MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 19, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.31 @ 4.94

BOS
BOS logo
BOS

Diamondbacks vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.31

+147

o8.0 -110

+1.5 -140

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.94

-155

u8.5 -120

-1.5 +135

Miami @ Philadelphia
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

5.02 @ 5.65

PHI
PHI logo
PHI

Marlins vs Phillies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

5.02

+121

o8.5 -120

+1.5 -165

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.65

-124

u9.0 -110

-1.5 +160

Top Projection Trea Turner o0.5 Total RBIs (+211)
o0.5+220
NY Yankees @ Baltimore
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

5.82 @ 4.70

BAL
BAL logo
BAL

Yankees vs Orioles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

5.82

-115

o9.0 -120

-1.5 +135

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

4.70

+110

u9.5 -115

+1.5 -145

Top Projection Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
o1.5+155
Toronto @ Tampa Bay
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.05 @ 4.84

TB
TB logo
TB

Blue Jays vs Rays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.05

+183

o7.5 +105

+1.5 -120

TB logo
TB
TB

4.84

-190

u7.5 -114

-1.5 +111

Top Projection Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
o0.5+280
San Francisco @ Cleveland
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SF logo
SF
SF

3.60 @ 4.79

CLE
CLE logo
CLE

Giants vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SF logo
SF
SF

3.60

+201

o7.0 -130

+1.5 -115

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.79

-210

u7.5 -114

-1.5 +105

Top Projection Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+262)
o0.5+262
St. Louis @ Cincinnati
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

STL logo
STL
STL

4.58 @ 4.93

CIN
CIN logo
CIN

Cardinals vs Reds · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

4.58

+135

o8.5 +100

+1.5 -150

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.93

-140

u8.5 -110

-1.5 +150

Top Projection Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+186)
o0.5+186
Athletics @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

4.62 @ 5.04

KC
KC logo
KC

Athletics vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

4.62

+148

o8.0 -143

+2.0 -205

KC logo
KC
KC

5.04

-137

u8.5 +100

-2.0 +163

Top Projection Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+201)
o0.5+201
Seattle @ Milwaukee
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.51 @ 4.07

MIL
MIL logo
MIL

Mariners vs Brewers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.51

+111

o7.0 -115

+2.5 -481

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.07

-117

u7.5 -125

-2.5 +275

Top Projection Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+295)
o0.5+295
Washington @ Texas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.17 @ 4.16

TEX
TEX logo
TEX

Nationals vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.17

+121

o7.5 -105

+1.5 -180

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.16

-128

u8.0 -117

-1.5 +170

Top Projection Brady House o0.5 Total RBIs (+265)
o0.5+265
LA Angels @ Houston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

4.19 @ 4.68

HOU
HOU logo
HOU

Angels vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

4.19

+143

o5.5 -481

+1.5 -150

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.68

-150

u8.5 -105

-1.5 +140

Top Projection Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
LA Dodgers @ Colorado
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

6.97 @ 5.24

COL
COL logo
COL

Dodgers vs Rockies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

6.97

-185

o11.5 +105

-1.5 -120

COL logo
COL
COL

5.24

+177

u15.0 -500

+1.5 +110

Top Projection Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+159)
o1.5+160
St. Louis @ Cincinnati
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

STL logo
STL
STL

5.49 @ 5.07

CIN
CIN logo
CIN

Cardinals vs Reds · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

5.49

-105

o9.0 -110

-1.5 +146

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

5.07

-105

u9.0 +100

+1.5 -170

Toronto @ Tampa Bay
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.35 @ 4.43

TB
TB logo
TB

Blue Jays vs Rays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.35

+154

o7.5 -115

+1.5 -135

TB logo
TB
TB

4.43

-160

u7.5 +100

-1.5 +130

San Francisco @ Cleveland
Matchup Stats
Athletics @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

4.42 @ 4.34

KC
KC logo
KC

Athletics vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

4.42

--

--

--

KC logo
KC
KC

4.34

--

--

--

Seattle @ Milwaukee
Matchup Stats
Atlanta @ Chi. White Sox
Matchup Stats
Top Projection Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+170
NY Yankees @ Baltimore
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

4.70 @ 4.39

BAL
BAL logo
BAL

Yankees vs Orioles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

4.70

-118

o8.0 -115

-1.5 +140

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

4.39

+110

u8.0 -105

+1.5 -164

Washington @ Texas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.16 @ 3.92

TEX
TEX logo
TEX

Nationals vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.16

--

--

--

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

3.92

--

--

--

LA Angels @ Houston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

4.27 @ 4.96

HOU
HOU logo
HOU

Angels vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

4.27

+158

o8.5 -110

+1.5 -137

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.96

-188

u8.5 -110

-1.5 +114

Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Wed, Aug 19 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Wilyer Abreu logo Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total Home Runs (+400)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Wilyer Abreu is seeing the ball very well. Isolating Brandon Pfaadt’s pitch mix, Abreu's hitting .345 with a .379 ISO and leading the Red Sox in barrel rate over the last 15 games.

