NFL Week 12 finally wrapped up Wednesday, though NFL Week 13 odds stop for no one and have gotten action all week long. Among the noteworthy matchups: an AFC clash between the Cleveland Browns and Tennessee Titans, and an NFC West battle pitting the Los Angeles Rams against the Arizona Cardinals.
Multiple oddsmakers provided insights on NFL Week 13 opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting. Covers will update this report with NFL sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement throughout the week.
NFL Week 13 Odds
These are the current NFL Week 13 odds, as of December 3. Click on each matchup in the table below to get updated in-depth information on the opening lines, sharp money, public betting and odds movement as we get closer to kickoff.
|Cowboys at Ravens||8:05 p.m. ET Tuesday||Ravens -8.5||45.5|
|Lions at Bears||1 p.m ET Sunday||Bears -3||44|
|Bengals at Dolphins||1 p.m. ET Sunday||Dolphins -10||43|
|Colts at Texans||1 p.m. ET Sunday||Texans +3||50.5|
|Jaguars at Vikings||1 p.m. ET Sunday||Vikings -10||51.5|
|Washington at Steelers||5 p.m. ET Monday||Steelers -6||43.5|
|Raiders at Jets||1 p.m. ET Sunday||Jets +||48.5|
|Saints at Falcons||1 p.m. ET Sunday||Falcons +2.5||45.5|
|Browns at Titans||1 p.m. ET Sunday||Titans -4||53.5|
|Giants at Seahawks||4:05 p.m. ET Sunday||Seahawks -11||47.5|
|Rams at Cardinals||4:05 p.m. ET Sunday||Cardinals +3||48.5|
|Eagles at Packers||4:25 p.m. ET Sunday||Packers -8.5||49.5|
|Patriots at Chargers||4:25 p.m. ET Sunday||Chargers -2||47|
|Broncos at Chiefs||8:20 p.m. ET Sunday||Chiefs -13||51.5|
|Bills at 49ers||8:15 p.m. ET Monday||49ers -1.5||47.5|
Odds courtesy of The SuperBook
Teams on bye: Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Carolina Panthers
Ravens -7.5, Over/Under 45
Why the line moved
UPDATE 7:30 P.M. ET TUESDAY: About 30 minutes before kickoff, Baltimore is an 8.5-point favorite at PointsBet USA, which is right where the number opened Sunday morning. Since then, the line bottomed out at -7.5 and got as high as -9.5 earlier today. The Ravens are taking 64 percent of point-spread bets and 86 percent of spread money. The total bounced between the opener of 45 and 45.5 a couple times the past couple of days, and it's currently 45.5, with 60 percent of bets and 63 percent of money on the Over. Ravens running back J.K. Dobbins (12/1) is the runaway leader on the prop bet of player to score the first touchdown, attracting almost twice as many tickets as the second choice, Ravens QB Lamar Jackson (+650).
UPDATE 5 P.M. ET TUESDAY: William Hill US opened the Ravens -8.5 and dipped to -7.5, then rebounded to -9. Baltimore is taking 69 percent of spread tickets, but money is dead even. The total moved from 45 to 45.5 this afternoon, with tickets and money both 2/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 12:20 P.M. ET TUESDAY: DraftKings pegged Baltimore as 7.5-point chalk when it opened this game Thursday afternoon, and the line has since climbed to -9, with Ravens QB Lamar Jackson cleared from COVID protocols and ready to play. Tickets and money are both running about 2/1 on the Ravens. The total moved from 45 to 44.5, then up to 45.5, with 59 percent of tickets and 65 percent of money on the Over.
UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET MONDAY: Baltimore stretched from -7 to -8.5 at FanDuel for this Tuesday night clash, but point-spread betting splits are pretty interesting so far, with the Ravens attracting 69 percent of tickets, but the Cowboys landing 60 percent of money. The total has been steady at 45 since going up Friday, save for a few minutes at 44.5 Sunday, with 51 percent of tickets on the Over and 55 percent of money on the Under.
UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: The SuperBook at Westgate waited until this morning to finally pop this game on the board, with word that Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson is expected to clear COVID protocols and be back in action. Baltimore went up at -7.5 and needed only about two hours to reach -9. The total opened 44.5 and is now 45.
UPDATE 12:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: DraftKings finally popped this game on the board early Thursday evening, and there's been no movement on the spread or the total. However, there's certainly an opinion on the spread, with ticket count 5/1 and money 2/1 on Baltimore.
UPDATE 1:30 A.M. ET TUESDAY: This game remains off the board at The SuperBook, after getting moved again. This matchup was the scheduled Thursday nighter, but was pushed to Monday due to the Ravens-Steelers delays. On Monday, the NFL pushed Ravens-Steelers to Wednesday, prompting the need to move Cowboys-Ravens to next Tuesday.
This game was supposed to be the Week 13 Thursday nighter, but the Ravens-Steelers Week 12 game – originally set for Thanksgiving night – won't be played until Tuesday, due to Baltimore's COVID issues. So Week 13 will have two Monday games, the Cowboys-Ravens at 5 p.m. ET, followed by the regularly scheduled Bills-49ers contest.
Ravens QB Lamar Jackson's Week 13 status is uncertain due to his positive COVID test, so The SuperBook is not posting this game until there's more clarity.
Bears -3, Over/Under 45
Why the line moved
UPDATE 11 A.M. ET SUNDAY: Chicago opened -4.5 at PointsBet USA, but quickly got to -3 and stayed there all week. That said, the Bears are taking percent of tickets and 76 percent of money on the spread. The total moved from 45 to 44 to 44.5. "Good two-way action, with 58 percent of bets on the Under, but 67 percent of handle on the Over," PointsBet's Patrick Eichner said.
UPDATE 9 P.M. ET SATURDAY: The Bears opened -4 at DraftKings and are now -3, attracting 53 percent of tickets and 63 percent of money. The total moved from 45.5 to 44 to 44.5, with 57 percent of tickets on the Under and 55 percent of money on the Over.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Green Bay moved from -7.5 to -9.5 early in the week and is now down to -8.5 at William Hill US. The Packers are taking the highest percentage of spread bets of any team for Week 13, at 87 percent, but the Eagles are actually getting 52 percent of point-spread dollars.
UPDATE 12:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: The total in this game is relatively stable at William Hill US, moving back to the opener of 45 this morning after spending a few days at 44.5. The Under is seeing just a modest majority of tickets, at 54 percent, but 95 percent of money is on the Under. "The Bears' offense has been putrid, but it’s counterbalanced by Detroit, whose defense is so horrific. (The Lions) also fired their coach, so they’re in disarray," WillHill director of trading Nick Bogdanovich said, alluding to Matt Patricia getting his pink slip last weekend. "Chicago’s offense might look like Alabama’s this week. So that’s a tricky one, and you’ve got to factor in weather too. A lot of moving parts there.”
UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: The Bears opened -4 at DraftKings on Monday morning and initially ticked up to -5, despite their poor showing Sunday night at Green Bay. But by Monday afternoon, the number was down to -3, which is where it's stuck since. It's two-way action, with Chicago attracting 52 percent of bets and 55 percent of money on the spread. The total moved from 45.5 to 44 to 44.5, with ticket count a dead-even 50/50 split and 66 percent of money on the Over.
UPDATE 6 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: This game came off the board at The SuperBook during Sunday night's Bears-Packers game, and it went back up Monday morning at Bears -5.5, despite Chicago's lackluster effort in the 41-25 loss to Green Bay. By Monday afternoon, the number had already made its way back to Bears -3, and that's the line now. "The Bears do not look good with Mitch Trubisky at QB," SuperBook managaer/oddsmaker Eric Osterman said, while noting the Lions could be getting help this week at running back and wideout. "There's potential for the Lions to have D'Andre Swift and Kenny Golloday back. Not much money on this game yet."
The Lions tumbled to Houston 41-25 at home on Thanksgiving and on Saturday fired coach Matt Patricia. On Sunday night, the Bears got thumped at Green Bay by that same score, 41-25. The SuperBook opened Lions-Bears at Chicago -3 and quickly scooted to -3.5 early Sunday evening. Per standard operating procedure, the game then came off the board once the Bears-Packers Sunday night meeting began, and the line will go back up Monday morning.
