One of the best matchups in Week 15 of the NFL sees Aaron Rodgers and the NFC North-leading Packers visit Lamar Jackson and the AFC North-leading Baltimore Ravens.
But while both the Packers and Ravens are sitting atop their respective divisions, these teams don’t feel like they’re on the same level right now. And that’s probably why the Cheese Heads are favored by 5.5-points on the road for this matchup.
Do the Ravens have value as a home underdog? Find out in our free NFL betting picks and predictions for Packers vs. Ravens on Sunday, December 19.
Packers vs Ravens odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
Some books have been hesitant to post a line on this game with both quarterbacks questionable to play, but the ones that do have the Packers as 5.5-point road faves while the total hit the board at 43.5.
Packers vs Ravens predictions
Predictions made on 12/15/2021 at 12:15 p.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
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Packers vs Ravens game info
• Location: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
• Date: Sunday, December 19, 2021
• Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
• TV: FOX
Packers at Ravens betting preview
Packers: EQ St. Brown WR (Out), Dominique Dafney TE (Out), Kenny Clark DT (Out), David Bakhtiari OL (Out), Billy Turner OL (Out), Jack Heflin DL (Out), Za'Darius Smith LB (Out), Shawn Davis S (Out), Vernon Scott S (Out).
Ravens: Lamar Jackson QB (Out), Patrick Ricard FB (Out), Patrick Mekari G (Out), Ben Powers G (Out), Calais Campbell DT (Out), Chuck Clark S (Out).
Find our latest NFL injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite. Find more NFL betting trends for Packers vs. Ravens.
Packers vs Ravens picks and predictions
Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.
Yes, both Aaron Rodgers and Lamar Jackson are dealing with injuries heading into this game. Rodgers has a hurt toe while Jackson has a sprained ankle. But the injuries could have a much bigger impact on one QB compared to the other.
Rodgers has looked fine over the last three weeks for the Packers. The reigning MVP has thrown for 1,033 yards while completing 70 percent of his passes with 10 touchdowns and no picks over the last three games. Green Bay has averaged 37.3 points per game over that span. So, yeah. Rodgers seems to be dealing with his toe injury just fine.
Jackson is another story altogether, and the Ravens have been one of the unluckiest teams in the NFL this season when it comes to injuries. Jackson injured his ankle in last week’s loss to the Browns, and while he is expected to play, limited mobility could be a problem.
And it’s not like the Ravens were in a good place before Jackson got hurt. They had lost three of their last five games, putting up just 16.6 points per contest over that span.
This game is obviously big for both teams. The Packers looking to inch closer to earning the bye in the NFC while the Ravens are trying to hold off the Browns, who are just behind them in the standings. But for this one, all those Ravens injuries may finally start to catch up with them, while Rodgers has shown he can at least manage them. Lay the points with the Pack.
Prediction: Packers -5 (-110)
This total might seem a little low when you consider the way the Packers have been putting up points lately, but while the Ravens offense has been sputtering, their defense has been doing all they can to keep them in ball games.
The Ravens have been susceptible against the pass this season but they have done a solid job in the red zone, especially recently. Over their last five games, the Ravens are giving up just 315.2 yards and 17.6 points per game.
And while Rodgers has looked good the last few weeks, he did come out and say after last week’s game that the toe certainly wasn’t getting any better. So, you can bet the Packers will try to take some of the pressure off that toe by handing the ball off to Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon. But the Ravens have been excellent against the run, ranking fourth in DVOA.
And with the Ravens struggling to score with a healthy Lamar, scoring with a banged-up Lamar is just that much more difficult.
Prediction: Under 43.5 (-110)
With all the injuries, player props aren’t out for this game yet but when they hit the board, look at Aaron Rodgers Over his passing yards. The Ravens have struggled against the pass this season, ranking 26th in DVOA and 31st in yards allowed per game.
For now, that just means we like the Packers -5 as our best bet. The Packers have been one of the best bets in the NFL all season long, going 11-2 ATS, and when you compare the health of the QBs and Rodgers' edge against the Ravens secondary, this looks like an easy wager to make.
Pick: Packers -5 (-110)