LIVE Top 1st May 13
NYY 0 -152 o9.0
BAL 0 +140 u9.0
LAA +133 o6.5
CLE -145 u6.5
COL +159 o8.5
PIT -174 u8.5
WAS +143 o9.5
CIN -156 u9.5
PHI +121 o9.0
BOS -131 u9.0
TB +135 o7.5
TOR -146 u7.5
DET -104 o8.0
NYM -104 u8.0
CHC -133 o8.5
ATL +123 u8.5
MIA -119 o8.5
MIN +110 u8.5
KC -106 o8.0
CHW -102 u8.0
SD +134 o7.0
MIL -145 u7.0
AZ -103 o8.0
TEX -105 u8.0
SEA -129 o9.0
HOU +119 u9.0
STL +128 o10.0
ATH -139 u10.0
SF +206 o7.5
LAD -229 u7.5
Detroit
10  New York

Detroit vs New York   Picks & Props

DET vs NYM Picks

MLB Picks
Total
Detroit Tigers logo New York Mets logo u7.5 (-108)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Ed Scimia image
Ed Scimia
Betting Analyst

Any offensive outburst for the Mets is likely to come before the Tigers' bullpen enters the fray, which was given a much-needed rest day on Monday following a reliever-by-committee approach on Sunday Night Baseball in Kansas City. I have even less faith in the Tigers generating runs off of Peralta, who has held Detroit hitters to a lifetime OPS of .419, and both teams are also a combined 6–14 to the O/U in their last 10 games.

Moneyline
New York Mets logo NYM (-145)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Ed Scimia image
Ed Scimia
Betting Analyst

Jack Flaherty has failed to go longer than five innings in any of his last four starts, and has a 7.71 ERA in that span. He has seemingly lost all control, allowing 6.9 walks per nine innings this season. The Mets should be able to take advantage of those free passes to do a little something on offense and get a win behind Freddy Peralta tonight.

Total Bases
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball.. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge in today's game.. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Matt Vierling logo
Matt Vierling o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.42
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Matt Vierling is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. In the past week, Matt Vierling's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.2% up to 11.8%.
Total Bases
Kevin McGonigle logo
Kevin McGonigle o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kevin McGonigle's batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Kevin McGonigle will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.
Total Bases
MJ Melendez logo
MJ Melendez u1.5 Total Bases (-275)
Projection 0.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 9th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. 46% of the time that MJ Melendez has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pinch hit for.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 5th-worst stadium in MLB for lefty batting average.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.
Total Bases
Brett Baty logo
Brett Baty o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.3
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Brett Baty will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's game.. Brett Baty has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Brett Baty will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. Brett Baty has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.8-mph mark.
Total Bases
Mark Vientos logo
Mark Vientos o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mark Vientos is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Marcus Semien logo
Marcus Semien u1.5 Total Bases (-225)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 19th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Marcus Semien is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.. Citi Field projects as the #26 field in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for pitching of the day.
Total Bases
Gage Workman logo
Gage Workman o1.5 Total Bases (+300)
Projection 1.07
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gage Workman in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Gage Workman will have the upper hand today.. Gage Workman has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 43.7° figure is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (100th percentile).
Total Home Runs
Brett Baty logo
Brett Baty o0.5 Total Home Runs (+850)
Projection 0.13
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Brett Baty will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's game.. Brett Baty has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Brett Baty will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (26.3) suggests that Brett Baty has been unlucky since the start of last season with his 20.4 actual HR/600.

DET vs NYM Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

46% picking Detroit

46%
54%

Total PicksDET 322, NYM 384

Moneyline
DET
NYM
Moneyline
Total

48% picking Detroit vs NY Mets to go Under

52%
48%

Total PicksDET 223, NYM 209

Total
Over
Under

DET vs NYM Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
MONEYLINE
Detroit Tigers logo
DET +126 moneyline
DET PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-5.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Detroit Tigers logo
DET +126 moneyline

PROJECTION

DET PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-5.55% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+126
FanDuel logo
TOTAL
Detroit Tigers logo New York Mets logo
Over 7.5 Total
9.12 PROJECTION
+1.6 DIFFERENCE
16.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Detroit Tigers logo New York Mets logo
Over 7.5 Total

PROJECTION

9.12 PROJECTION
+1.6 DIFFERENCE
16.53% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o7.5 -102
BetMGM logo
SPREAD
Detroit Tigers logo
DET +1.5 spread
0.46 PROJECTION
-1.0 DIFFERENCE
-3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Detroit Tigers logo
DET +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

0.46 PROJECTION
-1.0 DIFFERENCE
-3% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -175
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets logo
J. Soto (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.89 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
3.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets logo
J. Soto (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.89 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
3.81% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 5th-worst stadium in MLB for lefty batting average.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.

u0.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Mark Vientos logo
New York Mets logo
M. Vientos (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Mark Vientos logo
New York Mets logo
M. Vientos (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.15% EV

ANALYSIS

This year, Mark Vientos has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 19% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.. Citi Field projects as the #26 field in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.. Batting from the same side that Jack Flaherty throws from, Mark Vientos will be in a tough position in today's game.

u0.5 +135
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
MJ Melendez logo
New York Mets logo
M. Melendez (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
MJ Melendez logo
New York Mets logo
M. Melendez (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.68% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 9th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. 46% of the time that MJ Melendez has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pinch hit for.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 5th-worst stadium in MLB for lefty batting average.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.

u0.5 -105
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.06% EV

ANALYSIS

Zach McKinstry is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Zach McKinstry has been pulled from the game early 21% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 5th-worst stadium in MLB for lefty batting average.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.

u0.5 -103
Caesars logo
TOTAL HITS
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets logo
B. Bichette (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.11 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-1.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets logo
B. Bichette (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.11 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-1.7% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field projects as the #26 field in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for pitching of the day.. Jack Flaherty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette in today's game.. In the last 7 days, Bo Bichette's 22.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 49.3%.

u0.5 +210
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets logo
C. Benge (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-2.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets logo
C. Benge (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-2.25% EV

ANALYSIS

Carson Benge's BABIP skill is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Carson Benge is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Carson Benge will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Flaherty in today's game.. Carson Benge has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 -155
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Francisco Alvarez logo
New York Mets logo
F. Alvarez (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Francisco Alvarez logo
New York Mets logo
F. Alvarez (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.86% EV

