Final May 11
LAA 2 +153 o7.5
CLE 7 -167 u7.5
Final May 11
NYY 2 -145 o8.5
BAL 3 +134 u8.5
Final May 11
TB 8 +108 o7.0
TOR 5 -117 u7.0
Final May 11
AZ 1 -103 o8.0
TEX 0 -105 u8.0
Final May 11
SEA 3 -147 o8.5
HOU 1 +135 u8.5
Final May 11
SF 9 +165 o9.0
LAD 3 -181 u9.0

Philadelphia vs Boston   Picks & Props

PHI vs BOS Picks

MLB Picks
Total
Philadelphia Phillies logo Boston Red Sox logo o8.5 (+101)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Tom Oldfield image
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst

With the Phillies heating up at the plate, I’m taking the Over tonight. It’s 7-3 in the visitors’ past 10 outings, and they scored 22 runs in the weekend series against the Colorado Rockies. That included four homers from Kyle Schwarber, with Alec Bohm and Harper also joining the party.

Philadelphia has also finished with 9+ hits in five of its last six games, so watch for solid production here, with Boston expected to use an opener before turning things over to Brayan Bello. The Red Sox offense is the biggest cause for pause here, but the possible return of Willson Contreras here would give the lineup a boost.

Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI (-138)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Tom Oldfield image
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst

What a difference a few weeks can make. Just when the obituaries were being written, the Philadelphia Phillies have climbed off the mat to win 10 of their last 13 contests, and I like Bryce Harper and Co. in this spot against the Boston Red Sox.

It also helps that the Phillies are handing the ball to Zack Wheeler tonight. He’s posted a 3.18 ERA so far this year, and Philadelphia has won all three of his starts. After an eyebrow-raising sweep of the Detroit Tigers, the Red Sox came back to earth with a weekend series loss, and they’re just 7-12 at Fenway this season.

Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI (-138)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Jon Metler image
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

If you’re going to give me an edge on the team with a legitimate ace on the mound—one who allows the Philadelphia Phillies to bypass the weaker middle relief portion of their bullpen—I’m going to back Zack Wheeler and the Phillies. Philadelphia is trading around -138, but I think that number should be much shorter. I price the Phillies closer to -170 in this matchup. On the other side, Brayan Bello has struggled badly against left-handed hitters, allowing them to bat .366 with a 1.143 OPS. Even if Jovani Moran opens the game from the left side, Bello will eventually have to deal with hitters like Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper. Between Wheeler’s edge on the mound and the favorable matchups for the Phillies’ left-handed power bats, Philadelphia is in a strong spot offensively and defensively.

Total Hits
Trevor Story logo
Trevor Story u0.5 Total Hits (+156)
Projection 0.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Given Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Trevor Story will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as baseball's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game.. Kyle Schwarber has big-time HR ability (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (28.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Brayan Bello is a pitch-to-contact type (16th percentile K%) — great news for Schwarber.
Total Bases
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 31 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello in today's game.. Bryce Harper has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 31 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello in today's game.. Bryce Harper has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 31 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Because of Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Wilyer Abreu will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. Wilyer Abreu pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Brandon Marsh logo
Brandon Marsh o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.47
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Marsh is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage against Brayan Bello today.. Brandon Marsh has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total RBIs (+132)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as baseball's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game.. Kyle Schwarber has big-time HR ability (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (28.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Brayan Bello is a pitch-to-contact type (16th percentile K%) — great news for Schwarber.
Total RBIs
Adolis Garcia logo
Adolis Garcia o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 43 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Adolis Garcia has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.
Total RBIs
Masataka Yoshida logo
Masataka Yoshida o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.44
Best Odds
Pick made: 31 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Masataka Yoshida's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest.. Given Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Masataka Yoshida will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-130)
Projection 2.47
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as baseball's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game.. Kyle Schwarber has big-time HR ability (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (28.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Brayan Bello is a pitch-to-contact type (16th percentile K%) — great news for Schwarber.

