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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 1, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.07 |
-128 
|
o9.5 +100 
|
-1.5 +120
|
|
5.01 |
+125 
|
u9.5 -106 
|
+1.5 -130
|
San Diego
- Over is 6-0 in Vasquezs last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Vasquezs last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Vasquezs last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 overall.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Reds last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+215
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.09 |
+148
|
o7.5 +105
|
+1.5 -148
|
|
4.74 |
-150 
|
u7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +150
|
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0-2 in Giants last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Webbs last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Skenes' last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Pirates last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+223)
o0.5+223
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.16 |
+163
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
4.98 |
-170
|
u8.0 -115 
|
-1.5 +125 
|
Toronto
- Under is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Blue Jays last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 on grass.
Cleveland
- Over is 6-0 in Williams' last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 7-0 in Williams' last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Guardians are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Top Projection
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.74 |
+116
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.57 |
-122
|
u8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +180
|
NY Mets
- Over is 7-0-1 in Mets last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 overall.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Rays last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+215
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.67 |
-165
|
o9.5 -115
|
-1.5 -105
|
|
4.68 |
+157
|
u10.5 -118
|
+1.5 -105
|
Atlanta
- Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
- Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Washington
- Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 home games.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Nationals last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Irvins last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5+199
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.59 |
+110
|
o7.0 -118
|
+1.5 -195
|
|
4.61 |
-118 
|
u7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +188
|
Seattle
- Under is 5-0 in Woos last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Woos last 5 starts overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Woos last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Mariners are 4-0 in Woos last 4 starts as a favorite.
Boston
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 home games.
- Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+231)
o0.5+231
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.75 |
+105
|
o9.5 -114
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
5.33 |
-115
|
u10.0 -120
|
-1.5 +150
|
Miami
- Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 14-3 in Marlins last 17 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Kansas City
- Over is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games a home underdog.
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Royals are 9-0 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Top Projection
Griffin Conine o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
o0.5+162
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.60 |
-110
|
o8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.67 |
+105
|
u8.5 +105
|
+1.5 -160
|
Detroit
- Under is 4-0 in Meltons last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Meltons last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Meltons last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 4-0 in Meltons last 4 starts overall.
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0-2 in Prielipps last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 5-0 in Prielipps last 5 starts a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Prielipps last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Prielipps last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
Top Projection
Luke Keaschall o0.5 Total RBIs (+263)
o0.5+263
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.94 |
+115
|
o10.0 -118
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
4.99 |
-120
|
u10.5 -110
|
-1.5 +160
|
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 7-0 in Gassers last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as a road underdog.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 6-1 in Boyds last 7 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 7-1 in Boyds last 8 home starts.
Top Projection
William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+147)
o0.5+147
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.21 |
+170
|
o7.5 +105
|
+1.5 -130
|
|
4.59 |
-180
|
u7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +120
|
Athletics
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 7-2 in last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 road games.
Texas
- Under is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 home games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 vs. American League West.
- Rangers are 5-0 in Gores last 5 starts vs. American League West.
Top Projection
Lawrence Butler o0.5 Total RBIs (+294)
o0.5+294
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.61 |
-110
|
o8.5 +100
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.48 |
+105
|
u8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -160
|
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 6-0 in Burkes last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Burkes last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 games as a favorite.
Houston
- Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Astros last 4 overall.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Astros last 4 on grass.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Astros last 8 vs. American League Central.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.35 |
-135
|
o11.0 -114
|
-1.5 +115
|
|
5.46 |
+125
|
u11.5 -120
|
+1.5 -125
|
Baltimore
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 overall.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Orioles last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Colorado
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+186)
o1.5+190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.43 |
-175
|
o7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +100
|
|
3.68 |
+165
|
u8.0 -106
|
+1.5 -110
|
NY Yankees
- Under is 8-0 in Coles last 8 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 on grass.
- Under is 7-0 in Coles last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 8-0 in Coles last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
LA Angels
- Under is 6-1-1 in Angels last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+227)
o0.5+227
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.90 |
-130
|
o7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
4.03 |
+125
|
u7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -140
|
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 6-0 in Luzardos last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Phillies are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Arizona
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Under is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Nolan Arenado o0.5 Total RBIs (+253)
o0.5+253
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.54 |
+162
|
o6.0 -500
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
5.21 |
-170
|
u9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +125
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games.
- Over is 7-0-1 in McGreevys last 8 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 games following a loss.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 8-0 in Lauers last 8 starts as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in Lauers last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
Top Projection
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+164)
o1.5+165
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.49 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.72 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
San Diego
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 6-2 in Padres last 8 overall.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.45 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.61 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Atlanta
- Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
- Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Braves are 5-0 in Holmes' last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Washington
- Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 home games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Nationals last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.54 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.31 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 7-2 in last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.