ANALYSIS

Francisco Alvarez is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.. Citi Field projects as the #26 field in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.. Hitting from the same side that Jack Flaherty throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have a disadvantage today.

u0.5 +105
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets logo
A. Ewing (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets logo
A. Ewing (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.43% EV

ANALYSIS

Andrew Ewing is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 5th-worst stadium in MLB for lefty batting average.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for pitching of the day.

u0.5 +125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets logo
M. Semien (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets logo
M. Semien (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.43% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 19th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Marcus Semien is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.. Citi Field projects as the #26 field in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.

u0.5 +120
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.58% EV

ANALYSIS

Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today's game.. Citi Field projects as the #26 field in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for pitching of the day.. Freddy Peralta will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Torkelson in today's game.

u0.5 -110
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.67% EV

ANALYSIS

This year, Colt Keith has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 41% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 5th-worst stadium in MLB for lefty batting average.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.. Colt Keith will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

u0.5 +115
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.75% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field projects as the #26 field in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.. Hitting from the same side that Freddy Peralta throws from, Dillon Dingler will have a tough matchup in today's game.. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Dillon Dingler today.

u0.5 +135
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.52% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's matchup.

o0.5 -145
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HITS
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.64% EV

ANALYSIS

Matt Vierling has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 15% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.. Citi Field projects as the #26 field in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.. Freddy Peralta will hold the platoon advantage against Matt Vierling today.

u0.5 +130
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Tyrone Taylor logo
New York Mets logo
T. Taylor (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Tyrone Taylor logo
New York Mets logo
T. Taylor (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.67% EV

ANALYSIS

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Tyrone Taylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Tyrone Taylor has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 5.3% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last 7 days.. Tyrone Taylor has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 87.1-mph mark.

o0.5 -105
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets logo
B. Baty (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.77 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets logo
B. Baty (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.77 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.72% EV

ANALYSIS

Brett Baty is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.. This year, Brett Baty has been pulled from the game early in 20% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 5th-worst stadium in MLB for lefty batting average.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for pitching of the day.

u0.5 +110
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Gage Workman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Workman (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Gage Workman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Workman (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.87% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gage Workman in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Gage Workman will have the upper hand today.. Gage Workman has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 43.7° figure is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (100th percentile).

o0.5 +110
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Wenceel Perez logo
Detroit Tigers logo
W. Perez (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Wenceel Perez logo
Detroit Tigers logo
W. Perez (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.03% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wenceel Perez in the 19th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Wenceel Perez is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today's game.. Wenceel Perez has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 19% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 5th-worst stadium in MLB for lefty batting average.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.

u0.5 +105
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-6.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-6.2% EV

ANALYSIS

Kevin McGonigle's batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Kevin McGonigle will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.

o0.5 -180
FanDuel logo
TOTAL BASES
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.22% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's matchup.

o1.5 +170
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets logo
J. Soto (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets logo
J. Soto (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.91% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball.. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge in today's game.. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +130
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.48% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Matt Vierling is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. In the past week, Matt Vierling's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.2% up to 11.8%.

o1.5 +200
FanDuel logo
TOTAL BASES
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.4% EV

ANALYSIS

Kevin McGonigle's batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Kevin McGonigle will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.

o1.5 +155
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
MJ Melendez logo
New York Mets logo
M. Melendez (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.61 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
10.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
MJ Melendez logo
New York Mets logo
M. Melendez (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.61 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
10.16% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 9th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. 46% of the time that MJ Melendez has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pinch hit for.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 5th-worst stadium in MLB for lefty batting average.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.

u1.5 -275
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets logo
B. Baty (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
9.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets logo
B. Baty (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
9.26% EV

ANALYSIS

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Brett Baty will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's game.. Brett Baty has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Brett Baty will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. Brett Baty has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.8-mph mark.

o1.5 +215
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Mark Vientos logo
New York Mets logo
M. Vientos (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Mark Vientos logo
New York Mets logo
M. Vientos (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.14% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his home run skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mark Vientos is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +185
FanDuel logo
TOTAL BASES
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets logo
M. Semien (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.80 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets logo
M. Semien (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.80 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.86% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 19th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Marcus Semien is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.. Citi Field projects as the #26 field in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for pitching of the day.

u1.5 -225
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Gage Workman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Workman (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
8.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Gage Workman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Workman (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
8.42% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gage Workman in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Gage Workman will have the upper hand today.. Gage Workman has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 43.7° figure is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (100th percentile).

o1.5 +300
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Wenceel Perez logo
Detroit Tigers logo
W. Perez (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Wenceel Perez logo
Detroit Tigers logo
W. Perez (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.78% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Wenceel Perez will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Freddy Peralta in today's game.. Wenceel Perez has been unlucky this year, compiling a .219 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .088 difference.

o1.5 +220
FanDuel logo
TOTAL BASES
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.66 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
7.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.66 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
7.49% EV

ANALYSIS

Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today's game.. Citi Field projects as the #26 field in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for pitching of the day.. Freddy Peralta will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Torkelson in today's game.

u1.5 -300
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.87 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
7.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.87 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
7.26% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field projects as the #26 field in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.. Hitting from the same side that Freddy Peralta throws from, Dillon Dingler will have a tough matchup in today's game.. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Dillon Dingler today.

u1.5 -220
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets logo
C. Benge (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.96 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
6.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets logo
C. Benge (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.96 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
6.39% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 5th-worst stadium in MLB for lefty batting average.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for pitching of the day.. Carson Benge's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 92-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 74.8-mph over the last 7 days.. The standard deviation of Carson Benge's launch angle has been very inconsistent recently (15.4° in the past 7 days), which is a measure of poor bat control and not seeing the ball well.

u1.5 -200
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.54% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Colt Keith is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Colt Keith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.. Colt Keith hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +210
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Francisco Alvarez logo
New York Mets logo
F. Alvarez (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.71 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
5.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Francisco Alvarez logo
New York Mets logo
F. Alvarez (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.71 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
5.51% EV

ANALYSIS

Francisco Alvarez is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.. Citi Field projects as the #26 field in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for pitching of the day.. Hitting from the same side that Jack Flaherty throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have a disadvantage today.

u1.5 -310
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Tyrone Taylor logo
New York Mets logo
T. Taylor (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
4.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Tyrone Taylor logo
New York Mets logo
T. Taylor (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
4.5% EV

