Fireworks could be coming in Brazil, with Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson and Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott leading two explosive offenses.
My best Ravens vs. Cowboys props and NFL picks lean into a potential shootout on Sunday, Sept. 27, with Jackson and Prescott poised for big nights while Cowboys running back Javonte Williams could get squeezed by the game script.
Make sure to also check out our full Ravens vs. Cowboys predictions, with kickoff set for 4:25 p.m. ET at Maracana Stadium (CBS).
Best Ravens vs Cowboys props
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| Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Lamar Jackson 40+ rushing yards |
53% |
 Dak Prescott 26+ completions |
51% |
| Javonte Williams Under 59.5 rushing yards |
58% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Prop pick #1: Lamar Jackson 40+ rushing yards
I'm playing Lamar Jackson's rushing prop up to 50+ yards (37%), as the Baltimore Ravens quarterback is ready to put on a show in Brazil.
The Dallas Cowboys have the worst defensive success rate in the NFL, per RBSDM.com, and they've already surrendered 74 combined rushing yards to Jaxson Dart and Jayden Daniels in abbreviated appearances.
Forty yards is a low number for Lamar to clear if he drops back a lot, and I'm expecting a shootout.
I'm comfortable backing Jackson to average roughly 6-7 yards per rush against Dallas.
Prop pick #2: Dak Prescott 26+ completions
I'd take Dak Prescott's pass completion prop up to 28+. If Dallas has to go score-for-score with Lamar Jackson, Dak could easily attempt 40+ passes.
Prescott has attempted 40+ passes in 30 career regular-season games and completed 26+ passes in 27 of them.
I'm also not sold on Baltimore's pass defense yet. Saints QB Tyler Shough completed 79.4% of his passes against the Ravens last week, and I have far more confidence in the Cowboys' passing attack.
Dallas' offensive line also ranks 10th in pass-block win rate, per ESPN, which should give Prescott plenty of time for routes to develop.
Between the expected volume, game script, and Dallas' weapons, Dak should pile up completions in Brazil.
Prop pick #3: Javonte Williams Under 59.5 rushing yards
I'm willing to trade the Under on Javonte Williams' rushing prop down to 57.5 yards. This correlates with my Dak Prescott completions Over, as Dallas could be forced to throw to keep pace with Baltimore, limiting Williams' rushing volume.
Baltimore's defense is allowing just 3.6 yards per rush this season, and first-year Ravens head coach Jesse Minter also coordinated strong run defenses with the Chargers.
Meanwhile, Williams is averaging only 3.0 yards per rush through two games against the Commanders and Giants. If the Cowboys running back is struggling to generate efficient carries against those units, I'm comfortable fading him against a tougher Baltimore front.
A pass-heavy game script and a difficult rushing matchup give Williams two different paths to stay Under this number.
- Prop picks: 7-5, +1.69 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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