Dolphins -11.5, Over/Under 43
Why the line moved
UPDATE 10:30 A.M. ET SUNDAY: The Dolphins from -9.5 to -11.5 to -10 at FanDuel, and it appears rookie QB Tua Tagovailoa will be back under center today. Sixty-two percent of tickets and and money are on Miami. The total moved from 42.5 to 41.5 to 43, with 61 percent of tickets/58% of money on the Under.
UPDATE 9 P.M. ET SATURDAY: DraftKings opened the Dolphins -11 and got to -12 before falling back to -10.5 Friday, with the Dolphins netting 54 percent of bets and 57 percent of money. The total is also getting two-way action, moving from 42.5 to 41.5 and back, with 52 percent of bets on the Over and 51 percent of money on the Under.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Miami bounced from -11.5 to -11 a couple of times this week at William Hill US and is currently -11, with 62 percent of bets and 61 percent of money on the Dolphins.
UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Miami inched from -11 to -11.5 Tuesday at DraftKings, and that's still the number, with point-spread tickets almost dead even and 62 percent of money on the Dolphins. The total opened 42.5, dipped to 41.5 and returned to the opener, with 62 percent of bets and 58 percent of money on the Over.
UPDATE 6 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The total bounced around bit the past couple of days, dipping to 41.5 and ticking up to 42 at The SuperBook. However, SuperBook manager/oddsmaker Eric Osterman said that was more the market settling than action driving those moves.
Miami had no issues with the still-winless New York Jets, winning 20-3 on the road Sunday, while Cincinnati was respectable, minus Joe Burrow, in a 19-17 home loss to the New York Giants. Still, the Dolphins are not the Giants, and as such, The SuperBook opened Miami -11.5. There was no line movement through Sunday night.
Texans +2.5, Over/Under 55
Why the line moved
UPDATE 10:30 A.M. ET SUNDAY: Indianapolis opened -2.5, quickly got to -3 and stuck there all week at BetMGM Nevada, which took a $110,000 play on Colts -3. "This game has sharp play on both sides," BetMGM's Scott Shelton said. "Tickets 3.5/1 Colts, money is all Colts." That's mainly due to the one big bet.
UPDATE 9 P.M. ET SATURDAY: After opening -2.5, Colts are now -3.5 at DraftKings and landing 76 percent of tickets/86 percent of money on the spread. The total dipped from 53.5 to 50.5, with 60 percent of bets on the Over, but 70 percent of money on the Under.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET FRIDAY: William Hill US opened Indianapolis -2.5, reached -3.5 Thursday and slipped back to -3 Friday, but this game is way lopsided. The Colts are taking 76 percent of tickets and 93 percent of money bet on the spread.
UPDATE 12:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: The total at William Hill US is down to 51, from an opener of 54.5. "I was very surprised by how much the total for Colts-Texans has moved,” director of trading Nick Bogdanovich said. "This is a Colts defense that has looked quite vulnerable the past two games, against the Packers and Titans. I’m expecting a high-scoring game here, but the professionals acted fast once it opened at 54.5. Their algorithms made it lower, so they played the Under, standard operating procedure for them.” The Under at WillHill is drawing just 51 percent of tickets, but 96 percent of dollars.
UPDATE 6 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Indy is out to -3.5 at The SuperBook, but the total in this game is the more noteworthy early mover, dropping 3.5 points to 51.5. "The Texans will be without Will Fuller (suspension), and the Colts are getting their defensive line starters back after missing the last game with COVID," SuperBook manager/oddsmaker Eric Osterman said.
Indianapolis took a beating at the hands of Tennessee in Week 12, losing 45-26 at home Sunday. Meanwhile, Houston is coming off a mini-bye after bouncing host Detroit 41-25 on Thanksgiving.
"We opened Colts -2.5 and are still there," Murray said Sunday night. "The Colts' defense got torched in the first half today. We're going to keep a close eye on the Colts' injury report. They were missing some key guys on defense today, and it showed."