ANALYSIS

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Tyrone Taylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Tyrone Taylor has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 5.3% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last 7 days.. Tyrone Taylor has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 87.1-mph mark.

o1.5 +240
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.65 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
2.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.65 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
2.95% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach McKinstry in the 23rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Zach McKinstry is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Zach McKinstry has been pulled from the game early 21% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 5th-worst stadium in MLB for lefty batting average.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.

u1.5 -400
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets logo
B. Bichette (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
2.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets logo
B. Bichette (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
2.69% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his batting average skill, Bo Bichette is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bo Bichette is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Bo Bichette will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +120
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets logo
A. Ewing (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
0.81 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets logo
A. Ewing (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.81 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Ewing in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Andrew Ewing will have the handedness advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Andrew Ewing will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +170
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets logo
B. Baty (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
8.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets logo
B. Baty (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
8.32% EV

ANALYSIS

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Brett Baty will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's game.. Brett Baty has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Brett Baty will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (26.3) suggests that Brett Baty has been unlucky since the start of last season with his 20.4 actual HR/600.

o0.5 +850
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.71% EV

ANALYSIS

Matt Vierling is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. In the past week, Matt Vierling's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.2% up to 11.8%.. Matt Vierling has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.2-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 90.2-mph.

o0.5 +900
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
6.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
6.33% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's matchup.

o0.5 +550
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.46% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.46% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Kevin McGonigle ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Kevin McGonigle will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.

o0.5 +800
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Wenceel Perez logo
Detroit Tigers logo
W. Perez (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Wenceel Perez logo
Detroit Tigers logo
W. Perez (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.22% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Wenceel Perez will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Freddy Peralta in today's game.. Wenceel Perez has been unlucky this year, compiling a .219 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .088 difference.

o0.5 +950
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets logo
J. Soto (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets logo
J. Soto (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.76% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball.. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge in today's game.. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +375
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Gage Workman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Workman (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Gage Workman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Workman (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.54% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Gage Workman will have the upper hand today.. Gage Workman has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 43.7° figure is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (100th percentile).

o0.5 +1000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Mark Vientos logo
New York Mets logo
M. Vientos (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Mark Vientos logo
New York Mets logo
M. Vientos (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.37% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his home run skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mark Vientos is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +650
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets logo
M. Semien (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets logo
M. Semien (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.03% EV

ANALYSIS

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Marcus Semien pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.4% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Marcus Semien will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. In the last 7 days, Marcus Semien's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.3% up to 23.1%.. Marcus Semien's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 18.9% on the season to 30.8% over the last 7 days.

o0.5 +800
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets logo
C. Benge (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets logo
C. Benge (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.03% EV

ANALYSIS

Carson Benge is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Carson Benge will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Flaherty in today's game.. Carson Benge has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Carson Benge will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +800
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets logo
B. Bichette (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets logo
B. Bichette (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.07% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.. Jack Flaherty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette in today's game.. Bo Bichette has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.1-mph dropping to 86.9-mph in the last week's worth of games.. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Bo Bichette has not been doing well in optimizing the launch angle on his hardest hit balls to generate power, managing a mere a 1.8° angle.

u0.5 -901
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.67% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Spencer Torkelson pulls many of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Spencer Torkelson has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.5-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 91.4-mph figure.. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.2°, Spencer Torkelson has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 21.2° angle in the past two weeks.

o0.5 +575
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.92% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.. Hitting from the same side that Freddy Peralta throws from, Dillon Dingler will have a tough matchup in today's game.. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Dillon Dingler today.. In the last 7 days, Dillon Dingler's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14.3% down to 0%.

u0.5 -752
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Francisco Alvarez logo
New York Mets logo
F. Alvarez (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Francisco Alvarez logo
New York Mets logo
F. Alvarez (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.13% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run talent, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Francisco Alvarez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Over the last week, Francisco Alvarez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.9% up to 30%.

o0.5 +650
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
MJ Melendez logo
New York Mets logo
M. Melendez (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
MJ Melendez logo
New York Mets logo
M. Melendez (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.5% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his home run skill, MJ Melendez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. MJ Melendez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. MJ Melendez will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's matchup.

o0.5 +600
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach McKinstry in the 23rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Zach McKinstry is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Zach McKinstry has been pulled from the game early 21% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.

u0.5 -2381
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.54% EV

ANALYSIS

This year, Colt Keith has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 41% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.. Colt Keith will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.. Colt Keith has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 5.7% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last 14 days.

u0.5 -1587
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Tyrone Taylor logo
New York Mets logo
T. Taylor (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-10.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Tyrone Taylor logo
New York Mets logo
T. Taylor (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-10.98% EV

ANALYSIS

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Tyrone Taylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Tyrone Taylor has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 5.3% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last 7 days.. Tyrone Taylor has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 87.1-mph mark.

o0.5 +950
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets logo
A. Ewing (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets logo
A. Ewing (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Andrew Ewing will have the handedness advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Andrew Ewing will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +650
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Jack Flaherty logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Flaherty (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
5.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-2.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jack Flaherty logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Flaherty (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

5.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-2.23% EV

ANALYSIS

It is scheduled that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Stu Scheurwater) calling pitches today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Jack Flaherty will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.. In his last GS, Jack Flaherty struggled when it came to striking batters out and only managed to post 2 Ks.. Jack Flaherty has relied on his curveball 5.9% less often this season (19.5%) than he did last season (25.4%).

u5.5 -108
FanDuel logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Freddy Peralta logo
New York Mets logo
F. Peralta (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
6.02 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Freddy Peralta logo
New York Mets logo
F. Peralta (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

6.02 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.87% EV

ANALYSIS

It is scheduled that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Stu Scheurwater) calling pitches today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. With 6 hitters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team's projected lineup, Freddy Peralta will be in a tough position while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.. Freddy Peralta's 93-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a significant 1.1-mph decrease from last season's 94.1-mph figure.. It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Freddy Peralta has used his fastball a lot this year, though: 54% of the time, checking in at the 100th percentile.

u6.5 -165
Caesars logo
TOTAL RBIS
Gage Workman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Workman (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Gage Workman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Workman (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.49% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gage Workman in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Gage Workman will have the upper hand today.. Gage Workman has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 43.7° figure is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (100th percentile).

