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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 8, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.57 |
+115 
|
o8.5 -113 
|
+1.5 -180 
|
|
4.64 |
-125 
|
u8.5 +100 
|
-1.5 +160
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Guardians are 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
Baltimore
- Orioles are 5-0 in Youngs last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Orioles are 4-0 in Youngs last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Orioles are 4-0 in Youngs last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Jose Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
o0.5+165
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.31 |
+125 
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -166 
|
|
4.59 |
-130
|
u8.5 -115 
|
-1.5 +150
|
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Kremers last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Kremers last 5 starts overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Kremers last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Detroit
- Over is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 home games.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Tigers last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 10-1 in Tigers last 11 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
o1.5+180
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.93 |
+125
|
o8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
5.16 |
-135
|
u8.5 +100
|
-1.5 +145
|
Houston
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 vs. National League East.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 2-0-3 in Astros last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Wesneskis last 5 starts as an underdog.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 7-1 in Painters last 8 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+164)
o0.5+164
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.54 |
+120
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -184
|
|
3.93 |
-130
|
u8.0 -109
|
-1.5 +160
|
NY Mets
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 games following a win.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Miami
- Over is 4-0-1 in Marlins last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Alcantaras last 4 home starts.
- Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5+190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.96 |
+126
|
o7.5 -118
|
+1.5 -170 
|
|
4.35 |
-136
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +155
|
LA Angels
- Under is 7-0 in Detmers' last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 8-1 in Detmers' last 9 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 6-1 in Detmers' last 7 starts vs. American League East.
Boston
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games following a win.
Top Projection
Trevor Story o0.5 Total RBIs (+198)
o0.5+198
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.57 |
+285
|
o8.0 -105
|
+2.5 -125
|
|
5.36 |
-310
|
u8.5 -125
|
-2.5 +115
|
Colorado
- Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 interleague games.
- Over is 13-2-1 in Rockies last 16 interleague games as a favorite.
NY Yankees
- Under is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Schlittlers last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Top Projection
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+242)
o0.5+242
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.15 |
+101
|
o8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
5.08 |
-111
|
u8.5 -113
|
-1.5 +150
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 8-0 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Peraltas last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Atlanta
- Braves are 8-0 in their last 8 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Braves last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Braves last 5 interleague home games.
Top Projection
Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5+185
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.50 |
+131
|
o8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -164
|
|
4.75 |
-140
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +145
|
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 4-0 in Burkes last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Burkes last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- White Sox are 4-0 in Burkes last 4 starts.
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Henry Davis o0.5 Total RBIs (+302)
o0.5+302
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.34 |
-115
|
o9.0 -115
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
4.59 |
+105
|
u9.5 -110
|
+1.5 -159
|
Arizona
- Under is 4-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 on grass.
- Under is 8-0 in Diamondbacks last 8 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Kansas City
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Royals are 4-0 in Wachas last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Wachas last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
o0.5+161
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.89 |
+195
|
o7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -112
|
|
4.24 |
-210
|
u7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +105
|
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 6-0 in Petersons last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Petersons last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 7-0 in Petersons last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Petersons last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 5-0 in Misiorowskis last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Brewers are 5-0 in Misiorowskis last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 4-0 in Misiorowskis last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Brewers are 4-0 in Misiorowskis last 4 starts as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Michael Conforto o0.5 Total RBIs (+375)
o0.5+375
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.11 |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
|
4.24 |
-125
|
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 8-0 in Rangers last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 games following a win.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League West.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 overall.
- Over is 9-2 in Mariners last 11 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.09 |
+165
|
o7.5 -114
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
4.57 |
-180
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +125
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 road games.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 home games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 vs. National League East.
Top Projection
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+217)
o0.5+217
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.44 |
-170
|
o9.5 -115
|
-1.5 -105
|
|
3.86 |
+160
|
u9.5 +100
|
+1.5 +100
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-0 in Sorianos last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Sorianos last 4 road starts.
