The John Harbaugh era in the Big Apple kicks off on Sunday Night Football when the New York Giants face the Dallas Cowboys.
The fun kicks off at 8:20 p.m. ET at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, and our Cowboys vs. Giants expert picks give you the lowdown ahead of the game.
For more NFL picks, check out our Cowboys vs. Giants predictions.
Cowboys vs Giants expert picks
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 Probability |
|
|---|---|
 Jason Logan: Jaxson Dart 30+ rushing yards |
49% |
![Josh Inglis](https://img.covers.com/cms/covers/1fb78568-dfa5-49d5-8e18-0005285fc433.jpeg?auto=compress,format&w=112&h=112&fit=crop&crop=faces,focalpoint"){kind=small} Geoff Clark: Giants +2.5 |
46% |
 Joe Osborne: First half Over 23.5 |
46% |
 Jon Metler: Cowboys -2.5 |
55% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Jason Logan’s expert pick: Jaxson Dart 30+ rushing yards
Price: 49% at Kalshi
On top of getting his own number called for carries, Jaxson Dart could find himself in panic mode and taking off on SNF.
New offensive coordinator Matt Nagy is asking Dart to take more snaps under center, which is a drastic shift considering he’s worked out of the shotgun during his college career and first year in the pros.
That instant buffer is gone, and with the Dallas Cowboys bringing the heat (No. 1 in pressure rate last season), Dart could feel rushed and opt to tuck and run.
Projections call for as many as 36 rushing yards, with my number north of 32.
Geoff Clark's expert pick: Giants +2.5
Price: 46% at Kalshi
A team with a defense that played as poorly as the Cowboys’ last season should never be a road favorite in a divisional game.
Albeit the Cowboys have solid personnel, and I love the S Caleb Downs draft choice. Their defense should progress toward the median this season. But so should the New York Giants’ whole team after they hired John Harbaugh this offseason.
People are rewriting Harbaugh’s history with the Ravens and treating him like a “Lamar Jackson merchant,” which is disrespectful, just like this line. I'd play the Giants down to a pick ‘em.
Joe Osborne's expert pick: First half Over 24.5
Price: 46% at Kalshi
Dallas and New York went a combined 26-8 to the first-half Over last season, with the Cowboys going a ridiculous 16-1.
The Cowboys led the NFL in first-half scoring while allowing the second-most first-half points, producing an average of 31.9 combined points before halftime.
There’s plenty of firepower here to keep that scoring frenzy rolling against defenses that could need some time to find their footing.
Jon Metler’s expert pick: Cowboys -2.5
Price: 55% at Kalshi
Give me the Cowboys in the first Sunday Night Football matchup of the season. They're trading as 2.5-point favorites, and I make them closer to 4-point favorites in this matchup.
I think Dallas wins this game with Quinnen Williams and the interior of its defensive line. Jon Runyan is overmatched against Williams, while rookie Francis Mauigoa is starting at right guard.
There are schematic adjustments you can make to slow down an edge rush, but it's much harder to address pressure coming straight up the middle.
If the pocket keeps collapsing on Jaxson Dart, it's going to force him to abandon his reads while also disrupting the Giants' running game with Cam Skattebo.
How to watch Cowboys vs Giants
| Location | MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey |
| Date | Sunday, September 13, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 8:20 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC, Peacock, NFL+ |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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