o0.5 +375
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
17.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
17.45% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Spencer Torkelson pulls many of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Spencer Torkelson has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.5-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 91.4-mph figure.. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.2°, Spencer Torkelson has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 21.2° angle in the past two weeks.

o0.5 +280
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets logo
J. Soto (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
17.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets logo
J. Soto (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
17.37% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball.. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge in today's game.. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets logo
B. Baty (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets logo
B. Baty (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.15% EV

ANALYSIS

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Brett Baty will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's game.. Brett Baty has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Brett Baty will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. As it relates to his batting average, Brett Baty has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .244 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .274.

o0.5 +280
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.99% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's matchup.

o0.5 +195
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets logo
M. Semien (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
14.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets logo
M. Semien (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
14.19% EV

ANALYSIS

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Marcus Semien pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.4% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Marcus Semien will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. In the last 7 days, Marcus Semien's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.3% up to 23.1%.. Marcus Semien's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 18.9% on the season to 30.8% over the last 7 days.

o0.5 +250
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL RBIS
MJ Melendez logo
New York Mets logo
M. Melendez (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
MJ Melendez logo
New York Mets logo
M. Melendez (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.76% EV

ANALYSIS

MJ Melendez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. MJ Melendez will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and MJ Melendez will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 +220
FanDuel logo
TOTAL RBIS
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.41% EV

ANALYSIS

Kevin McGonigle's batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Kevin McGonigle will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.

o0.5 +270
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.21% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Matt Vierling is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. In the past week, Matt Vierling's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.2% up to 11.8%.

o0.5 +255
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Francisco Alvarez logo
New York Mets logo
F. Alvarez (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Francisco Alvarez logo
New York Mets logo
F. Alvarez (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.51% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run talent, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Francisco Alvarez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Over the last week, Francisco Alvarez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.9% up to 30%.

o0.5 +250
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Colt Keith is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Colt Keith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.. Colt Keith hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +250
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Wenceel Perez logo
Detroit Tigers logo
W. Perez (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Wenceel Perez logo
Detroit Tigers logo
W. Perez (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.4% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Wenceel Perez will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Freddy Peralta in today's game.. Wenceel Perez has been unlucky this year, compiling a .219 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .088 difference.

o0.5 +270
Caesars logo
TOTAL RBIS
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets logo
C. Benge (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets logo
C. Benge (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.3% EV

ANALYSIS

Carson Benge's BABIP skill is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Carson Benge is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Carson Benge will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Flaherty in today's game.. Carson Benge has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +255
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Mark Vientos logo
New York Mets logo
M. Vientos (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Mark Vientos logo
New York Mets logo
M. Vientos (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.26% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his home run skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mark Vientos is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +180
FanDuel logo
TOTAL RBIS
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
8.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
8.77% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Zach McKinstry will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.1°, Zach McKinstry has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 27.3° figure in the last week's worth of games.

o0.5 +350
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.57% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Dillon Dingler is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Dillon Dingler has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.8-mph average to last season's 92.2-mph average.

o0.5 +210
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets logo
B. Bichette (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets logo
B. Bichette (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.54% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his batting average skill, Bo Bichette is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bo Bichette is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Bo Bichette will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +200
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Tyrone Taylor logo
New York Mets logo
T. Taylor (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tyrone Taylor logo
New York Mets logo
T. Taylor (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.14% EV

ANALYSIS

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Tyrone Taylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Tyrone Taylor has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 5.3% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last 7 days.. Tyrone Taylor has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 87.1-mph mark.

o0.5 +270
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets logo
A. Ewing (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets logo
A. Ewing (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.37% EV

ANALYSIS

Andrew Ewing is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 5th-worst stadium in MLB for lefty batting average.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for pitching of the day.

u0.5 -310
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
15.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
15.31% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's matchup.

o1.5 +120
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets logo
J. Soto (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.42 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
13.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets logo
J. Soto (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.42 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
13.65% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball.. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge in today's game.. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 -120
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.35% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Spencer Torkelson pulls many of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Spencer Torkelson has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.5-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 91.4-mph figure.. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.2°, Spencer Torkelson has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 21.2° angle in the past two weeks.

o1.5 +165
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets logo
C. Benge (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
13.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets logo
C. Benge (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
13.05% EV

ANALYSIS

Carson Benge's BABIP skill is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Carson Benge is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Carson Benge will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Flaherty in today's game.. Carson Benge has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +115
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Matt Vierling is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. In the past week, Matt Vierling's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.2% up to 11.8%.

o1.5 +130
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Mark Vientos logo
New York Mets logo
M. Vientos (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
10.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Mark Vientos logo
New York Mets logo
M. Vientos (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
10.85% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his home run skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mark Vientos is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +120
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Gage Workman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Workman (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
10.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Gage Workman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Workman (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
10.21% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gage Workman in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Gage Workman will have the upper hand today.. Gage Workman has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 43.7° figure is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (100th percentile).

o1.5 +220
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
9.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
9.9% EV

ANALYSIS

Kevin McGonigle's batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Kevin McGonigle will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.

o1.5 +100
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.59% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Dillon Dingler is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Dillon Dingler has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.8-mph average to last season's 92.2-mph average.

o1.5 +120
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets logo
B. Baty (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets logo
B. Baty (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.42% EV

ANALYSIS

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Brett Baty will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's game.. Brett Baty has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Brett Baty will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. As it relates to his batting average, Brett Baty has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .244 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .274.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets logo
M. Semien (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
9.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets logo
M. Semien (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
9.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Marcus Semien pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.4% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Marcus Semien will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. In the last 7 days, Marcus Semien's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.3% up to 23.1%.. Marcus Semien's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 18.9% on the season to 30.8% over the last 7 days.

o1.5 +130
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Wenceel Perez logo
Detroit Tigers logo
W. Perez (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Wenceel Perez logo
Detroit Tigers logo
W. Perez (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.51% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Wenceel Perez will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Freddy Peralta in today's game.. Wenceel Perez has been unlucky this year, compiling a .219 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .088 difference.

o1.5 +155
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Francisco Alvarez logo
New York Mets logo
F. Alvarez (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Francisco Alvarez logo
New York Mets logo
F. Alvarez (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.18% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run talent, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Francisco Alvarez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Over the last week, Francisco Alvarez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.9% up to 30%.

