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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 18, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.99 |
-106 
|
o8.5 -110 
|
-1.5 +155
|
|
4.28 |
+100 
|
u8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -165
|
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 6-1 in Rodons last 7 starts as a road favorite.
- Yankees are 6-1 in Rodons last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 10-1 in Yankees last 11 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 5-1 in Rodons last 6 starts on grass.
Baltimore
- Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 7-1 in Orioles last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Orioles are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Leody Taveras o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1100)
o0.5+1100
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.71 |
+180 
|
o8.0 -112
|
+1.5 -125
|
|
4.77 |
-180
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +120 
|
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Whisenhunts last 4 starts as an underdog.
Cleveland
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 on grass.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Rhys Hoskins o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
o0.5+202
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.07 |
+143
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -145
|
|
5.24 |
-150
|
u8.5 -130
|
-1.5 +145 
|
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Monteros last 6 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Monteros last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Tigers are 4-0 in Monteros last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 7-0 in Ashcrafts last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 9-0 in Ashcrafts last 9 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Pirates last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
o0.5+165
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.38 |
+121
|
o7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
3.70 |
-126
|
u8.0 -155 
|
-1.5 +170
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 9-0 in their last 9 games following a loss.
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 on fieldturf.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 vs. American League East.
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 6-0 in Martinezs last 6 starts vs. American League East.
- Rays are 5-0 in Martinezs last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 5-0 in Martinezs last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Rays are 4-0 in Martinezs last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+179)
o0.5+180
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.97 |
-112
|
o8.5 -118 
|
-1.5 +145
|
|
4.73 |
+105
|
u9.0 -114
|
+1.5 -155
|
St. Louis
- Under is 8-0-1 in Leahys last 9 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Leahys last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Leahys last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Cardinals are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Reds last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+198)
o0.5+198
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.96 |
+195
|
o8.0 -117
|
+1.5 -113
|
|
5.63 |
-195
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +105
|
Miami
- Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 8-1 in Marlins last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 11-1 in Marlins last 12 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Philadelphia
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-0 in Phillies last 6 home games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-0 in Phillies last 6 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+162)
o0.5+162
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.81 |
+152
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
4.93 |
-159
|
u7.5 +100
|
-1.5 +135
|
Arizona
- Under is 8-0 in Kellys last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 8-0 in Kellys last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 6-0 in Kellys last 6 starts as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Kellys last 5 starts as a favorite.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Suarezs last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Suarezs last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+219)
o0.5+219
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.76 |
-110
|
o8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.72 |
+105
|
u8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -160
|
San Diego
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 games following a loss.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 8-2 in Padres last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
NY Mets
- Under is 6-0 in Mets last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Top Projection
Luis Robert Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+213)
o0.5+213
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.62 |
+147
|
o6.5 -375
|
+3.5 -455
|
|
5.00 |
-155
|
u9.0 -102
|
-3.5 +270
|
Athletics
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Perkins' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 games following a loss.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 home games.
Top Projection
Lawrence Butler o0.5 Total RBIs (+218)
o0.5+218
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.46 |
-135
|
o8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +120
|
|
4.58 |
+130
|
u9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -130
|
Atlanta
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 7-1 in Braves last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 games as a favorite.
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0-1 in Matthews' last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 8-1-1 in Twins last 10 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 8-1 in Matthews' last 9 starts during game 2 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.39 |
+155
|
o7.5 -115
|
+3.5 -500
|
|
4.51 |
-164
|
u7.5 +100
|
-3.5 +290
|
Seattle
- Under is 5-0-1 in Millers last 6 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Millers last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Millers last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Milwaukee
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 vs. American League West.
- Brewers are 4-0 in Harrisons last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Harrisons last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
o0.5+255
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.13 |
+138
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.40 |
-142
|
u8.0 -120
|
-1.5 +140
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 road games.
- Over is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 games as a favorite.
Texas
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Brady House o0.5 Total RBIs (+268)
o0.5+268
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.53 |
+160
|
o9.0 -121
|
+2.0 -195
|
|
5.52 |
-168
|
u9.5 -115
|
-2.0 +155
|
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cubs last 8 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 interleague games.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+148)
o0.5+155
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.47 |
+148
|
o9.0 -118
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
5.22 |
-155
|
u9.5 -120
|
-1.5 +126
|
LA Angels
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. American League West.
- Under is 9-1 in Angels last 10 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 road games.
