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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 8, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.42 |
+114 
|
o8.5 -105 
|
+1.5 -180 
|
|
4.67 |
-120 
|
u8.5 -105 
|
-1.5 +165
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Guardians are 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
Baltimore
- Orioles are 5-0 in Youngs last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Orioles are 4-0 in Youngs last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Orioles are 4-0 in Youngs last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Coby Mayo o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
o1.5+165
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.13 |
+120 
|
o8.0 -115 
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
4.62 |
-130
|
u8.5 -109
|
-1.5 +150
|
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Kremers last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Kremers last 5 starts overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Kremers last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Detroit
- Over is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 home games.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Tigers last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 10-1 in Tigers last 11 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Royce Lewis o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.89 |
+125
|
o8.5 -113
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
5.20 |
-130
|
u8.5 +100 
|
-1.5 +150
|
Houston
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 vs. National League East.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 2-0-3 in Astros last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Wesneskis last 5 starts as an underdog.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 7-1 in Painters last 8 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+167)
o0.5+167
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.72 |
+117
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
4.07 |
-121
|
u8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +165
|
NY Mets
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 games following a win.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Miami
- Over is 4-0-1 in Marlins last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Alcantaras last 4 home starts.
- Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5+185
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.86 |
+126
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.51 |
-136
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +150
|
LA Angels
- Under is 7-0 in Detmers' last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 8-1 in Detmers' last 9 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 6-1 in Detmers' last 7 starts vs. American League East.
Boston
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games following a win.
Top Projection
Patrick Sandoval o8.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+500)
o5.5-125
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.58 |
+295
|
o7.5 -125
|
+2.5 -125
|
|
5.70 |
-330
|
u8.5 -130
|
-2.5 +110
|
Colorado
- Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 interleague games.
- Over is 13-2-1 in Rockies last 16 interleague games as a favorite.
NY Yankees
- Under is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Schlittlers last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Top Projection
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+242)
o0.5+242
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.11 |
+101
|
o8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
5.17 |
-111
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +150
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 8-0 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Peraltas last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Atlanta
- Braves are 8-0 in their last 8 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0 in Smith-Shawvers last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Smith-Shawvers last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Braves last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Top Projection
Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+183)
o0.5+183
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.56 |
+128
|
o8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -164
|
|
4.91 |
-138
|
u8.5 -114
|
-1.5 +145
|
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 4-0 in Burkes last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Burkes last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- White Sox are 4-0 in Burkes last 4 starts.
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.14 |
-115
|
o9.0 -115
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
4.56 |
+105
|
u9.5 -124
|
+1.5 -160
|
Arizona
- Under is 4-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 on grass.
- Under is 8-0 in Diamondbacks last 8 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Kansas City
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Royals are 4-0 in Wachas last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Wachas last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Corbin Burnes u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-160)
u3.5-160
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.84 |
+190
|
o7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -115
|
|
4.30 |
-210
|
u7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +105
|
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 6-0 in Petersons last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Petersons last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 7-0 in Petersons last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Petersons last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 5-0 in Misiorowskis last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Brewers are 5-0 in Misiorowskis last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 4-0 in Misiorowskis last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Brewers are 4-0 in Misiorowskis last 4 starts as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+281)
o0.5+281
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.10 |
+120
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
4.27 |
-130
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +160
|
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 8-0 in Rangers last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 games following a win.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League West.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 overall.
- Over is 9-2 in Mariners last 11 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.96 |
+166
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
4.35 |
-180
|
u8.0 -114
|
-1.5 +125
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 overall.
- Over is 6-2-2 in Nationals last 10 games as an underdog.
San Diego
- Under is 6-0-1 in Padres last 7 home games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 vs. National League East.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+226)
o0.5+226
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.44 |
-175
|
o9.0 -139
|
-1.5 -114
|
|
3.86 |
+160
|
u9.5 -105
|
+1.5 +100
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Sorianos last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in Sorianos last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Athletics
- Over is 3-0-2 in Perkins' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Top Projection
Jeff McNeil u0.5 Total Hits (+230)
u0.5+230
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.23 |
-102
|
o7.0 -157
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
3.92 |
-105
|
u8.0 -120
|
-1.5 +185
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
o0.5+270
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.68 |
+281
|
o7.0 -180
|
+4.5 -315
|
|
5.76 |
-319
|
u8.5 -120
|
-4.5 +245
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 5-0 in Reds last 5 road games.
- Over is 5-0 in Reds last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Will Smith o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
o0.5+165
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.94 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.11 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Twins are 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Twins last 9 during game 3 of a series.
Detroit
- Tigers are 5-0 in Monteros last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 9-1 in Monteros last 10 starts as a home underdog.
- Tigers are 8-1 in Monteros last 9 starts as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
6.31 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.40 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
- Over is 6-2 in Blue Jays last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Athletics
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 overall.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 games as an underdog.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.86 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.92 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 vs. National League West.
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Giants are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.67 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.87 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Kents last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-2-2 in Nationals last 10 games as an underdog.
