Jets vs Golden Knights Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

Nikolaj Ehlers has no trouble firing away, and you should expect him to get plenty of rubber on net against the Golden Knights tonight.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Nov 29, 2024 • 10:59 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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The two division leaders in the Western Conference meet for a tape-measuring tilt, with the Winnipeg Jets visiting the Vegas Golden Knights at T-Mobile Arena on Friday, November 29.

My Jets vs. Golden Knights predictions expect Winnipeg winger Nikolaj Ehlers to have improved puck luck in Sin City on Black Friday.

Jets vs Golden Knights prediction

My Jets pick
Nikolaj Ehlers Over 2.5 shots (-101 at Pinnacle)

My Jets analysis
Nikolaj Ehlers is second in both shots (9.81) and attempts (17.82) per 60 minutes while logging the fourth-most minutes per game (15:57) among forwards on the Winnipeg Jets.

He’s skating with the No. 1 power-play unit and is also third in shots (11.66) and second in attempts (22.42) per 60 with the man advantage.

I’m particularly drawn to this Ehlers prop because he’s recorded two or fewer shots in six of the past eight games with just 18 total. Additionally, nine of those shots have come in the two games he’s gone Over the number.

He’s actually shooting the puck more, though.

Ehlers has registered 19.35 attempts per 60 minutes during the eight-game stretch compared to just 16.98 per 60 across 15 games to start the year. The difference has been converting 62.7% of his attempts into shots to start the campaign compared to just 42.9% of his attempts resulting in shots across the past eight. 

With the 28-year-old winger also in the 91st percentile of forwards in shots on goal, per NHL Edge, I’m anticipating improved shooting efficiency beginning Friday.  

There’s nothing scary about a date with the Vegas Golden Knights, either.

The Golden Knights sport a 26th-ranked 46.4 Corsi For percentage at 5-on-5, and Vegas has been even worse of late with a 28th-ranked 45.8% mark across its past five games.

Ehlers sports a team-high 54.3 CF% at 5-on-5 over the past three years, too, so he's set to tilt the ice in his favor Friday.

Jets vs Golden Knights Odds analysis

I’m not surprised to see Winnipeg take early action on the moneyline. Vegas opened as a -112 home favorite at Pinnacle, but the odds have flipped, and Winnipeg is trading at -113 as of Friday morning.

The Golden Knights have the highest PDO in the NHL across their past five games, and in addition to their noted poor possession numbers at 5-on-5, they don’t impress with a 24th-ranked 47.0 expected goals percentage, either.

There has also been a huge move to the Under in this game. Pinnacle opened at 6.0 (-118/+103), and there has been a similar odds flip. The 6.0 total is trading with a -100/-113 split as of Friday morning.

Winnipeg allowing the second-fewest goals per game (2.43) and playing to the Under in four straight reinforces the line movement. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Jets vs Golden Knights odds

Jets vs Golden Knights live odds

Jets vs Golden Knights opening odds

  • Puck line: Winnipeg +1.5 (-261) | Vegas -1.5 (+218)
  • Moneyline: Winnipeg +100 | Vegas -112
  • Over/Under: Over 6 (-118) | Under 6 (+103)

Odds courtesy of Pinnacle

Jets vs Golden Knights trend

The Winnipeg Jets have hit the moneyline in 59 of their last 89 games (+22.50 Units / 16% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Jets vs. Golden Knights.

How to watch Jets vs Golden Knights

Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
Date: Friday, 11-29-2024
Puck drop: 8:30 p.m. ET
TV: TSN3

Jets vs Golden Knights latest injuries

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Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs with Sportsbook Review, USA TODAY, theScore, DraftKings Playbook, and RotoWire, among many others. He also co-hosted the Daily Fantasy Edge podcast and can now be seen offering expert golf and hockey advice on Covers’ Before you Bet broadcast.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

Neil’s top pieces of advice for recreational bettors are to stay within your means and to remember sportsbooks aren’t bank accounts. Don’t be afraid to pull those winnings and treat yourself to a lifetime experience courtesy of a big win.

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