Brighton vs Chelsea Predictions and Picks for Today's EPL Matchup

Chelsea won't end in the spot they'd have hoped for entering the season, but our EPL picks expect them to continue their strong play as the campaign winds down.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
May 15, 2024 • 13:31 ET • 4 min read
Cole Palmer Chelsea EPL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

We have action on May 15, with Brighton and Chelsea facing off in this midweek Premier League action.

Both clubs have to fulfill this rearranged fixture before the weekend’s Premier League finale, and my Brighton vs. Chelsea prediction expects three points for the visitors.

Don't miss today's EPL picks below!

EPL predictions for Brighton vs Chelsea

My best bet:
Chelsea moneyline (+102 at TonyBet)

My analysis
For the longest time this season, there was serious pressure on Mauricio Pochettino at Chelsea. He was struggling to get his expensively assembled team to play well, partly because of the number of injuries Chelsea had and partly due to bedding in a number of the new signings.

Now Chelsea come into this having won their previous three games in a row. In fact, their form has been so good they’ve lost just once in the past 13 Premier League games.

That’s in stark contrast to Brighton who have won just once in their past eight Premier League games. Roberto De Zerbi’s team has limped over the line this season, and in truth, it's looked very poor at times.

Defensively Brighton are weaker, with 58 goals allowed compared to just 53 last season and 44 the season before, despite having two games remaining. They’ve also scored 18 fewer goals than last year, which probably highlights how poor they’ve been in front of goal with their top scorer, Joao Pedro, yet to crack double-digit goals.

Brighton come into this in poor form and face a Chelsea team who appear motivated to finish the season well and end things on a high.

Brighton really have nothing to play for here, and given Chelsea have scored at least two goals in 10 of their past 11 Premier League goals, we should see another strong performances from Pochettino’s team.

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Brighton vs Chelsea same-game parlay (SGP)

Chelsea to win

Cole Palmer to score

Noni Madueke Over 1.5 shots

Cole Palmer has scored 21 times in the Premier League this season and will fancy his chances of scoring here against a team who are missing some key defensive players.

I'm also backing Noni Madueke to have Over 1.5 shots. He’s had 21 shots through 21 games this season, but in terms of minutes played, he’s been averaging 2.05 shots per 90 minutes played. He’s started his past seven Premier League games and should start again on Wednesday.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Brighton vs Chelsea odds

Brighton vs Chelsea live odds

Brighton vs Chelsea opening odds

  • Moneyline: Brighton +200 | Chelsea +114
  • Draw: +275
  • Over/Under: Over 3.25 (-120) | Under 3.25 (-105)

Brighton vs Chelsea side and Over/Under analysis

  • Chelsea are +102 favorites with Brighton at +229 and the draw at +309.
  • Chelsea have beaten Brighton the last three times that they’ve played each other.
  • You can back Over 2.5 goals at -239 or the Under at +200.
  • Over 2.5 goals has landed in 10 of Chelsea’s past 11 games on the Premier League.

Brighton vs Chelsea game info

Location: Amex Stadium, Brighton & Hove, England
Date: Wednesday, 5-15-2024
Time: 2:45 p.m. ET
TV: USA Network
Weather: Temp: 61 F,  POP: 0%, Wind: 10 MPH, 
Brighton and Hove Albion Brighton recent EPL form D-L-L-W-D
Chelsea Chelsea recent EPL form L-D-W-W-W

Brighton vs Chelsea key injuries

Brighton: Solly March RM (Out), Evan Ferguson STR (Out), Pervis Estupinan DEF (Out), Kaoru Mitoma FWR (Out), James Milner CM (Out), Jack Hinshelwood RB (Out), Jan Paul van Hecke CB (Out), Joel Veltman DEF (Questionable), Joao Pedro STR (Questionable)
Chelsea: Wesley Fofana CB (Out), Romeo Lavia CM (Out), Enzo Fernandez CM (Out), Robert Sanchez GK (Out), Ben Chilwell LB (Out), Carney Chukwuemeka CM (Out).

Not intended for use in MA.
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