San Diego
- Under is 6-0-1 in Padres last 7 home games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 vs. National League East.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.85 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.23 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Seattle
- Over is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 overall.
- Over is 9-2 in Mariners last 11 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-2 in Mariners last 8 during game 2 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.49 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.26 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Guardians are 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
Baltimore
- Under is 6-0 in Bazs last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Bazs last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Bazs last 5 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Bazs last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.46 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.98 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Miami
- Over is 4-0-1 in Marlins last 5 games as a favorite.
- Marlins are 4-0 in Junks last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.72 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.89 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Houston
- Under is 6-0 in Browns last 6 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 vs. National League East.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 2-0-3 in Astros last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
Philadelphia
- Over is 5-0-1 in Sanchezs last 6 starts as a home favorite.
- Phillies are 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Sanchezs last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.19 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.48 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Johnsons last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts overall.
Boston
- Red Sox are 8-0 in Bennetts last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Bennetts last 4 starts as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.27 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
6.04 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Rockies are 8-0 in Suganos last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Suganos last 4 interleague starts.
NY Yankees
- Under is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Under is 5-1 in Warrens last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
CLE
@
BAL
Tue, Sep 8 • 6:35 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Pete Alonso o0.5 Total Home Runs (+351)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Alonso is squaring up the baseball, even if he has not fully been rewarded yet. Although Bibee has limited homers lately, he has allowed a 40.2% fly-ball rate on the road this season, and the Guardians’ bullpen has also allowed plenty of contact through the air in recent games.
Total
u8.5 (-105)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Under fits with both offenses struggling to produce and neither lineup showing much home-run power. Bibee and Young do not need to dominate for this game to stay controlled, especially with both bullpens entering in strong form and limiting late-game damage.
MIN
@
DET
Tue, Sep 8 • 6:40 PM ET
Earned Runs Allowed
Dean Kremer o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-110)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
The Detroit Tigers may be struggling, but Minnesota Twins right-hander Dean Kremer is in an even worse spot. Kremer owns the worst pitcher rating on Batters-Box’s current-season dataset and draws a Tigers lineup featuring seven elite bats and one strong bat. Over his last three starts, Kremer has posted a 7.43 ERA and 1.80 WHIP while allowing a 47.62% hard-hit rate and 14.29% barrel rate. The last 30 right-handed hitters he has faced are producing a 75% hard-hit rate and 20% barrel rate. The Tigers are cold, but this matchup offers an excellent opportunity to heat back up.
Total Bases
Zach McKinstry u1.5 Total Bases (-260)
Projection 0.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach McKinstry in the 10th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Zach McKinstry is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.. Zach McKinstry has been pulled from the game early 14% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.. The #9 venue in the majors for suppressing base hits to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.. In the league, Comerica Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.
HOU
@
PHI
Tue, Sep 8 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total Home Runs (+425)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Harper boasts a third-ranked .303 ISO against righties among qualified hitters, and it’s been 10 games since his last homer despite a 40.0% hard-hit rate and going 12-for-36 at the dish. So, with 23 of his 27 homers coming off of right-handed pitchers, this is a spot for Harper to square one up and leave the yard tonight.
Total
u8.5 (+101)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Philly starter Andrew Painter has found a groove with two runs or fewer allowed in five of his past seven starts while spinning a tidy 2.98 xERA and limiting opposing hitters to a minuscule 3.8 barrel percentage. Similarly, Houston righty Hayden Wesneski has only allowed a single run across his past three outings. Both teams also have rested bullpens, and Houston relievers rank ninth in xERA and sixth in xFIP since the All-Star break, and the Philly bullpen respectively checks in 11th and 10th.
NYM
@
MIA
Tue, Sep 8 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in the league.. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Juan Soto will have the upper hand in today's game.. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. Compared to last season, Juan Soto has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.2% to 18.4% this season.
Total Bases
Francisco Lindor o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Francisco Lindor has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph to 95.3-mph in the last week.. Francisco Lindor has been unlucky this year, putting up a .320 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .344 — a .024 deviation.. With a .345 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Francisco Lindor is positioned in the 80th percentile for offensive ability.
LAA
@
BOS
Tue, Sep 8 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Andruw Monasterio o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.48
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Andruw Monasterio has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (83% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 venue in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Reid Detmers throws from, Andruw Monasterio will have an edge in today's matchup.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today.
Total RBIs
Andruw Monasterio o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Andruw Monasterio has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (83% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 venue in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Reid Detmers throws from, Andruw Monasterio will have an edge in today's matchup.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today.
COL
@
NYY
Tue, Sep 8 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Spencer Jones u1.5 Total Bases (-173)
Projection 0.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Spencer Jones has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 23% of the time.. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. In today's matchup, Spencer Jones is at a disadvantage facing the league's 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.8% rate (79th percentile).. Despite posting a .330 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Spencer Jones has had positive variance on his side given the .029 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .301.
Total Hits
Luis Garcia Jr. u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
Projection 0.96
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Luis Garcia Jr. has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 26% of the time.. Yankee Stadium ranks as the #24 park in the league for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. Luis Garcia Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 5th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.. Over the last 7 days, Luis Garcia Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12% down to 0%.