o1.5 +140
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
MJ Melendez logo
New York Mets logo
M. Melendez (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
7.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
MJ Melendez logo
New York Mets logo
M. Melendez (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
7.03% EV

ANALYSIS

MJ Melendez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. MJ Melendez will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and MJ Melendez will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 +155
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.75% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Colt Keith is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Colt Keith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.. Colt Keith hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +135
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.09% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Zach McKinstry will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.1°, Zach McKinstry has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 27.3° figure in the last week's worth of games.

o1.5 +185
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets logo
A. Ewing (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
0.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets logo
A. Ewing (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
0.56% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Ewing in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Andrew Ewing will have the handedness advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Andrew Ewing will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +135
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets logo
B. Bichette (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.13 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-1.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets logo
B. Bichette (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.13 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-1.58% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his batting average skill, Bo Bichette is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bo Bichette is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Bo Bichette will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 -159
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Tyrone Taylor logo
New York Mets logo
T. Taylor (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tyrone Taylor logo
New York Mets logo
T. Taylor (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.8% EV

ANALYSIS

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Tyrone Taylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Tyrone Taylor has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 5.3% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last 7 days.. Tyrone Taylor has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 87.1-mph mark.

o1.5 +150
BetMGM logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
MONEYLINE
Detroit Tigers logo
DET +126 moneyline
DET PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-5.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Detroit Tigers logo
DET +126 moneyline

PROJECTION

DET PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-5.55% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+126
FanDuel logo
TOTAL
Detroit Tigers logo New York Mets logo
Over 7.5 Total
9.12 PROJECTION
+1.6 DIFFERENCE
16.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Detroit Tigers logo New York Mets logo
Over 7.5 Total

PROJECTION

9.12 PROJECTION
+1.6 DIFFERENCE
16.53% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o7.5 -102
BetMGM logo
SPREAD
Detroit Tigers logo
DET +1.5 spread
0.46 PROJECTION
-1.0 DIFFERENCE
-3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Detroit Tigers logo
DET +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

0.46 PROJECTION
-1.0 DIFFERENCE
-3% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -175
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets logo
J. Soto (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.89 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
3.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets logo
J. Soto (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.89 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
3.81% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 5th-worst stadium in MLB for lefty batting average.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.

u0.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Mark Vientos logo
New York Mets logo
M. Vientos (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Mark Vientos logo
New York Mets logo
M. Vientos (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.15% EV

ANALYSIS

This year, Mark Vientos has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 19% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.. Citi Field projects as the #26 field in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.. Batting from the same side that Jack Flaherty throws from, Mark Vientos will be in a tough position in today's game.

u0.5 +135
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
MJ Melendez logo
New York Mets logo
M. Melendez (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
MJ Melendez logo
New York Mets logo
M. Melendez (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.68% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 9th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. 46% of the time that MJ Melendez has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pinch hit for.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 5th-worst stadium in MLB for lefty batting average.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.

u0.5 -105
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.06% EV

ANALYSIS

Zach McKinstry is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Zach McKinstry has been pulled from the game early 21% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 5th-worst stadium in MLB for lefty batting average.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.

u0.5 -103
Caesars logo
TOTAL HITS
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets logo
B. Bichette (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.11 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-1.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets logo
B. Bichette (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.11 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-1.7% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field projects as the #26 field in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for pitching of the day.. Jack Flaherty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette in today's game.. In the last 7 days, Bo Bichette's 22.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 49.3%.

u0.5 +210
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets logo
C. Benge (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-2.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets logo
C. Benge (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-2.25% EV

ANALYSIS

Carson Benge's BABIP skill is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Carson Benge is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Carson Benge will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Flaherty in today's game.. Carson Benge has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 -155
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Francisco Alvarez logo
New York Mets logo
F. Alvarez (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Francisco Alvarez logo
New York Mets logo
F. Alvarez (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.86% EV

ANALYSIS

Francisco Alvarez is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.. Citi Field projects as the #26 field in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.. Hitting from the same side that Jack Flaherty throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have a disadvantage today.

u0.5 +105
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets logo
A. Ewing (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets logo
A. Ewing (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.43% EV

ANALYSIS

Andrew Ewing is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 5th-worst stadium in MLB for lefty batting average.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for pitching of the day.

u0.5 +125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets logo
M. Semien (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets logo
M. Semien (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.43% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 19th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Marcus Semien is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.. Citi Field projects as the #26 field in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.

u0.5 +120
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.58% EV

ANALYSIS

Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today's game.. Citi Field projects as the #26 field in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for pitching of the day.. Freddy Peralta will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Torkelson in today's game.

u0.5 -110
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.67% EV

ANALYSIS

This year, Colt Keith has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 41% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 5th-worst stadium in MLB for lefty batting average.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.. Colt Keith will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

u0.5 +115
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.75% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field projects as the #26 field in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.. Hitting from the same side that Freddy Peralta throws from, Dillon Dingler will have a tough matchup in today's game.. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Dillon Dingler today.

u0.5 +135
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.52% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's matchup.

o0.5 -145
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HITS
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.64% EV

ANALYSIS

Matt Vierling has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 15% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.. Citi Field projects as the #26 field in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.. Freddy Peralta will hold the platoon advantage against Matt Vierling today.

u0.5 +130
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Tyrone Taylor logo
New York Mets logo
T. Taylor (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Tyrone Taylor logo
New York Mets logo
T. Taylor (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.67% EV

ANALYSIS

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Tyrone Taylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Tyrone Taylor has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 5.3% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last 7 days.. Tyrone Taylor has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 87.1-mph mark.

o0.5 -105
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets logo
B. Baty (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.77 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets logo
B. Baty (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.77 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.72% EV

ANALYSIS

Brett Baty is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.. This year, Brett Baty has been pulled from the game early in 20% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 5th-worst stadium in MLB for lefty batting average.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for pitching of the day.

u0.5 +110
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Gage Workman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Workman (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Gage Workman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Workman (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.87% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gage Workman in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Gage Workman will have the upper hand today.. Gage Workman has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 43.7° figure is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (100th percentile).

o0.5 +110
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Wenceel Perez logo
Detroit Tigers logo
W. Perez (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Wenceel Perez logo
Detroit Tigers logo
W. Perez (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.03% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wenceel Perez in the 19th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Wenceel Perez is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today's game.. Wenceel Perez has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 19% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 5th-worst stadium in MLB for lefty batting average.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.