PHI vs BOS Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

62% picking Philadelphia vs Boston to go Over

62%
38%

Total PicksPHI 29, BOS 18

Total
Over
Under

PHI vs BOS Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
MONEYLINE
Philadelphia Phillies logo
PHI -145 moneyline
PHI PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
3.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Philadelphia Phillies logo
PHI -145 moneyline

PROJECTION

PHI PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
3.81% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-145
BetMGM logo
TOTAL
Philadelphia Phillies logo Boston Red Sox logo
Under 8.0 Total
8.65 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-3.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Philadelphia Phillies logo Boston Red Sox logo
Under 8.0 Total

PROJECTION

8.65 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-3.08% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

u8.5 -120
FanDuel logo
SPREAD
Boston Red Sox logo
BOS +1.5 spread
0.95 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Boston Red Sox logo
BOS +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.08% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -135
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox logo
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox logo
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.53% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Given Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Trevor Story will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.

u0.5 +156
Caesars logo
TOTAL HITS
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.66% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Brayan Bello will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adolis Garcia today.. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Adolis Garcia today.

u0.5 +176
Caesars logo
TOTAL HITS
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.62% EV

ANALYSIS

J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Brayan Bello will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against J.T. Realmuto in today's game.. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

u0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.4% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Narvaez in the 20th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Carlos Narvaez is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Zack Wheeler will hold the platoon advantage against Carlos Narvaez in today's game... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Wheeler's large platoon split.

u0.5 +110
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.37% EV

ANALYSIS

Bryson Stott is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryson Stott in today's matchup.

u0.5 +175
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.95% EV

ANALYSIS

Ceddanne Rafaela is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today's game.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Considering Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Ceddanne Rafaela will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today.

u0.5 +150
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.14% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

u0.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Marcelo Mayer logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Mayer (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Marcelo Mayer logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Mayer (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.7% EV

ANALYSIS

Marcelo Mayer is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

u0.5 +125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.91% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

u0.5 +175
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.89 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.89 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.91% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.. Boston's #2-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Kyle Schwarber, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kyle Schwarber in today's matchup.

u0.5 +156
Caesars logo
TOTAL HITS
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 10th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Caleb Durbin is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today's game.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Given Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Caleb Durbin will be at a huge disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.

u0.5 +120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.44% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

u0.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.82% EV

ANALYSIS

Justin Crawford is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Typically, batters like Justin Crawford who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Brayan Bello.. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

u0.5 +155
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.02 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-4.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.02 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-4.18% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.. Brandon Marsh will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

u0.5 +175
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.08 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-4.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.08 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-4.73% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryce Harper today.

u0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
1.18 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-10.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.18 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-10.02% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 11th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average skill.. Trea Turner is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Trea Turner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

o0.5 -310
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
10.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
10.26% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as baseball's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game.. Kyle Schwarber has big-time HR ability (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (28.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Brayan Bello is a pitch-to-contact type (16th percentile K%) — great news for Schwarber.

o1.5 +125
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.77 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.77 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.54% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello in today's game.. Bryce Harper has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o1.5 +120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.79% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Marsh is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage against Brayan Bello today.. Brandon Marsh has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o1.5 +160
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.81% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Wheeler has a large platoon split.. Jarren Duran has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +126
Caesars logo
TOTAL BASES
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
2.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
2.45% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Because of Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Wilyer Abreu will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. Wilyer Abreu pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

o1.5 +135
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.39% EV

ANALYSIS

Bryson Stott's batting average skill is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Batting from the opposite that Brayan Bello throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Bryson Stott has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox logo
T. Story (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.22 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox logo
T. Story (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.22 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.69% EV

ANALYSIS

The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Given Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Trevor Story will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.

u1.5 -179
Caesars logo
TOTAL BASES
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.02% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 11th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average skill.. Trea Turner is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Trea Turner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

o1.5 +110
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.47% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his home run talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Adolis Garcia has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.24 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.24 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.29% EV

ANALYSIS

Ceddanne Rafaela's batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 +185
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.21% EV

ANALYSIS

Masataka Yoshida's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest.. Given Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Masataka Yoshida will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

o1.5 +145
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Marcelo Mayer logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Mayer (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marcelo Mayer logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Mayer (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.36% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Marcelo Mayer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today... and even better, Wheeler has a large platoon split.. Marcelo Mayer has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Marcelo Mayer will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +202
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.74% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. J.T. Realmuto has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

o1.5 +135
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.22 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-10.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.22 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-10.27% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Crawford as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest.. Justin Crawford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello today.

o1.5 +165
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.01 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-15.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.01 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-15.41% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Caleb Durbin pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.. Caleb Durbin will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

o1.5 +215
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.99 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.99 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-19% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Carlos Narvaez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +205
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.02 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-2.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.02 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-2.8% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run skill, Justin Crawford ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Justin Crawford is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.. The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Typically, batters like Justin Crawford who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Brayan Bello.

u0.5 -3448
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox logo
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox logo
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.07% EV

