Miami

Minnesota

7:40PM ET 7:40PM ET · May 12, 2026

Miami vs Minnesota Picks & Props

MIA vs MIN Picks

MLB Picks

Strikeouts Thrown

Eury Perez u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+105)

Projection 5.08

Best Odds

u5.5 +105

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u5.5 +105

u5.5 -102

u5.5 -110

Target Field projects as the #23 stadium in MLB for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.2-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Eury Perez has used his fastball a lot this year, though: 51.9% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.

+105 at bet365

There are no Consensus Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Consensus to see all Consensus picks.

Consensus Picks

MIA vs MIN Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS	PROJECTIONS				ANALYSIS	BEST ODDS
MONEYLINE MIA -104 moneyline MIA PROJECTION - DIFFERENCE 1.03% EV Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds -104 -105 -105 -104 -105 -105 -110 MIA -104 moneyline PROJECTION MIA PROJECTION - DIFFERENCE 1.03% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. -104
TOTAL Over 9.0 Total 10.26 PROJECTION +1.3 DIFFERENCE 7.76% EV Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5 Best odds DraftKings Best Odds o9.0 +100 o9.0 +100 o9.0 +100 o9.0 -105 o9.0 +100 o9.0 +100 o9.0 -105 Over 9.0 Total PROJECTION 10.26 PROJECTION +1.3 DIFFERENCE 7.76% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o9.0 +100
SPREAD MIN +1.5 spread 0.26 PROJECTION -1.2 DIFFERENCE 0.3% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds +1.5 -170 +1.5 -178 +1.5 -170 +1.5 -192 +1.5 -190 +1.5 -170 +1.5 -175 MIN +1.5 spread PROJECTION 0.26 PROJECTION -1.2 DIFFERENCE 0.3% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. +1.5 -170
STRIKEOUTS THROWN E. Perez (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown 5.08 PROJECTION -0.4 DIFFERENCE 12.02% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds u5.5 +105 - u5.5 +105 u5.5 -102 - - u5.5 -110 E. Perez (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown PROJECTION 5.08 PROJECTION -0.4 DIFFERENCE 12.02% EV ANALYSIS Target Field projects as the #23 stadium in MLB for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.2-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Eury Perez has used his fastball a lot this year, though: 51.9% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile. u5.5 +105
STRIKEOUTS THROWN B. Ober (SP) 3.5 Strikeouts Thrown 4.14 PROJECTION +0.6 DIFFERENCE -4.38% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook Best Odds o3.5 -150 - o4.5 +130 o4.5 +120 - - o3.5 -150 B. Ober (SP) 3.5 Strikeouts Thrown PROJECTION 4.14 PROJECTION +0.6 DIFFERENCE -4.38% EV ANALYSIS Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-lowest humidity of all games on the slate at 31%.. Bailey Ober has used his change-up 6.6% more often this year (35.5%) than he did last year (28.9%). o3.5 -150

MONEYLINE

MIA -104 moneyline

MIA PROJECTION

- DIFFERENCE

1.03% EV

Rating:

-104

-105

-104

-105

-110

TOTAL

Over 9.0 Total

10.26 PROJECTION

+1.3 DIFFERENCE

7.76% EV

Rating:

o9.0 +100

o9.0 -105

o9.0 +100

o9.0 -105

SPREAD

MIN +1.5 spread

0.26 PROJECTION

-1.2 DIFFERENCE

0.3% EV

Rating:

+1.5 -170

+1.5 -178

+1.5 -170

+1.5 -192

+1.5 -190

+1.5 -170

+1.5 -175

STRIKEOUTS THROWN

E. Perez (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

5.08 PROJECTION

-0.4 DIFFERENCE

12.02% EV

Rating:

u5.5 +105

u5.5 -102

u5.5 -110

STRIKEOUTS THROWN

B. Ober (SP) 3.5 Strikeouts Thrown

4.14 PROJECTION

+0.6 DIFFERENCE

-4.38% EV

Rating:

o3.5 -150

o4.5 +130

o4.5 +120

o3.5 -150

MIA vs MIN Trends

Miami Trends

The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+10.55 Units / 38% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - FT

Rank	Leader	L10	Units
1	pureporkchop	6-4-0	+12000
2	Franciswarns	6-4-0	+11545
3	robert78lodz	9-1-0	+9975
4	Haloman	6-4-0	+9165
5	BPD72	6-4-0	+8702
6	seattle-8	6-4-0	+8135
7	kwwhit40	7-3-0	+8075
8	Falcon4242	6-4-0	+7835
9	LASVEGASCAVS	6-4-0	+7540
10	Whiteyr	7-3-0	+7520
All Marlins Money Leaders

Rank	Leader	L10	Units
1	SamGiancano	7-3-0	+10410
2	jakringle	6-4-0	+9545
3	dwynf	6-4-0	+9410
4	vlkvlk2012	6-3-1	+9380
5	TNtoTX	7-3-0	+9240
6	YAL15M	8-2-0	+8450
7	texas-bob	8-2-0	+7970
8	CastlemontDB91	7-3-0	+7670
9	JayAcosta20	5-5-0	+7550
10	GRUNT33	8-2-0	+7400
All Twins Money Leaders

Miami vs Minnesota Picks & Props

MIA vs MIN Picks

MIA vs MIN Consensus Picks

MIA vs MIN Props

MIA vs MIN Trends

The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+10.55 Units / 38% ROI)

The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 away games (+8.30 Units / 16% ROI)

The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 away games (+9.50 Units / 101% ROI)

The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+8.89 Units / 15% ROI)

The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.50 Units / 13% ROI)

The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 50 away games (-17.40 Units / -29% ROI)

The Miami Marlins have only hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 50 away games (-15.50 Units / -26% ROI)

The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 35 away games (-13.25 Units / -34% ROI)

The Miami Marlins have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 50 games (-7.35 Units / -13% ROI)

The Miami Marlins have only covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 40 away games (-5.95 Units / -11% ROI)

The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+8.45 Units / 37% ROI)

The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games at home (+10.85 Units / 54% ROI)

The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 17 games at home (+10.50 Units / 50% ROI)

The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.85 Units / 21% ROI)

The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.55 Units / 32% ROI)

The Minnesota Twins have only covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 50 games at home (-15.75 Units / -24% ROI)

The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 40 games (-15.65 Units / -34% ROI)

The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 50 games at home (-15.05 Units / -26% ROI)

The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 35 games (-14.35 Units / -37% ROI)

The Minnesota Twins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 45 games at home (-12.55 Units / -23% ROI)

MIA vs MIN Top User Picks

Miami Team Leaders

Minnesota Team Leaders

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