MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on March 31, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

San Francisco Giants logo SF @ San Diego Padres logo SD Mon, Mar 30 • 9:40 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Willy Adames logo Willy Adames o0.5 Total Home Runs (+520)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
JD Yonke image
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

Willy Adames has reached 30+ home runs in each of the last two seasons. In his age-30 season with a revamped batting stance, Adames can be projected to continue hitting for power and posting an ISO around .200.


A year ago, he had reverse splits with a 112 wRC+ and 20 HRs against righties, 95 wRC+ and 10 HRs against lefties.


Buehler struggles to keep left-handed hitters off base, but right-handed hitters dole out the damage, tagging him for an absurd 2.10 HR/9. 

Runs
Jung Hoo Lee logo Jung Hoo Lee o0.5 Runs (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
JD Yonke image
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

After failing to score a run in either of the first two games of the season, the San Francisco Giants made a change at the top of the order by installing Jung Hoo Lee as the leadoff man on Saturday. 


He responded by scoring the team’s only run of the season, so it’s likely he stays in that spot. That’s a premium spot against Walker Buehler (5.39 xERA, 5.66 FIP), who struggled mightily against lefties (.300 BA, 1.79 WHIP). 


Lee stands a good chance of getting on base, and the heart of the order behind him has two left-handed bats (Luis Arraez, Rafael Devers) poised to knock Buehler around and drive Lee home.

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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Mon, Mar 30 • 9:40 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Randy Arozarena logo Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total Home Runs (+475)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

Randy Arozarena is in a good spot if he can avoid the whiff (and he’s done a good job of that so far this season). Few players on the Seattle roster hit the ball harder than him consistently, and his early-season barrel rate reeks of someone “due” for a bomb. What’s particularly noteworthy about this matchup is how it lines up with the pitch mix of Weathers. He’s mostly a two-pitch thrower, and Arozarena was in the top three of Mariners players in hard-hit rate last season against the two pitches he’ll see. 

Total
New York Yankees logo Seattle Mariners logo u7.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

Luis Castillo's home numbers last season were legitimate: a 2.60 ERA and 1.00 WHIP across 100+ innings, with his strikeout rate jumping to 25%. He's in a position to attack a New York Yankees lineup with plenty of swing and miss. 

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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Mon, Mar 30 • 10:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.66 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Chase Field profiles as the #2 ballpark in the majors for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 81°.. Riley Greene will hold the platoon advantage against Mike Soroka today.
Total RBIs
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.57 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°.. Spencer Torkelson's 13.4% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) ranks in the 84th percentile since the start of last season.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Mon, Mar 30 • 10:10 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Mookie Betts logo Mookie Betts o0.5 Total Home Runs (+440)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Andrew Caley image
Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst

Betts had a slow start to the season in 2025 and ended up with just 20 homers. But seven of those came against lefties in nearly 300 fewer at bats as compared to righties. He's already gone yard once this season. This looks like a great value in this game.

Total
Cleveland Guardians logo Los Angeles Dodgers logo o8.5 (-125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Andrew Caley image
Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst

The Dodgers ranked third in OPS and fourth in wRC+ when facing left-handed pitching last season, going against a guy with seven career starts. While the Guardians finally have a little more pop with Chase DeLauter supporting Jose Ramirez.

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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Tue, Mar 31 • 9:40 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Strikeouts Thrown
Max Fried logo
Max Fried u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-138)
Projection 5.41 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
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