MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 26, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Fri, Jun 26 • 6:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
3 LEG PARLAY
Paul Skenes profile picture
Paul Skenes o8.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
PIT
Moneyline
Bryan Reynolds profile picture
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Bet now
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Paul Skenes enters in dominant form after recording 10 strikeouts in his last outing, while Andrew Abbott's underlying metrics point toward regression despite his recent ERA. Bryan Reynolds continues to swing a hot bat, making this three-leg Pirates same-game parlay an appealing option for tonight's matchup.

Total Bases
Spencer Steer logo
Spencer Steer o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
Projection 1.26
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Fri, Jun 26 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Dillon Dingler logo
Dillon Dingler o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Dillon Dingler is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The Houston Astros outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams in action today.. Dillon Dingler will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Dillon Dingler logo
Dillon Dingler o0.5 Total RBIs (+169)
Projection 0.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Dillon Dingler is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The Houston Astros outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams in action today.. Dillon Dingler will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Fri, Jun 26 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Curtis Mead logo
Curtis Mead o0.5 Total RBIs (+194)
Projection 0.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Curtis Mead in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Curtis Mead is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Curtis Mead will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers today.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the worst among all the teams on the slate today.
Total Hits
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
Projection 0.96
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of every team today.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Fri, Jun 26 • 7:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Jake Burger will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin today.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.02
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Jake Burger will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin today.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Fri, Jun 26 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Gabriel Moreno logo
Gabriel Moreno o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Gabriel Moreno is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Gabriel Moreno has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays.
Total Bases
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 1.96
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Junior Caminero ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (38% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Junior Caminero will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Fri, Jun 26 • 7:10 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Kyle Manzardo logo
Kyle Manzardo o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Kyle Manzardo will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Castillo in today's matchup... and moreover, Castillo has a large platoon split.. Kyle Manzardo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.. Kyle Manzardo will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Strikeouts Thrown
Luis Castillo logo
Luis Castillo o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-115)
Projection 5.22
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Tallying 96.8 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Luis Castillo places in the 96th percentile.. The Cleveland Guardians have 4 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kahlil Watson, Petey Halpin, Daniel Schneemann, Rhys Hoskins).. Projected catcher Cal Raleigh profiles as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best pitching conditions of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ New York Mets logo NYM Fri, Jun 26 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2.04
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as MLB's 2nd-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 81°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.. Kyle Schwarber has strong power (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (30.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Zach Thornton doesn't generate many whiffs (12th percentile K%) — great news for Schwarber.
Total Bases
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2.01
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 11th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 81°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.. Bryce Harper has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Fri, Jun 26 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jarren Duran logo
Jarren Duran o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Jarren Duran is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Jarren Duran will have the handedness advantage over Will Warren today... and moreover, Warren has a large platoon split.. Jarren Duran has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage against Will Warren today... and moreover, Warren has a large platoon split.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Wilyer Abreu will hold that advantage today.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Fri, Jun 26 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery o0.5 Total Home Runs (+750)
Projection 0.21
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Colson Montgomery projects as the 15th-best home run hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colson Montgomery is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. Batting from the opposite that Mitch Spence throws from, Colson Montgomery will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Colson Montgomery has a ton of pop (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (31.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Mitch Spence struggles to strike batters out (8th percentile K%) — great news for Montgomery.. Colson Montgomery pulls many of his flyballs (40.8% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Nick Loftin logo
Nick Loftin o1.5 Total Bases (+240)
Projection 1.24
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Nick Loftin pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Fri, Jun 26 • 7:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Carson Kelly logo
Carson Kelly o1.5 Total Bases (+330)
Projection 1.07
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Total Bases
Ian Happ logo
Ian Happ o1.5 Total Bases (+280)
Projection 1.19
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Jacob Misiorowski in today's game.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Fri, Jun 26 • 8:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total
Colorado Rockies logo Minnesota Twins logo o9.0 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Joe Osborne image
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst

The Rockies and Twins rank first and third in OPS over the last two weeks, and both draw vulnerable pitching staffs. Taj Bradley has been hammered for a 6.93 ERA over his last five starts, while Tomoyuki Sugano has already served up 14 home runs in 15 outings and now faces a Twins team that's been one of baseball's best power-hitting clubs over the past month. Add in two shaky bullpens, and plenty of runs should follow.

Total Bases
Royce Lewis logo
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Royce Lewis ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Royce Lewis is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The weather report expects the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Royce Lewis will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Fri, Jun 26 • 8:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers o1.5 Total Bases (+133)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Kyle Stowers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dustin May in today's matchup... and even more favorably, May has a large platoon split.. Kyle Stowers has big-time HR ability (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (29.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Michael McGreevy struggles to strike batters out (13th percentile K%) — great news for Stowers.
Total RBIs
Ivan Herrera logo
Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (+234)
Projection 0.48
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Ivan Herrera will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Fri, Jun 26 • 9:38 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Max Muncy logo
Max Muncy o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.43
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams today.
Total RBIs
Jo Adell logo
Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Jo Adell ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jo Adell is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.. The Athletics infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today.. Jo Adell will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ San Diego Padres logo SD Fri, Jun 26 • 9:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Andy Pages logo
Andy Pages o1.5 Total Bases (+143)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Andy Pages is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani logo
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (+106)
Projection 2.02
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best hitter in the majors.. Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Shohei Ohtani will hold the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler in today's matchup.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Fri, Jun 26 • 10:15 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Total Home Runs
Bryce Eldridge logo
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Projection 0.15
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryce Eldridge in the 90th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Bryce Eldridge has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (64% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Bryce Eldridge will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Reynaldo Lopez in today's matchup.. Bryce Eldridge will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 hours ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 hours ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 4 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 14 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 7 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 2 Picks

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