Monday Night Football tonight features a de facto playoff game, as the Miami Dolphins look to avoid postseason elimination with a win, while the Pittsburgh Steelers try to stay on the right side of the playoff picture.
Our NFL player prop projections have identified the best MNF prop values for tonight, highlighted by Jaylen Warren running over the Dolphins in expected cold temperatures.
Dolphins vs Steelers computer picks for Monday Night Football
 Dolphins |
 Steelers |
|---|---|
| Tagovailoa o193.5 pass -110 |
Rodgers o210.5 pass -110 |
| Achane o27.5 rec -110 |
Warren o49.5 rush -125 |
| Waddle o62.5 rec -110 |
Metcalf o55.5 rec -110 |
| Waller o27.5 rec -110 |
Smith o10.5 rec -110 |
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Dolphins MNF computer picks
Tua Tagovailoa Over 193.5 passing yards (-110)
Projection: 209.44 yards
Tua hasn't topped 173 yards in four straight games, but our projections expect him to approach 200 yards tonight against the woeful Steelers pass defense.
De'Von Achane Over 27.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 33.62 yards
Our projections don't like Achane's chances of topping his rushing total, but they do like him to be involved in the passing game once again.
Jaylen Waddle Over 62.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 64.63 yards
We're projecting Waddle to finish just above his rushing total tonight...
Darren Waller Over 27.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 30.3 yards
... And the same with Miami's TE1, whose projection is basically right at his posted yardage line.
More Monday Night Football picks from Covers
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Steelers MNF computer picks
Aaron Rodgers Over 210.5 passing yards (-110)
Projection: 229.08 yards
Fresh off a 284-yard effort, our projections expect Rodgers to finish in the 200s again for the second consecutive week.
Alternate-total bet
225+ yards (+135) - This price shows good value.
Jaylen Warren Over 49.5 rushing yards (-125)
Projection: 61.84 yards
We're projecting Warren to go well beyond his rushing total tonight against the Dolphins.
Alternate-total bet
60+ yards (+150) - This prop shows very good value as well.
D.K. Metcalf Over 55.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 65.81 yards
Metcalf hadn't topped this number in seven games until dropping 148 yards last week, but we're forecasting him to post another Over tonight.
Jonnu Smith Over 10.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 22.91 yards
We're expecting Smith to get back on the scoresheet tonight, going Over a very low total in the process.
Alternate-total bet
20+ yards (+210) - This prop shows incredible value.
Not intended for use in MA.
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