u0.5 +105
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-6.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-6.2% EV

ANALYSIS

Kevin McGonigle's batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Kevin McGonigle will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.

o0.5 -180
FanDuel logo
TOTAL BASES
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.22% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's matchup.

o1.5 +170
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets logo
J. Soto (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets logo
J. Soto (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.91% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball.. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge in today's game.. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +130
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.48% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Matt Vierling is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. In the past week, Matt Vierling's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.2% up to 11.8%.

o1.5 +200
FanDuel logo
TOTAL BASES
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.4% EV

ANALYSIS

Kevin McGonigle's batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Kevin McGonigle will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.

o1.5 +155
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
MJ Melendez logo
New York Mets logo
M. Melendez (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.61 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
10.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
MJ Melendez logo
New York Mets logo
M. Melendez (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.61 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
10.16% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 9th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. 46% of the time that MJ Melendez has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pinch hit for.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 5th-worst stadium in MLB for lefty batting average.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.

u1.5 -275
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets logo
B. Baty (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
9.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets logo
B. Baty (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
9.26% EV

ANALYSIS

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Brett Baty will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's game.. Brett Baty has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Brett Baty will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. Brett Baty has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.8-mph mark.

o1.5 +215
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Mark Vientos logo
New York Mets logo
M. Vientos (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Mark Vientos logo
New York Mets logo
M. Vientos (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.14% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his home run skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mark Vientos is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +185
FanDuel logo
TOTAL BASES
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets logo
M. Semien (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.80 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets logo
M. Semien (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.80 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.86% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 19th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Marcus Semien is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.. Citi Field projects as the #26 field in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for pitching of the day.

u1.5 -225
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Gage Workman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Workman (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
8.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Gage Workman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Workman (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
8.42% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gage Workman in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Gage Workman will have the upper hand today.. Gage Workman has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 43.7° figure is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (100th percentile).

o1.5 +300
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Wenceel Perez logo
Detroit Tigers logo
W. Perez (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Wenceel Perez logo
Detroit Tigers logo
W. Perez (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.78% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Wenceel Perez will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Freddy Peralta in today's game.. Wenceel Perez has been unlucky this year, compiling a .219 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .088 difference.

o1.5 +220
FanDuel logo
TOTAL BASES
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.66 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
7.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.66 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
7.49% EV

ANALYSIS

Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today's game.. Citi Field projects as the #26 field in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for pitching of the day.. Freddy Peralta will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Torkelson in today's game.

u1.5 -300
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.87 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
7.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.87 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
7.26% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field projects as the #26 field in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.. Hitting from the same side that Freddy Peralta throws from, Dillon Dingler will have a tough matchup in today's game.. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Dillon Dingler today.

u1.5 -220
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets logo
C. Benge (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.96 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
6.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets logo
C. Benge (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.96 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
6.39% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 5th-worst stadium in MLB for lefty batting average.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for pitching of the day.. Carson Benge's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 92-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 74.8-mph over the last 7 days.. The standard deviation of Carson Benge's launch angle has been very inconsistent recently (15.4° in the past 7 days), which is a measure of poor bat control and not seeing the ball well.

u1.5 -200
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.54% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Colt Keith is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Colt Keith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.. Colt Keith hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +210
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Francisco Alvarez logo
New York Mets logo
F. Alvarez (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.71 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
5.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Francisco Alvarez logo
New York Mets logo
F. Alvarez (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.71 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
5.51% EV

ANALYSIS

Francisco Alvarez is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.. Citi Field projects as the #26 field in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for pitching of the day.. Hitting from the same side that Jack Flaherty throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have a disadvantage today.

u1.5 -310
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Tyrone Taylor logo
New York Mets logo
T. Taylor (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
4.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Tyrone Taylor logo
New York Mets logo
T. Taylor (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
4.5% EV

ANALYSIS

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Tyrone Taylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Tyrone Taylor has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 5.3% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last 7 days.. Tyrone Taylor has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 87.1-mph mark.

o1.5 +240
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.65 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
2.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.65 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
2.95% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach McKinstry in the 23rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Zach McKinstry is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Zach McKinstry has been pulled from the game early 21% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 5th-worst stadium in MLB for lefty batting average.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.

u1.5 -400
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets logo
B. Bichette (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
2.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets logo
B. Bichette (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
2.69% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his batting average skill, Bo Bichette is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bo Bichette is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Bo Bichette will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +120
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets logo
A. Ewing (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
0.81 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets logo
A. Ewing (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.81 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Ewing in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Andrew Ewing will have the handedness advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Andrew Ewing will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +170
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets logo
B. Baty (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
8.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets logo
B. Baty (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
8.32% EV

ANALYSIS

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Brett Baty will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's game.. Brett Baty has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Brett Baty will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (26.3) suggests that Brett Baty has been unlucky since the start of last season with his 20.4 actual HR/600.

o0.5 +850
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.71% EV

ANALYSIS

Matt Vierling is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. In the past week, Matt Vierling's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.2% up to 11.8%.. Matt Vierling has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.2-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 90.2-mph.

o0.5 +900
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
6.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
6.33% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's matchup.

o0.5 +550
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.46% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.46% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Kevin McGonigle ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Kevin McGonigle will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.

o0.5 +800
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Wenceel Perez logo
Detroit Tigers logo
W. Perez (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Wenceel Perez logo
Detroit Tigers logo
W. Perez (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.22% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Wenceel Perez will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Freddy Peralta in today's game.. Wenceel Perez has been unlucky this year, compiling a .219 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .088 difference.

o0.5 +950
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets logo
J. Soto (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets logo
J. Soto (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.76% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball.. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge in today's game.. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +375
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Gage Workman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Workman (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Gage Workman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Workman (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.54% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Gage Workman will have the upper hand today.. Gage Workman has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 43.7° figure is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (100th percentile).

o0.5 +1000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Mark Vientos logo
New York Mets logo
M. Vientos (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Mark Vientos logo
New York Mets logo
M. Vientos (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.37% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his home run skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mark Vientos is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +650
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets logo
M. Semien (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets logo
M. Semien (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.03% EV