ANALYSIS

The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Given Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Trevor Story will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.

u0.5 -1000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.16% EV

ANALYSIS

The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Batting from the same side that Brayan Bello throws from, Trea Turner faces a tough challenge in today's game.. Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

u0.5 -1299
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.22% EV

ANALYSIS

The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kyle Schwarber in today's matchup.

u0.5 -380
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.42% EV

ANALYSIS

The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Brandon Marsh will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

u0.5 -1587
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.57% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 10th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Caleb Durbin is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today's game.. The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

u0.5 -2500
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.98% EV

ANALYSIS

Carlos Narvaez is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.. The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Zack Wheeler will hold the platoon advantage against Carlos Narvaez in today's game... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Wheeler's large platoon split.

u0.5 -1299
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.02% EV

ANALYSIS

The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryce Harper today.

u0.5 -699
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Marcelo Mayer logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Mayer (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marcelo Mayer logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Mayer (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.41% EV

ANALYSIS

Marcelo Mayer is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.. The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

u0.5 -2000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.52% EV

ANALYSIS

Ceddanne Rafaela is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today's game.. The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Considering Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Ceddanne Rafaela will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today.

u0.5 -1695
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.01% EV

ANALYSIS

J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.. The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Brayan Bello will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against J.T. Realmuto in today's game.

u0.5 -1587
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Brayan Bello will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adolis Garcia today.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Adolis Garcia today.

u0.5 -952
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.19% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

u0.5 -2000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.56% EV

ANALYSIS

Bryson Stott is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.. The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryson Stott in today's matchup.

u0.5 -2222
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.03% EV

ANALYSIS

The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

u0.5 -800
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.59% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Wheeler has a large platoon split.. Jarren Duran has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Jarren Duran will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

o0.5 +750
bet365 logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Zack Wheeler logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
Z. Wheeler (SP) 6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
6.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Zack Wheeler logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
Z. Wheeler (SP) 6.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

6.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.07% EV

ANALYSIS

Projected catcher J.T. Realmuto grades out as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The #1 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Zack Wheeler in today's game.. With a 1 discrepancy between Zack Wheeler's 11.48 K/9 and his 10.48 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in MLB since the start of last season as it relates to strikeouts and should perform worse the rest of the season.

u6.5 -122
Caesars logo
TOTAL RBIS
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
15.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
15.11% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello in today's game.. Bryce Harper has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +170
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL RBIS
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.68% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Because of Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Wilyer Abreu will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. Wilyer Abreu pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +190
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL RBIS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.16% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Marsh is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage against Brayan Bello today.. Brandon Marsh has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +230
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL RBIS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
11.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
11.1% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as baseball's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game.. Kyle Schwarber has big-time HR ability (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (28.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Brayan Bello is a pitch-to-contact type (16th percentile K%) — great news for Schwarber.

o0.5 +132
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.96% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his home run talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Adolis Garcia has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

o0.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.25% EV

ANALYSIS

Masataka Yoshida's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest.. Given Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Masataka Yoshida will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

o0.5 +225
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL RBIS
Marcelo Mayer logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Mayer (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marcelo Mayer logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Mayer (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.27% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Marcelo Mayer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today... and even better, Wheeler has a large platoon split.. Marcelo Mayer has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Marcelo Mayer will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +280
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.88% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Wheeler has a large platoon split.. Jarren Duran has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +210
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.26% EV

ANALYSIS

Bryson Stott's batting average skill is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Batting from the opposite that Brayan Bello throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Bryson Stott has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +202
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.88% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. J.T. Realmuto has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +190
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL RBIS
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.68% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 11th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average skill.. Trea Turner is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Trea Turner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

o0.5 +200
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL RBIS
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox logo
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox logo
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.2% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Trevor Story is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Trevor Story has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.. Trevor Story will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

o0.5 +202
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.29% EV

ANALYSIS

Justin Crawford is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.. The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Typically, batters like Justin Crawford who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Brayan Bello.. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

u0.5 -300
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.02% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Carlos Narvaez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +240
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.27 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.27 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.13% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 10th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Caleb Durbin is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today's game.. The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

u0.5 -400
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-7.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-7.28% EV

ANALYSIS

Ceddanne Rafaela's batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 +215
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.47 PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
12.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.47 PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
12.67% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as baseball's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game.. Kyle Schwarber has big-time HR ability (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (28.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Brayan Bello is a pitch-to-contact type (16th percentile K%) — great news for Schwarber.