- Under is 8-1 in Angels last 9 games following a loss.
Houston
- Over is 4-0 in Javiers last 4 starts with 8 or more days of rest.
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-2 in Astros last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.
Top Projection
Josh Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)
o0.5+275
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7.40 |
-184
|
o11.5 -105
|
-1.5 -120
|
|
6.03 |
+177
|
u11.5 -105
|
+1.5 +115
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 7-0 in Lauers last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Lauers last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Lauers last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 5-0 in Lauers last 5 road starts.
Colorado
- Over is 4-0 in Feltners last 4 starts vs. National League West.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Rockies last 9 games a home underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Feltners last 7 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-1 in Feltners last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Willi Castro o0.5 Total RBIs (+149)
o0.5+149
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.81 |
+130
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
|
4.74 |
-140
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +150
|
Detroit
- Tigers are 6-0 in Jobes last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Tigers are 6-0 in Jobes last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Tigers are 6-0 in Jobes last 6 road starts.
Pittsburgh
- Over is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Pirates last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.54 |
-125
|
o8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +135 
|
|
|
4.81 |
+120
|
u8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -140
|
San Diego
- Over is 5-0 in Kings last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 8-2 in Padres last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Kings last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 7-3 in Padres last 10 vs. National League East.
NY Mets
- Under is 6-0 in Mets last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Stocks last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.82 |
-102
|
o8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +155
|
|
|
3.93 |
-105
|
u9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -165
|
Atlanta
- Braves are 11-0 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Sales last 4 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Sales last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Minnesota
- Under is 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Bradleys last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Bradleys last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Bradleys last 4 home starts.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.01 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.60 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 interleague games.
- Over is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.20 |
+130
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
|
5.14 |
-140
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +146
|
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Pfaadts last 5 road starts.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Pfaadts last 4 starts as a road underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Pfaadts last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 8-1 in Pfaadts last 9 starts on grass.
Boston
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Tolles last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Tolles last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.78 |
+114
|
o8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
|
5.43 |
-120
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +165
|
Miami
- Under is 8-0 in Alcantaras last 8 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Alcantaras last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Alcantaras last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Philadelphia
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0-2 in Nolas last 8 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-0 in Phillies last 6 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.79 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.85 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 4-0 in Frieds last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 10-1 in Yankees last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Baltimore
- Over is 7-0 in Bassitts last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 7-0 in Bassitts last 7 starts on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.64 |
+193
|
o7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -115
|
|
|
4.67 |
-200
|
u8.0 -120
|
-1.5 +106
|
Toronto
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 on fieldturf.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 vs. American League East.
Tampa Bay
- Over is 7-0-1 in Rasmussens last 8 starts vs. American League East.
- Rays are 5-0 in Rasmussens last 5 starts.
- Over is 6-1 in Rays last 7 overall.
- Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.50 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.02 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1-3 in Giants last 8 games as a road underdog.
Cleveland
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Guardians are 7-1 in Messicks last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Guardians are 6-1 in Messicks last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.39 |
+124
|
o8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
|
4.79 |
-130
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +155
|
St. Louis
- Over is 4-0 in Liberatores last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Liberatores last 6 starts as a road underdog.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 during game 4 of a series.
- Reds are 4-0 in Burns' last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 road games.
- are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 home games.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+115
|
o7.0 -135
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
|
-- |
-122
|
u7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +180
|
Seattle
- Under is 3-0-2 in Mariners last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Gilberts last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0 in Gilberts last 4 interleague starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
Milwaukee
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 vs. American League West.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Brewers last 7 home games.
- Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+110
|
o7.5 -114
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
|
-- |
-126
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +176
|
Washington
- Over is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 road games.
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 games as an underdog.
- Nationals are 7-0 in Cavallis last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
Texas
- Under is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+147
|
o8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
|
-- |
-155
|
u8.5 +100
|
-1.5 +130
|
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. American League West.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 road games.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
Houston
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-2 in Astros last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 7-2 in their last 9 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-180
|
o11.0 -114
|
-1.5 -120
|
|
|
-- |
+170
|
u11.5 -110
|
+1.5 +110
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 6-0 in Sasakis last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 9-1 in Sasakis last 10 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Colorado
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Rockies last 9 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 vs. National League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Under is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 on grass.
- Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 during game 5 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 on fieldturf.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 during game 3 of a series.
