Euro 2024 Group F Odds, Predictions, and Betting Guide

Group F is perhaps the most mixed-bag group in the tournament and the biggest storyline is Cristiano Ronaldo's usage with the Portuguese side. Our soccer expert Sam Farley breaks down everything you need to know about Group F, including a sleeper bet for UEFA Young Player of the Tournament.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Jun 10, 2024 • 10:43 ET • 4 min read
Cristiano Ronaldo Portugal
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

There's a lot to unpack in the Euro 2024 odds for Group F as it features some International mainstays as well as fresh new faces. 

Portugal, led by (one of) the GOATs — Cristiano Ronaldo — are the team to beat in Group F, with Turkiye and Czechia looking to have a better showing than they did at Euro 2020.

And then there's Georgia, who will be making their first appearance at a major International tournament. 

How will it all shake out? Find out below in my Euro 2024 Group F betting preview. 

Euro 2024 Group F odds to advance

Portugal are a -2,500 favorite to qualify, with the bookies having Turkey next at -333, Czechia at -227 and Georgia considered long shots at +195.

Country To advance To win group
Portugal Portugal -2,500 -227
Turkey Türkiye -333 +430
Czechia Czechia -227 +490
Georgia Georgia +195 +2,200

Odds courtesy of Betano as of 6-10

Euro 2024 Group F best bet

Czechia Under 3.5 group points (+107 at Betano)

Czechia comes into this with high hopes having reached the quarter-finals of the 2020 edition of the tournament and while many commentators have said this is one of Euro 2024’s most open groups, it’s also one that could be a lot tougher than many expect, which is why we’re backing Czechia to get Under 3.5 total points.

They face Portugal in the first game, and while there are question marks over Portugal, it’s a game they will likely lose. That means they’d need at least a win and draw in their following two games for this bet to lose. We know Turkey will have a huge advantage in terms of their fans and Georgia should scare any team, given that their team is largely unknown and they’ll be playing to make history in their first major tournament. This Czechia team lacks real superstars and is primed to underperform.

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Euro 2024 Group E team previews

Portugal (-227 to win group)

This Portuguese squad is packed with superstars including Cristiano Ronaldo who will be eager to end his international career on top. They also have two of the game’s best midfielders in Bruno Fernandes and Bernardo Silva, and a host of other attacking players in Diogo Jota, Goncalo Ramos, Joao Felix, and Rafael Leao, who can also damage teams.

The biggest issue for Portugal is their manager. Firstly, because that man is Roberto Martinez, who failed spectacularly with Belgium and has a fairly poor resume at the top level of management. It’s also to see a manager of his quality finding an answer to the Cristiano Ronaldo dilemma. The major question is whether Portugal are a better team without the 39-year-old, who can slow down play and doesn’t offer much in terms of pressing. Even then, does Martinez have the confidence to leave out Portugal’s all-time most-capped player and top goal scorer, and how Ronaldo would react to being benched? It puts the coach and the squad’s Euro 2024 hopes in a difficult place.

Turkiye (+430 to win group)

Vincenzo Montella brings a very interesting Turkey team into Euro 2024. They feel very much like ‘dark horses’ at this tournament but we need to be very cautious as the same was said ahead of Euro 2020 before finishing with a single goal and zero points to their name. However, this year should be a little different.

They have some genuinely talented players such as the captain Hakan Calhanoglu, as well as a number of bright young starts in Arda Guler and Kenan Yildiz, who could really break out here. The biggest thing going for Turkey is, despite this tournament being played in Germany, home advantage. Germany has the highest population of Turks outside of the country and applications for tickets to their games were heavily oversubscribed, meaning that these stadiums will be packed with supporters cheering them on. That’s something that really needs to be factored into any betting on Turkey and should be enough to help them seal second spot in the group.

Czechia (+490 to win group)

Ivan Hasek’s Czech Republic side will be hoping to better their Euro 2020 performance, where they reached the quarter-final, but it’s going to be tough. The manager has rebuilt the squad in the three years since that tournament and this team is far younger. There are some real positives to that and it could be argued that they’ll be less complacent and hungrier to win, but it also means they’re less experienced.

15 of the 26-man squad play in their native Czech Republic and while three play for Bayer Leverkusen, who went the Bundesliga season unbeaten, it’s only really Patrick Schick who can really be called an elite player and he wasn’t really a key part of that team this season. He’s also one of just two players with 50 or more caps, which perhaps underlines a lack of experience in the squad.

Georgia (+2,200 to win group)

Despite finishing fourth in their qualifying group, Georgia qualified via the playoffs, thanks to the Nations League. Then after beating Luxembourg and Greece, they secured a spot in their first-ever major international tournament. It’s a huge achievement, especially given the tiny population of the country.

Former France international Willy Sagnol is their manager and will look to help them shock the world. This former part of the USSR is a relative unknown in soccer circles, besides Napoli’s Khvicha Kvaratskhelia. Their players are spread across a huge amount of European leagues, big and small. That gives them the chance to really surprise people and maybe earn lucrative transfers on the back of this tournament. Notably, goalkeeper Giorgi Mamardashvili is already being linked to Newcastle and Chelsea. 

Euro 2024 Group F players to watch

Rafael Leao (Portugal/AC Milan)

We didn’t see Rafael Leao start any games for Portugal at the previous World Cup but that surely changes this time around. The 24-year-old is a dynamic presence down the left flank and with his speed and creativity the AC Milan man has to start. He offers something that other players don’t and with nine goals and nine assists in Serie A this season, he can contribute to Portugal's scoring.

Leao — To score 2+ goals (+107 at Betano)

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (Georgia/Napoli)

Napoli’s Kvaratskhelia is already well known to soccer fans but Euro 2024 gives him a chance to become a global superstar. The 23-year-old looked immediately at home when he arrived in Serie A and is one of the most enjoyable players to watch on the planet. He plays like a throwback to a bygone era, with his distinctive dribbling style seeing his slalom past defenders. Even though it’s been a disappointing season for Napoli he’s still managed to score 11 times in Serie A and set up a further six goals. 

Kvaratskhelia — To be Georgia top goal scorer (+225 at Betano)

Kenan Yildiz (Turkey/Juventus)

It’s a promising time for young Turkish players and although it’s Arda Guler who has been described as the “Turkish Messi” it’s Kenan Yildiz who we will likely see more of at this tournament. Despite largely featuring from Juventus’ bench, he’s shown his ability as a playmaker this season. His technique is surprisingly good given his size and his passing abilities should see him a key contributor for his country and another player primed for a breakout.

Yildiz — UEFA Young Player of the Tournament (+7,400 at Betano)

Euro Cup Group F schedule

Date Time (ET) Home Away Venue
June 18 12:00 p.m. Turkiye Georgia BVB Stadion Dortmund
June 18 3:00 p.m. Portugal Czechia Leipzig Stadium
June 22 9:00 a.m. Georgia Czechia Volksparkstadion
June 22 3:00 p.m. Turkiye Portugal BVB Stadion Dortmund
June 26 3:00 p.m. Czechia Turkiye Volksparkstadion
June 26 3:00 p.m. Georgia Portugal Arena AufSchalke

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