- are 4-0 in Lopezs last 4 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 road games.
Texas
- Under is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 home games.
- Under is 7-0 in Bradfords last 7 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 8-0 in Bradfords last 8 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
7.22 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.52 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Baltimore
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Orioles last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 overall.
Colorado
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Rockies last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.35 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.85 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Philadelphia
- Over is 6-0 in Painters last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 7-0 in Painters last 7 starts on grass.
- Phillies are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Arizona
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.13 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.66 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Seattle
- Under is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 overall.
- Under is 7-2 in Mariners last 9 vs. American League East.
- Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 games as a favorite.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Sandovals last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in Sandovals last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in Sandovals last 4 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.64 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.22 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in Ceases last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in Ceases last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Ceases last 4 starts overall.
Cleveland
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cantillos last 6 starts vs. American League East.
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 5-0 in Cantillos last 5 starts with 6 days of rest.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.31 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.91 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0-2 in Giants last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Roupps last 5 road starts.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Roupps last 4 starts as a road underdog.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.20 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.62 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Under is 5-0-1 in Scotts last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Scotts last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 overall.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 games as a favorite.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 vs. National League East.
- Rays are 8-0 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.78 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.47 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Under is 7-0 in Tigers last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 10-1 in Tigers last 11 overall.
- Under is 10-1 in Tigers last 11 on grass.
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0 in Kremers last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Kremers last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Kremers last 4 starts overall.
SD
@
CIN
Tue, Sep 1 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-115)
Projection 2.17
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 11th-best batter in the league.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best venue in the league for run-scoring.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 93°.. Fernando Tatis Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Nick Lodolo in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #4 park in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 93°.. Jackson Merrill has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
SF
@
PIT
Tue, Sep 1 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Henry Davis o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1500)
Projection 0.09
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Henry Davis ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Henry Davis will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Henry Davis's true offensive ability to be a .305, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .052 gap between that figure and his actual .253 wOBA.
Total Bases
Bryan Reynolds o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
TOR
@
CLE
Tue, Sep 1 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his batting average ability, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 4th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 6th-best venue in baseball for run-scoring.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s true offensive ability to be a .358, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .058 deviation between that mark and his actual .300 wOBA.
Total Bases
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. George Springer is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. George Springer has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 6.8% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the last week.
NYM
@
TB
Tue, Sep 1 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Brett Baty o1.5 Total Bases (+290)
Projection 1.17
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Brett Baty will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Brett Baty has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Brett Baty has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 90-mph EV.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brett Baty's true offensive skill to be a .301, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .020 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .281 wOBA.. Brett Baty has posted a .274 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total Bases
Yandy Diaz o1.5 Total Bases (+107)
Projection 1.95
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his batting average talent, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the best field in the majors for right-handed home runs.. Because of Sean Manaea's large platoon split, Yandy Diaz will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.. Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
ATL
@
WAS
Tue, Sep 1 • 6:45 PM ET
Total RBIs
Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+110)
Projection 0.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Matt Olson projects as the 19th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Nationals Park has the 9th-smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for home runs.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 90°.. Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Matt Olson will have an advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Abimelec Ortiz o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Abimelec Ortiz is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 90°.. Hitting from the opposite that AJ Smith-Shawver throws from, Abimelec Ortiz will have an edge in today's game.. Abimelec Ortiz pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.. Abimelec Ortiz will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
SEA
@
BOS
Tue, Sep 1 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Hits
Dominic Canzone u0.5 Total Hits (+160)
Projection 0.88
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Out of all the teams in action today, the best infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox.. Dominic Canzone will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Dominic Canzone's true offensive talent to be a .320, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .027 difference between that figure and his actual .347 wOBA.
Total Bases
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Fenway Park profiles as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB.. Because of Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Wilyer Abreu will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.
MIA
@
KC
Tue, Sep 1 • 7:40 PM ET
Moneyline
KC (-118)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Kansas City has won eight of its last 10, and I’ll back that momentum behind Randy Dobnak. The right-hander owns a 1.92 ERA through 51 2/3 innings and has been one of baseball’s most effective starters since early July. At essentially a pick’em price at home, KC gets my money.
Strikeouts Thrown
Randy Dobnak u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-110)
Projection 3.13
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Randy Dobnak in the 1st percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Dobnak to throw 84 pitches today (10th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. The #5 field in MLB for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
DET
@
MIN
Tue, Sep 1 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Kody Clemens o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 90th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Kody Clemens is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Hitting from the opposite that Troy Melton throws from, Kody Clemens will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Kody Clemens will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Kody Clemens's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.1-mph over the course of the season to 99.4-mph of late.
