Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa Predictions and Picks for Sunday's EPL Matchup

It's the final EPL match of the season for Crystal Palace and Aston Villa and while both will want to finish on a high, our EPL betting picks believe the points will be shared at Selhurst Park.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
May 17, 2024 • 18:52 ET • 4 min read
Michael Olise Crystal Palace
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

It’s the final day of the Premier League season on Sunday, May 19 and we have action with two teams who have ended the season on a high, with Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa. The home side are one of the Premier League’s form teams, while Aston Villa have sealed a top-four spot. 

Where do our best free picks lie? Don’t miss our Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa EPL predictions for Saturday. 

EPL predictions for Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa

My best bet:
Draw (+330 at BETANO)

My analysis

You wouldn’t have believed it around Christmas time but Crystal Palace have been one of the Premier League's form teams in the final month of the season. Since Oliver Glasner arrived at Selhurst Park they’ve improved hugely, and with the return of Eberechi Eze and Michael Olise from injury they’ve showcased a real attacking threat. They’ve won five of their past six Premier League games and will want to end the season well in front of their home crowd.

Standing in their way is an Aston Villa side who have excelled all expectations this season and finished fourth, sealing a spot in next season’s Champions League. It’s a sensational achievement for the club and it’s one they really deserve, having played brilliantly all year and with Unai Emery showcasing why he’s one of the best coaches on the planet. 

On the face of it, it’s hard to back against Villa knowing how good they’ve been this season but we need to consider how they’ve spent the last few days. At their end-of-season awards on Tuesday, they watched the Tottenham vs Man City game, in which City’s win secured them the fourth spot. With that spot secured and a lot of celebrating having happened, it’s easy to see why they might not be at their freshest on Sunday.

No amount of complacency or hangover is likely to cause Emery to go into that game unmotivated but they are likely to be more sloppy than usual. While Palace will want to sign off for the season with a home win this is a game that could end as a score draw, with both teams enjoying playing and looking to finish the season without injuries ahead of Euro 2024.

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Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa same-game parlay (SGP)


Michael Olise to score or assist

Ollie Watkins to score or assist

As well as the best bet we’re also backing Ollie Watkins to either score or assist for Villa. Through 36 games he’s scored 19 and set up another 13 and has shown that he’s the best English striker in the Premier League. He hasn’t been in his best form but set up a goal on Monday and will want to impress Gareth Southgate and lock in a place in England’s Euro 2024 squad. 

We’re also backing a Palace player to either score or assist in this one, and that player is Michael Olise. After his omission from the French Euro 2024 squad this week there have been calls for him to get called up by England, for whom he is also eligible to play. He’s started just 13 Premier League games this season and had five sub appearances as he’s battled injury.

However, he’s still scored 10 goals and set up five more. He is in red-hot form with three goals and an assist in his past two games. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa odds

Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa live odds

Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa opening odds

  • Moneyline: Crystal Palace -118 | Aston Villa +265
  • Draw: +330
  • Over/Under: Over 2.5 | Under 2.5

Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa side and Over/Under analysis

  • Crystal Palace are -118 favorites with Aston Villa at +265 and the draw at +330.
  • Palace have won five of their past six Premier League games.
  • Over 2.5 goals comes in at -250 with the Under at +195.
  • Over 2.5 goals have landed in 61.1% of Villa’s away games this season but only once in the past four road games.

Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa game info

Location: Selhurst Park, London, England
Date: Sunday, 5-19-2024
Time: 11:00 a.m. ET
TV: Peacock
Weather: Partly cloudy, cool and dry conditions.
Crystal Palace Recent EPL form W-L-D-W-L
Aston Villa Recent EPL form L-W-W-L-W

Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa key injuries

Crystal Palace: Matheu Franca STR (Out), Cheick Doucoure CM (Out), Sam Johnstone GK (Out), Rob Holding CB (Out), Naouirou Ahamada CM (Out), Jefferson Lerma CM (Questionable), Will Hughes CM (Questionable).
Aston Villa: Emiliano Buendia FWR (Out), Boubacar Kamara CM (Out), Tyrone Mings CB (Out), Jacoob Ramsey CM (Out), Youri Tielemans CM (Out), Matty Cash RB (Out), Nicolo Zaniolo FWR (Out), Alex Moreno LB (Questionable).

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