Bruins vs Lightning Odds, Picks, and Predictions Tonight: Boston Stays Strong Away From Home

James Bisson - Head of Content, Betting
James Bisson • Head of Content, Betting 16+ years betting experience
Updated: Nov 20, 2023 , 10:13 AM ET • 4 min read

The Boston Bruins have been a machine, whether at home or away, with just one regulation loss to date this season. With them visiting the Tampa Bay Lightning, our betting picks look at whether or not their strong play is set to dry up.

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Jan 01 • 12:00 AM ET
David Pastrnak Charlie Coyle Brad Marchand Boston Bruins NHL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Boston Bruins and Tampa Bay Lightning face off in an Atlantic Division matchup tonight in Tampa and both teams have won two straight.

Boston has been its dominant self this regular season with a 13-1-2 record through 16 games. On the other side, the Lightning have done their best to tread water without Andrei Vasilevskiy, sitting at 8-6-4 through 18 games. As such, the Bruins are road favorites in the latest NHL odds.

Which team will extend their win streak to three? Read on for our Bruins vs. Lightning NHL picks and predictions.

Bruins vs Lightning odds

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Bruins vs Lightning predictions

The Boston Bruins haven't really missed a beat with the retirements of Patrice Bergeron and David Krejci. Sure, they could use another center to bolster their lineup, but the B's are off to another impressive start this regular season.

Boston has once again been a strong 5-on-5 team this season. The Bruins' 52.13% xGF at 5-on-5 ranks 12th in the league while the Lightning sit 21st at 48.13%. 

Linus Ullmark and Jeremy Swayman have combined for a league-best .945 SV% at 5-on-5 play and .935 SV% in all situations. It should be Ullmark (6-1-1, 2.23 GAA, .928 SV%) getting the nod tonight for Boston.

Saturday night’s 5-2 win over Montreal was a big one for Boston after losing to the Habs a week prior.

“I thought we played the right way for 60 minutes, the way we want to play,” Bruins coach Jim Montgomery said. “You’re going to give up scoring chances because you’re playing in the NHL and the other teams are good too.”

The Bruins have a great chance to build on that tonight against the Tampa Bay Lightning.

The Lightning lost three straight games — including two shutout losses — before beating the Blackhawks and getting a win over the Oilers. However, they were significantly outshot (43 to 24) in that game and that isn't a recipe for success. Particularly when facing a well-oiled machine like Boston.

Lightning center Anthony Cirelli missed Saturday night's game and is questionable tonight, meaning an already top-heavy Bolts team could be missing a key piece in the top six.

Going on the road hasn't been an issue for Boston at 6-1-1 this season while Tampa Bay is 5-2-2 at home. Back Boston to get two points tonight in Tampa.

My best bet: Bruins moneyline (-130 at BetMGM)

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Bruins vs Lightning same-game parlay

Bruins moneyline

Under 6.5

Brad Marchand 3+ shots on goal

The Bruins should go into Tampa and come away with a win, so we’re using our best bet to start the same-game parlay.

After that, we’re looking for this to be a classic low-scoring showdown between these teams.

While these aren't identical rosters, the Bruins and Lightning know each other pretty well. Three of the four meetings last season went Under the total, including an Under 5.5!

Despite going Over the total in their last two games, the Bruins have been more of an Under team this season. They've allowed a league-low 2.00 goals per game and that’s resulted in a 10-6 record for the Under.

To close out the parlay, we’re going to look at Brad Marchand to keep firing pucks on the net. Marchand has averaged over three shots per game this season with 55 SOG in 16 contests. 

He's had at least three shots in three straight games and eight of his last nine as well. In fact, this could be a ladder spot for Marchand, who has reached five shots on goal in six of 16 games thus far. It’s also worth noting that Marchand had three shots on goal in all four meetings with Tampa last season.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Bruins vs Lightning moneyline and Over/Under analysis

The Bruins opened as low as -115 favorites at some books and that price has steadily gone up. Boston is now between -130 (BetMGM) and -140 (Caesars/PointsBet) as road favorites.

The Lightning are now as high as +118 underdogs after opening at -104.

There is some variance in the total, however, with the line set at either 6 or 6.5, depending on the book. You can get Under 6 (+102 via BetRivers) or Under 6.5 (-120 via DraftKings). The Over 6 is -120 at BetMGM with the Over 6.5 +100 at DraftKings.

Bruins vs Lightning betting trend to know

The Bruins are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Find more NHL betting trends for Bruins vs. Lightning.

Bruins vs Lightning game info

Location: Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL
Date: Monday, November 20, 2023
Puck drop: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: Bally Sports Sun, NESN

Bruins vs Lightning latest injuries

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James Bisson
Head of Content, Betting

James Bisson is the Editor-in-Chief at Covers. He has been a writer, reporter and editor for more than 20 years, including a nine-year stint with The Canadian Press and more than five years at theScore. He has covered dozens of marquee events including the 2010 Winter Olympics, the 2006 Stanley Cup final and Wrestlemania 23, and his work has appeared in more than 200 publications, including the Los Angeles Times, the Guardian, Yahoo! Sports, the Toronto Star and The Globe and Mail.

His book, “100 Greatest Canadian Sports Moments”, was a hardcover best-seller in Canada in 2008 and earned him appearances on CBC Radio and Canada AM. He has written more than 50 sportsbook reviews, more than 200 industry news articles, and dozens of other sportsbook-related content articles.

A graduate of the broadcast journalism program at Ryerson University (now Toronto Metropolitan University), James has been an avid bettor since the early 2000s, and cites bet365 as his favorite sports betting site due to its superior functionality and quick payouts. His biggest professional highlight: Covering Canada's first Olympic gold medal on home soil – and interviewing Bret Hart. Twice.

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