o1.5 -130
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.41 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
9.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.41 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
9.96% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello in today's game.. Bryce Harper has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o1.5 -140
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
5.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
5.91% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Because of Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Wilyer Abreu will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. Wilyer Abreu pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

o1.5 -110
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.91% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his home run talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Adolis Garcia has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

o1.5 -120
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
2.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
2.33% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Wheeler has a large platoon split.. Jarren Duran has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 -120
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.33% EV

ANALYSIS

Bryson Stott's batting average skill is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Batting from the opposite that Brayan Bello throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Bryson Stott has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 -105
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.38% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Marsh is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage against Brayan Bello today.. Brandon Marsh has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o1.5 -130
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.35% EV

ANALYSIS

Masataka Yoshida's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest.. Given Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Masataka Yoshida will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

o1.5 -110
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.22 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-2.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.22 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-2.53% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 11th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average skill.. Trea Turner is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Trea Turner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

o1.5 -180
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Marcelo Mayer logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Mayer (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marcelo Mayer logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Mayer (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.48% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Marcelo Mayer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today... and even better, Wheeler has a large platoon split.. Marcelo Mayer has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Marcelo Mayer will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. J.T. Realmuto has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

o1.5 -130
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-5.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-5.17% EV

ANALYSIS

Ceddanne Rafaela's batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 +115
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.77% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 10th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Caleb Durbin is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today's game.. The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

u1.5 -180
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-8.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-8.33% EV

ANALYSIS

Justin Crawford is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.. The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Typically, batters like Justin Crawford who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Brayan Bello.. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

u1.5 -120
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox logo
T. Story (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-8.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox logo
T. Story (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-8.92% EV

ANALYSIS

The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Given Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Trevor Story will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.

u1.5 -135
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.32 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-10.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.32 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-10.31% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Carlos Narvaez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
MONEYLINE
Philadelphia Phillies logo
PHI -145 moneyline
PHI PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
3.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Philadelphia Phillies logo
PHI -145 moneyline

PROJECTION

PHI PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
3.81% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-145
BetMGM logo
TOTAL
Philadelphia Phillies logo Boston Red Sox logo
Under 8.0 Total
8.65 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-3.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Philadelphia Phillies logo Boston Red Sox logo
Under 8.0 Total

PROJECTION

8.65 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-3.08% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

u8.5 -120
FanDuel logo
SPREAD
Boston Red Sox logo
BOS +1.5 spread
0.95 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Boston Red Sox logo
BOS +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.08% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -135
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox logo
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox logo
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.53% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Given Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Trevor Story will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.

u0.5 +156
Caesars logo
TOTAL HITS
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.66% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Brayan Bello will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adolis Garcia today.. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Adolis Garcia today.

u0.5 +176
Caesars logo
TOTAL HITS
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.62% EV

ANALYSIS

J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Brayan Bello will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against J.T. Realmuto in today's game.. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

u0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.4% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Narvaez in the 20th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Carlos Narvaez is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Zack Wheeler will hold the platoon advantage against Carlos Narvaez in today's game... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Wheeler's large platoon split.

u0.5 +110
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.37% EV

ANALYSIS

Bryson Stott is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryson Stott in today's matchup.

u0.5 +175
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.95% EV

ANALYSIS

Ceddanne Rafaela is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today's game.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Considering Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Ceddanne Rafaela will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today.

u0.5 +150
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.14% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

u0.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Marcelo Mayer logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Mayer (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Marcelo Mayer logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Mayer (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.7% EV

ANALYSIS

Marcelo Mayer is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

u0.5 +125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.91% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

u0.5 +175
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.89 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.89 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.91% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.. Boston's #2-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Kyle Schwarber, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kyle Schwarber in today's matchup.

u0.5 +156
Caesars logo
TOTAL HITS
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 10th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Caleb Durbin is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today's game.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Given Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Caleb Durbin will be at a huge disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.

u0.5 +120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.44% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

u0.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.82% EV

ANALYSIS

Justin Crawford is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Typically, batters like Justin Crawford who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Brayan Bello.. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

u0.5 +155
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.02 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-4.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.02 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-4.18% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.. Brandon Marsh will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

u0.5 +175
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.08 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-4.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.08 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-4.73% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryce Harper today.

u0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
1.18 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-10.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.18 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-10.02% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 11th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average skill.. Trea Turner is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Trea Turner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

o0.5 -310
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
10.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
10.26% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as baseball's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game.. Kyle Schwarber has big-time HR ability (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (28.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Brayan Bello is a pitch-to-contact type (16th percentile K%) — great news for Schwarber.