He hit at least eight balls 350+ feet during that span, more than double that of any other teammate. 

Bet to +375.

Total
Arizona Diamondbacks logo Boston Red Sox logo u8.0 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Brandon Pfaadt hasn’t allowed a home run since June 30, and only conceded multiple in his first appearance of the season. His ability to limit power – aided by an 82nd percentile ground ball rate – helps him avoid blowup innings and keep runs to a minimum.

Payton Tolle posted an xERA below 3.0 in six of his last seven starts, including against quality offenses like the Dodgers and White Sox.

Runs should be hard to come by, making the Under a bet to -120.

View 13 Picks
Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Wed, Aug 19 • 6:05 PM ET
Total Hits
Griffin Conine logo Griffin Conine o0.5 Total Hits (-154)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Griffin Conine is primarily a price play tonight, with his hit prop available as low as -140 against Aaron Nola. The Marlins outfielder ranks as the No. 1-rated hitter on Batters-Box's current-season dataset and has recorded a hit in 61.54% of his 26 elite-rated matchups this season. Conine has been scorching the baseball lately, posting an .833 SLG and .433 ISO over his last 10 games while generating nearly a 60% hard-hit rate and 22.7% barrel rate. Nola has struggled against lefties at home, allowing a .314 BA, .583 SLG, and .407 wOBA. The hit prop is playable to -160.

Total
Miami Marlins logo Philadelphia Phillies logo o8.5 (-121)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

The Over 8.5 has a Phillies-led path with Miami’s bullpen struggling badly. The Marlins relief corps owns a 5.07 FIP over its last 24.2 innings while allowing 1.46 HR/9. Miami’s offense has also been respectable enough lately to contribute if Nola gives up traffic at home against this lineup tonight.

View 16 Picks
New York Yankees logo NYY @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Wed, Aug 19 • 6:35 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Pete Alonso logo Pete Alonso o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-138)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Pete Alonso has been absolutely mashing over his last 10 games, posting a .947 SLG, .824 xSLG and .447 ISO while generating a 65.6% hard-hit rate and 22% barrel rate. He also owns an elite Batters-Box rating, going over this prop in 68.33% of his 60 elite-rated matchups over the last three seasons. Tonight, Alonso faces Yankees right-hander Will Warren, who has allowed plenty of hard contact to right-handed hitters recently. That group has produced a 56% hard-hit rate, 9.3% barrel rate and .358 ISO against him. This matchup is simply too good to ignore.

Total Home Runs
Gunnar Henderson logo Gunnar Henderson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+529)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

Gunnar Henderson gets the pitch Will Warren cannot control. Warren's sweeper grades in the 1st percentile by breaking-ball run value, with hitters slugging .681 against it on 19.0% usage and a .542 xSLG. Warren has allowed 11 home runs in 66.2 innings to left-handed hitters and three more in 9.1

View 17 Picks
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Wed, Aug 19 • 6:40 PM ET
Outs Recorded
Drew Rasmussen logo Drew Rasmussen u17.5 Outs Recorded (+150)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Drew Rasmussen is a great pitcher, but he's a great pitcher with an 88-pitch average leash over his last 10 games and has seen the Blue Jays three times this season. He's hit the Over 17.5 outs at a 61% clip over the last three months but is priced at 66% probable today in a matchup that should be tougher than average. The Jays don't strike out a lot and can run up pitch counts. Yesterday, I faded Nick Martinez in a similar spot at plus money for a winner, and I'm going back to the well today. The Rays also used just two bullpen arms yesterday, so there could be plenty of fresh arms available to cover the fifth and sixth innings. I'd play this down to +120. Rasmussen has thrown more than 90 pitches just four times over his last 10 starts, and this lineup is very familiar with him.

Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+550)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Dustin Saracini image
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

Can Kazuma Okamoto stay hot? He's coming off a bomb last night, which set a new Blue Jays rookie home run record with his 25th of the season, breaking a tie with Eric Hinske. He's hit one of those against Rasmussen, against whom he owns a .544 xSLG. If we're looking for edges in this specific matchup, I'll run with Okamoto at this price.

