Detroit @ Cleveland Picks & Props

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Colt Keith has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 21% of the time. Colt Keith hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 7th-deepest CF fences in today's game. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense projects as the best among all the teams in action today. Colt Keith will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Colt Keith has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 7.2% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past two weeks.

Gio Urshela is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. Batting from the same side that Xzavion Curry throws from, Gio Urshela faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense projects as the best among all the teams in action today. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gio Urshela in today's matchup. In the last 7 days, Gio Urshela's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.7%.

Batting from the opposite that Kenta Maeda throws from, Steven Kwan will have an advantage in today's matchup. Steven Kwan's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 87.3-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 83.8-mph over the last two weeks. Compared to his seasonal mark of 11.7°, Steven Kwan's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls has dropped significantly in recent games (7.8° in the past 14 days). Despite posting a .390 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Steven Kwan has been very fortunate given the .080 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .310.

Xzavion Curry will have the handedness advantage against Matt Vierling in today's game. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense projects as the best among all the teams in action today. Matt Vierling will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Over the past two weeks, Matt Vierling's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10% down to 4.2%. Matt Vierling's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, decreasing from 14.4% on the season to 4.2% in the last two weeks.

Jose Ramirez has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 3.6% in the past 14 days. Jose Ramirez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 44.3% to 37.8%. Jose Ramirez has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .347 rate is considerably higher than his .330 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Angel Martinez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Progressive Field grades out as the #8 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Angel Martinez will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Kenta Maeda today. Angel Martinez pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 5th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his BABIP ability. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Progressive Field grades out as the #8 stadium in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the slate.

Andres Gimenez's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Progressive Field grades out as the #8 stadium in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Andres Gimenez will hold that advantage in today's game.

Justyn-Henry Malloy is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Progressive Field grades out as the #8 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field has the shallowest LF fences among all parks. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Over the last two weeks, Justyn-Henry Malloy's 21.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Progressive Field grades out as the #8 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field has the shallowest LF fences among all parks. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the same side that Kenta Maeda throws from, Tyler Freeman faces a tough challenge in today's game.

Progressive Field grades out as the #8 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field has the shallowest LF fences among all parks. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Extreme groundball hitters like Javier Baez tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Xzavion Curry.

David Fry is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Progressive Field grades out as the #8 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the same side that Kenta Maeda throws from, David Fry will not have the upper hand today. David Fry pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Progressive Field grades out as the #8 stadium in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Daniel Schneemann will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Daniel Schneemann has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 90.5-mph mark.

Carson Kelly is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Progressive Field grades out as the #8 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Carson Kelly has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93-mph average to last year's 90.3-mph mark.

Wenceel Perez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Progressive Field grades out as the #8 stadium in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Wenceel Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. Wenceel Perez has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph to 95.9-mph over the last week.

Progressive Field grades out as the #8 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field has the shallowest LF fences among all parks. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Kenta Maeda will hold the platoon advantage against Jhonkensy Noel today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

Progressive Field grades out as the #8 stadium in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Zach McKinstry will have the handedness advantage over Xzavion Curry today. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Zach McKinstry has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Zach McKinstry has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.5-mph average to last year's 88-mph average.

Progressive Field grades out as the #8 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Jake Rogers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. This year, Jake Rogers's 10.3% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 76th percentile among his peers. This year, Jake Rogers's flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 95th percentile at 96.3 mph.

Progressive Field grades out as the #8 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Andy Ibanez's launch angle this year (19.5°) is quite a bit better than his 12.6° figure last year. Andy Ibanez has put up a .284 batting average this year, ranking in the 88th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Mark Canha is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Progressive Field grades out as the #8 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field has the shallowest LF fences among all parks. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.