PSG will look to move a step closer to the Champions League knockout rounds as they host Newcastle today, with Group F still up for grabs heading into the last two matchdays.
Just two points separate the teams in the competition’s tightest group, and both are coming off eye-catching wins. PSG held onto top spot in Ligue 1 by thumping Monaco 5-2 on Friday while Newcastle returned to form with a much-needed 4-1 victory over Chelsea.
The Parisians have won both home games in Europe so far, but they won’t have fond memories of their trip to St. James’ Park in early October, where Newcastle dished out a dominant 4-1 beatdown.
PSG vs Newcastle best odds
PSG vs Newcastle picks and predictions
Some big names have headed for the exit at PSG over the past 12 months, but expectations will remain high as long as Kylian Mbappe is fit and firing.
King Kylian already has 14 goals in 12 games in Ligue 1 this season, including a clinical hat-trick against Reims earlier this month, and he’s scored in both of PSG’s home games so far in Group F.
With the hosts in devastating attacking form, I’m picking Mbappe to keep his hot streak going in this pivotal Champions League battle.
He found the net from the penalty spot on Friday against Monaco and now faces a Newcastle defense that’s conceded in each of the last three games in Europe. The Magpies kept Chelsea at bay on Saturday, but they’re thin on depth with Dan Burn and Sven Botman both sidelined, and Mbappe should like his chances up against Kieran Trippier.
PSG’s free-scoring league form is another good sign for this Mbappe prop. Luis Enrique’s men have netted three or more times in their last six outings domestically, and the French captain has been on the scoresheet in four of those contests.
I expect the hosts to be hungry to avenge the heavy loss against Newcastle earlier in this group stage, and I’m picking Mbappe to lead the way.
My best bet: Kylian Mbappe anytime scorer (-137 at TonyBet)
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PSG vs Newcastle same-game parlay
I’m building around the Mbappe anytime scorer prop with two other picks for Tuesday’s game. While the PSG forwards have been firing on all cylinders, there was also a lot to like about Newcastle’s ruthless win at the weekend, with Alexander Isak back from injury and both Joelinton and Anthony Gordon among the goals.
That gives me confidence that the Magpies can do some damage on the road here, and I’m going with Yes on the BTTS prop. Keep an eye on right winger Miguel Almiron as the visitors’ No.1 threat.
But I still see PSG having the upper hand with so much at stake in Group F. The hosts have led at half-time in their last five outings at Parc des Princes, and I’m expecting an early storm for the Newcastle defense to weather.
I like the odds for the PSG 1st half moneyline as the third leg of my SGP.
PSG vs Newcastle side and Over/Under analysis
PSG haven’t lost at home since September 15, so they were always likely to be tagged as favorites here. Mbappe and co. have already overpowered Dortmund and AC Milan in Paris this season and, depending on the other Group F result, a win might be enough to clinch a spot in the next round with a game to spare.
Luis Enrique’s men travel to Dortmund for their final group game next month – and they can expect a ton of pressure if they suddenly need three points in Germany.
But beware a talented Newcastle side that won’t be afraid of PSG after steamrollering the French club at St. James’ Park. The international break came at the right time for the Magpies, who had lost back-to-back contests before the week off.
The trends suggest we’ll get goals in this showdown, with both teams in scoring form and capable of sweeping counter-attacks. The Over on 2.5 goals is worth a look, as are the odds for Over 1.5 goals for PSG.
The hosts had five different scorers in their 5-2 victory over Monaco last time out and can again unleash Goncalo Ramos, Ousmane Dembele, and Randal Kolo Muani alongside Mbappe, though teenage star Warren Zaire-Emery is out.
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PSG vs Newcastle game info
|Parc Des Princes, Paris, FR
|Tuesday, November 28, 2023
|3:00 p.m. ET
|Cool temps with no rain expected
PSG vs Newcastle key injuries
PSG: Marco Asensio (foot), Nuno Mendes (hamstring), Presnel Kimpembe (Achilles), Danilo Pereira (hamstring), Marquinhos (hamstring)
Newcastle: Sven Botman (knee), Dan Burn and Elliot Anderson (both back), Harvey Barnes (foot), Joe Willock (Achilles), Jacob Murphy (shoulder), plus Callum Wilson (hamstring) Matt Targett (hamstring).