MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 12, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

5.44 @ 4.65

MIN
MIN logo
MIN

Orioles vs Twins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

5.44

-102

o8.5 -118

+1.5 -238

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.65

-105

u9.0 -119

-1.5 +175

Philadelphia @ St. Louis
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.59 @ 4.29

STL
STL logo
STL

Phillies vs Cardinals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.59

-155

o7.5 -120

-1.5 +110

STL logo
STL
STL

4.29

+147

u8.0 -108

+1.5 -115

Tampa Bay @ Athletics
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TB logo
TB
TB

5.88 @ 4.89

ATH
ATH logo
ATH

Rays vs Athletics · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

5.88

-200

o9.5 +105

-1.5 -125

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

4.89

+193

u9.5 -115

+1.5 +115

Top Projection Tyler Soderstrom o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+215
Colorado @ Arizona
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

COL logo
COL
COL

4.60 @ 5.50

AZ
AZ logo
AZ

Rockies vs Diamondbacks · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

COL logo
COL
COL

4.60

+162

o9.0 -125

+1.5 -125

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

5.50

-167

u9.5 -112

-1.5 +123

Top Projection Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
o1.5+140
Houston @ San Francisco
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

5.26 @ 4.22

SF
SF logo
SF

Astros vs Giants · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

5.26

-138

o8.5 +105

-1.5 +120

SF logo
SF
SF

4.22

+135

u8.5 -112

+1.5 -130

Top Projection Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+220
Milwaukee @ San Diego
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.81 @ 4.41

SD
SD logo
SD

Brewers vs Padres · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.81

-112

o7.5 -120

-1.5 +150

SD logo
SD
SD

4.41

+105

u8.5 -130

+1.5 -160

Top Projection Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5+190
Cleveland @ Detroit
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.32 @ 4.36

DET
DET logo
DET

Guardians vs Tigers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.32

+112

o8.0 -110

+1.5 -180

DET logo
DET
DET

4.36

-118

u8.5 -115

-1.5 +172

Top Projection Rhys Hoskins o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5+233
Pittsburgh @ Miami
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.28 @ 4.24

MIA
MIA logo
MIA

Pirates vs Marlins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.28

+106

o8.0 -114

+1.5 -220

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.24

-110

u8.5 -115

-1.5 +165

Top Projection Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+216)
o0.5+216
Chi. Cubs @ Washington
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

5.51 @ 4.10

WAS
WAS logo
WAS

Cubs vs Nationals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

5.51

-154

o9.5 +105

-1.5 +105

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.10

+148

u9.5 -110

+1.5 -115

Top Projection Dansby Swanson o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
o1.5+155
Seattle @ NY Yankees
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

5.14 @ 5.13

NYY
NYY logo
NYY

Mariners vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

5.14

+119

o8.5 -112

+1.5 -170

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

5.13

-124

u8.5 +105

-1.5 +165

Top Projection Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+220
Boston @ Toronto
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.40 @ 4.05

TOR
TOR logo
TOR

Red Sox vs Blue Jays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.40

-118

o7.0 -120

-1.5 +145

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.05

+111

u7.5 -120

+1.5 -155

Top Projection Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+220
NY Mets @ Atlanta
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.84 @ 5.64

ATL
ATL logo
ATL

Mets vs Braves · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.84

+145

o6.0 -500

+1.5 -140

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

5.64

-153

u9.0 -125

-1.5 +135

Top Projection Marcus Semien o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
o1.5+190
Cincinnati @ Chi. White Sox
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.90 @ 5.39

CHW
CHW logo
CHW

Reds vs White Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.90

+130

o8.5 -115

+1.5 -155

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

5.39

-138

u9.0 -119

-1.5 +145

Top Projection Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total RBIs (+146)
o0.5+146
Texas @ LA Angels
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

5.02 @ 4.46

LAA
LAA logo
LAA

Rangers vs Angels · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

5.02

-130

o8.5 -120

-1.5 +125

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

4.46

+125

u9.0 -110

+1.5 -135

Top Projection Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
o1.5+165
Kansas City @ LA Dodgers
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

KC logo
KC
KC

4.53 @ 5.93

LAD
LAD logo
LAD

Royals vs Dodgers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

KC logo
KC
KC

4.53

+205

o9.0 -120

+1.5 -110

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

5.93

-200

u9.5 -120

-1.5 +100

Cleveland @ Detroit
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.97 @ 4.23

DET
DET logo
DET

Guardians vs Tigers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.97

--

--

--

DET logo
DET
DET

4.23

--

--

--

Pittsburgh @ Miami
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.39 @ 3.75

MIA
MIA logo
MIA

Pirates vs Marlins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.39

--

--

--

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

3.75

--

--

--

Seattle @ NY Yankees
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.26 @ 4.79

NYY
NYY logo
NYY

Mariners vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.26

--

--

--

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

4.79

--

--

--

Cincinnati @ Chi. White Sox
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.86 @ 4.59