TB
@
ATL
Tue, Sep 8 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total Home Runs (+290)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Junior Caminero is one of the league’s most powerful hitters against right-handed pitching. He is sporting a .260 ISO and 51.1% hard hit rate on the year, with 30 of his 38 homers coming vs. righties.
AJ Smith-Shawver has no easy way to attack Caminero. He throws four pitches at least 12% of the time, and Caminero owns an ISO of .245 or higher against each of them.
Total
u8.5 (-114)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Freddy Peralta throws a steady diet of fastballs and changeups. Eight of Atlanta's nine projected starters have posted a .295 OBP or worse against those two pitches, and seven have struck out at least 25% of the time.
The Braves were only forced to use one reliever in Monday’s game, leaving the bullpen in great shape. That should lead to a shorter leash for Smith-Shawver, giving the Tampa Bay Rays less opportunity to get to him.
Play to 55%.
PIT
@
CHW
Tue, Sep 8 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The #6 ballpark in MLB for boosting offensive stats to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Burke in today's game.
Total Bases
Colson Montgomery u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
AZ
@
KC
Tue, Sep 8 • 7:40 PM ET
Moneyline
KC (-101)
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst
This sets up as a sneaky spot to back the home dog. Corbin Burnes could be on a short leash in his season debut after a limited buildup, exposing an Arizona bullpen that used seven arms yesterday. KC ranks third in OPS at home over the past month and has won Michael Wacha’s last four starts. With a reliable bullpen behind him, the Royals are worth backing.
Total RBIs
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his batting average ability, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 96°.
CHC
@
MIL
Tue, Sep 8 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. The #8 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. Among all stadiums, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense.
Total Bases
Ian Happ o1.5 Total Bases (+280)
Projection 1.15
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ian Happ is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. The #8 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. Among all stadiums, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense.
TEX
@
SEA
Tue, Sep 8 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Hits
Cal Raleigh u0.5 Total Hits (+140)
Projection 0.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. T-Mobile Park projects as the #30 ballpark in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the best pitching conditions of all games today.. As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Cal Raleigh will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Cody Bradford in this game.
Total Bases
J.P. Crawford o1.5 Total Bases (+240)
Projection 1.3
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. J.P. Crawford is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. On average, the fence height at T-Mobile Park is the 10th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. J.P. Crawford has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage today.
WAS
@
SD
Tue, Sep 8 • 9:40 PM ET
Moneyline
WAS (+162)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
The Nationals have dropped five straight games and have seen their market price fall, trading at just 37% today in a matchup where I think they can be competitive. James Wood is back and has gone 6-for-19 with three extra-base hits since returning, giving a boost to an offense that was the highest-scoring in baseball in the first half. San Diego starter Casey Mize is not a pitcher I want to back as a 67% favorite. He's struggled since coming over from Detroit, owning a 6.67 ERA with eight homers allowed over 27 innings. His strikeouts are way down, and he's allowed five homers with just five strikeouts over his last three starts. His 6.05 xFIP is the worst of any San Diego pitcher in the second half with at least 20 innings. The Nationals are going with a questionable opener, but every other arm is basically available. With the market giving them just a 37% chance to win, THE BAT's 42% fair price gives us enough value to take a shot on the Nats.
Total Hits
Ty France u0.5 Total Hits (+174)
Projection 0.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Petco Park ranks as the #27 park in the league for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Will Dion throws from, Ty France will have an edge in today's game.. Today, Ty France is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.2% rate (88th percentile).. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.
TOR
@
ATH
Tue, Sep 8 • 9:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Lawrence Butler o0.5 Total RBIs (+196)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Lawrence Butler is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Sutter Health Park grades out as the #2 venue in MLB for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Lawrence Butler will hold the platoon advantage over José Soriano in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-106)
Projection 2.03
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 4th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his batting average ability.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #2 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. In the league, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
STL
@
SF
Tue, Sep 8 • 9:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+163)
Projection 1.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Jordan Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Out of every team today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.. Jordan Walker has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.5-mph to 96-mph in the last week's worth of games.
Total Bases
Ivan Herrera o1.5 Total Bases (+188)
Projection 1.38
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Out of every team today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.. Ivan Herrera has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.8-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.2-mph mark.
CIN
@
LAD
Tue, Sep 8 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+335)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Teoscar Hernandez historically hammers lefties, and that is starting to shine through more and more of late.
Hernandez has hit .294 with a .235 ISO and .929 OPS against left-handed pitching over his past 30 games.
His ISOs against Nick Lodolo’s three most-used pitches during that span: .353, .235 and .600.
Total
o7.5 (-129)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Nick Lodolo has gotten blasted by teams ranking Top-10 in xwOBA against lefties. His ERA sits at 6.43 over 10 such starts, and his xERA is even higher at 7.32.
Tarik Skubal's only pitched more than six innings once with the Los Angeles Dodgers so the Cincinnati Reds will likely get three innings to score against lesser relievers.
Play to 58%.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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