View 14 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Wed, Aug 19 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jo Adell logo Jo Adell o0.5 Total Home Runs (+575)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

The Giants are rolling out a big lefty in Matt Wilkinson, who is making his MLB debut. He’s a 2023 10th-round pick who started the season in rookie ball but also gave up seven homers over 43 innings at Triple-A before the promotion. All of those home runs came against right-handed bats, and Jo Adell is one of only two true right-handed hitters in the Cleveland lineup. Adell did exit last night’s game with knee pain, but there’s reason to be optimistic about his chances of getting into the lineup. He was pulled with Cleveland well ahead, 8-1, after going 3-for-4 with a homer and six RBI. He initially injured the knee fouling a ball off it in the first inning. Hopefully it was just precautionary as he’s heating up for the Guardians, and +575 is simply too long. The fair price is +475 today.

Strikeouts Thrown
Parker Messick logo Parker Messick o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+102)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Parker Messick draws an excellent matchup against a San Francisco Giants lineup that has struggled against left-handed pitching. The Giants own a 23.1% strikeout rate, 76% contact rate and 33.4% swinging-strike rate this season, with those numbers worsening significantly on the road against southpaws. In that split, San Francisco carries a 30.8% strikeout rate and just 70% contact rate. Only three hitters across their last 60 at-bats against a lefty have a strikeout rate below 13.3%. Messick has posted a near-30% strikeout rate across his last three outings and has recorded 6+ strikeouts in each of his last four starts.

View 12 Picks
St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Wed, Aug 19 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+137)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all parks, Great American Ball Park's LF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-highest humidity of the day at 75%.
Total Bases
Alec Burleson logo
Alec Burleson o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Alec Burleson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-highest humidity of the day at 75%.
View 10 Picks
Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Wed, Aug 19 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Jac Caglianone logo
Jac Caglianone o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 47 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Jac Caglianone ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jac Caglianone is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best park in MLB for run-scoring.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.2
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average ability.. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best park in MLB for run-scoring.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the slate today (78%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.
View 10 Picks
Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Wed, Aug 19 • 7:40 PM ET
Moneyline
Seattle Mariners logo SEA (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Seattle rolls with Logan Gilbert on the bump this evening, and he's been lights out on the road and overall this season. Across his last five starts, Gilbert owns a 2.90 xERA and 0.99 WHIP while allowing just a 33.75% hard-hit rate and 8.75% barrel rate across his last five starts.

Total
Seattle Mariners logo Milwaukee Brewers logo u7.5 (-137)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

After a 22-run explosion last night, I expect a much quieter offensive environment with Gilbert and May taking the mound. Gilbert has been especially locked in, posting a 2.29 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and allowing just a 38% hard-hit rate. The Brewers have struggled offensively over their last 12 games, while Seattle has been heating up over the past week. Still, I don't expect the Mariners to replicate last night's production. The under is firmly in play. 

View 14 Picks
Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Wed, Aug 19 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Keibert Ruiz logo
Keibert Ruiz u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today's game.. Globe Life Field grades out as the #29 park in baseball for overall LHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In MLB, Globe Life Field's centerfield dimensions are the 6th-deepest.. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game -10° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.
Total Bases
Daylen Lile logo
Daylen Lile o1.5 Total Bases (+143)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Daylen Lile is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Globe Life Field has the 2nd-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Daylen Lile will have an edge in today's matchup.
View 11 Picks
Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Houston Astros logo HOU Wed, Aug 19 • 8:10 PM ET
Moneyline
Los Angeles Angels logo LAA (+140)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Joe Osborne image
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst

The Angels are worth backing as underdogs with Walbert Urena owning a fantastic 0.71 ERA across four appearances vs Houston this season. The Astros counter with Ethan Pecko, who'll make his MLB debut. He has an unimpressive 4.57 ERA in the minors and had a five-walk outing in his latest Triple-A start. Los Angeles has gone 5-2 behind a bullpen ranking in the top seven in ERA and FIP over the last week.

Total Bases
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 36 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 8th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions in the majors are found in Minute Maid Park.
View 11 Picks
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Wed, Aug 19 • 8:40 PM ET
Total
Los Angeles Dodgers logo Colorado Rockies logo o11.5 (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Kyle Freeland has gotten crushed by quality offenses all season long. He has posted an abysmal 10.85 ERA and allowed 2.91 HR/9 over seven starts vs. Top-10 offenses in ISO against left-handed pitching.

The Colorado Rockies are a very good offense at home – it’s hard not to be – and they won’t need to score much to push this total Over.

Play to -115.

Total Home Runs
Andy Pages logo Andy Pages o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Andy Pages is a beast when facing left-handed pitching. He has hit .288 with a .252 ISO and eye-popping .911 OPS.

He not only draws a lefty tonight, but a poor one at that. Kyle Freeland has bled power to righties, ranking in the fifth percentile in xSLG and 11th percentile in HR/9. The matchup is about as good as it gets.

Back Pages to +340.

View 13 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 2 Picks

What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.