CHW
CHW logo
CHW

Reds vs White Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.86

--

--

--

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.59

--

--

--

Boston @ Toronto
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

5.21 @ 4.27

TOR
TOR logo
TOR

Red Sox vs Blue Jays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

5.21

--

--

--

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.27

--

--

--

Chi. Cubs @ Washington
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

5.31 @ 4.23

WAS
WAS logo
WAS

Cubs vs Nationals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

5.31

--

--

--

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.23

--

--

--

Philadelphia @ Minnesota
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.03 @ 4.64

MIN
MIN logo
MIN

Phillies vs Twins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.03

--

--

--

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.64

--

--

--

Texas @ LA Angels
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.41 @ 3.48

LAA
LAA logo
LAA

Rangers vs Angels · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.41

--

--

--

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

3.48

--

--

--

Milwaukee @ LA Dodgers
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.13 @ 5.05

LAD
LAD logo
LAD

Brewers vs Dodgers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.13

--

--

--

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

5.05

--

--

--

Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Wed, Aug 12 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Luke Keaschall logo
Luke Keaschall o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1400)
Projection 0.09
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Luke Keaschall is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 85°.. Luke Keaschall will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Luke Keaschall has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.9-mph average to last year's 87.8-mph average.
Total Home Runs
Carlos Narvaez logo
Carlos Narvaez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1000)
Projection 0.12
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 85°.. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.8°, Carlos Narvaez has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 29.7° figure in the last two weeks.. Compared to last season, Carlos Narvaez has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13.8% to 21.1% this season.. Carlos Narvaez has been unlucky this year, putting up a .238 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .287 — a .049 deviation.
View 10 Picks
Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Wed, Aug 12 • 2:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kyle Schwarber logo Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total Home Runs (+291)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Kyle Schwarber brings real home run upside with a .333 ISO, two homers, a 50% hard-hit rate, and an 18.8% barrel rate over the last week. Leahy has allowed plenty of hard contact lately, while the Cardinals bullpen is giving up air contact. Schwarber has a clear power path.

Total
Philadelphia Phillies logo St. Louis Cardinals logo o7.5 (-121)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

The Over 7.5 has value with both offenses in decent form and neither bullpen looking especially reliable. Philadelphia’s relief corps owns a 4.58 FIP lately, while St. Louis’ pen has a 5.15 xERA with major walk issues. Hot Busch Stadium weather only adds to the scoring path today.

View 13 Picks
Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Wed, Aug 12 • 3:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Tyler Soderstrom logo
Tyler Soderstrom o1.5 Total Bases (+151)
Projection 2.01
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Soderstrom in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Tyler Soderstrom is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. Sutter Health Park profiles as the #1 stadium in MLB for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 4th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Liam Hicks logo
Liam Hicks o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Liam Hicks is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Sutter Health Park profiles as the #1 stadium in MLB for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 4th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Perkins throws from, Liam Hicks will have an edge today.
View 10 Picks
Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Wed, Aug 12 • 3:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Hunter Goodman projects as the 13th-best home run batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. Chase Field profiles as the #3 park in the majors for overall righty offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Power-wise, Hunter Goodman has performed in the 100th percentile, having averaged 44.2 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.
Total Bases
Mickey Moniak logo
Mickey Moniak o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Mickey Moniak is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in the game for boosting offensive stats to lefties.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an advantage in today's game.
View 10 Picks
Houston Astros logo HOU @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Wed, Aug 12 • 3:45 PM ET
Total RBIs
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB.. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. In the majors, Oracle Park's right field dimensions are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Taylor Trammell logo
Taylor Trammell u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Taylor Trammell's batting average ability is projected to be in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #4 field in the league for suppressing home runs to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.. In MLB, the tallest fence height (on average) are at Oracle Park.. Oracle Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
View 10 Picks
Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ San Diego Padres logo SD Wed, Aug 12 • 4:10 PM ET
Total
Milwaukee Brewers logo San Diego Padres logo u8.5 (-121)
Best Odds
Pick made: 35 minutes ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

The Under 8.5 leans on elite bullpen form and Milwaukee’s limited power. San Diego’s pen owns a 2.26 FIP over its last 26.2 innings, while Milwaukee’s bullpen has a 2.84 FIP and 0.34 HR/9 lately. Even with Padres power, late scoring may be tough to find today at Petco Park.

Moneyline
San Diego Padres logo SD (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 35 minutes ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

San Diego has the better offensive profile with a 125 wRC+ over the last seven games, while Milwaukee owns just a 92 wRC+ against lefties and over the last week. Robbie Ray’s pre-trade form was strong, and Dustin May’s recent xERA gives the Padres a clear path at home today.