o1.5 +125
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.77 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.77 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.54% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello in today's game.. Bryce Harper has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o1.5 +120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.79% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Marsh is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage against Brayan Bello today.. Brandon Marsh has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o1.5 +160
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.81% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Wheeler has a large platoon split.. Jarren Duran has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +126
Caesars logo
TOTAL BASES
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
2.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
2.45% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Because of Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Wilyer Abreu will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. Wilyer Abreu pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

o1.5 +135
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.39% EV

ANALYSIS

Bryson Stott's batting average skill is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Batting from the opposite that Brayan Bello throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Bryson Stott has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox logo
T. Story (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.22 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox logo
T. Story (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.22 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.69% EV

ANALYSIS

The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Given Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Trevor Story will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.

u1.5 -179
Caesars logo
TOTAL BASES
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.02% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 11th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average skill.. Trea Turner is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Trea Turner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

o1.5 +110
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.47% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his home run talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Adolis Garcia has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.24 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.24 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.29% EV

ANALYSIS

Ceddanne Rafaela's batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 +185
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.21% EV

ANALYSIS

Masataka Yoshida's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest.. Given Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Masataka Yoshida will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

o1.5 +145
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Marcelo Mayer logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Mayer (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marcelo Mayer logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Mayer (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.36% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Marcelo Mayer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today... and even better, Wheeler has a large platoon split.. Marcelo Mayer has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Marcelo Mayer will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +202
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.74% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. J.T. Realmuto has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

o1.5 +135
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.22 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-10.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.22 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-10.27% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Crawford as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest.. Justin Crawford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello today.

o1.5 +165
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.01 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-15.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.01 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-15.41% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Caleb Durbin pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.. Caleb Durbin will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

o1.5 +215
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.99 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.99 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-19% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Carlos Narvaez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +205
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.02 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-2.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.02 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-2.8% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run skill, Justin Crawford ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Justin Crawford is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.. The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Typically, batters like Justin Crawford who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Brayan Bello.

u0.5 -3448
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox logo
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox logo
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.07% EV

ANALYSIS

The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Given Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Trevor Story will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.

u0.5 -1000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.16% EV

ANALYSIS

The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Batting from the same side that Brayan Bello throws from, Trea Turner faces a tough challenge in today's game.. Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

u0.5 -1299
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.22% EV

ANALYSIS

The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kyle Schwarber in today's matchup.

u0.5 -380
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.42% EV

ANALYSIS

The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Brandon Marsh will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

u0.5 -1587
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.57% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 10th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Caleb Durbin is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today's game.. The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

u0.5 -2500
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.98% EV

ANALYSIS

Carlos Narvaez is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.. The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Zack Wheeler will hold the platoon advantage against Carlos Narvaez in today's game... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Wheeler's large platoon split.

u0.5 -1299
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.02% EV

ANALYSIS

The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryce Harper today.

u0.5 -699
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Marcelo Mayer logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Mayer (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marcelo Mayer logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Mayer (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.41% EV

ANALYSIS

Marcelo Mayer is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.. The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

u0.5 -2000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.52% EV

ANALYSIS

Ceddanne Rafaela is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today's game.. The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Considering Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Ceddanne Rafaela will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today.

u0.5 -1695
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.01% EV

ANALYSIS

J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.. The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Brayan Bello will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against J.T. Realmuto in today's game.

u0.5 -1587
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Brayan Bello will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adolis Garcia today.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Adolis Garcia today.

u0.5 -952
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.19% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

u0.5 -2000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.56% EV

ANALYSIS

Bryson Stott is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.. The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryson Stott in today's matchup.

u0.5 -2222
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.03% EV

ANALYSIS

The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

u0.5 -800
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.59% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Wheeler has a large platoon split.. Jarren Duran has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Jarren Duran will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

o0.5 +750
bet365 logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Zack Wheeler logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
Z. Wheeler (SP) 6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
6.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Zack Wheeler logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
Z. Wheeler (SP) 6.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

6.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.07% EV

ANALYSIS

Projected catcher J.T. Realmuto grades out as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The #1 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Zack Wheeler in today's game.. With a 1 discrepancy between Zack Wheeler's 11.48 K/9 and his 10.48 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in MLB since the start of last season as it relates to strikeouts and should perform worse the rest of the season.