Vikings -9.5, Over/Under 51
Why the line moved
UPDATE 11 A.M. ET SUNDAY: Minnesota moved from -9 to -10.5 at PointsBet USA, then ticked back to -10. "Another interesting split, with 56 percent of bets backing the Jags, but just over 80 percent of money on the Vikings," PointsBet's Patrick Eichner said. The total moved from 51 to 52.5 to 51, with 60 percent of tickets and money on the Under.
UPDATE 9 P.M. ET SATURDAY: The Vikes moved from -9.5 to -10.5, then ticked to -10 at DraftKings, where the Jags are actually drawing the modest majority of point-spread action. Fifty-nine percent of bets and 56 percent of dollars are on Jacksonville. The total rose from 49.5 to 52.5, then dipped to 51 Thursday and stuck there, with 62 percent of bets on the Under and 59 percent of money on the Oer.
UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Minnesota is up a tick to -10 from -9.5 at DraftKings, although Jacksonville is actually getting more attention on the spread, at 63 percent of bets and 53 percent of money. The total jumped from 49.5 52.5 and is now 52 on wildly divergent betting splits, with 69 percent of tickets on the Under, but 82 percent of money on the Over.
Minnesota's offense had turnovers on consecutive plays Sunday, and both were returned for touchdowns, yet the Vikings still managed a 28-27 victory over visiting Carolina, winning on a last-minute touchdown. Jacksonville kept it interesting as a touchdown underdog to Cleveland, losing 27-25 at home. The SuperBook opened the Vikes -9.5, and there was no line movement Sunday night.
Steelers -10, Over/Under 45
Why the line moved
UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET MONDAY: Ninety minutes before kickoff, the Steelers are -6 at FanDuel after steadily dropping throughout the past eight days from the -10.5 opener. Still, ticket count is about 3/1 and money just more than 2/1 on Pittsburgh. The total opened 42 and is now at its peak of 43.5, with 64 percent of tickets/60 percent of money on the Over.
UPDATE 1 P.M. ET MONDAY: Pittsburgh opened -8.5 at BetMGM Nevada and has since slid to -6. "Tickets almost 2/1 in favor of the Steelers, but money is 2/1 Washington. Definitely sharp play on Washington," BetMGM's Scott Shelton said. However, any live parlay/teaser liability is running toward Pittsburgh, and late Sunday night, a BetMGM Nevada customer wagered $250,000 on a teaser of Steelers pick 'em/Bills +7.5. "Right now, there's a small need on the Steelers on straight bets. But at the end of the day, I'm 90 percent sure we're gonna need Washington."
UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: The Steelers are all the way down to -7 at FanDuel, after opening -10.5 last Sunday. Sixty-five percent of point-spread tickets and 56 percent of spread dollars are on Pittsburgh for this rescheduled game, which kicks off at 5 p.m. ET Monday. The total moved from 42 to 43.5, with 68 percent of tickets/73 percent of money on the Over.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Pittsburgh is down to -7 from the -8 Thursday afternoon opener at William Hill US, where the Steelers are getting 54 percent of spread bets, but Washington is drawing 71 percent of spread dollars. "Sharps love Washington. It's that simple," WillHill director of trading Nick Bogdanovich said.
UPDATE 8 P.M. ET TUESDAY: The SuperBook put this game back on the board earlier today at Steelers -10, and the first move was toward the underdog, as the number is now -9.5. The total was reposted at 44, down a point from the original opener.
UPDATE 1:30 A.M. ET TUESDAY: Pittsburgh was still -10 at The SuperBook on Monday afternoon when scheduling dominos began falling, two involving the Steelers: the Week 12 Ravens-Steelers game was moved to Wednesday of this week, so the Week 13 Washington-Steelers game was bounced from Sunday to a 5 p.m. ET Monday start. That led The SuperBook to take the Washington-Pittsburgh game off the board for now.
Pittsburgh still has Week 12 work to do, and in fact can't do that work until Wednesday in the multi-delayed matchup against Baltimore. Washington will be much more rested, coming off a stunning 41-16 road wipeout of Dallas on Thanksgiving. The SuperBook opened the Steelers -10, and there was no line movement Sunday night.