Total Bases
Ryan Jeffers o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Ryan Jeffers will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. Ryan Jeffers has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93-mph average to last year's 90.7-mph figure.. Ryan Jeffers's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, going from 41.4% on the season to 58.3% over the past 7 days.
MIL
@
CHC
Tue, Sep 1 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Carson Kelly o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Wrigley Field has the 8th-shallowest among all major league parks.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Considering Robert Gasser's large platoon split, Carson Kelly will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's game.. In the last week, Carson Kelly's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.5% up to 12.5%.
Strikeouts Thrown
Matthew Boyd o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+109)
Projection 5.03
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Matthew Boyd has averaged 91.2 adjusted pitches per start this year, grading out in the 75th percentile.. The Milwaukee Brewers have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jake Bauers, David Hamilton, Garrett Mitchell).. Nick Mahrley grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be calling pitches in this game.. Matthew Boyd will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing batters in today's game.. Matthew Boyd will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his metrics across the board.
ATH
@
TEX
Tue, Sep 1 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Joc Pederson o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.4
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Joc Pederson is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. The Athletics infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among all the teams in action today.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Joc Pederson will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 13th-best batter in MLB.. Corey Seager is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Corey Seager will have the handedness advantage over Kade Morris in today's game... and moreover, Morris has a large platoon split.. The Athletics infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today.
CHW
@
HOU
Tue, Sep 1 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Colson Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Colson Montgomery projects as the 15th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Batting from the opposite that Mike Burrows throws from, Colson Montgomery will have an advantage in today's matchup.. The Houston Astros infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of every team today.. Colson Montgomery has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 12.5% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the past two weeks.. Colson Montgomery has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.6-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 89-mph figure.
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.89
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Minute Maid Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for long-balls.. Yordan Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Burke in today's matchup.. Yordan Alvarez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
BAL
@
COL
Tue, Sep 1 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Dylan Beavers o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Beavers in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Dylan Beavers is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.. Coors Field ranks as the #1 field in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Gabriel Hughes throws from, Dylan Beavers will have an edge in today's game.
Total Bases
Christian Encarnacion-Strand o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.04
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand is penciled in 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Coors Field ranks as the #1 field in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.2-mph average to last season's 94.3-mph mark.
NYY
@
LAA
Tue, Sep 1 • 9:38 PM ET
Total RBIs
Zach Neto o0.5 Total RBIs (+227)
Projection 0.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Zach Neto is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest fences among all major league parks.. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.. Zach Neto will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Trent Grisham o0.5 Total RBIs (+168)
Projection 0.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Trent Grisham is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest fences among all major league parks.. Batting from the opposite that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Trent Grisham will have an advantage in today's matchup.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.
PHI
@
AZ
Tue, Sep 1 • 9:40 PM ET
Moneyline
AZ (+119)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
Jesús Luzardo is one of the toughest starting pitchers in the National League, and he features a nasty sweeper that carries a +20 run value and a 47.9% whiff rate this season. That being said, Luzardo's sweeper is an absolute weapon against left-handed hitters, but it loses some of its effectiveness against right-handed bats. The Arizona Diamondbacks are likely to feature a lineup with Corbin Carroll as their only left-handed hitter, limiting the impact of Luzardo's best weapon. On the other side, the Phillies' two most dangerous hitters, Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber, don't have an advantageous matchup either. They'll face lefty Eduardo Rodriguez, who can fade his changeup away from the barrels of their bats. The Diamondbacks are trading at 45% on Polymarket, but I make them closer to a 49% underdog, which is why I'm hitting the button.
Total RBIs
Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+162)
Projection 0.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Ketel Marte will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against a pitcher with a huge platoon split (Jesús Luzardo) in this game.. Ketel Marte will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
STL
@
LAD
Tue, Sep 1 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Hits
Tommy Edman u0.5 Total Hits (+184)
Projection 0.9
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #6 park in baseball for suppressing base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for pitching on the slate.. The switch-hitting Tommy Edman will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Michael McGreevy. Tommy Edman has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.8-mph dropping to 85.7-mph over the last 14 days.. From last season to this one, Tommy Edman's flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 89.3 mph to 85 mph.
Total Bases
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+164)
Projection 1.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Teoscar Hernandez's BABIP skill is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #3 ballpark in the game for boosting home runs to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team playing today.. Teoscar Hernandez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
DET
@
CLE
Fri, Sep 4 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
David Fry u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
David Fry is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fences in the league.. Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, David Fry will not have the upper hand today.
Total Bases
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Progressive Field projects as the #3 stadium in the game for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field has the 6th-shallowest right field fences in the majors.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 86%.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
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Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