u6.5 -122
Caesars logo
TOTAL RBIS
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
15.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
15.11% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello in today's game.. Bryce Harper has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +170
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL RBIS
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.68% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Because of Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Wilyer Abreu will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. Wilyer Abreu pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +190
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL RBIS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.16% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Marsh is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage against Brayan Bello today.. Brandon Marsh has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +230
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL RBIS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
11.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
11.1% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as baseball's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game.. Kyle Schwarber has big-time HR ability (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (28.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Brayan Bello is a pitch-to-contact type (16th percentile K%) — great news for Schwarber.

o0.5 +132
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.96% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his home run talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Adolis Garcia has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

o0.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.25% EV

ANALYSIS

Masataka Yoshida's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest.. Given Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Masataka Yoshida will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

o0.5 +225
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL RBIS
Marcelo Mayer logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Mayer (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marcelo Mayer logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Mayer (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.27% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Marcelo Mayer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today... and even better, Wheeler has a large platoon split.. Marcelo Mayer has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Marcelo Mayer will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +280
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.88% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Wheeler has a large platoon split.. Jarren Duran has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +210
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.26% EV

ANALYSIS

Bryson Stott's batting average skill is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Batting from the opposite that Brayan Bello throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Bryson Stott has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +202
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.88% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. J.T. Realmuto has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +190
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL RBIS
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.68% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 11th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average skill.. Trea Turner is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Trea Turner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

o0.5 +200
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL RBIS
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox logo
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox logo
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.2% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Trevor Story is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Trevor Story has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.. Trevor Story will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

o0.5 +202
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.29% EV

ANALYSIS

Justin Crawford is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.. The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Typically, batters like Justin Crawford who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Brayan Bello.. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

u0.5 -300
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.02% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Carlos Narvaez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +240
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.27 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.27 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.13% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 10th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Caleb Durbin is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today's game.. The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

u0.5 -400
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-7.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-7.28% EV

ANALYSIS

Ceddanne Rafaela's batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 +215
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.47 PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
12.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.47 PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
12.67% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as baseball's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game.. Kyle Schwarber has big-time HR ability (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (28.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Brayan Bello is a pitch-to-contact type (16th percentile K%) — great news for Schwarber.

o1.5 -130
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.41 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
9.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.41 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
9.96% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello in today's game.. Bryce Harper has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o1.5 -140
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
5.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox logo
W. Abreu (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
5.91% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Because of Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Wilyer Abreu will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. Wilyer Abreu pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

o1.5 -110
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.91% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his home run talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Adolis Garcia has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

o1.5 -120
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
2.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox logo
J. Duran (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
2.33% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Wheeler has a large platoon split.. Jarren Duran has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 -120
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.33% EV

ANALYSIS

Bryson Stott's batting average skill is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Batting from the opposite that Brayan Bello throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Bryson Stott has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 -105
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.38% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Marsh is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage against Brayan Bello today.. Brandon Marsh has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o1.5 -130
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Masataka Yoshida logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Yoshida (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.35% EV

ANALYSIS

Masataka Yoshida's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest.. Given Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Masataka Yoshida will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

o1.5 -110
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.22 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-2.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.22 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-2.53% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 11th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average skill.. Trea Turner is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Trea Turner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

o1.5 -180
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Marcelo Mayer logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Mayer (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marcelo Mayer logo
Boston Red Sox logo
M. Mayer (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.48% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Marcelo Mayer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today... and even better, Wheeler has a large platoon split.. Marcelo Mayer has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Marcelo Mayer will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. J.T. Realmuto has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

o1.5 -130
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-5.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Rafaela (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-5.17% EV

ANALYSIS

Ceddanne Rafaela's batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 +115
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Durbin (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.77% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 10th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Caleb Durbin is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today's game.. The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

u1.5 -180
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-8.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-8.33% EV

ANALYSIS

Justin Crawford is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.. The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Typically, batters like Justin Crawford who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Brayan Bello.. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

u1.5 -120
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox logo
T. Story (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-8.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox logo
T. Story (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-8.92% EV

ANALYSIS

The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Given Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Trevor Story will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.

u1.5 -135
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.32 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-10.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carlos Narvaez logo
Boston Red Sox logo
C. Narvaez (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.32 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-10.31% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Carlos Narvaez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo

PHI vs BOS Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

Total

'mrplus96' picks Philadelphia vs Boston to go Over (8.5)

mrplus96 is #1 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (22-12-1) and +11790 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast

//Trends script for picks tab