Tampa Bay
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rays last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Rays last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Roupps last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Roupps last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 overall.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 5-0 in Williams' last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Williams' last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
- are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Seattle
- Over is 6-0-2 in Kirbys last 8 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Mariners are 4-0 in Kirbys last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 6-0 in Gassers last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 vs. American League West.
- Brewers are 5-0 in Gassers last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.03 |
-115
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.81 |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
Atlanta
- Over is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 6-1 in Braves last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Braves last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Top Projection
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+170
NYY
@
BAL
Tue, Aug 18 • 6:35 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Pete Alonso o0.5 Total Home Runs (+414)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
The Polar Bear has found his stroke, with five homers over his last eight games, and he’s one of a handful of hitters showing +EV for a dinger Tuesday at +390 or better. He gets the righty-vs.-lefty matchup against Carlos Rodón, who is returning from the IL and could have only a 70-pitch leash. Rodón also allowed four homers across his five rehab appearances.
It’s a hot bat in a good matchup at a price that isn’t representative of the projected outcome.
Strikeouts Thrown
Carlos Rodon u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+127)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
Carlos Rodón is making his first start since late June, but he threw just 58 pitches in his final rehab start, making a projected pitch count around 70 or fewer likely. Getting to five punchouts on that short of a leash in his first start back is worth the Under at plus money. His projection is 4.47 Ks on 69 pitches. Rodón's K prop when healthy with a decent 95-pitch leash was just 5.5 strikeouts. Thirty pitches is massive, and one K difference is enough to swing this number. This should be shorter than a dollar for Under 4.5 Ks today, especially with the Yankees coming off a day off and having a full, fresh bullpen.
SF
@
CLE
Tue, Aug 18 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Rhys Hoskins o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Rhys Hoskins is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for right-handed BABIP.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense.. Rhys Hoskins will hold the platoon advantage against Carson Whisenhunt in today's game.. Rhys Hoskins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.4% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+197)
Projection 0.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The #2 ballpark in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense.. Rafael Devers has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
DET
@
PIT
Tue, Aug 18 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Max Clark u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.85
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Maxwell Clark is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.. PNC Park ranks as the #28 field in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park has the 6th-highest average fence height in MLB.. Maxwell Clark has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Maxwell Clark will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oneil Cruz projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage against Keider Montero in today's matchup.. Oneil Cruz has a ton of pop (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (30.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Keider Montero struggles to strike batters out (8th percentile K%) — great news for Cruz.. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.
TOR
@
TB
Tue, Aug 18 • 6:40 PM ET
Outs Recorded
Nick Martinez u17.5 Outs Recorded (+129)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
The Rays starter is coming off a hefty 101-pitch complete game, well above his season averages. Nick Martinez was averaging just 81.5 pitches per start over his previous 10 outings before the 27-out performance. Only once during that 10-game stretch had Martinez thrown more than 85 pitches. The Jays are playing winning baseball right now and are a low-K team that can force Martinez to work. Toronto has also seen Martinez twice already this season, giving them a familiarity edge. The projections are calling for 85 pitches and fewer than 17 outs, and that doesn't account for the season-high workload from his last start. The break-even price is -110 here.
Moneyline
TOR (+120)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
The Blue Jays finally had a day off yesterday after a stretch of 17 straight games. Over that stretch, Toronto posted the best team ERA in baseball and went 11-6 SU against some of the best teams in baseball. THE BAT has the Jays as a -125 favorite, but they’re trading at just +120, making this the best +EV play on the board today, according to the projection. The Jays also have a rested bullpen, while the Rays could be down two arms, including closer Bryan Baker, who threw 21 pitches yesterday and has pitched in two of the last three days. Their best lefty, Cam Booser, is also unavailable. Tampa Bay used Baker to close Monday's 7-6 win over Baltimore. Even with Vlad Guerrero on the shelf, Toronto can still win this game on pitching alone. Nick Martinez is coming off a 101-pitch complete game, his season high, which could affect his efficiency today. Jose Soriano has also looked good since coming over from the Halos
STL
@
CIN
Tue, Aug 18 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
JB
Joshua Baez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+442)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Joshua Baez homered three times in his MLB debut, and all of those bombs came off left-hander Matthew Boyd. While the youngster hasn't done much since that contest, the success against lefties is hard to ignore with Abbott taking the hill. Also, 58.3% of his contact has been in the air since being promoted to the big leagues, and Baez has a 75% hard-hit rate. Abbott has allowed 1.22 HR/9 to right-handed batters this season, and a 51.5% fly ball rate. This matchup is a great chance for Baez to smack No. 4.