ANALYSIS

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Marcus Semien pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.4% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Marcus Semien will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. In the last 7 days, Marcus Semien's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.3% up to 23.1%.. Marcus Semien's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 18.9% on the season to 30.8% over the last 7 days.

o0.5 +800
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets logo
C. Benge (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets logo
C. Benge (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.03% EV

ANALYSIS

Carson Benge is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Carson Benge will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Flaherty in today's game.. Carson Benge has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Carson Benge will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +800
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets logo
B. Bichette (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets logo
B. Bichette (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.07% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.. Jack Flaherty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette in today's game.. Bo Bichette has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.1-mph dropping to 86.9-mph in the last week's worth of games.. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Bo Bichette has not been doing well in optimizing the launch angle on his hardest hit balls to generate power, managing a mere a 1.8° angle.

u0.5 -901
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.67% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Spencer Torkelson pulls many of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Spencer Torkelson has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.5-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 91.4-mph figure.. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.2°, Spencer Torkelson has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 21.2° angle in the past two weeks.

o0.5 +575
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.92% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.. Hitting from the same side that Freddy Peralta throws from, Dillon Dingler will have a tough matchup in today's game.. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Dillon Dingler today.. In the last 7 days, Dillon Dingler's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14.3% down to 0%.

u0.5 -752
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Francisco Alvarez logo
New York Mets logo
F. Alvarez (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Francisco Alvarez logo
New York Mets logo
F. Alvarez (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.13% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run talent, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Francisco Alvarez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Over the last week, Francisco Alvarez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.9% up to 30%.

o0.5 +650
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
MJ Melendez logo
New York Mets logo
M. Melendez (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
MJ Melendez logo
New York Mets logo
M. Melendez (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.5% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his home run skill, MJ Melendez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. MJ Melendez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. MJ Melendez will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's matchup.

o0.5 +600
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach McKinstry in the 23rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Zach McKinstry is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Zach McKinstry has been pulled from the game early 21% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.

u0.5 -2381
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.54% EV

ANALYSIS

This year, Colt Keith has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 41% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.. Colt Keith will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.. Colt Keith has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 5.7% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last 14 days.

u0.5 -1587
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Tyrone Taylor logo
New York Mets logo
T. Taylor (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-10.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Tyrone Taylor logo
New York Mets logo
T. Taylor (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-10.98% EV

ANALYSIS

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Tyrone Taylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Tyrone Taylor has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 5.3% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last 7 days.. Tyrone Taylor has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 87.1-mph mark.

o0.5 +950
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets logo
A. Ewing (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets logo
A. Ewing (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Andrew Ewing will have the handedness advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Andrew Ewing will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +650
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Jack Flaherty logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Flaherty (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
5.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-2.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jack Flaherty logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Flaherty (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

5.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-2.23% EV

ANALYSIS

It is scheduled that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Stu Scheurwater) calling pitches today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Jack Flaherty will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.. In his last GS, Jack Flaherty struggled when it came to striking batters out and only managed to post 2 Ks.. Jack Flaherty has relied on his curveball 5.9% less often this season (19.5%) than he did last season (25.4%).

u5.5 -108
FanDuel logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Freddy Peralta logo
New York Mets logo
F. Peralta (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
6.02 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Freddy Peralta logo
New York Mets logo
F. Peralta (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

6.02 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.87% EV

ANALYSIS

It is scheduled that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Stu Scheurwater) calling pitches today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. With 6 hitters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team's projected lineup, Freddy Peralta will be in a tough position while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.. Freddy Peralta's 93-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a significant 1.1-mph decrease from last season's 94.1-mph figure.. It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Freddy Peralta has used his fastball a lot this year, though: 54% of the time, checking in at the 100th percentile.

u6.5 -165
Caesars logo
TOTAL RBIS
Gage Workman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Workman (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Gage Workman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Workman (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.49% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gage Workman in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Gage Workman will have the upper hand today.. Gage Workman has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 43.7° figure is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (100th percentile).

o0.5 +375
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
17.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
17.45% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Spencer Torkelson pulls many of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Spencer Torkelson has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.5-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 91.4-mph figure.. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.2°, Spencer Torkelson has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 21.2° angle in the past two weeks.

o0.5 +280
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets logo
J. Soto (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
17.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets logo
J. Soto (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
17.37% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball.. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge in today's game.. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets logo
B. Baty (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets logo
B. Baty (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.15% EV

ANALYSIS

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Brett Baty will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's game.. Brett Baty has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Brett Baty will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. As it relates to his batting average, Brett Baty has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .244 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .274.

o0.5 +280
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.99% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's matchup.

o0.5 +195
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets logo
M. Semien (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
14.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets logo
M. Semien (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
14.19% EV

ANALYSIS

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Marcus Semien pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.4% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Marcus Semien will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. In the last 7 days, Marcus Semien's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.3% up to 23.1%.. Marcus Semien's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 18.9% on the season to 30.8% over the last 7 days.

o0.5 +250
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL RBIS
MJ Melendez logo
New York Mets logo
M. Melendez (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
MJ Melendez logo
New York Mets logo
M. Melendez (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.76% EV

ANALYSIS

MJ Melendez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. MJ Melendez will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and MJ Melendez will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 +220
FanDuel logo
TOTAL RBIS
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.41% EV

ANALYSIS

Kevin McGonigle's batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Kevin McGonigle will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.

o0.5 +270
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.21% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Matt Vierling is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. In the past week, Matt Vierling's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.2% up to 11.8%.

o0.5 +255
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Francisco Alvarez logo
New York Mets logo
F. Alvarez (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Francisco Alvarez logo
New York Mets logo
F. Alvarez (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.51% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run talent, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Francisco Alvarez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Over the last week, Francisco Alvarez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.9% up to 30%.

o0.5 +250
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Colt Keith is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Colt Keith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.. Colt Keith hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +250
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Wenceel Perez logo
Detroit Tigers logo
W. Perez (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Wenceel Perez logo
Detroit Tigers logo
W. Perez (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.4% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Wenceel Perez will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Freddy Peralta in today's game.. Wenceel Perez has been unlucky this year, compiling a .219 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .088 difference.

o0.5 +270
Caesars logo
TOTAL RBIS
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets logo
C. Benge (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets logo
C. Benge (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.3% EV