Jets +8.5, Over/Under 46.5
Why the line moved
UPDATE 10:30 A.M. ET SUNDAY: FanDuel moved Las Vegas from -8 to -7.5, then spiked to -9.5, but the number is now back to -7.5. Ticket count is 4/1 and money 2/1 on the Raiders. The total dipped from 48.5 to 46.5, with 59 percent of bets/62 percent of money on the Under.
UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: The Raiders moved from -7.5 to -9 at DraftKings, then receded to -8, though tickets and money are both in the 4/1 range on Las Vegas. The total dropped from 48 to 46 and is now 47.
UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: DraftKings opened Las Vegas -7.5 and got to -8.5 earlier today, thanks to ticket count and money both in the 9/1 range on the Raiders. The total dipped from 48 to 46.5, with 63 percent of bets and 61 percent of money on the Under.
Las Vegas laid a fat Week 12 egg in Atlanta, getting boat raced 43-6, but winless New York (0-11 SU) could be the cure. The hapless Jets fell to Miami 20-3. However, it appears early bettors were much less impressed by the Raiders' awful showing, as this line is already down a point to -7.5 Sunday night.
Falcons +3, Over/Under 47.5
Why the line moved
UPDATE 11 A.M. ET SUNDAY: PointsBet USA moved the Saints from -3.5 to -2.5 to -3, then back to -2.5. "Another game of the public on one side and heavier money on the other," PointsBet's Patrick Eichner said. "New Orleans is drawing 70 percent of bets, but Atlanta is accounting for 70 percent of handle." The total fell from 47.5 to 45, climbed back to 46.5 and is now 45.5. "Overwhelming action on the Over, 82 percent of tickets, 96 percent of handle," Eichner said.
UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: DraftKings moved from Saints -3.5 to -2.5, then inched to -3, with 71 percent of bets and 76 percent of money on New Orleans. The total fell from 47.5 to 45, then rebounded to 46, though tickets and money are in the 2/1 range on the Under.
UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: New Orleans opened -3.5 and is down to -2.5 at DraftKings, where 68 percent of spread bets and 71 percent of spread dollars are on the Saints. The total is down two points to 45.5, with 87 percent of tickets on the Over, but money much closer to two-way, with the Over getting 53 percent of cash.
New Orleans is 2-0 in the Taysom Hill era, with at least another two games to go before Drew Brees (ribs) can get back under center. The Saints coasted to a 31-3 road victory over the quarterback-less Broncos, while Atlanta pounded visiting Las Vegas 43-6. New Orleans opened -3 at The SuperBook, and the only movement Sunday night was a price adjustment to Saints -3 (-120).
Titans -4, Over/Under 53
Why the line moved
UPDATE 11 A.M. ET SUNDAY: This line bounced around a fair amount at PointsBet USA, from Titans -5 to -6, then down to the current number of -4 on interesting betting splits. "Seventy percent of tickets are backing Tennessee, but the heavier money is on Cleveland, accounting for roughly 70 percent of handle," PointsBet's Patrick Eichner said.
UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Tennessee opened -4, peaked at -6 and is now -5 at DraftKings, with tickets and money running 3/1 on the Titans. The total moved from 52.5 to 54, then backed up to 53, with 57 percent of bets on the Under and 67 percent of money on the Over.
UPDATE 12:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: The total at William Hill US is up a point to 54, but the betting splits don't necessarily reflect that bump, with 65 percent of tickets and 51 percent of money on the Under. "Obviously to me, Tennessee’s a dead Over team and Cleveland’s a dead Under team,” WillHill director of trading Nick Bogdanovich said. "It’s definitely one of the more interesting games this week. We’re going to see what gives: the high-octane offense of Tennessee or the ground-and-pound in Cleveland."
UPDATE 6 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Tennessee jumped 1.5 points to -5.5 by Monday morning and is still there now at The SuperBook. "That's reaction to the Titans blowing out the Colts and the Browns not covering against the Jags," SuperBook manager/oddsmaker Eric Osterman said. "We have taken public money on the Browns at +5.5, but no line move yet." The total moved from 53 to 54, then ticked back to 53.5 earlier today.