Total
u8.5 (-103)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Under 8.5 leans on Cincinnati’s struggling offense and both bullpens holding their own. The Reds have managed a 64 wRC+ over their last eight games, while St. Louis should face a strong Cincinnati relief corps once Abbott exits. With Leahy dealing, this matchup has a lower-scoring path tonight.
MIA
@
PHI
Tue, Aug 18 • 6:40 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (+105)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Runs could be on the horizon in this matchup, as both offenses enter the evening swinging hot bats. More than half of the Marlins lineup hits from the left side, which creates a favorable matchup against Zack Wheeler. In his last three outings against left-handed hitters, Wheeler owns a 6.75 ERA, 5.78 xERA, 6.05 xFIP and 15.2% walk rate. Tyler Phillips has also struggled on the road, posting a near 6.00 ERA and 1.51 WHIP. With both offenses rolling, I expect another high-scoring affair after 11 runs crossed the plate last night.
Moneyline
MIA (+197)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
The Marlins look like an intriguing underdog Tuesday after a narrow 6-5 loss to the Phillies last night. Miami's offense has started to heat up, posting a 119 wRC+, .339 wOBA and .759 OPS over its last six games. That could spell trouble for Zack Wheeler, who has struggled over his last three outings, recording a 5.84 ERA, 1.62 WHIP and 10.34% walk rate. Philadelphia's offense has been excellent, but Miami has more hitters barreling the baseball right now. With Tyler Phillips struggling to hold things down, the Marlins offer an appealing price near two-to-one in this matchup.
AZ
@
BOS
Tue, Aug 18 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Willson Contreras o0.5 Total Home Runs (+474)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Willson Contreras has flashed power lately, going deep twice in his last six games with a .381 ISO. His history against Kelly adds appeal, going 7-for-13 with three doubles and a homer. Kelly has battled long-ball issues, including 1.38 HR/9 on the road, giving Contreras a clear power path tonight.
Total Home Runs
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total Home Runs (+425)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
It's tough to find a hotter hitter this month than Boston's Wilyer Abreu. The lefty bat leads the league in slugging and xwOBA this month, and sits second in ISO. The HardHit% over that stretch is at a Dinger-sexy 62.5%, which is only behind three other hitters. The form is there, and the matchup is the deciding factor. Merrill Kelly has been hit hard all season and ranks in the bottom 25 in HR/FB and HR/9 among MLB starters. He is one of a handful of pitchers who ranks in the bottom 25 in all four of my favorite fade categories, which include HR/9, HR/FB, HardHit%, and BlastCont%. It's a great price in an average matchup, but this is elite form vs. a hit-hard pitcher and a number I'd buy to +350.
SD
@
NYM
Tue, Aug 18 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Bo Bichette o0.5 Total Home Runs (+474)
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst
The Mets infielder has never homered against Ray, but he has three doubles in the last six plate appearances he’s faced him. He’s also swinging a hot bat with a 1.046 OPS and an OPS+ 92% over league average the last two weeks. Ray has been relying on his breaking stuff, which is 78th percentile in MLB. Bichette is hitting .282 with .448 slugging against breaking balls this year. He also has a .897 OPS when ahead in the count and .978 with three balls. That spells trouble for Ray, who is just 14th percentile in walk rate.
Total
u8.5 (-103)
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst
ATH
@
KC
Tue, Aug 18 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Jac Caglianone o1.5 Total Bases (+104)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Jac Caglianone draws an elite matchup Tuesday against Athletics right-hander Jack Perkins, covering 99% of his pitch mix while carrying an elite Batters-Box rating. Caglianone has recorded a hit in 68% of his 25 elite ratings this season, while going over this prop 52% of the time. He has also been crushing the baseball over his last 10 games, posting an .872 SLG, .385 ISO, 50% hard-hit rate and 14.7% barrel rate. Perkins has struggled against lefties, allowing a 54.5% hard-hit rate and 18.2% barrel rate. At plus money for two bases, this price is simply too good to pass up.
Total Bases
Max Muncy o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Max Muncy ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the highest temperatures of all games today at 88°.. Max Muncy has big-time power (75th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (31% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Daniel Lynch struggles to strike batters out (7th percentile K%) — great news for Muncy.
