Senators vs Avalanche Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

The Avs will test the Senators early and often, but Linus Ullmark will be up for the challenge.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Mar 20, 2025 • 12:29 ET • 4 min read

NHL

Mar 20 • 7:00 PM ET
OTT
40 %
COL
60 %
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Linus Ullmark Ottawa Senators NHL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Ullmark makes a diving save.

The Ottawa Senators will look to return to the win column with a victory over the visiting Colorado Avalanche at the Canadian Tire Centre on Thursday, March 20.

While this will be the second road game in consecutive nights for Colorado, my Avalanche vs. Senators predictions and NHL picks still expect Ottawa No. 1 Linus Ullmark to be busy between the pipes tonight.

Senators vs Avalanche prediction

My Senators pick: Linus Ullmark Over 25.5 saves (-129 at Pinnacle)

My Senators analysis
Underneath the solid 7-3-1 run from the Ottawa Senators out of the 4 Nations Face-Off is slipping 5-on-5 possession numbers and a dwindling overall shot suppression. 

The Sens have surrendered the third-most shots per game (30.6) while ranking 24th with a 47.9 Corsi For percentage and 27th with a 46.1% shot share at 5-on-5 during the 11-game stretch. A date with the Colorado Avalanche isn’t likely to cure the dip, either.

Colorado ranks fifth in shots per game (29.7) while dominating 5-on-5 possession with a third-ranked 54.2 CF% and fourth-ranked 53.5% shot share, and the Avs have been even better out of the break with respective 30.8, 56.6% and 54.8% marks.

As a result, I anticipate Linus Ullmark to be busy again tonight, especially after the Avs registered 39 shots on 79 attempts in a losing cause Wednesday.

Of course, Ullmark has also been solid across his past five home starts with a .924 SV% and 2.61 GAA, including stopping 34 or more shots in three of the five.

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Senators vs Avalanche odds analysis

There hasn’t been a meaningful move to this moneyline at Pinnacle. Colorado is in the noted tough back-to-back road spot, and the Avs haven’t traveled all too well, with an 18-15-1 record on the highway. Conversely, Ottawa has been tough at home (20-9-2).

This 6.0 total saw an immediate move to the Over. Pinnacle opened with a -102/-112 split, and the shop is now trading the 6.0 total at -109/-103. Ottawa enters with an active 7-1-1 record to the Over, so I’m not surprised to see the line move in that direction.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Senators vs Avalanche odds

Senators vs Avalanche live odds

Senators vs Avalanche opening odds

  • Puck line: Ottawa +1.5 (-258) | Colorado -1.5 (+216)
  • Moneyline: Ottawa +104 | Colorado -117
  • Over/Under: Over 6 | Under 6

Odds courtesy of Pinnacle

Senators vs Avalanche trend

The Ottawa Senators have hit the moneyline in 45 of their last 82 games (+7.80 Units / 8% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Senators vs. Avalanche.

How to watch Senators vs Avalanche

Location Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, Ontario
Date Thursday, 3-20-2025
Puck drop 7:00 p.m. ET
TV USE Senators Local Broadcast, ALT, RDS2, TSN5

Senators vs Avalanche latest injuries

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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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