Week 8 wraps up with the Kansas City Chiefs hosting the Washington Commanders tonight.
The Chiefs are sizable favorites, considering Washington is without star QB Jayden Daniels, but our NFL player prop projections have still identified great values for MNF props tonight — specifically liking the prices on Washington's offense.
Commanders vs Chiefs computer picks for Monday Night Football
 Commanders |
 Chiefs |
|---|---|
| Mariota o199.5 pass -110 | Mahomes o23.5 rush -110 |
| Croskey-Merritt o45.5 rush -110 | Pacheco o6.5 rec -110 |
| Samuel o40.5 rec -110 | Rice o68.5 rec -110 |
| McLaurin o45.5 rec -110 | Kelce u42.5 rec -110 |
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Commanders MNF computer picks
Marcus Mariota Over 199.5 passing yards (-110)
Projection: 214.87 yards
Our projections expect Mariota to crack 200 passing yards in a game Washington should be playing from behind.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt Over 45.5 rushing yards (-110)
Projection: 59.41 yards
Bill has topped this number in three of his last four games, and he's projected to comfortably go past it again tonight.
Alternate-total bet
60+ yards (+195) - This price shows very good value.
Deebo Samuel Over 40.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 55.61 yards
Deebo was a non-factor last week, dealing with a heel injury, but he had 168 yards in the two games prior — and he's projected to finish more in line with that type of production tonight.
Alternate-total bet
50+ yards (+150) - This number is showing an incredible value.
Terry McLaurin Over 45.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 53.46 yards
This is McLaurin's first game in more than a month, but we're expecting him to hit the ground running again, having topped this number in his previous two games.
Alternate-total bet
50+ yards (+105) - Gain 15 cents of value for four more yards? Yes please.
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Chiefs MNF computer picks
Patrick Mahomes Over 23.5 rushing yards (-110)
Projection: 30.05 yards
Mahomes has not hesitated to use his legs this season, and we project him to contribute in the rushing game again tonight.
Alternate-total bet
30+ yards (+150) - Shows solid value.
Isiah Pacheco Over 6.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 11.3 yards
KC's running back has at least one catch in every game, and we're expecting him to again have a little bit of action out of the backfield.
Rashee Rice Over 68.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 71.9 yards
Rice saw a ton of volume in his first game of the season, and we're projecting him to again be a big part of the offense tonight.
Travis Kelce Under 42.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 37.33 yards
We don't project a big night for the Chiefs TE, forecasting him to fall below his yardage total.
Not intended for use in MA.
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