MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 26, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sun, Jul 26 • 12:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jonny DeLuca logo
Jonny DeLuca u1.5 Total Bases (-235)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -10° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among every team in action today.. Over the last two weeks, Jonny DeLuca's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 84 mph to 77.7 mph.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jonny DeLuca's true offensive talent to be a .291, indicating that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .029 gap between that mark and his actual .320 wOBA.. Using Statcast metrics, Jonny DeLuca is in the 16th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .244.
Total Home Runs
Kyle Manzardo logo
Kyle Manzardo o0.5 Total Home Runs (+800)
Projection 0.17
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 3rd-best field in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs.. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Batters such as Kyle Manzardo with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Drew Rasmussen who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. Kyle Manzardo has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 11.3% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past week's worth of games.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sun, Jul 26 • 1:35 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (+114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Ashcraft relies on chase (37.2%, 96th percentile), yet he draws a Chicago Cubs lineup that rarely expands the zone and owns an 11% walk rate. Taillon's fly-ball profile is better protected at PNC Park, especially with Pete Crow-Armstrong's +20 Outs Above Average patrolling center, while Pittsburgh's corner outfield defense sits at a combined -8 OAA. Add in a Pirates lineup that chases enough to feed Taillon's sweeper, and I play the Cubs to -105 today.

Total
Chicago Cubs logo Pittsburgh Pirates logo o8.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Taillon carries a 14.4 percent barrel rate with 22 home runs in 72 innings and rarely sees the sixth.
Ashcraft allows a 90.5 mph average exit velocity against a Cubs lineup, walking 12.4 percent over the past two weeks. That puts this in the bullpens early, and Pittsburgh's relievers have walked 10.4 percent over the same stretch after emptying out Saturday night. Scoring runs is what these teams do when they meet, as the Over is 7-3 in their last 10 games and I’d play this to -130.

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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sun, Jul 26 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
George Springer logo
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. George Springer is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. The shallowest left field fences in the majors are found in Fenway Park.. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, George Springer will have an advantage today.
Total RBIs
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total RBIs (+191)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kazuma Okamoto in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Kazuma Okamoto is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Kazuma Okamoto will have the upper hand today.. Kazuma Okamoto pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sun, Jul 26 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jackson Holliday logo
Jackson Holliday o1.5 Total Bases (+265)
Projection 1.46
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. The #6 field in the league for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Jackson Holliday will have the handedness advantage against Reynaldo Lopez in today's game.. Extreme flyball batters like Jackson Holliday usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Reynaldo Lopez.. Jackson Holliday will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases
Austin Riley logo
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. The #6 field in the league for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Austin Riley hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.. In the past week, Austin Riley's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.2% up to 33.3%.. Austin Riley has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.7-mph to 101.8-mph over the past 7 days.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sun, Jul 26 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Andres Chaparro logo
Andres Chaparro u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Andres Chaparro's BABIP talent is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Andres Chaparro has been pulled from the game early 71% of the time when starting against a lefty on the mound this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst park in baseball for RHB batting average.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Total Bases
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.04
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. In Major League Baseball, Nationals Park's RF fences are the 10th-shallowest.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so James Wood has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Sun, Jul 26 • 1:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+159)
Projection 0.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 36 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. Among all major league parks, LoanDepot Park's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.. Manny Machado has made substantial strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.2% seasonal rate to 25% over the last week.. Manny Machado has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 97.1-mph in the last week.
Total RBIs
Jackson Merrill logo
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total RBIs (+181)
Projection 0.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 36 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. Jackson Merrill will have the handedness advantage over Janson Junk in today's matchup.. Over the past week, Jackson Merrill's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.7% up to 27.8%.. Jackson Merrill has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.8-mph EV.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ New York Mets logo NYM Sun, Jul 26 • 1:40 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Spread
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD -1.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Freddy Peralta owns a 5.49 ERA over eight starts against opponents ranking Top-10 in avoiding punchouts, and the Los Angeles Dodgers sit fifth.

Emmet Sheehan owns a 27.1 K% and 1.15 WHIP over the last month, and will be tough to crack.

