New York @ Boston Picks & Props

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Kutter Crawford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Anthony Volpe today. Anthony Volpe will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Ranking in the 14th percentile, the hardest ball Anthony Volpe has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 108.7 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jarren Duran's true offensive skill to be a .321, suggesting that he has been very fortunate this year given the .024 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .345 wOBA. In notching a .279 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Jarren Duran is ranked in the 14th percentile for offensive skills. Jarren Duran's 5.3% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) is in the 23rd percentile since the start of last season.

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP ability is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for RHB batting average. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the worst among every team in action today. Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Alex Verdugo is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Alex Verdugo will have the handedness advantage against Kutter Crawford in today's matchup. Alex Verdugo has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

When assessing his BABIP skill, Rob Refsnyder is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rob Refsnyder is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for RHB batting average. The shallowest LF fences among all parks are found in Fenway Park. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the worst among every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Masataka Yoshida will hold the platoon advantage over Marcus Stroman in today's game. Masataka Yoshida has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest LF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the worst among every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 78th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for RHB batting average. DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme groundball batters like DJ LeMahieu tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kutter Crawford. DJ LeMahieu has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 25.62 ft/sec to 26.34 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for RHB batting average. Tyler O'Neill pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for RHB batting average. The shallowest LF fences among all parks are found in Fenway Park. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.234) implies that Giancarlo Stanton has been unlucky this year with his .233 actual batting average.

Connor Wong's BABIP ability is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Connor Wong is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for RHB batting average. The shallowest LF fences among all parks are found in Fenway Park. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the worst among every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for RHB batting average. Gleyber Torres has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gleyber Torres's true offensive talent to be a .329, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .038 gap between that figure and his actual .291 wOBA. With a .288 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Gleyber Torres finds himself in the 90th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 15th-best batter in MLB. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB. Rafael Devers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcus Stroman in today's matchup.

Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for RHB batting average. The shallowest LF fences among all parks are found in Fenway Park. Aaron Judge's 26.9% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) is in the 100th percentile since the start of last season.

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB. Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage over Kutter Crawford today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for RHB batting average. The shallowest LF fences among all parks are found in Fenway Park. Ranking in the 80th percentile, Jose Trevino has put up a .276 batting average this year.

Fenway Park ranks as the #5 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Anthony Rizzo will have an advantage today. Anthony Rizzo pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Despite posting a .276 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Anthony Rizzo has had bad variance on his side given the .037 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .313. Anthony Rizzo ranks in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (47.5% rate since the start of last season).

Fenway Park ranks as the #5 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Dominic Smith will have the upper hand in today's game. Dominic Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the worst among every team in action today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Dominic Smith will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

David Hamilton has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (91% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, David Hamilton will have the upper hand in today's matchup. David Hamilton has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the worst among every team in action today.

Fenway Park ranks as the #5 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Enmanuel Valdez will have an advantage in today's game. Enmanuel Valdez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the worst among every team in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Enmanuel Valdez will hold that advantage in today's game.