Athletics
- Over is 3-0-2 in Perkins' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Perkins' last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Perkins' last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
Top Projection
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
o0.5+137
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.18 |
-104
|
o7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
3.71 |
-105
|
u8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -180
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 9-0 in Cardinals last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Roupps last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-1-3 in Roupps last 9 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Nolan Gorman o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+155)
o1.5+160
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.60 |
+275
|
o8.0 -115
|
+2.5 -125
|
|
5.31 |
-319
|
u8.5 -120
|
-2.5 +115
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
LA Dodgers
- Over is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
o1.5+135
CLE
@
BAL
Tue, Sep 8 • 6:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.89
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 15th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 5th-hottest temperature on the slate at 81°.. Pete Alonso has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Pete Alonso will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 5th-hottest temperature on the slate at 81°.. Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Gunnar Henderson will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
MIN
@
DET
Tue, Sep 8 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+167)
Projection 0.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Riley Greene ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Riley Greene will have the upper hand today.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Riley Greene will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Total RBIs (+198)
Projection 0.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Kevin McGonigle ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. Hitting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Kevin McGonigle will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today.. Minnesota's 3rd-worst outfield defense on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Kevin McGonigle, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
HOU
@
PHI
Tue, Sep 8 • 6:40 PM ET
Moneyline
HOU (+120)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Philadelphia's 21-9 run over its last 30 makes this uncomfortable, but the pitching matchup creates value. Hayden Wesneski has held opponents to a .530 OPS over the last 28 days and is coming off two dominant starts. Andrew Painter owns a 5.55 ERA, while left-handed hitters have posted an .812 OPS against him — a dangerous matchup with Yordan Alvarez anchoring Houston’s lineup.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-125)
Projection 2.45
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. Hitting from the opposite that Hayden Wesneski throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Kyle Schwarber will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
NYM
@
MIA
Tue, Sep 8 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Otto Lopez o0.5 Total RBIs (+216)
Projection 0.47
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his batting average ability, Otto Lopez is projected as the 9th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Otto Lopez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Otto Lopez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea today... and even more favorably, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Otto Lopez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Marcus Semien o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+130)
Projection 1.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
LAA
@
BOS
Tue, Sep 8 • 6:45 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Jose Siri o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+155)
Projection 1.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Jose Siri has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Jose Siri will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Sandoval in today's game... and even better, Sandoval has a large platoon split.. Jose Siri hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.
Total RBIs
Trevor Story o0.5 Total RBIs (+198)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Trevor Story is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Hitting from the opposite that Reid Detmers throws from, Trevor Story will have an advantage in today's matchup.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in action today.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
COL
@
NYY
Tue, Sep 8 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Mickey Moniak o1.5 Total Bases (+205)
Projection 1.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mickey Moniak is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Batting from the opposite that Cam Schlittler throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Mickey Moniak pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.4% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 88th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Batting from the opposite that Gabriel Hughes throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the upper hand today.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
TB
@
ATL
Tue, Sep 8 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.9
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 9th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°.. Ronald Acuna Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.
Total Bases
Yandy Diaz o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.93
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 8th-best batter in MLB when estimating his batting average skill.. Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°.. Yandy Diaz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.
PIT
@
CHW
Tue, Sep 8 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Henry Davis o1.5 Total Bases (+256)
Projection 1.28
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Total RBIs
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+174)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Miguel Vargas pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Miguel Vargas will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
AZ
@
KC
Tue, Sep 8 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.86
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 96°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an advantage in today's matchup.
Total Hits
Nick Loftin u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.84
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Loftin in the 25th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Nick Loftin is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.. Corbin Burnes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Loftin in today's matchup.. In today's game, Nick Loftin is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.7% rate (75th percentile).
CHC
@
MIL
Tue, Sep 8 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
William Contreras's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. William Contreras will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's game.. William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and William Contreras will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Michael Conforto o0.5 Total RBIs (+375)
Projection 0.32
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Michael Conforto ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hitting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Michael Conforto will have an edge today.
WAS
@
SD
Tue, Sep 8 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
CJ Abrams o1.5 Total Bases (+168)
Projection 1.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, CJ Abrams ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The weather forecast expects the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, CJ Abrams will have an advantage today.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Manny Machado o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-123)
Projection 2.16
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. The weather forecast expects the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.. Manny Machado will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
TOR
@
ATH
Tue, Sep 8 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Hits
Jonah Heim u0.5 Total Hits (+145)
Projection 0.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Heim in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Jonah Heim is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Jonah Heim will bat from his weak side against José Soriano in today's game.. Jonah Heim hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 11th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Among every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Athletics.
STL
@
SF
Tue, Sep 8 • 9:45 PM ET
Total RBIs
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryce Eldridge in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Bryce Eldridge is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Bryce Eldridge will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Nolan Gorman o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+155)
Projection 1.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge today.. Nolan Gorman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.. Extreme groundball hitters like Nolan Gorman are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Landen Roupp.
CIN
@
LAD
Tue, Sep 8 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Mookie Betts o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Mookie Betts ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Mookie Betts is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 92°.. Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Mookie Betts will have an advantage today.. Mookie Betts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.91
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Tarik Skubal today.. Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