Tennessee waltzed over host Indianapolis 45-26 in Week 12, while Cleveland hung on for a 27-25 road win over Jacksonville. The Titans are atop the AFC South at 8-3, and the Browns (8-3) occupy the top wild-card slot.
"We opened this one Titans -4 and are still there," Murray said Sunday evening. "Incredible performance by the Titans today. I think the public will be pretty heavily on them here."
Seahawks -9, Over/Under 48.5
Why the line moved
UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: DraftKings moved the Seahawks from -9.5 to -11, and the number is now -10.5, with 63 percent of tickets and 61 percent of money on Seattle. The total dipped from 48 to 46.5 and is now 47, with ticket count almost dead even and 65 percent of money on the Under.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Seattle is up to -11 at William Hill US, with Friday bringing news that New York quarterback Daniel Jones (hamstring) is doubtful for Sunday's game. The Seahawks are attracting 63 percent of tickets and 77 percent of money on the point spread.
Seattle held off Philadelphia 23-17 in the Monday night game, while New York squeaked by host Cincinnati 19-17 Sunday. The SuperBook opened the Seahawks -9, and there was no movement through Sunday night.
Cardinals +2.5, Over/Under 49
Why the line moved
UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: DraftKings started the Rams at -1.5 and got to -3, then tracked back to -2.5 and went to -3 again this afternoon. Los Angeles is landing 55 percent of bets and 63 percent of money on the spread. The total moved from 49 to 47.5 to 48.5, with tickets running almost 4/1 and money 3/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Los Angeles opened -1.5 at William Hill US and stretched to -3, dropped to -2.5 and went back to -3. "This line has been a roller-coaster ride," director of trading Nick Bogdanovich said. "Huge game obviously, huge playoff implications. Both teams know each other well, too. We opened the Rams as a road favorite just because they’re more balanced as a team. I think Arizona’s leaking a little oil, Rams just look a little more solid.” The spread is drawing two-way action with a modest lean toward Arizona, at 57 percent of tickets/53 percent of money.
UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: The Rams stretched from -1.5 to -3 at DraftKings, then inched back to -2.5 earlier today, with Arizona taking 65 percent of tickets and 53 percent of money on the spread. The total fell from 49 to 47.5, then got back up to 48.5, all by Monday afternoon, with 78 percent of tickets/88 percent of money on the Over.
Los Angeles rallied from a 17-3 deficit against visiting San Francisco on Sunday, but ultimately lost 23-20 on a final-seconds field goal. Arizona went to New England as a short favorite and left with a 20-17 loss, also on a final-seconds field goal.
"We opened Rams -2.5 and are still there," Murray said. "The Rams will be a fairly public side, but I expect to see bets come in both ways here. The Cardinals really gave that game away today to New England. Both teams need this game to keep pace in the playoff race."
Packers -7, Over/Under 49
Why the line moved
UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: William Hill US opened Green Bay -7.5 and peaked at -9.5, then dialed down to -8.5 by Thursday, where the number remains now. The Packers are taking 86 percent of tickets, but just 63 percent of money on the spread. The total bounced around a lot, from 48.5 to 49, then to 46.5 before climbing back to 49 by Saturday, with 71 percent of tickets and 93 percent of money on the Over.
UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: This line bounced around a bit at DraftKings, from Packers -9 to -8.5 to -9.5, then down to the current number of -8. Still, tickets and dollars are running 4/1 on Green Bay. The total dipped from 47.5 to 46.5, then worked its way to 49 by this afternoon, with ticket count 3/1 and money 6/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 6 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The Packers opened -7 at The SuperBook just before they kicked off in their Week 12 Sunday night rout over the Bears. The line went back up at Green Bay -7.5 Monday morning, then came down during the Eagles' 23-17 Monday night home loss against Seattle. Philly's effort didn't impress oddsmakers, as the line went back up Tuesday morning at Packers -9.5, though it's since receded to -8.5. "The Eagles seem out of sorts, and Rodgers looked great again for the Packers," SuperBook manager/oddsmaker said. The total is down 2.5 points to 46.5.
