MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 2, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, May 2 • 1:35 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 3 Computer Picks
Total
Baltimore Orioles logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

It’s past time for Ryan Weathers to come down to earth. His xERA of 4.63 is nearly a full run and a half over his actual. What’s pushing that expected number the most is a poor hard-hit rate and barrel rate that both rank in the Bottom 25 percentile of the sport. This Orioles lineup isn’t overwhelming with power, but the likes of Pete Alonso, Gunnar Henderson and Adley Rutschman should still be enough to punish here. 

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-163)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

Kyle Bradish's arsenal is a problem against this New York Yankees lineup. His fastball, breaking ball, and overall pitching run value all grade in the Bottom 15th percentile, and his walk rate sits in the 24th percentile, meaning he is going to put runners on base. That's a problem against such a potent offense.

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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sat, May 2 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Total Bases
George Springer logo
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+126)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), George Springer ranks as the 19th-best batter in baseball.. George Springer is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The #8 field in the league for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters.
Total Bases
Matt Wallner logo
Matt Wallner u1.5 Total Bases (-319)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Matt Wallner is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.. Target Field has the 10th-deepest CF dimensions among all stadiums.. Target Field has the 5th-highest fences among all stadiums.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-driest conditions on the slate at 28%.. Matt Wallner has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph dropping to 87.3-mph in the past week's worth of games.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Sat, May 2 • 2:20 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Corbin Carroll logo
Corbin Carroll u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Wrigley Field grades out as the #28 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather report calls for the best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Shota Imanaga will hold the platoon advantage over Corbin Carroll today.. In today's matchup, Corbin Carroll is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.1% rate (83rd percentile).
Total Bases
Ian Happ logo
Ian Happ u1.5 Total Bases (-230)
Projection 0.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Wrigley Field grades out as the #28 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Wrigley Field has the 5th-deepest right field fences among all parks.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather report calls for the best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sat, May 2 • 4:05 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+184)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Carmen Mlodzinski.
Total RBIs
Spencer Horwitz logo
Spencer Horwitz o0.5 Total RBIs (+252)
Projection 0.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Spencer Horwitz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rhett Lowder in today's matchup.. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Spencer Horwitz will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sat, May 2 • 4:05 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Brady House logo
Brady House o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+130)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Brady House is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Brady House will have an edge in today's matchup.. Brady House has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.. Hitters such as Brady House with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Kyle Harrison who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sat, May 2 • 7:15 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker u0.5 Total Hits (+182)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-best pitching conditions of the day.. Roki Sasaki will hold the platoon advantage against Jordan Walker today.. Compared to his seasonal figure of 12.7°, Jordan Walker has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.6°) over the past two weeks.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.208) implies that Jordan Walker has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .232 actual batting average.. In notching a .273 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jordan Walker has performed in the 8th percentile for offensive skills.
Total RBIs
Ivan Herrera logo
Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (+224)
Projection 0.48
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Ivan Herrera will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.. Ivan Herrera has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 9.3% seasonal rate to 15.2% over the last 14 days.
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