtually any metic and he throws it 53.5% of the time and yielding a .471 slugging percentage with a 50.2% hard-hit rate. Yet again another blinking signal to perhaps multiple homer from the Baltimore bats. On the other side, the Rays own the best contact rate in MLB at 78.9% and the lowest strikeout rate at 18.7%, and Trevor Rogers cannot punish that, grading in the 33rd percentile in strikeout rate and the 34th percentile in whiff rate.

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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Houston Astros logo HOU Fri, Aug 21 • 8:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Max Muncy logo
Max Muncy o0.5 Total RBIs (+285)
Projection 0.43
Best Odds
Pick made: 40 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 76th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Max Muncy has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (87% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Max Muncy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among all the teams playing today.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Fri, Aug 21 • 8:10 PM ET
Total
Detroit Tigers logo Kansas City Royals logo o8.5 (-103)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Kyle LaRusic image
Kyle LaRusic
Publishing Editor

Our computer projections predict 9.54 runs in this matchup, a full run Over this total. Kansas City is also batting over .300 in its last five, and I think the Royals' bats can stay hot vs. Troy Melton despite his recent form.

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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Fri, Aug 21 • 9:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Dane Myers logo
Dane Myers o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Dane Myers is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Dane Myers will have an advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Sal Stewart logo
Sal Stewart o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Sal Stewart ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Sal Stewart is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Sal Stewart will have the handedness advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today's matchup.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Fri, Aug 21 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani logo
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.04
Best Odds
Pick made: 40 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. Hitting from the opposite that Bubba Chandler throws from, Shohei Ohtani will have an advantage today.. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Shohei Ohtani will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Andy Pages logo
Andy Pages o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Andy Pages is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Andy Pages will hold that advantage today.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Fri, Aug 21 • 10:10 PM ET
Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (-107)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Jon Metler image
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

Matthew Boyd has been struggling of late, serving up four home runs and seven earned runs in his last outing. But that poor performance may be exactly why we're catching an edge in the market for his next start, and I think the ballpark sets up well for him to bounce back. Boyd is known as a fly-ball pitcher, which makes him more vulnerable depending on the ballpark and weather conditions. A start at T-Mobile Park, where the marine layer can limit the carry on fly balls, is ideal for his pitching profile. Boyd's numbers haven't been great this season, but many of his poor outings have come at Wrigley Field. On the road, he's sporting a 2.57 ERA with just two home runs allowed, compared to 11 home runs allowed at Wrigley. The Cubs are trading at 51 cents on Polymarket, but I make them closer to a 54-cent favorite.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.