ANALYSIS

Carson Benge's BABIP skill is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Carson Benge is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Carson Benge will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Flaherty in today's game.. Carson Benge has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +255
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Mark Vientos logo
New York Mets logo
M. Vientos (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Mark Vientos logo
New York Mets logo
M. Vientos (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.26% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his home run skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mark Vientos is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +180
FanDuel logo
TOTAL RBIS
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
8.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
8.77% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Zach McKinstry will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.1°, Zach McKinstry has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 27.3° figure in the last week's worth of games.

o0.5 +350
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.57% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Dillon Dingler is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Dillon Dingler has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.8-mph average to last season's 92.2-mph average.

o0.5 +210
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets logo
B. Bichette (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets logo
B. Bichette (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.54% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his batting average skill, Bo Bichette is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bo Bichette is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Bo Bichette will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +200
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Tyrone Taylor logo
New York Mets logo
T. Taylor (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tyrone Taylor logo
New York Mets logo
T. Taylor (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.14% EV

ANALYSIS

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Tyrone Taylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Tyrone Taylor has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 5.3% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last 7 days.. Tyrone Taylor has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 87.1-mph mark.

o0.5 +270
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets logo
A. Ewing (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets logo
A. Ewing (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.37% EV

ANALYSIS

Andrew Ewing is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 5th-worst stadium in MLB for lefty batting average.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for pitching of the day.

u0.5 -310
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
15.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
15.31% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's matchup.

o1.5 +120
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets logo
J. Soto (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.42 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
13.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets logo
J. Soto (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.42 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
13.65% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball.. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge in today's game.. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 -120
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.35% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Spencer Torkelson pulls many of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Spencer Torkelson has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.5-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 91.4-mph figure.. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.2°, Spencer Torkelson has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 21.2° angle in the past two weeks.

o1.5 +165
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets logo
C. Benge (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
13.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets logo
C. Benge (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
13.05% EV

ANALYSIS

Carson Benge's BABIP skill is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Carson Benge is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Carson Benge will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Flaherty in today's game.. Carson Benge has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +115
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Matt Vierling logo
Detroit Tigers logo
M. Vierling (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Matt Vierling is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. In the past week, Matt Vierling's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.2% up to 11.8%.

o1.5 +130
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Mark Vientos logo
New York Mets logo
M. Vientos (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
10.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Mark Vientos logo
New York Mets logo
M. Vientos (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
10.85% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his home run skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mark Vientos is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +120
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Gage Workman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Workman (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
10.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Gage Workman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
G. Workman (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
10.21% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gage Workman in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Gage Workman will have the upper hand today.. Gage Workman has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 43.7° figure is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (100th percentile).

o1.5 +220
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
9.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
9.9% EV

ANALYSIS

Kevin McGonigle's batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Kevin McGonigle will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.

o1.5 +100
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.59% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Dillon Dingler is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Dillon Dingler has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.8-mph average to last season's 92.2-mph average.

o1.5 +120
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets logo
B. Baty (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets logo
B. Baty (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.42% EV

ANALYSIS

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Brett Baty will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's game.. Brett Baty has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Brett Baty will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. As it relates to his batting average, Brett Baty has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .244 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .274.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets logo
M. Semien (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
9.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets logo
M. Semien (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
9.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Marcus Semien pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.4% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Marcus Semien will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. In the last 7 days, Marcus Semien's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.3% up to 23.1%.. Marcus Semien's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 18.9% on the season to 30.8% over the last 7 days.

o1.5 +130
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Wenceel Perez logo
Detroit Tigers logo
W. Perez (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Wenceel Perez logo
Detroit Tigers logo
W. Perez (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.51% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Wenceel Perez will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Freddy Peralta in today's game.. Wenceel Perez has been unlucky this year, compiling a .219 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .088 difference.

o1.5 +155
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Francisco Alvarez logo
New York Mets logo
F. Alvarez (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Francisco Alvarez logo
New York Mets logo
F. Alvarez (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.18% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run talent, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Francisco Alvarez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Over the last week, Francisco Alvarez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.9% up to 30%.

o1.5 +140
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
MJ Melendez logo
New York Mets logo
M. Melendez (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
7.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
MJ Melendez logo
New York Mets logo
M. Melendez (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
7.03% EV

ANALYSIS

MJ Melendez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. MJ Melendez will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and MJ Melendez will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 +155
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.75% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Colt Keith is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Colt Keith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.. Colt Keith hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +135
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.09% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Zach McKinstry will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.1°, Zach McKinstry has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 27.3° figure in the last week's worth of games.

o1.5 +185
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets logo
A. Ewing (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
0.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets logo
A. Ewing (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
0.56% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Ewing in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Andrew Ewing will have the handedness advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Andrew Ewing will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +135
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets logo
B. Bichette (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.13 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-1.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets logo
B. Bichette (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.13 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-1.58% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his batting average skill, Bo Bichette is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bo Bichette is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Bo Bichette will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 -159
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Tyrone Taylor logo
New York Mets logo
T. Taylor (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tyrone Taylor logo
New York Mets logo
T. Taylor (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.8% EV

ANALYSIS

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Tyrone Taylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Tyrone Taylor has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 5.3% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last 7 days.. Tyrone Taylor has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 87.1-mph mark.

o1.5 +150
BetMGM logo

DET vs NYM Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

There are no User Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Team Leaders to see all User picks.

Detroit Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 dwynf 7-3-0 +10165
2 rcarr31 7-3-0 +10140
3 funaki 6-4-0 +7065
4 vulkai0813 4-6-0 +7025
5 digfkice 5-5-0 +6770
6 Pestache 6-4-0 +6690
7 texas-bob 8-2-0 +6510
8 eddynelf 8-2-0 +6480
9 Brozo 8-2-0 +5825
10 Reckits 8-2-0 +5790
All Tigers Money Leaders

NY Mets Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 rollonotes 9-1-0 +10185
2 donvan918 7-3-0 +8310
3 YIAYIA 3-7-0 +7870
4 MatroxSD 5-5-0 +7805
5 ciarajo 3-7-0 +7100
6 hilldog23 8-2-0 +7090
7 billdo 7-3-0 +6925
8 tvigilante2020 6-4-0 +6905
9 jbros01 5-5-0 +6785
10 accxmass 4-6-0 +6535
All Mets Money Leaders
Top User Picks

Line History

loading icon...

Loading line history...

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast

//Trends script for picks tab