View 14 Picks
Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Wed, Aug 12 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Kevin McGonigle logo
Kevin McGonigle o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin McGonigle in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Kevin McGonigle is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output.. Kevin McGonigle will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases
Eduardo Valencia logo
Eduardo Valencia u1.5 Total Bases (-165)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 30 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Eduardo Valencia is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.. In the majors, Comerica Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.
View 11 Picks
Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Wed, Aug 12 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Esmerlyn Valdez logo
Esmerlyn Valdez u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.76
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Esmerlyn Valdez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (74% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today's game.. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #30 venue in baseball for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game -9° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching.. Janson Junk will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Esmerlyn Valdez in today's game.
Total Bases
Jakob Marsee logo
Jakob Marsee u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.76
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jakob Marsee in the 25th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.. LoanDepot Park has the 4th-deepest right field fences in the majors.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game -9° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching.
View 10 Picks
Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Wed, Aug 12 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Carson Kelly logo
Carson Kelly o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Carson Kelly has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (72% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for long-balls.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°.. Carson Kelly will hold the platoon advantage over Jackson Kent in today's game.. By putting up a .340 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Carson Kelly has performed in the 77th percentile for offensive ability.
Total Bases
Dansby Swanson logo
Dansby Swanson o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for long-balls.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°.. Dansby Swanson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jackson Kent in today's matchup.. Dansby Swanson has been unlucky this year, compiling a .300 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .335 — a .035 deviation.
View 10 Picks
Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ New York Yankees logo NYY Wed, Aug 12 • 7:05 PM ET
Total
Seattle Mariners logo New York Yankees logo u8.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Seattle Mariners are toothless against righties, posting a .274 wOBA (28th) and 43.1 GB% (24th) the last 30 days.

The New York Yankees have hit for more power but rank dead last with a .194 batting average over the same span.

I make the total 7.8 and would bet to -125.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-130)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Will Warren has been incredibly unlucky the past month, with a strong 2.58 xFIP and 48.9% ground ball rate wiped out by an unsustainably high .389 BABIP and nearly 40% of baserunners scoring.

Bryce Miller owns a 5.24 xFIP over the same time while posting a 50% fly ball rate and allowing well over two homers per nine.

Both offenses are struggling, so I want to be on the side of the better pitching. 

Back New York to -140.

View 13 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Wed, Aug 12 • 7:07 PM ET
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox logo BOS (-126)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 hours ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

The Blue Jays have really struggled against Ranger Suarez, with Toronto hitters posting a lifetime .443 OPS across 60 at-bats. While Jose Soriano’s stuff can be electric, his control remains a concern, as he ranks in the 17th percentile in walk rate at Baseball Savant. I'm siding with Boston on the road.

Total Bases
Andruw Monasterio logo
Andruw Monasterio o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
Projection 1.34
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 6th-best venue in the league for right-handed home runs.. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.. Extreme flyball bats like Andruw Monasterio usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jose Soriano.. Andruw Monasterio has recorded a .298 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, checking in at the 77th percentile.
View 11 Picks
New York Mets logo NYM @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Wed, Aug 12 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Lane Thomas logo
Lane Thomas o1.5 Total Bases (+182)
Projection 1.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for boosting offensive stats to RHB.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 86°.. Batting from the opposite that Zach Thornton throws from, Lane Thomas will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Lane Thomas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Ronald Acuna Jr. logo
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2.04
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 6th-best hitter in the game.. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for boosting offensive stats to RHB.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 86°.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Wed, Aug 12 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Matt McLain logo
Matt McLain o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
Projection 1.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Matt McLain ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 8th-best venue in the league for RHB batting average.. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humidity on the schedule today at 81%.. Matt McLain has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.. Matt McLain's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 16% to 23%.
Total Bases
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 8th-best venue in the league for RHB batting average.. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humidity on the schedule today at 81%.. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (38.7% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Wed, Aug 12 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Hits
Wade Meckler logo
Wade Meckler u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #3 ballpark in MLB for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts the 4th-best pitching conditions of all games today.. Wade Meckler's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 91.6-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 68.7-mph in the past week's worth of games.. Wade Meckler's launch angle recently (1.9° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit lower than his 6.7° seasonal angle.. Wade Meckler has been cold of late, notching a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) over the past 14 days.
Total Bases
Wyatt Langford logo
Wyatt Langford o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Wyatt Langford is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. In Major League Baseball, Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for bats.. Among all the teams today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Angels.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Wed, Aug 12 • 10:10 PM ET
Spread
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD -1.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Daniel Lynch conceded three runs in less than two innings of work his first start. He will not give the Kansas City Royals much length, and he’ll be backed by the league’s worst bullpen in FIP.

Back the Los Angeles Dodgers bats to lead the way in a one-sided affair. Play to -115.

Total Home Runs
Shohei Ohtani logo Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Total Home Runs (+245)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Shohei Ohtani has hit .417 the past 10 games with a .333 ISO and 17.6% barrel rate.

Ohtani has homered in 29% of home games, and 34.5% when seeing a HR boost of at least 10%.

I like his chances of taking the Kansas City Royals deep, and would back him to +215.

View 13 Picks
St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Mon, Aug 17 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt logo
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.
Total RBIs
Nolan Gorman logo
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+153)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Because of Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Nolan Gorman will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 2 Picks

What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.