Back LA on the RL to -115.

Total
Los Angeles Dodgers logo New York Mets logo u9.5 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Freddy Peralta has gone through his share of struggles but he has been much less vulnerable on home soil, with an ERA 2.28 runs lower.

The New York Mets rank 24th in average against righties at home since June 1.

While they have shown improvement of late, their inability to put the ball in the air will make it difficult to capitalize on Emmet Sheehan’s 14th percentile barrel rate.

Bet to -130.

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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Sun, Jul 26 • 1:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.6
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. On average, the fence height at Comerica Park is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the highest humidity of all games on the slate at 82%.. Extreme groundball hitters like Spencer Torkelson tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Luinder Avila.
Total RBIs
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
Projection 0.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. On average, the fence height at Comerica Park is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the highest humidity of all games on the slate at 82%.. Extreme groundball hitters like Spencer Torkelson tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Luinder Avila.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Sun, Jul 26 • 2:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Houston Astros logo HOU (-103)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

This matchup sits at flat pick 'em odds on the board. Houston’s bullpen leads the entire slate with an elite 23.4 percent K-BB rate over the last two weeks. Backing Ronel Blanco and the Astros at nearly even money against a struggling White Sox lineup (85 wRC+) offers strong value. 

Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-120)
Projection 2.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the game.. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the majors.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sun, Jul 26 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Andrew Vaughn logo
Andrew Vaughn o1.5 Total Bases (+108)
Projection 1.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Andrew Vaughn's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Andrew Vaughn is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. American Family Field grades out as the #9 venue in the game for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 4th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense.
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+182)
Projection 1.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Hunter Goodman projects as the 14th-best home run batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. American Family Field grades out as the #9 venue in the game for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 4th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sun, Jul 26 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Victor Caratini logo
Victor Caratini o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 31 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 93°.. Victor Caratini will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.. Victor Caratini's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, going from 16.5% on the season to 33.3% in the last week.. Victor Caratini is in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (50% rate this year).
Total Bases
Nick Kurtz logo
Nick Kurtz o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 31 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Nick Kurtz ranks as the 9th-best hitter in the game.. Nick Kurtz is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 93°.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sun, Jul 26 • 2:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Sal Stewart logo
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 31 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Sal Stewart ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Sal Stewart is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 89°.. Sal Stewart has notched a .388 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 99th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total Bases
Edwin Arroyo logo
Edwin Arroyo o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
Projection 1.36
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Among all major league stadiums, Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 89°.. Edwin Arroyo's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, going from 61.6% on the season to 77.8% over the last 14 days.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Sun, Jul 26 • 2:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Seattle Mariners logo SEA (-107)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Betting against Jacob deGrom requires caution, but Texas’s overall bullpen metrics have cratered recently, sitting at a 166 ERA- and 5.15 xFIP. Seattle’s pitching group remains far more reliable with Logan Gilbert taking the ball. Getting Seattle near pick 'em odds (-104) offers strong value.

Total Bases
Wyatt Langford logo
Wyatt Langford o1.5 Total Bases (+146)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 30 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. In the league, Globe Life Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among all the teams today.. Wyatt Langford will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sun, Jul 26 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Logan O'Hoppe logo
Logan O'Hoppe o1.5 Total Bases (+173)
Projection 1.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 30 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Logan O'Hoppe ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters.. Logan O'Hoppe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carson Whisenhunt in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Logan O'Hoppe's true offensive ability to be a .314, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .057 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .257 wOBA.. Posting a 28.200 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Logan O'Hoppe finds himself in the 86th percentile for power.
Total Bases
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 6th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters.. Mike Trout will hold the platoon advantage over Carson Whisenhunt in today's game.. With a .358 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Mike Trout is positioned in the 88th percentile for offensive skills.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Sun, Jul 26 • 7:20 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.96
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 11th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Given Will Warren's large platoon split, Bryce Harper will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+173)
Projection 0.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 11th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Given Will Warren's large platoon split, Bryce Harper will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 1 Computer Pick
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.