Green Bay rolled over Chicago 41-25 in the Week 12 Sunday nighter, while Philly is set to host Seattle in the Monday nighter. Eagles-Packers opened Green Bay -7 at The SuperBook and had no movement before coming off the board once the Packers kicked off against the Bears.
"There could be significant line movement either way, depending on how those games play out," Murray said, alluding to the Week 12 Sunday and Monday night games. "Having said that, we will need the Eagles."
Pick, Over/Under 48.5
Why the line moved
UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: William Hill US opened this game at Chargers -1, dipped to pick 'em, then got to Chargers -2 this morning on two-way action: 60 percent of tickets are on New England, and 52 percent of money is on Los Angeles. The total fell from 49 to 47, with 61 percent of tickets on the Over, but 61 percent of money on the Under.
UPDATE 10 A.M. ET SUNDAY: BetMGM Nevada opened the Chargers -1, moved to pick 'em, then to Chargers -1.5. "Tickets a shade over 2/1 Patriots, money almost 6/1 in favor of the Patriots," BetMGM Nevada's Scott Shelton said. "They're not believing in the Chargers."
UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: This line opened Chargers -1 and jumped the fence a couple of times at DraftKings, to Patriots -1, Chargers -1 and Patriots -1 again. It's since flipped back to Chargers, getting as high as -2.5, and it's now L.A. -2, though New England is seeing 60 percent-plus of tickets and money. The total is down to 46.5 from a high of 49, with 53 percent of bets on the Under and 63 percent of money on the Over.
UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: DraftKings hasn't budged off Los Angeles -1 this week, with 68 percent of tickets on the Patriots and 52 percent of money on the Chargers. The total has bounced around a bit, from 48.5 to 49 to 47, and it's now 47.5, with 51 percent of tickets on the Under and 57 percent of money on the Over.
New England nabbed a last-second 20-17 home win over Houston in Week 12, while Los Angeles fell 27-17 on the road against Buffalo. The line moved shortly after going up Sunday, from pick 'em to Chargers -1.
Chiefs -14, Over/Under 49
Why the line moved
UPDATE 8 P.M. ET SUNDAY: BetMGM Nevada took a $110,000 play on Broncos +13, moving to Chiefs -12.5 for about an hour before going back to -13, which is still down a point from the opener. However, the Seahawks' stunning home loss to the Giants has the book in a better position tonight. "With Seattle losing outright, there's not much rolling into this," BetMGM Nevada's Scott Shelton said. "Tickets are 4/1 in favor of the Chiefs, but money is withn $6,000, which is close considering how much money is on this game. Really good two-way action. Best-case scenario is 'dog and Under."
UPDATE 5 P.M. ET SUNDAY: This game opened Kansas City -13.5 at FanDuel and stuck there most of the week, save for about 30 hours at -14 from early Tuesday into Wednesday. But the number just dropped a full point a few minutes ago, from -13.5 to -12.5, although the Chiefs are still drawing 85 percent of tickets and 82 percent of money on the spread. The total is up to 51.5 from the 48.5 opener, with 58 percent of tickets/66 percent of money on the Over.
UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: The line made a couple of trips from Kansas City -14 to -13.5 at William Hill US, and it's at -13.5 now, with 88 percent of bets and 73 percent of money on the Chiefs. The total for the Sunday nighter rose from 48.5 to 51.5, although the betting splits aren't that overwhelming: 53 percent of bets and 73 percent of dollars are on the Over.
UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Kansas City went from -13.5 to -14, then down to -13 at DraftKings, but it's all Chiefs, with tickets and money running 9/1 on K.C. The total moved from 48.5 to 50.5 to 50, with the Over taking just 52 percent of tickets, but 84 percent of money.
UPDATE 12:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Ticket count on this total is almost dead even at William Hill US, with 51 percent on the Over. But the number moved from 48 to 51.5, thanks to 92 percent of money flowing to the Over so far this week.
UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The total is the more noteworthy mover so far in the Week 13 Sunday night game, going from 49 to 48.5, then rising to 51 at The SuperBook. "We took some sharp money on Over 49.5. Also, the Broncos should have Drew Lock back at QB," SuperBook manager/oddsmaker Eric Osterman said.
Kansas City led Tampa Bay 17-0 in the first quarter and 27-10 midway through the third quarter, then hung on for a 27-24 road win in Week 12. Due to COVID protocols, Denver had no actual quarterbacks available, elevating practice-squad wideout Kendall Hinton, and it showed in a 31-3 home loss to New Orleans.
Presumably, the Broncos will have starting QB Drew Lock back on the field in Week 13, though it might not matter much against the defending Super Bowl champion. The Chiefs opened -14 at The SuperBook and actually ticked down a notch to -13.5 Sunday night.
49ers +3, Over/Under 47.5
Why the line moved
UPDATE 7:45 P.M. ET MONDAY: This game opened Bills -3, jumped the fence to 49ers -2 and is now Niners -1.5, but PointsBet USA's Patrick Eichner said the book remains very heavy on Buffalo action, with reverse-line movement in play. Seventy-three percent of point-spread tickets and 91 percent of spread dollars are on the Bills. The total moved from 48 to 47 and back to 48, with 60 percent of tickets on the Over, but 64 percent of money on the Under. And on the prop of player to score the first touchdown, Bills QB Josh Allen (10/1) leads the ticket count, taking 16 percent of bets, followed by Niners running back Raheem Mostert (7/1) and Bills wideout Stefon Diggs (9/1), who are both just above 14 percent.
UPDATE 1 P.M. ET MONDAY: BetMGM Nevada opened Buffalo -2.5 and the first move was to -3, but the line has slid the other way since and just got to San Francisco -1.5. "Good two-way action on this game," BetMGM Nevada's Scott Shelton said. "Tickets are roughly 2/1 Bills, money within a few thousand dollars, and there's a lot of money on this game. Tons of teasers and parlays on the Bills. They are definitely the public side, and we've had sharp play on the Niners all week." There are also some big wagers on this contest: Sunday night, one BetMGM Nevada customer put $150,000 on the Bills +1, and another $250,000 on a teaser of Bills +7.5/Steelers pick 'em. And on Friday, the book took a $110,000 play on 49ers -1.
UPDATE 5 P.M. ET SUNDAY: This game jumped the fence at FanDuel, from Bills -3 to 49ers -1.5, yet Buffalo is landing 82 percent of point-spread bets and 76 percent of spread money. The total fell from 48 to 46.5, with 69 percent of bets on the Over, but 60 percent of money on the Under.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET FRIDAY: After opening Buffalo -3, this line reached pick 'em by Thursday night at William Hill US, and the line remains pick Friday night. While the 49ers had to reloccate to Phoenix, they got some benefit by landing in a familiar stadium within the NFC West. “The new stadium for the 49ers has to mean something, just because they’re used to it and the surroundings," William Hill US director of trading Nick Bogdanovich said. "Going from preparing for a home game to losing a day because of travel, it means something. A point maybe. But in 2020, nothing should be unexpected at this point. The sharps definitely like the Niners in this game, despite the weird spot. They’re coming off a great win and they’re getting healthier. The Bills still have to travel across the country, too.” Buffalo is taking 69 percent of bets on the spread, while San Fran is landing 55 percent of money.
UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Buffalo opened -3 at DraftKings and is now down to -1, and the point-spread betting splits support that, with San Francisco attracting 55 percent of tickets and 65 percent of money. The total is pinned to 48, with ticket count 2/1 and money 4/1 on the Over.
San Francisco notched a surprising 23-20 road victory over the Los Angeles Rams, winning on a last-second field goal. Buffalo prepped for the Week 13 Monday nighter with a 27-17 home win over the L.A. Chargers.
"We opened Bills -3 and are now at Bills -3 (even)," Murray said, before taking note of the new COVID regulation in Santa Clara County, Calif., that could keep this game from being played on the Niners' home field. "This game will be action at our book regardless of where the game takes place. The 49ers are getting healthy and are probably better than people think right now, but the public will be all over the Bills here."
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