Taj Bradley has had issues with Los Angeles over the course of his career, so we're heavily fading him in our Twins vs. Angels predictions.
The Los Angeles Angels are absolutely a live underdog tonight, sitting at 49% on Polymarket, and I expect them to get the job done at the Big A.
Let's dive into my MLB picks for Thursday, Sept. 17.
Who will win Twins vs Angels tonight: Angels moneyline
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
I've loved watching Walbert Urena pitch this year, and I'm going to ride with him and the Los Angeles Angels one more time as 49% underdogs.
The righty enters Thursday allowing just six earned runs across his last 21 innings pitched, rocking a 3.40 xERA this season. Not bad for a rookie.
While Urena doesn't own strong strikeout stuff, his elite groundball rate (55.1%) will haunt the Minnesota Twins, who have grounded into a double play 101 times this year. With the Angels owning a .300 xBA against Twins starter Taj Bradley, we have a live 'dog on our hands.
COVERS INTEL: Taj Bradley owns the highest hard-hit percentage (45.2%) of his career, which suggests we should see some loud contact from the Halos tonight.
Twins vs Angels Over/Under pick: Over 7.5
Looking for damage today? Look Mike Trout and the Angels' way.
Yes, Los Angeles owns a .300 xBA against Bradley, but it's Trout who's doing the heavy lifting here, going 3-for-5 with a .519 xBA. If he's up with traffic on the base paths, expect him to break the game wide-open.
It helps to know that Anaheim features somewhat of a hitter's park, too, coughing up 101 homers this year, which is middle-of-the-pack for MLB stadiums.
I'd price this closer to 55%, so let's pocket the value.
Twins vs Angels home run prediction: Mike Trout
I'm sure you can see the trend here. We love ourselves some Trout tonight.
Not only does the future Hall of Famer have strong numbers in this specific matchup, but Trout is absolutely tagging four-seamers this year (14 of his 21 homers this year are on heaters), a pitch Bradley throws 47% of the time.
I'll take 17% to the bank.
- ML/RL picks: 8-13, -4.25 units
- Over/Under picks: 12-10, +1.95 units
Twins vs Angels weather
It's a perfect night for baseball, with sunny skies and temperatures sitting at 76 degrees Fahrenheit.
Twins vs Angels odds
- Moneyline: Twins 51% | Angels 49%
- Run line: Twins -1.5 (38%) | Angels +1.5 (63%)
- Over/Under: Over 7.5 (50%) | Under 7.5 (51%)
Twins vs Angels trend
The Over is 6-0 in Minnesota's last six games following a win. Find more MLB betting trends for Twins vs. Angels.
How to watch Twins vs Angels and game info
| Location | Angel Stadium, Anaheim, CA |
| Date | Thursday, September 17, 2026 |
| First pitch | 9:38 p.m. ET |
| TV | Twins.TV, FDSN West |
| Twins starting pitcher | Taj Bradley (11-6, 3.81 ERA) |
| Angels starting pitcher | Walbert Urena (9-10, 2.88 ERA) |
Twins vs Angels latest injuries
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