ATL
@
MIN
Tue, Aug 18 • 7:40 PM ET
Earned Runs Allowed
Zebby Matthews o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-137)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
The Twins right hander owns one of the worst pitcher ratings on Batters-Box, along with poor matchup ratings across ISO, wOBA, hard contact, and ground ball rate. Over his last three starts, Matthews has posted a 6.00 ERA and 1.53 WHIP while allowing a massive 63% hard-hit rate. With Matt Olson and Austin Riley barreling the ball, Atlanta should find success early.
Total Home Runs
Drake Baldwin o0.5 Total Home Runs (+350)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Drake Baldwin leads the team in average exit velocity (95.8 MPH) while ranking second in hard hit rate over the past 20 games.
Zebby Matthews has allowed a .202 ISO and 1.71 HR/9 to lefties, making this a great spot for Baldwin to get back in the home run column.
Bet to +325.
SEA
@
MIL
Tue, Aug 18 • 7:40 PM ET
Moneyline
MIL (-168)
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst
Milwaukee has a major pitching edge at home, where it is 12-4 since the All-Star break. Kyle Harrison owns a 1.38 ERA across 10 home starts and is backed by a bullpen ranked third in ERA over the last two weeks. Bryce Miller has allowed nine runs in two August starts, while Seattle’s bullpen has been a disgrace, posting an MLB-worst 7.17 ERA over the last two weeks.
Total Home Runs
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total Home Runs (+474)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Jackson Chourio brings strong power appeal with four homers in his last 13 games, plus a 60% hard-hit rate and 17.1% barrel rate. He has done most damage against righties and at home, while Miller’s recent HR issues and Seattle’s vulnerable bullpen give him multiple paths to leave the yard.
WAS
@
TEX
Tue, Aug 18 • 8:05 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Cal Quantrill o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-110)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
How about this low number on Cal Quantrill, who oddsmakers might be underestimating in terms of his potential pitch count? Two games ago, Quantrill was in the Texas bullpen, but he was stretched out to 91 pitches in his first start after returning to the rotation. He put up six Ks against the Halos, who have a 26.7% K% this month, and could match those numbers again today against the Nats. Washington's 24.7% K% this month is the seventh-worst mark in baseball, and Quantrill should be able to push 15 to 18 outs today on a 90-plus-pitch leash. His Over projects +EV, with THE BAT projecting just 82 pitches, and that pitch count could certainly be short. This is a fair price of -130 based on that low 82-pitch projection.
Total RBIs
Brady House o0.5 Total RBIs (+268)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Brady House is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 2nd-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Brady House has made notable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 4.7% rate last season to 11.3% this year.. Brady House has notched a .318 BABIP this year, placing in the 76th percentile.
CHW
@
CHC
Tue, Aug 18 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Hits
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total Hits (-160)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Over his last 10 games, the White Sox rookie owns the highest hard-hit and barrel rates in baseball, according to Handigraphs. During that stretch, he also has a .667 SLG, .455 ISO and 25% ground-ball rate.
Total
o8.5 (-126)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Chicago Cubs rank third in wOBA and first in ISO during the month of August, and are certainly capable of making life difficult on a taxed bullpen.
While the Chicago White Sox haven’t hit for average, they have power that should play well at Wrigley with winds blowing out.
Bet to -135.
LAA
@
HOU
Tue, Aug 18 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Hits
Daulton Varsho u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 6th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Minute Maid Park profiles as the #27 ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.. Daulton Varsho pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.3% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 9th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena as the 18th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his batting average ability.. Jeremy Pena is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Jeremy Pena pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.. Out of every team playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Angels.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage in today's game.
LAD
@
COL
Tue, Aug 18 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total Home Runs (+475)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Kyle Tucker has been much more productive on the road, and there’s no better environment to hit than Coors Field.
Tucker has left the park in 19% of his away games vs. starting pitchers who rank in the 30th percentile or worse vs. lefties. Ryan Feltner sits in the 16th percentile.
I’d play Tucker down to +450.
Total
o11.5 (-115)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Los Angeles Dodgers haven’t been themselves of late and they still rank in the 99th percentile with a .426 xSLG against righties.
They’re set up to score in abundance against Ryan Felter, who owns a seventh percentile ranking in xSLG and will have nowhere to hide at Coors.
Eric Lauer has also struggled with the long ball (2.01 HR/9), and the Colorado Rockies rank third in home OPS.
Play to -122.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
