Arizona @ Chicago Picks & Props

This game is forecasted to have the 5th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Seiya Suzuki faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. The Arizona Diamondbacks infield defense grades out as the 4th-best among every team playing today. Over the last two weeks, Seiya Suzuki's 6.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.1%. Seiya Suzuki has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .270 BA is inflated compared to his .244 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

This game is forecasted to have the 5th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Ryne Nelson will hold the platoon advantage against Nico Hoerner today. In today's matchup, Nico Hoerner is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.3% rate (92nd percentile). The Arizona Diamondbacks infield defense grades out as the 4th-best among every team playing today. Nico Hoerner's exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 88.4-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 78.6-mph in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Ian Happ is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Ryne Nelson. Ian Happ will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Michael Busch is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Michael Busch will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson in today's game. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Busch stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Michael Busch will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Christopher Morel is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Christopher Morel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.8% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Christopher Morel will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson today. Pete Crow-Armstrong is likely to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Dansby Swanson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Over the past two weeks, Dansby Swanson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.8-mph over the course of the season to 100.5-mph recently.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Miles Mastrobuoni will have the handedness advantage over Ryne Nelson in today's game. Miles Mastrobuoni has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP. Miles Mastrobuoni has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Miles Mastrobuoni will hold that advantage today.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Tomas Nido will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, Tomas Nido has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .178 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .230. This year, Tomas Nido's flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to assess power) ranks in the 81st percentile at 94.7 mph. Tomas Nido is in the 92nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (49.2% rate since the start of last season).

Miguel Amaya has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.