Connor McDavid’s shot rates on home soil are nothing short of spectacular.
They’ve been especially high since Zach Hyman returned to the lineup, and my Capitals vs. Oilers predictions are banking on that remaining the case.
Let’s dive into my NHL picks for Saturday, January 24.
Capitals vs Oilers prediction
Capitals vs Oilers best bet: Connor McDavid Over 3.5 shots (+105)
Connor McDavid has generated a whopping 4.7 shots on 7.1 attempts per game in Edmonton. Those outputs have predictably led to a ton of Overs, with McDavid clearing this line in 18 of 24 home dates — a 75% clip.
His numbers have reached even greater heights with Hyman by his side. McDavid has averaged 5.2 shots on 7.3 attempts when Hyman rides shotgun, and recorded 4+ shots in 13 of his last 14 at home.
The Edmonton Oilers tend to go as their captain goes. Well, McDavid’s goals have dried up over the past handful of games, and they’ve dropped four of six as a result.
McDavid will want to snap this scoring funk sooner rather than later to help get his team back on track. The good news is he has a great matchup to help him take matters into his own hands.
The Washington Capitals rank 26th in shot suppression and 8th in pace over their past 10 games. They’re giving up a ton of volume and playing a high-paced brand of hockey that should suit McDavid perfectly.
Washington has also allowed the 2nd-most shots to centers during this stretch.
This is a fantastic matchup across the board. One I expect the league’s best player to take advantage of.
Capitals vs Oilers same-game parlay
McDavid and Hyman both rank in the Top 5 in goals over the past two months. They are scoring machines, and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins skates with them at 5-on-5 and on the power play, making him a prime candidate to pick up a helper.
The Oilers have averaged 3.9 goals over their past 10 against Bottom-10 shot suppression teams.
The Capitals fit that criteria and are expected to start backup Charlie Lindgren after giving Logan Thompson the nod on Friday night. Edmonton’s offense should lead them to two points here.
Capitals vs Oilers SGP
- Connor McDavid Over 3.5 shots
- Ryan Nugent-Hopkins Over 0.5 assists
- Oilers moneyline
Capitals vs Oilers odds
- Moneyline: Capitals +150 | Oilers -180
- Puck Line: Capitals +1.5 (-150) | Oilers -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under: Over 6.5 (-105) | Under 6.5 (-115)
Capitals vs Oilers trend
Connor McDavid has averaged 5.5 shots on goal over his last 14 home games. Find more NHL betting trends for Capitals vs. Oilers.
How to watch Capitals vs Oilers
| Location | Rogers Place, Edmonton, AB |
| Date | Saturday, January 24, 2026 |
| Puck drop | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Monumental SN, Sportsnet |
Capitals vs Oilers latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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